Comments by "Gaza is not Amalek" (@Ass_of_Amalek) on "America predicts war with China in 2025" video.
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2050 as the date when china will have a military about as powerful as the US military seems like an extremely long estimate. it seems to me like 2035 is much more realistic.
alao yeah,if the US and china fight, the US will attack the mainland. why wouldn't they, itmakes no sense to make that a safe zone for chinese military assets so close to the fighting. however, the US and china will not fight any time soon. the reason for this is that contrary to biden's lies, the US absolutely will not fight for taiwan. all the reasons for the US and its allies to not fight russia over ukraine (nuclear deterrence, economic dependencies) apply to china as much or more, it's absurd to think that the US would act so differently there. the treaty situation is very clear: the US is only committed to attempting to supply taiwan with "defensive weapons" in case of a chinese attack (good luck with doing that through the blockade). the current treaty was designed to not guarantee taiwan sufficient defensive support to give taiwan the confidence to declare independence and risk a chinese attack.
also, china will avoid US intervention by only partially invading taiwan at first. they will do a trial run of taking only the kinmen islands, and then wait a year or more before invading taiwan, as taiwan loses confidence in its allies because the allies did not intervene. the US' tentative support for taiwanese territorial integrity even explicitly excludes the kinmen islands since they're geographically almost part of mainland china. seeing the weakness of its international support will bring new life to taiwanese public support for a diplomatic integration into the PRC. nobody will even economically decouple from china, not even taiwan itself!
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