Comments by "Louis Giokas" (@louisgiokas2206) on "Russia: Threats, Deterrence, and the War of Numbers || Peter Zeihan" video.
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I was okay until the end, when Peter mentioned "this is how they have won every single war in their 1,000-year history". If by that he meant those they have won, then maybe. The thing is they have lost or stalemated in a number of wars over that time. Just going back to the 19th century, there have been many they have lost using these tactics. WWII was a win, but it probably would not have been of Hitler hadn't declared war on the US and the US and UK had not supported the Soviets.
Look just before that. In WWI they lost against a Germany that was smaller and was fighting a massive war on another front. The Russians still lost. Don't forget that as the Bolshevik shenanigans were going on in St. Petersburg the Germans were closing in and the Russians had nothing to stop them with. How about the Russo-Japanese war just prior to that. Then there was the Crimean War. Read about it. A lot of the descriptions might seem eerily similar to today's conflict. They also took place in a lot of the same places.
The Winter War with Finland is actually the most directly applicable to this conflict. The parallels are striking. A former colonial possession on the border. An overwhelming disparity in numbers. What happened. Russia took some small territories on their border but failed to retake the whole of Finland or destroy the government. They also lost large numbers of troops and massive amounts of materiel. This failure was one of the reasons that Hitler was confident that he could defeat the Soviets.
Peter does admit that this may not be sustainable for the Russians this time. Good. The thing is that the effects are already starting to be felt. This latest "expansion" of the military is a plan, an announcement. It seems that Russia may not be able to equip all these new soldiers for a while. Also, it would take a year, once all of the people were rounded up, to train and equip them. If they just throw them in as they do now, they will be gone quickly. Then it will not help them. This is not a plan; it is an act of desperation.
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