Comments by "Far Centrist" (@far_centrist) on "The Wall Street Journal" channel.

True, just how it is ok for rus to retaliate by striking directly into poland with sarmat.
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Imagine being afraid of a few hundred wagners so much that you have a mobilization goal of 300k.
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@DannyB-cs9vx historically allowing passage of troops from one territory is not a crime or make a party become involved, nor is it an act of war according to international law. If you want to talk about being involved, poland has done more than that. Supplying war equipment like tanks, allowing passage for foreign mercs, even sending their own mercs to ukr to attack rus. If you're talking about poland allowing passage of ukr army into rus, that makes sense because both ukr and rus are the combatants. But you're talking about uninvolved nations here, which is more than enough reasons for rus to retaliate in belarus behalf.
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@DannyB-cs9vx somebody will. If ukr attack belarus, whatever their targets may be, it will be considered an attack of uninvolved nations, justifying a retaliation or direct intervention, just as is the case if rus decided to attack poland because "it has ukranian tank there that's being repaired". If foreign troops deployed to ukr, it will be considered an escalation. But if ukr is the one who started attacking belarus, belarus can move in onto ukr proper with it's army without it being considered an escalation due to the fact that ukr attacked first. Same thing happened in Georgia back in 2008, when pro Georgian troops fired at rus peacekeeping forces in a disputed territory and rus moved in to the capital to force them to sue for peace. You may get a different narrative from the media about that conflict, but it doesn't change the fact that according to UN ruling, it's the Georgian that attacked first, basically provided a legal basis for rus to intervene directly without repercussions. Same thing will happen if ukr decided to attack belarus territory. Belarusian army may not be as strong, but opening a new front will provide a measure of headache for the ukr army, especially with their own offensive facing a stalemate and them continue to lose territory in kharkov region. Have I mentioned that rus also had over 100k troops stationed in belarus right now? The ukr military knows this, they won't do what you suggested for the reason I mentioned above. If they made their decisions based their current emotions like how you feel right now, they would have lost long ago. This is why critical thinking and tactical consideration took precedence over everything else. And they know this.
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Catastrophic loss of 20k against the enemy 100k+? I'd say they're doing pretty well.
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@Homer-OJ-Simpson taking a satellite picture of body is only possible if the bodies is in the open field and visible, not covered in mud. If the body is in the forest or under the rubble of building, it's not going to be possible. Destroyed vehicle doesn't always led to crew's death. In fact, most videos coming out of this war shows tank being disabled, the crew fled, and then the tank destroyed after to keep it from being repaired and re-enter battle. It seems it is easier for you to make random arguments and call people names than actually saying something meaningful. But here's the truth: the 20k-30k number came from the research done on surveillance of graveyard, combing rus social media of the soldiers family, verifiable picture evidence of their dead body and other verifiable sources. As for ukr, they are keeping the figures hidden. But there are several sources that may be credible. Eu commisioner has said that ukr losses is over hundreds of thousands. Then there's the recently leaked ukr documents showing their casualties number as well as equipment deficit for the spring offensive.
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@Homer-OJ-Simpson i think you are forgetting that this estimate is not on the low side, but on generous side. In fact, the 30k estimates will only be real if the purported "human wave tactics" is actually being employed. But this makes no sense for the party with superior firepower to do such a thing, especially since one of the latest interview of ukr soldiers serving in bakhmut describe otherwise where the rus would shell their position to smithereens before moving in on a group of five, sometimes in two or three groups to flank/storm the trench. And this testimony is also backed by many drone footage from the rus side showing exactly that. Going by this, it is practically impossible for rus to suffer such massive casualties. This unfortunately came down just about the same as the "200k total of dead rus troops" which was never broken down or explained where such figures came from.
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@Homer-OJ-Simpson the fact that you keep resorting to "education" insult shows that you simply wants to shut down any opposition voice through aggressive gesture, even when no education in general would teach anything about death figure calculation in war which makes your insult to be pure nonsense.
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The problem of pulling back is that it opens the way to the ukranian last holdings in kramatorks and sloviansk line, which is a worse defense position than bakhmut. If the ukr forces got repelled from there too, then it will be a political blow to the leadership, as well as to the public morale since rus managed to claim the whole of donbas. Not to mention this opens the way for further offensives in zaporozhye, kherson, or even kharkov since their objective in donbas is achieved.
