Comments by "Andy Monaghan" (@229andymon) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics"
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@chrisy6707 Well, that and the Labour Party were desperate to try to hold back the rising support for independence. Labour have never been seriously interested in devolution, and still aren’t, unionism is as ingrained in them as it is for the Tories, albeit for slightly different reasons.
At the time (I know, I was there) Labour didn’t seriously foresee an SNP Scotland, so were content to imagine Holyrood would continue being the glorified “Parish Council” dominated by Labour that Blair said he considered it to be. During Labour’s utterly mediocre 7 years in charge of Holyrood, their biggest boast was bringing in a smoking ban a year or so before the rest of UK. They never, at any time, considered any kind of challenge to Westminster, whether ruled by their own party - or the Tories. In other words, useless.
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@Bob-ts2tu And you don't think the same happens on the unionist side? That Scotland is often (in the hopelessly biased Brit media) portrayed as some kind of economic basket case full of druggies and benefits cheats happy to leach off an unaccountably generous and ever-patient England? I routinely see unionist propaganda that frankly is utter trash and I see it from social media right up to the BBC. I not only see propaganda trashing Scotland, but also propaganda praising Brit performance that is either BS or highly biased. In my view the UK economy is performing very poorly, mainly due to catastrophic Tory policies (Tories that Scots last voted for in 1955).
However, there are stone cold facts we cannot help but concede.
1. Scottish economic performance is mostly determined by UK decisions not Scottish. The main levers of economic power controlling all of UK are in Westminster, not Holyrood. So it's ironic that Brit failure is somehow labelled as Scottish. Scotland performs badly in UK therefore Scotland will perform even worse outside (where we will make decisions that suit our own economy). Yeah, that's logical - Not.
2. Brexit is a complete disaster, and is ruining not just Scotland, but also UK. We did not choose that course - but, as usual, our votes were cancelled in the unfair, unequal Brit union. This is normal. In 2015 Scotland returned all but 3 MPs as independence supporting. Did that get us independence - No. What did it get us - absolutely nothing that Westminster didn't want to give. That is what being Scotland in the UK union means.
All we want is a chance to decide, in the light of the changed circumstances we are in since 2014 (out the EU against our will) whether we want to remain in the union. Once we get that and vote to leave (as I'm confident we will) then we cease to become any issue or problem of yours. All we will ask for is good political relations and the best trading arrangement to suit both countries.
It's just a pity Westminster is choosing to block democracy because they know they will lose that referendum.
if you truly like Scotland, then try to like what's best for us, even if that is considered not good for UK.
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@Scotttyist Firstly, I don't accept Zeihan's biased, overly negative and incorrect account of my country and our economy. His is the same BS we see from Brit unionists. In his case though his motivation is to see the USs Brit puppet stay united.
So - far from being considered "undesirable" by the EU, I think they will welcome us with open arms and try to ensure our entry is as easy and quick as possible - why wouldn't they?
Secondly, it's not a question of people, it's a question of politics. The Scots and English people get along fine, it's only in politics and the nature of what it means for Scotland to be in the crap Brit union that is the issue.
The reality of UK politics is that England utterly dominates UK to the point where it outvotes the rest of us several times over. Thus in 2015 when all but 3 Scottish MPs were SNP, that incredible majority and support enabled us to get exactly nothing that Westminster didn't want to give.
Another example came with Brexit - 62% of Scots wanted to stay and were completely cancelled by 51% of (mainly) English that wanted to leave, result - we left.
Yet another - Scots last voted Tory in 1955, yet we get inflicted with Tory governments time and time again coz the English love them.
But - my personal favourite is in the situation where, while we are being forcibly prevented from even getting a new choice on whether we want to remain in their union, if an English independence party were to get anything like the same support as the SNP has - it could simply take England out the union without even having to ask anyone.
We are a capable, resourceful people with a sound economy and well able to run our country, for our people, and I believe far, far better than any Westminster govt (we never vote for) will ever do "on our behalf".
I truly believe Scotland will never look back once we cast off the dead hand of Westminster rule.
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@ginojaco That’s rich coming from someone that’s just dodged the Brexit argument. England’s decision (yes, England) to leave Europe is a total disaster, and thankfully more and more people in UK are coming to accept that.
I have already mentioned that, regarding finances, the unionist case is falsely predicated on information (whether you accept that info or not) based on economic data taken from Scotland as an integral part of the UK economy We simply don’t know what Indy finances will look like, even from day 1, but we can safely assume a Scottish govt will not want the same model. For me, for example, I think the Scottish govt should go into negotiations with UKG on the basis of we take no UK debt in return for other concessions etc. As I mentioned, economy is the most complex part of the debate, and the one unionists are least informed about, preferring instead to swallow the UKG propaganda on it hook, line and sinker.
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@andrewdouglas1963 What are the “main differences” between the Slovaks and the Czechs? The Norwegians and the Swedes, the Irish and the Brits, I could go on…. I’m sure the leaders of the Soviet Union would’ve agreed 100% with your view, according to them the USSR was one big, similar, happy family.
Firstly, there doesn’t have to be differences for a nation to want independence and the right to self determination, nor should there be. After we leave the UK Union I expect, and hope, there will be many differences that will emerge, Chris stated one of them by way of the kind of politics Scotland favours vis a vis England for example, but I’m just as sure there will also remain many similarities.
If we decide we want our country to be independent, that’s perfectly sufficient. We don’t owe anyone else an explanation why.
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@TheBruvleigh Really? OK then, give me one example of where this wonderful "weight" got us anything Westminster didn't want to give.......
