Comments by "Persona" (@ArawnOfAnnwn) on "Review: The Accidental Superpower by Peter Zeihan" video.
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@ten_tego_teges Turkey doesn't need to be a threat to the EU. It has no interest in taking over the European heartland. A more realistic question is - is Turkey a threat to Cyprus? And can and will the EU both be able to and choose to take hard action to prevent that? Considering it'd be fighting in Turkey's backyard, I rather doubt the EU has either the capability or even more so the will to fight off a full takeover. Turkey was even weaker in the 1970s, and still got their way. Same with any Greek islands they decide they're interested in (Greece itself is another matter). Ditto with Russia on its borderlands. Etc. The EU heartland isn't even on anyone's radar for conquest - it wouldn't even be worth it considering how hard it'd be to hold on to. The European response would most likely be a rash of sanctions and hopes that the locals will throw off the occupying force for them. Much cheaper, much easier, much lazier. It might even work, but that still doesn't say much for the EU's military relevance. The power of the EU isn't to be judged by how effectively it defends its heartland, as it's fringes. And your lone Falklands example doesn't sound too convincing either, for several reasons including that it was the sovereign territory of a major European power, while the EU borderlands, in Douglas Adams words', "somebody else's problem." They aren't even key to the EU economy.
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