Comments by "Spring Bloom" (@springbloom5940) on "ABC News"
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Congratulations, you might be a good parent. Meanwhile, there are parents who never accept that their child grew past a toddler. This whole story is very suspicious. The 'bombs' had no fuel or fusing and there is no noted evidence of any experimentation. This is extremely uncommon. Typically, you see bombers evolve, not just appear fully matured, with a bunch of bombs that need only to be armed. This looks a lot, like a fantasy, or some kid's weird toys, that someone overreacted to.
Anecdote: when I was a kid(probably about 10 or 12), I made toy 'bombs' all the time. One time, I made a 'molotov cocktail', that had everything but the cocktail. I wrapped it in masking tape, because I playing with a glass bottle, as a toy and was thinking of safety (🤨). I had left it in the yard and that night, the police came to my neighbor's house to get their drunk and extremely disorderly uncle. The cops found my toy, in the grass and told my parents that he had tried to burn our house, but it didn't go off... because he had wrapped it in tape, so it wouldn't take fingerprints. A couple days later, I had to fess up to the cops, that it was mine, when I found out they were charging him with arson.
We have no real context, here and the media has a vested interest in creating a narrative. Just saying, be careful what you believe, before all the facts come out. This could just as easily be a bunch of airsoft props made by someone with too much time on their hands. Or, dictator parents spinning a narrative to the cops they called, because they've had it with their defiant 10 year old. During my field training for my psych program, I saw 17 - 25 year olds, with parents who thought it was not just ok, but their Right to interfere in everything, go through their stuff anytime they wanted, check their pockets, open their mail, etc., because its 'their house'. This often results maladjusted, yet harmless adult children.
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This offensive was very clearly planned around Russia throwing down their guns and running away from NATO tanks. That didn't happen and now they're scrambling to adjust. Their 'main thrust' is going to be something akin to a 'Roman column', where they're going to stream their entire army into one or two points, or possibly a section of the front, like a meat drill. They're going to try to do Bakhmut. This gives the advantage of continuous troop rotation against a fatiguing defensive position.
The problem is that last year's offensive was only minimally successful. Russia was outnumbered 3:1 with no defensive works and Ukraine still burned ~10k troops at 5:1 losses making Banzai runs at Kherson, before shifting to Kharkiv and chasing away some militia forces. Then, Russia took 2 months casually pulling out of Kherson. Now, Russia has a ~1.2:1 advantage and multiple layers of defensive fortification, the entire length of the front.
Russia's strategy is to break from heavy contact and withdraw to the defensive line. Each successive withdrawal reinforces the next line. This is intended to absorb an attack. Russia will keep doing this until Ukraine runs out of time, or steam and is compelled to commit their main force to an objective. Then, Russia will go on an offensive one or two other places. It looks like one of those is going to be Kharkiv, as Russia has massed some 100,000 troops in the area, along with about 5,000 Wagner and 5,000 Chechens.
Ukraine has the combat power to give Russia a reeling blow. But, its going to cost them their army to do it, on the gamble that someone will give them a new one, before Russia recovers.
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