Comments by "surely you joke, mein failüre" (@surelyyoujokemeinfailure7531) on "US death toll surpasses 20,000 amid coronavirus pandemic" video.

  1. NY state has a case rate of 9,233 per million - more than 3x higher than Italy's case rate of 2,518 per million. We are going to have a lot more deaths following this curve.
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  2.  @MegaThepow  Places of different sizes can be compared if you look at them in rates - things per capita or per million etc. Heck, there's one county in NY that has a case rate of over 23,000 per million.
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  3.  @STALKER777LK  There were some researchers here in the US who realized by March 7th that the US was only a week or so behind Italy in terms of becoming a hotspot. It's in that Red Dawn Rising email thread: https://int.nyt.com/data/documenthelper/6879-2020-covid-19-red-dawn-rising/66f590d5cd41e11bea0f/optimized/full.pdf
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  4.  @sasquatch6750  Yeah. I've been using tables like rates of car use and population density to help model that. Also there's a whole size factor by which smaller places (like San Marino) reach virus penetration faster than larger places (like the USA) due to how many generations of transmission are required to reach saturation. I'm tracking some states down at the county level to tune the model. Great handle BTW :)
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  5.  @sasquatch6750  The degree of lockdown (if any) is a huge thing. For example, South Dakota (no lockdown) saw its case rate grow from 146/M to 724/M over the 10-day span ending yesterday - up 396%, whereas NY state (far more urban, but locked down) over the same time saw its case rate grow from 4,313/M to 9,233/M which is "only" 114% up. SD is about a week away from having its "oops, this is why everyone was locking down" moment.
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  6. It's worse than that. Jet, bus, plane, train, and cars are still carrying people (and virus) all over America from place to place. It's like we don't get that there's a dangerous pandemic raging.
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  7. To be fair, Trump did promise to run the USA like one of his own businesses. Most of them started with a lot of OPM then went bankrupt. Seems it's a promise he's keeping :(
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