Comments by "Son of None" (@SonOfNone) on "Depressed Ginger"
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I said this elsewhere, but people need to understand how negotiation works. Sure, Russia is the "bad guy," I'm not saying it isn't in this war. But they also occupy Donetsk and Luhansk with the apparent backing of the people there, who are mostly ethnic Russians.
Realistically, Russia will end up with those regions annexed, but at the cost of peacekeepers in Ukraine. Both sides have to win and lose. Right now, Ukraine is poised to lose entirely because of the immense manpower Russia can throw at this, compared to the much smaller manpower of Ukraine. Ukraine needs an exit strategy in this, which means they must be prepared to lose in order to gain peace.
The loss Russia will likely have to suffer in this negotiation is that there will likely be immense western-influece [possibly peace-keepers] inside Ukraine, removing the ever-important buffer state that Russia has always demanded.
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