Comments by "Solo Renegade" (@SoloRenegade) on "Covert Cabal"
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@jebise1126 if the ammo isn't produced anymore, it's because the weapon system is obsolete and we're just burning through legacy stockpiles. When I joined the Army after 9/11, we spent years finishing up burning through stockpiles of various obsolete munitions from WW2, Korea, and Vietnam. Once it was gone we fully switched to the new stuff.
Ammo is cheap and easy to build compared to the weapons themselves. And given how many Russian tanks were destroyed, and how many lacked real ERA, the T-62 and BMPs and other light armor can easily be defeated by cheap RPG-7, of which a factory in the US is the largest manufacturer, and they are very cheap and simple to make. As the war shifts, we use less and less of certain weapons. Ukraine is not using a lot of those high tech AT missiles anymore. They are using drones with simple munitions, RPGs, Recoilless rifles, Artillery, etc. HIMARS is one of their most advanced weapons being used to great effect right now. and they are simpler than a Javelin in terms of technology.
Ukraine has already developed one of their own homegrown HIMARS rockets for example. They figured out how to make a variant of their own they could make themselves in Ukraine so they could fire more often. It probably isn't as good or as long ranged as the other variants, but it just has to be good enough, and mass producible.
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Point defense weapons can't work as well in times of peace as in times of war. Could you imagine automated systems firing at every ship and aircraft that passed within range? They have to periodically be switched off, or standby, or need human intervention to fire to ensure peacetime incidents don't occur. This makes them less effective. This also means that in peacetime, a smart person could ambush an unsuspecting ship effectively. But in wartime, expecting an attack, with systems on and ready, they would work better. There are many factors at play here, surely more than i can think of, but as usual everyone oversimplifies everything and tries to make everything black and white. Heck, sometimes things just break after years of use, and it just happens to be at the most inopportune time
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@zezenkop412 I know well how fast the weapons industry evolves. I've been part of it in more ways than one.
At the current pace of tech development in general, civilian as well as military, certain technology is becoming obsolete more rapidly than in the past.
Russian front line fighter jets Are already hopelessly obsolete against Western fighters like the Rafale, Typhoon, Gripen, F-35, F-22, latest versions of the F-16, F-15EX, F-18, etc.
Countries buy obsolete gear becasue they'd rather have something than nothing and either can't afford better, or aren't allowed to purchase better due to sanctions.
Russia has lost many times more military aircraft in ukraine than it produces every year. And their production is all but halted due to sanctions. So until they are able to restart production, they can't replace losses. Then, it will take years to rebuild their own losses before they can afford to resume large exports. And that is just for existing tech. By then the jets will be so old and obsolete as the west brings online 6th gen aircraft and other supporting technologies, missiles, and capabilities. Russia's military arms industry may not even survive the fallout of the Ukraine conflict as many nations are already getting rid of what remaining soviet hardware they had/have left.
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