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justgivemethetruth
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Comments by "justgivemethetruth" (@justgivemethetruth) on "The math problem that stumped thousands of mansplainers" video.
I am not hearing a scientific or mathematical explanation for this. First, there are the games that the game show uses to minimize its payout and to keep the game interesting for the audience ... and we do not know what they are? Do they move the goats and cars around? I don't think it matters because the same probability applies to both answers left ... or, please explain why it does not. Think of an iterative process with N-doors ... you pick a door, and they show you a goat behind another door and give you a chance to change. Each time they reveal a new goat you learn that you were more correct, that is that you did not pick THAT goat, and may have actually picked the car ... so, what is the statistic that tells us we should change?
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OK, the host must reveal a goat, but that should never be a problem. I still do not see how the contestant get any more information about the door he picked by one of the other doors being revealed ... because we already know one of them is a goat and it really doesn't tell us anything more of less about the either of the other doors. It is playing games with numbers to say switch. But, honestly, I would like to see a computer program that can simulate this run millions of times and see how the odds improve. I am mostly just saying that the explanation for this that is intuitive is nothing I have seen or read about. The problem is bothersome though because it is so counter-intuitive.
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