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Regis
Binkov's Battlegrounds
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Comments by "Regis" (@Timbo5000) on "What might happen if Russia does attack Ukraine?" video.
It's not about more land, it's about preventing NATO expansion up to Russian borders. And no NATO is not a neutral defence alliance, it is the long arm of US imperialism. Russia is countering this move with its own aggressive imperialism. And Ukraine is the victim.
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@Steallio It aged terribly because it claims that the war would last months while in reality Russia blitzkrieged Ukraine in one day, reaching a bunch of vital cities. Now we're getting into urban warfare, which is always tricky, but it all happened much quicker than Binkov predicted. Ukrainian defence is not as organised as estimated and Russia also used Belarus for a much quicker route to Kiev. So overall it was a bad prediction in that it massively overstates how long an invasion would last. Cruise missiles did a lot to incapacitate the Ukrainian military in the early stages, response was too slow to stop Russians early. But having said that, the response seems to be getting better now. Russia will have a hard time in urban areas.
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@Eliisthegoat1234 There were some Canadians who were already there to train UKrainian soldiers, but I imagine they left already
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@Valorian He is correct in assessing where Russia would attack, but massively understated how swiftly and effectively Russia would do this. It's not over yet, but the front progressed VERY quickly in comparison to what Binkov predicted. So Binkov should analyse what happened/happens and adjust his other predictions accordingly. There is no shame in having it wrong, because modern war is difficult to predict. Early WW2 most officials thought it'd be a trench war again and those were professional tacticians. So why chastise a YT channel for not being dead-on accurate?
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@marca7542 Better for them than a nationalist Ukraine trying to solidify its national identity and force it on minorities. This does not excuse an invasion of course, but it's true that Ukraine isn't all too nice to their minorities, especially not after the US-backed coup. I detest both Russian and American imperialism in the region, but I do think that independence for Ukrainian regions that want it would be a good thing. Because they are minorities that do not want to deal with a nationalist Ukraine trying to impose their national identity on them and they have historically divided Ukraine along pro-EU and pro-Russia lines. Splitting up Ukraine across pro-EU and pro-Russia lines would not be a bad outcome for Ukrainians imo. They would be left with a fiercely pro-EU west that eventually could gain membership and would politically be a lot more unified. And the pro-Russian east could do what it wants as well. Overall, trying to put a bunch of ethnic groups with very different geopolitical aspirations into one country is a bad idea. Especially not if you mix it with nationalism. For years this fierce split between pro-EU and pro-Russia has deeply divided Ukraine, with sometimes the pro-Russians gaining a small majority and other times the pro-EU side. That is politically not stable at all and one side always loses out significantly. And I don't care for Russian/American imperialist interests here, but Russia would have its buffer state between NATO and their borders and the US would have its desired NATO expansion eastwards. So hopefully this would put the imperialist grandstanding to rest as well. Above all I wish all these nations would quit their imperialist bullshit, but that unfortunately will not happen. US wants to for some reason expand its global dominance even more and Russia just wants to retain the influence it has and maybe gain a bit here and there. And fuck the both of them.
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