Comments by "H. de Jong" (@h.dejong2531) on "Voyager 1 and 2 Detected Something Beyond the Edge of Our Solar System" video.
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@rogerthat487 We're not ignoring anything. We have data from meteorological stations all over the world, for every day of the last ~200 years. Beyond that it gets more sparse, but we have usable data from various sources going back thousands of years. We use this to test and refine our models - not just by comparing to actual weather, but by running tests: start the model at 1900 with the data from that year, and compare the predictions it makes to our historical data for 1901 etc.
And we don't just have one model: every research group develops models, These are compared with each other, to see which is the most accurate, and those are used as the start of the next iteration of making models.
We've been doing climate modelling since the 1970s, so today's models have decades of testing and refinement behind them, and provide excellent predictions.
And even if we ignore the models for a moment: the data itself tells us our climate is changing rapidly. The 1990-2000 decade set records: these 10 years were the warmest we'd ever seen since we started measuring. Then came the 2000-2010 decade, and it was warmer than 1990-2000. Then came 2010-2020 and it was warmer than 2000-2010.
The only remaining uncertainty in our models is caused by having to predict human action: if we take climate change seriously and we limit our CO2 emissions, we get one outcome. If nations drag their heels and keep increasing their CO2 output, we get another outcome.
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Cell service is short-range radio, with a tiny antenna and a $3 receiver in your phone. The cell system is built deliberately to have short range, because the shorter the range, the more cell towers you can install without them interfering with each other, and the more users you can serve. Radio waves don't travel well through solid obstacles, so each wall between you and the cell tower reduces your signal.
NASA uses a giant dish to receive Voyager's signals, builds the best receiver electronics money can buy ($100 million each, the receiver is cooled to cryogenic temperatures to reduce noise), and they have a clear line of sight without obstacles between transmitter and receiver. At these distances, communication is slow: Voyager sends data at 160 bits/s. And they still get interference on occasion (rain is a problem, for example).
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