Comments by "Andy Monaghan" (@229andymon) on "Weeb Union" channel.

  1. I'm no military expert, but I'm assuming the 3-1 ratio for attackers/defenders won't apply if the attackers have artillery and air superiority.
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  2. There is one huge difference between the 2 offensives. Russia is entering what they intend to keep and incorporate into Russia, the Ukrainians do not consider Kursk anything but Russian territory.
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  3. This is looking more and more like a high tech WW1.
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  4. Not hearing much about the Ukrainian counter-offensive by western sources now. I reckon it’s becoming obvious there isn’t going to be one.
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  5. Must admit to being baffled by Ukrainian tactics in Krynky too…
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  6.  @sshumkaer Having lived and worked in a real developing world country, I can inform you that Ukraine ain’t one.
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  7.  @korana6308 long lines of carefully prepared trench works, dominance of artillery, “meat grinder” operations, offensives followed by counter offensives followed by offensives, small territorial gains…………… WW2 was more of a blitzkrieg style of combined arms leading to rapid movements and territorial gains.
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  8. I’d like to see a considered discussion around what the onset of the rainy season is likely to bring. To my unqualified mind, it wouldn’t appear to favour either side, apart from to halt or at least severely degrade Ukrainian offensive actions. Any more informed comments..?
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  9. Especially if they intend to go on to capture Odessa, which I believe they do.
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  10. Seems to me like the UKRs are faced with a military "whackamole". If they strip out troops from one front to focus on another, that front starts caving.
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  11. How deep and wide is the canal that Russian forces are approaching to their west? Is it a significant barrier?
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  12.  @korana6308  I agree, which is why I said “more like” WW1. But, it can’t be denied that the general conduct of WW2 followed a different course than WW1, with blitzkreig featuring much more in 2 and trench warfare in 1. To me, this conflict fits 1 more than 2 - so far at least.
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  13. Can anyone tell me at what distance a target is considered in small arms range?
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  14.  @Donello  I have a distinct feeling the Ukrainians would be very wary of playing “where borders used to be” games with the Russians.
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  15.  @DeusVult-q3f  In the open, facing one of the most sophisticated airforces in the world.
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  16.  @korana6308  Actually I’m being historically negligent, or exhibiting a Western bias perhaps. Because of course my last comment doesn’t fit what happened in the Eastern Front in WW1, which was more like a huge push west by the Russian forces, followed by a huge retreat back east. My bad….
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  17.  @classicstangs  Also 2nd biggest city in UKR.
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  18. Surely if UKR wanted Russia to declare war they would take some troops and invade some part of Russia where the border still holds? The world has already pretty much taken sides, would the argument as to who's to blame for the escalation really matter? However, I would agree that UKR must be aware they can't win against Russia and probably speculate that Russia declaring war is the only factor that may create a sea-change in the situation. I wonder if they expect or hope the West/Nato will escalate to providing ground troops or direct air power. In which case WW3 becomes a much more distinct possibility. I expect they feel the Russians may back down seeing that. VERY, VERY dangerous assumption..!
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  19.  @rogue7894  He even managed to take Moscow, and still got his derrière handed to him.
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  20.  @psalmno.51  There is nothing new under the sun, as they say. I recommend you read “Anabasis” by Xenophon, detailed how 10,000 Greek mercenaries battled their way home from the heart of the Persian Empire before the rise of Rome.
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  21.  @psalmno.51  Looks like great books to read, however I'd recommend you read Xenephon even just coz it's a fantastically written and entertaining account of ancient warfare. In my very humble estimation the tactics, organisation, bravery and skills of the Greeks would stand to teach armies today. All the best.
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  22.  @WeebUnionWU  I live walking distance from a place called Faslane. Look it up and what happens there. You're worried...? :(
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  23.  @DeusVult-q3f  Assuming you mean the Kursk offensive, no it’s not. It’s occupied. There’s a very big difference.
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  24.  @TexanIndependence  Ukraine has so far taken over around 700 sq kms or so of Kursk oblast. Which is a medium sized example (population) of Russia’s 47 or so oblasts. Kursk oblast itself comprises around 30,000 sq kms.
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  25.  @Jim-Tuner  is that true? As far as I can see the decree is less ambitious, stating an objective to “preserve Ukrainian identity in Russia” etc. To my reading, it appears far more aimed at strengthening or establishing Ukrainian rights **in Russian lands**. I’m not seeing any intent to annex Russian territory.
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  26.  @axeman2638  Have a look at how the disastrous privatisation of England's water supply went for proof of how (literally) shit privatisation can be. Up here in Scotland - much better, much cheaper, much more efficient - in public hands. Same for the railways - greedy, inefficient private sector trying to screw increased profits and dividends out of a sector known for low margins - how do they do that? - reductions in service, performance, quality and manpower in order to make fat cats fatter. Putting the private sector between essential resources and the public they serve only inserts greedy middlemen (that often are party donors or "friends" of politicians) who's primary interest is shareholders and dividends - not the people who rely on the services. It's a cult of greed, corruption and an Olympic level lack of care or concern.
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  27.  @davidlazarus67  Perhaps because of the absurdity of thinking Russia would invade even one NATO country. Article 5 would mean almost the whole of Europe plus USA would respond. There’s not a chance Russia (alone) would conceive of such a suicidally stupid idea. Russia is a (relatively) strong military country, but it’s economy is smaller then Italy’s and it’s population half of USAs. Of course it has nukes, but it always has, so that’s not changed.
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  28.  @davidlazarus67  This is the Russia struggling to overcome Ukraine we’re talking of, right?
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  29.  @davidlazarus67  Even if that was true, which I'd argue, it still doesn't mean Russia would ever make the colossal mistake of invading a NATO country. If there was one thing that would be guaranteed to destroy Russia, it would be that.
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  30. If Bojo is behind anything it's guaranteed to fail. The man is an immoral buffoon. I see his hand behind the disastrous ZP power plant raid - typical. The London Govt should stick to bullying their own Celtic peoples around, it's about all they're up to. For as long as they can, incidentally - we're just about to sort that problem out.
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  31. Given the much publicised nature of this counter-offensive, it's fair to assume the Russians are operating a previously planned strategy. Time will tell if this is what's happening .
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  32.  @korana6308  Yes, good point about the transport revolution between the 2. I hadn’t quite considered how much that was a factor. Having said that, it’s surprising how much of Barbarossa relied on rail and horsepower. May I ask where you see this ending (assuming not in WW3)? For me, the UKRs hardening commitment to joining NATO afterward will be driving Russia into a corner where they need to either conquer/occupy all of UKR, which I consider unlikely, or rather use this (last) opportunity to ensure 1. the biggest buffer between Moscow and the NATO border, and 2. an emasculated, shrunken UKR. I started by thinking the Donbas would suffice for them, but now I reckon they will want up to the Dniepr. Perhaps Odessa too, not sure. This of course assuming they can get what they want. Your thoughts?
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