Comments by "Nigel Johnson" (@nigeljohnson9820) on "Global Heat: Britain sees longest heatwave in 42 years, deadly heat in Japan and Arctic forest fires" video.

  1. But Mr Trump assured the world that global warming was fake news. So sure was he, that he stopped scientific research into global warming and removed the term for the US government dictionary.
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  2. Todd Jones 2020, is that the number of year of his sentence after he is impeached? Maybe it's the year the US succumbs to extreme weather events resulting from global warming. Maybe it's the year he flees US jurisdiction with his ill-gotten gains. It can't possibly be the year Americans repeat their mistake and reelect this monster. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me... A saying that Bush Junior just could not get right, I trust most Americans have a higher IQ and will not repeat the error of two plus years ago.
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  3. janewright315 i can go to the us and have a choice between drowning, dying of thirst, cook in the sun or die in a wild fire. But Trump has taken away environmental protection, so I have even more choice, I could drink the tap water and die from lead or organic poison. It is ironic that middle Eastern nation extremists what their populations to get closer to their god by dying as martyrs, Americans are now happy to get closer to their god for the sake of making a few billionaire an extra buck.
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  4. Todd Jones no he is putting the needs of his rich republican friends first. As far as I can tell the average American is not getting much out of Trump's policies. I am happy that someone is attempting to halt globalisation, even if this is being done in a very clumsy manner. I am also pleased that Trump is making the EU uncomfortable. It's time someone stood up to their double standards and bulling.
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  5. Samantha Harris who's plan and what do you think is "their" plan? I have no doubt that global warming is real. Even if it was part of a natural cycle, it would be very unwise for man to make its effects even worse. We could speculate that the global super rich elite already know that global warming is real and it is already too late to stop it. The question would then be how do they expect to survive it's effects when the rest of the world's population is going to very untimely deaths. If you believe in the Gaia principle, the earth's feedback loops will attempt to correct for the pollution. In this case by wiping out the pollutor, the human race. It is interesting that by definition, humans should be considered vermin, since they: breed beyond the capacitor of the planet's resources, they destroy the environment every where they go, they drive other species to extinction and they carry diseases. Given the destructive nature of the human race, I am surprised the planet has allowed it to exist for so long. ( Gaia philosophy is completely consistent with treating the earth as a complex non linear system, regulated by numerous interacting feed back loops. Its response to excessive stress can be explained by catastrophe Theory and as the name coincidentally suggests, this does not bode well for the human race).
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  6. Todd Jones I am far from liberal, I am logical. The trump rhetoric does not match his actions. It is amusing that die hard American republicans may have elected a commie puppet as president. MacArthur must be spinning in his grave. Americans would be wise to judge Trump by his actions, not by what he says or tweets. Even in meeting his electoral promises, he still manages to make average Americans worse off. His tax cuts disproportionately benefit the super rich while they are paid for by removing services from Mr and Mrs average and below who end up worse off in real terms. It is not being liberal to oppose a crooked government. In that respect, I make no distinction between Republican or Democrat.
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  7. Todd Jones the wall is symbolic nonsense, since it is so easy to circumvent.
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  8. laser325 not a lot, since has sacked the experts and stop any work on the subject. Ignorance is no defence against the laws of nature.
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  9. Incog2k6 I am egalitarian argued. If it is a little child or just a very ignorance adult, how will they learn if someone does not try and teach them. If it is a Russia bot, then their AI has advanced greatly. Beyond a certain point even an AI would not be willing to defend Trump:-).
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  10. Wendy Jones I suggest that you consult your doctor and ask for an increase in your medication. Clearly the current does is not working. Alternatively tell your dealer that the last batch was bad and you want the good stuff.
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  11. Joseph Bloggs that's as maybe, but California is burning at the moment as are many other parts of the world, but the US government has banned any mention of global warming and research into the subject. Actively destroying climate records. The prospect of a 4 or 5 degree global temperature rise is something that should have a laxative effect on anyone with more than half a brain, in your case you may require Senokot or Epsom salts.
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  12. Joseph Bloggs California has always had wild fires, but not as the same time as the rest of the world. The predictions for climate change is a 4 to 5 degree rise in the next forty years. It is easy to find reports that confirm global warming and ridicule Trump's position on the subject. This is not just ignorance on his part but willful denial of the scientific evidence so as not to inconvenience his billionaire donors who have huge vested interests in fossil fuels. The predictions of climate change are for increasingly unstable weather, oscillating between abnormal cold winters and record breaking hot summers, with a consistent increasing global temperature trend. Anyone who has worked with non-linear feed back systems will recognise the oscillations that occur when the system feedback phase and gain margins move from the system from negative to positive feedback. The idea that this is some Chinese plot to make us industry less competitive is just Ludacris, particularly as the Chinese are making great efforts to produce the green energy the world needs, having almost poisoning themselves with fossil fuelled power stations. If anything Trump's policy is going to leave the US with 19th century technology that the rest of the world will not buy. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/10/climate/climate-change-trump.html https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/may/29/trump-administration-refuses-to-consider-that-97-of-climate-scientists-could-be-right
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  13. I agree, but he is sufficiently clever to make a fool of a large proportion of the American people. How can they not know that he is filling his pockets and those of his billionaire friends. He charges the FBI to guard him. I have seen news reports that he is making a profit from being president. I was under the impression that making money from being president is against US law.
