Comments by "Far Centrist" (@far_centrist) on "Wagner in Belarus Revealed Via Satellite Images and Social Media | WSJ" video.

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  4.  @DannyB-cs9vx  somebody will. If ukr attack belarus, whatever their targets may be, it will be considered an attack of uninvolved nations, justifying a retaliation or direct intervention, just as is the case if rus decided to attack poland because "it has ukranian tank there that's being repaired". If foreign troops deployed to ukr, it will be considered an escalation. But if ukr is the one who started attacking belarus, belarus can move in onto ukr proper with it's army without it being considered an escalation due to the fact that ukr attacked first. Same thing happened in Georgia back in 2008, when pro Georgian troops fired at rus peacekeeping forces in a disputed territory and rus moved in to the capital to force them to sue for peace. You may get a different narrative from the media about that conflict, but it doesn't change the fact that according to UN ruling, it's the Georgian that attacked first, basically provided a legal basis for rus to intervene directly without repercussions. Same thing will happen if ukr decided to attack belarus territory. Belarusian army may not be as strong, but opening a new front will provide a measure of headache for the ukr army, especially with their own offensive facing a stalemate and them continue to lose territory in kharkov region. Have I mentioned that rus also had over 100k troops stationed in belarus right now? The ukr military knows this, they won't do what you suggested for the reason I mentioned above. If they made their decisions based their current emotions like how you feel right now, they would have lost long ago. This is why critical thinking and tactical consideration took precedence over everything else. And they know this.
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