Comments by "charles womack" (@charleswomack2166) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics"
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I am reminded of the modern day movie, The Dictator, where Colonel-general whatever the guys name was, it was a Sasha Boren-Cohen movie, when he said "you there, the Sub-Saharan!"! That was a funny movie.
In all seriousness, I personally believe that the US and the French will keep spec ops guys to assassinate terrorists/train the local military to do so. We sure did make a gigantic mess out of Libya, did we not? The Turks have somewhat cleaned up the mess, mostly by deploying their spec ops guys along with the unemployed Syrian male refugees. They use these same guys to do their dirty work when it comes to the Kurds.
Do not the Egyptians already import most of their food from outside? So long as the Egyptian government keeps summarily executing any terrorists and anyone else they think may be involved in terrorism, they still have a decent tourism industry. I personally considered traveling to Egypt to see the pyramids, but I settled for a trip to Vegas instead!
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@raiden72 You sound like an antisemite, write like an antizionist but would probably admit to being pro-Palestinian rights( Which I consider myself to be as well) and if you are truly honest with us and yourself that you are pro Hamas.
I don't know why it is, but about 1/3rd of the left( the far-left) has had their brains broken permanently by Trump's 2016 presidential election just like the far right had their brains broken Obama's election.
Personally, I have come to the conclusion that foreign states can indirectly interfere in our elections and their is not much that we can do about it. For example, if it is going to Joe Biden or any other Democratic candidate for POTUS who is not pro MBS, then the Saudis will simply take 2,3 perhaps 4 million barrels/day offline, causing gas prices to double here in the US. A lot of people will straight up tell you that they will vote for anyone who can make staple commodities(food, fuel, etc) prices go down, then they will vote for that candidate.
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The Ukrainians have successfully grown their pre-war(2022 invasion) to about 1 million men. Early on in the war, Vladimir Zolenski( Ukrainian president) said that all men aged 18-50* were not allowed to leave the country. So regarding the #'s of men, I believe that Peter may be incorrect. As far as equipment is concerned, yes they are dependent upon 3rd nations to supply them, not to mention the ability to maintain said equipment. This is probably the Ukrainians' biggest challenge.
The one factor that Peter is not taking into account is troop morale. Nothing lowers morale quite like battlefield losses, and this will take its toll upon the Russkies, assuming that it has not already. I believe that this will be the deciding factor in this war. The only other factor that Peter has not mentioned in this video, at least, is third country support. Although the Ukrainians have the edge here, we are just now seeing the effects of North Korean missiles upon this war. Ultimately, although wars are VERY difficult to predict, I believe that the Ukrainians will beat them out. But it will be a long hard slog.
* https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-military-asks-additional-450000-500000-people-be-mobilised-zelenskiy-2023-12-19/
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