Comments by "Louis Giokas" (@louisgiokas2206) on "A New War in Ukraine || Peter Zeihan" video.

  1. Explains a lot.
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  2. Peter, commenting on a situation like the Donbas is really not in your wheelhouse. Those situations are fluid and changeable. At the time I am writing this, Ukraine seems to be retaking territory around Bakhmut, for example. These things are all connected. There are also troops being pulled from the Donbas, and we will see the effects soon. Also, while the Ukrainians have been showing the ability to do combined arms maneuver warfare, the Russians have not. In fact, their inability is what caused them to fail in their initial invasion. You noticed this and have commented on it vis-a-vis a potential Russian conflict with NATO. Just an indication of how bad it is in the Russian military. The Russian State Duma is about to pass a law outlawing the use of personal electronic devices at the front such as smart phones. There is a concern, genuine, that information is being leaked by the devices, even if mostly inadvertent. The troops are using those to communicate since they have not reliable, encrypted devices provided by the Ministry of Defense. The operative word for all this is "corruption". I remember seeing videos and reading reports about the poor state of battlefield communications in the Russian army from the beginning months of the conflict. It is a clown show. This is relevant because the Russians do not have the capability to go on the way they are and make it to any of the large cities. There have been some analyses that posit that it could take them many years and tens of millions of casualties to get to Kiev using their approach. The Russian state won't last that long. Heck, it might not even last 2024. The whole point of this is that the Ukrainian General Staff knows all of this and is very sophisticated in their planning.
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