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surely you joke, mein failüre
Dr. John Campbell
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Comments by "surely you joke, mein failüre" (@surelyyoujokemeinfailure7531) on "COVID-19 Saturday 22 Feb" video.
I hate to point this out, but so far testing is proving to be of very limited use. It was revealed yesterday that the time of greatest communicability is in the first 3-5 days of incubation, which is well before any signs start to show. Those mushrooming positive-test numbers in S Korea are lagging perhaps 10 days or more behind the actual spread of the disease - that is, if you could freeze this moment in time and methodically test everyone in the country. Many are not showing symptoms yet but are in fact infected already, they just don't know it yet and would test negative for it at the current moment.
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@GlobalAdventurer Rest assured, there are self-serving people in high places who will not let a good crisis go to waste :(
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Anyplace where people live more crowded together, where sanitation is not at the level of separated single family houses, where access to medical care is not perfect, etc, will become a major cluster. Prisons, old folks' homes, homeless communities, shantytowns, you name it. And don't even talk about what happens if it reaches Hyderabad.
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@philiplindley7384 You are correct. No society is equipped to deal with the disruptions that will inevitably kill 1%+ of its population while sickening many people all at the same time. No society has the means to provide oxygen support for the projected numbers of people who will need it to survive. Organizations (businesses, transit agencies, shipping, distribution, law enforcement, emergency services, grocery stores, trash pickup, whatever) will all be heavily impacted when many people are sick at the same time. We're looking at a disruption that is on the same level of overall impact as wide-area earthquakes or EMP or being militarily attacked.
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I hate to say this, but so far testing is proving to be of very limited use. It was revealed yesterday that the time of greatest communicability is in the first 3-5 days of incubation, which is well before any signs start to show. Those mushrooming positive-test numbers in S Korea are lagging perhaps 10 days or more behind the actual spread of the disease - that is, if you could freeze this moment in time and methodically test everyone in the country. Many are not showing symptoms yet but are in fact infected already, they just don't know it yet and would test negative for it at the current moment.
1
I hate to point this out, but so far testing is proving to be of very limited use. It was revealed yesterday that the time of greatest communicability is in the first 3-5 days of incubation, which is well before any signs start to show. Those mushrooming positive-test numbers in S Korea are lagging perhaps 10 days or more behind the actual spread of the disease - that is, if you could freeze this moment in time and methodically test everyone in the country. Many are not showing symptoms yet but are in fact infected already, they just don't know it yet and would test negative for it at the current moment.
1
@oorwullie9229 Don't laugh please but I have been using the wholly-innappropriate term "clever" to refer to this virus. When it is operating in a confined environment (such as aboard the quarantined cruise ships) it produces a higher percentage of asymptomatic carriers who, once they escape into the general population, suddenly go from testing negative to testing positive, but only after they've infected other new hosts. It hides so well in apparently healthy people. From a news report yesterday we learned that the greatest virus shedding occurs in the first 3-5 days of incubation, which is before symptoms even begin to show. SARS was much slower-moving by comparison.
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@ChiDraconis You might want to watch this video again if you failed to understand its import. Feel free to come back in a month to tell everyone what a "flash in the pan" this is.
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@ChiDraconis "I am resistant and have actually slept with .. " Thanks for providing some much-needed levity.
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