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Comments by "" (@RedXlV) on "Dems DUMP Iowa as First Vote in 2024 Primary" video.
They should also just do away with caucuses. They disenfranchise low-income workers who can't afford to take a whole day off for caucusing. They artificially favor candidates who have a passionate but small base of support, since only the most passionate voters will be willing to spend hours on the caucus process (which also by its nature has no secret ballot) instead of simply being able to go home as soon as your ballot is cast. Caucuses invariably have much lower turnout than primaries. There are even multiple examples in the last several election cycles of states that for some bizarre reason hold both a caucus and a non-binding primary, and even though the primary doesn't count for anything it still gets much higher turnout than the caucus that actually matters.
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@annaschofield Having the primaries spread across several months means that whichever states get to go early will have artificially inflated importance, and the states at the end of the schedule will have reduced importance. And possibly even be rendered completely irrelevant to the process if the winner has already been decided before they get a chance to vote. It creates completely artificial perceptions of "momentum" that drives the fundraising and gives whoever wins in early states the biggest chance of getting the nomination. Why can't we just have a Democratic primary that's decided purely by democracy? No schedule, no delegates, just a nationwide election day and whoever gets a majority is the winner.
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The narrative that it's to make it easier for Biden is weird (especially for an outlet that pretends to be non-partisan like Reuters to be pushing it), because we already know Biden already has the nomination if he wants it. The only way any major candidates will even enter the primary at all is if Biden decides not to run. We're not going to see the incumbent President get a serious primary challenger.
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Which is a laughable narrative, since nobody's even going to run against him in the primary. The only way Biden isn't nominated is if he decides not to run.
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Iowa and New Hampshire can move their caucus and primary forward to still go first, but if they do that their results simply won't count. They'll get zero delegates. The Democratic Party doesn't need to let tiny rural all-white states dictate terms.
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Caucuses worked to Bernie's favor in 2016, and when the new rules were being drawn up for 2020 he was one of the people who insisted that caucuses be retained instead of requiring that every state have a primary. One of Bernie's problems (both times, but especially in 2020) was that the campaign strategists he had working for him weren't any good at their jobs. The electoral system we have now sucks, but it's what a candidate has to work with and strategize around. You can't change the system unless you win.
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I've never liked small states going first, because small states already have vastly inflated power in our electoral system. Every state no matter how big or small gets 2 Senators. The electoral college is tilted in favor of small states, meaning 1 person in Wyoming has the same say in the presidential election as 4 people in California.
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The narrative that South Carolina "saved" Biden is dubious. The candidate who consistently led in all the nationwide polls was always going to clean up once the entire nation voted. I suspect a lot of previous primary campaigns would've turned out differently if not for candidates following the ridiculous conventional wisdom of "you have to drop out if you do bad in Iowa and New Hampshire".
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Seeing as Biden basically gets the nomination automatically once he announces his candidacy, that's not very likely. Nobody significant is even going to run against the incumbent President in the primary. All the potential contenders are waiting to see if Biden (given his age) decides he's no longer healthy enough to run.
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