Our parliament has a list of powers 100% decided upon by Brit unionists, powers incidentally that could be taken back by Westminster at it's whim. Tell you what - you have a look at them and then the list of powers retained by Westminster and then come back and tell me where real power lies in UK.
In 2015 for example, all but 3 Scottish MPs were SNP, so what did this incredible majority backing independence get? Did it get independence - Nope. Did it get, well, anything - Nope. That. my friend is what being Scotland in the crap Brit union means - like 10 wolves and 1 sheep getting an equal say on what's for dinner.
We will gladly hand back, with ribbons on, this fantastic arrangement we have in UK when we leave. In actuality, the Brit union is unfair, undemocratic, unequal and involuntary.
No thanks..!
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@andrewwotherspoona5722 I also expect we will at least do better than in the union, but it will probably be tough at first. I don’t believe UK will try to deliberately put a spoke in our wheels, but neither will they be helpful either. Which is fine, we can’t expect otherwise.
For me it’s not primarily about money, it’s about being able to create the kind of Scotland we want, which will I’m sure have real differences to RUK (aka England). Small at first, but growing with time. If RUK doesn’t repair the Brexit disaster and stays out of Europe, those differences will be bigger, with a “more European” Scotland to UKs isolationism, US orientation and xenophobia.
We will also, as you point out, start heading toward a Scandinavian style society (hopefully) that will be far more equitable, humane and fair than the right wing, US style, corporate oriented hell that England is becoming.
I don’t like the way UKs going generally, it’s direction is depressing and worrying.
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@fiveninenowNOW Technically yes, Scottish MPs can vote on English affairs and not vice versa. But again - who’s to blame for that arrangement? British unionists, that’s who..! Not us, we don’t want to be in Westminster at all..! As it happens the SNP has a voluntary code of not going so, given we believe the English should decide English matters.
We don’t want scraps from Westminster’s table, we don’t want English people’s money or anything else. All we want is the chance (yes, to choose again, - democracy didn’t stop in 2014) whether we want to be in your unequal union.
As you appear to be acknowledging - the very right English people have at their disposal and always have had.
You can fix Westminster if you like, good luck to you, but no fixing will let Scots choose what kind of economy, society and politics we want.
Keep your unequal, unfair union, and all that comes with it.
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@Kaiserbill99 No, I don’t, I understand that completely. I also understand what you refer to as “Scotland’s deficit” is related to the performance of Scotland- as an integral part of the UK economy, whereby a huge part of Scotland’s spending is directly in the hands of Westminster and where the main levers of economic power (for all UK) lie with Westminster. Westminster is also, of course, responsible for setting the block grant, which relates to spending outwith Scotland.
So you point to “Scottish” performance - in such an environment- and then infer Scottish failure, where what you are actually seeing is British failure. You also fail to note that these figures will not and cannot represent the finances of an independent Scotland, which must and will be different.
As for UK debt, I’m assuming you aren’t contesting that this is and will remain entirely the responsibility of UK. Meaning UK will have to go into the secession negotiations needing us to accept responsibility for some of it. My own position would be that we should start by assuming no such responsibility, albeit willing to engage in a debate around the whole issue of Brit debt vs assets and advantageous trade relations.
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@Kaiserbill99 Took you a while to find?
I’ve been around the fringes of the Indy movement for many years, I don’t see this utopia cult you unionists love to cite. It doesn’t exist. Indeed a big criticism of the SNPs approach to finances by a large portion of the movement is that they have been too conservative and negative, as with Andrew Wilson’s work for example.
Most sensible Indy’s fully realise we will have a big task unravelling generations of Brit failure, but none believe it’s not worth doing. Anyway you slice or dice the question, Scots running Scotland from Scotland and for Scotland beats it being run on our behalf by people we never elect running not for our best interests and usually atrociously.
Incidentally, nothing you have said contradicts what I said. Current performance reflects Brit failure, not Scottish, and the Indy Scottish economy will not be like the failed Brit model. Why else do you think we Indys want independence, for things to remain the same, to continue the failed Brit model?
There are other voices of course regarding Scotland’s finances, FoA is not the only one. But I can understand how their comments will appeal to those desperately seeking negativity around Scottish independence. That you are one is fairly obvious, but may I ask why you are so inclined? Are you Scottish for example?
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@stephanledford9792 My comment was around Denmark and it’s similarity to Scotland, apart from being able to run their own country and being rich. I don’t know anything about Greenland.
I appreciate you mean well, but you say you “actually” think Scotland capable of doing what every other small nation that became independent can do, and usually prospered doing. As if such a thought is somehow radical or illogical.
Of course we will be able to run a successful nation, and I refuse to contemplate that we won’t run Scotland better from Edinburgh than outsourcing the running of it to Westminster unionist politicians that do not have our best interests at heart, but instead those of UK. “They’re the same” unionists will say in response. No they’re not. Taking us out the EU against our will being a good recent example.
It’s difficult to swim against the tide of unionist propaganda pumped relentlessly at us via the biased Brit media, including the BBC. My attitude to the question of how well an independent Scotland will fare is to ask just that - how well will we do, not how *badly*. We are a capable and resourceful people with a good, sound economy. Have a look at analyses of how crap the UK has been wrt economic performance over the past, say, 50 years. It’s terrible. Look up GDP per capita and look at Brit decline - to the point now where it’s a matter of time before the ex Soviet states start overtaking it. Im not saying that to slag it off, I’m saying why on earth should I accept we can’t do better than that?
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