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Curious Crow
Eurodollar University
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Comments by "Curious Crow" (@CuriousCrow-mp4cx) on "Did the Fed Accidentally Leak Their Next Move?!" video.
Watching the 2-year yield is not what the research says we should be watching. The original research found it was the 3-month yield curve was the most accurate at predicting recessions. Watching the 2 year, normally used to price consumer credit, isn't the bellweather. The 3-month normally to price short-term liquidity, is the compass needle we should be watching.
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Unfortunately for you, the evidence is not in the stock market, but in the real economy, which stocks no longer reflect. And confirmation bias is the current pricing model in the stock market. But if the evidence from all the economic indicators we have is looking ugly, there's no point trying to put lipstick on that pig. What is sad is that the Fed relies it seems mostly on lagging indicators. So the damage is well on its way being done by the time they put on the breaks.
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He moved there on Friday. The week begins on Monday.
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If he's been investigated, you can drop a link to the SEC press release? Right?
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You know where the door is, right? And they're not money managers. They're analysts. And Jeff's analysis is ban on the money. But the method of communicating it here on YouTube is a major disadvantage. You have to pay to get the nuts and bolts. Or just watch the videos and fill in the gaps yourself.
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B
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The Fed has nothing except lagging indicators,
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Why not take your own advice?
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