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ah, the permanently postponed "spring counteroffensive" that offends you and me
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@DannyB-cs9vx you're right. If poland allowed other forces to pass through, they can. But the country that is sending forces WILL be a party involved. You think the US will send troops? They won't. Now you decided to switch topics to a speculative tirade. Nay-toe has extended it's invitation into ukr, which is why this happens in the first place. And under the UN security charter, YOU CAN launch an SMO under the pretext of security concerns. As for the matter of natsees, i don't need to comment on this since even western media alone has covered this issue pre-2022 in detail about the far right bandærites movement that worships the ideology and has the tattoo to prove it.
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@DannyB-cs9vx does that mean that they can't do anything? Of course not! Belarus army exist, even tho it's small. They have tanks, aircraft, and many other military equipment! But as I said, rus had over 100k troops there too, that is a huge army for ukr northern border. You are deeply misguided if you think nothing will happen. Read my comment above, I've outlined the reality of what will happen if they do attack belarus.
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@MangoMonster2007 at it's peak, wagner composed of 30k strong. After the mutiny which the majority did not join, most are instead signing contracts with the MoD and becoming regular troops. There's around 8k that mutinied. Some decided to retire, others sent to africa. This leaves a tiny amount moving to belarus, which still does not justify the 300k mobilization troops. Even if we bloat the number of the wagner to 3k, that is still 100 troops for every wagner. Either they believed that wagner is superhuman, or they have a different agenda. Like invading belarus for example, and just making excuses to justify the invasion.
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Staged video
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@Homer-OJ-Simpson it's quite funny how you took issue with the methodology of combing the social media and grave survey, calling it uneducated. When this is exactly the methodology used by BBC funded research in a collaboration with a think tank to research the verifiable number of casualties. When you're calling a solid methodology used by a think tank "uneducated", it really shows who's the uneducated one here. "They verified 20k and with the estimate it's actually 50k" excuse me what? What sort of rubbish methodology would actually multiply the number of dead by 2.5 times without any explanation? And why are you proceeding to multiply it by another 4.5? "Casualties are usually about 4.5 of that" what? Source? Lol this is the funniest thing i read today 🤣🤣🤣 seriously, battlefield is a large place. Multiplying everything based on the most active region of conflict makes no sense when other frontline is in relatively quite situation. "Released footage of human wave tactics" okay where do i watch it? Please provide a source. It's weird how you never seem to be able to grasp how your own methodology of "counting a number of dead tanks from drone footage and pictures and then multiply it by average" despite how this makes no sense at all. First, how do we tell that a picture and drone footage is not that of the same tank taken at a different angle, or different time? Second, how do we know that the destroyed tank belongs to ukr or rus, considering both used the same tank? It's like counting the average number of yearly fallen apples in an orchard without considering the change in weather, disease pest, etc. None of that. Just multiply it! And finally, no source, and i mean NONE, who came up with the 30k casualties number ever explained how they came to that number and what methodology they used, and you are the closest one who even put out a speculative methodology which you attributed to the 30k figures they came out with. Usually when calculating things like these, what you do is track down which regiment fight where, how many casualties in that regiment in a certain battle. It doesn't have to be precise, but you can at least get an idea of the average number of casualties in different fronts each day. 200k? That's literally half of the deployed rus forces. The frontline should have been crumbling in many places by now if it's true. Seriously, which regiment suffers what amount of casualties? Which regiment had been reinforced? No explanation at all. Maybe its you who should get education lol
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 @npc2480 i think you are on to something! Let's see who funded states media for the past few years... Oh sh-
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2:51 advanced sapping technique
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@DannyB-cs9vx wait, you're saying that "belarus isn't involved" but it's ok to attack anything inside belarus from poland, who is also not involved? If that's the case, wouldn't it also be ok for rus to attack inside poland, who is not involved? What kind of argument is that lol
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"Russian economy is in tatters" -Fond der Lyin'
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they already did in belgorod just yesterday. and it failed miserably. now the media is branding them as "anti kremlin group" despite the fact they are using tanks and donated IFVs as well as humvees.
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Do it! Just do it! Yesterday you said tomorrow, so just do it!
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