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  14. Joseph Bloggs I refer you to NASA report https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/arctic-sea-ice/. Now tell me sea ice is not decreasing. As to Trump's IQ, have you been reading his tweets? This in a man who when questioned by an interviewer about how humble he was, HE described himself as very humble, in fact the most humble man he knows. Really ?!!!!! As to the number of scientists who now believe man made climate change is a fact and a danger refer you to: https://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/
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  15. Joseph Bloggs are you suggesting that a prestigious American government agency with some of the best scientific credentials lied? Next you will be saying that the FBI, that believes that Trump was elected by fraud master minded by the Russian under he direction of Putin, are wrong. Is there any government agencies that can be trusted? I suppose we must believe president Trump, when he says there was not any Russian involvement in his election, After all Mr Putin told him so. Even thought he later corrected his comment to suggest the reverse and the FBI might be right. According to Mr Trump all the news outlets only produce fake news, even Fox, and he is the only source of true news. So that's ok, because he is sure the climate change is fake news, which maybe a Chinese plot to damage the US economy. Maybe he would think otherwise if they had made campaign contributions.
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  16. Joseph Bloggs it seems to me your arguement is being overtaken by events, it is difficult to argue with the law of nature or the current weather. NASA and NOAA are very clever if they can modify the weather to agree with their reports. As for Trump and the Russia issue, I cannot really comment other than to say he does not prove his innocence by sacking the officials conducting the investigation, neither does is his case improved by filling posts in the justice system with his stooges and cronies. According to news reports he has already broken a number of US laws of the constitution by personally profiting from his position as president. This alone is sufficient justification to have him impeached. As far as I can tell, the only reason this has not happened is because he is also making money for his Republican friends, by changing laws and taxes for their benefit. I doubt he will serve a second term, preferring to resign rather than face impeachment.
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  17. Joseph Bloggs there are not massive ice gains around the polar ice cap. There are year on year variations on the size of the arctic ice cap. By picking particular years that are close together it is possible to show an increase in its relative size, however, the trend is a huge reduction in its size to the point where it will soon disappear completely. The rapid changes in the size of the cap is further evidence of global warming, since as the point of positive feed back is spproached, the global temperature control system will tend to oscillate wildly as the gain and phase margins that keep the temperature stable are eroded.
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  18. Joseph Bloggs the average Joe in America is getting tax cuts, but the tax cuts for billionaires dwarf those of the average Joe and the Joe is losing lots of services to pay for the tax cuts. The idea Trump is making America richer by repealing environmental protection measures is a nonsense. He is making it easier for his rich friends to exploit the American environment to themselves richer. The average American will suffer from the destruction of the environment and the poisonous pollution that results. They will also be unable to take legal action against the polluter when their health suffers, because that means of protection has also been removed.
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  19. Joseph Bloggs where did the UN get mentioned? Yes people like jobs, but they also like to be alive. If there jobs are killing them or the planet they should be seeking new employment. If these heat waves become regular events, then the food supply is going to literally dry up. The tax cuts do not benefit most people because they are paying for them in other ways. What is the point of more money in your pay packet if everything you buy is more expensive and you cannot afford health care. Only the super rich make money because as a percentage they pay much less tax, this far out weights the cost of their out goings, even if they are buying yachts or expensive cars. The problem is that most people do not look far beyond the headlines. They get a tax cut and think they are doing well, not correlating the cut with a much greater increase in their cost of living. Trump is allowing the corporation's to do as they like, ok unless it is your home that is poisoned by toxic waste or your water supply is polluted with organic poisons or heavy metals. Those nations that continue to use fossil fuels might see a very short term gain, but risk much greater long term losses. China is killing its own people with air pollution. The only reason they can do this is because the sick and dying much look after themselves, thus costing the government and industry nothing. This is where Trump is taking the US, if you are poisoned and are dying it is your problem. I agree that the democrats are not much better, but they are not the ones who are destroying the US environment, allowing drilling in national parks. If your politicians are corrupt it is your problem. The lobbying system in the US is a disgrace, it is nothing more than legalised bribery. US politicians do not work in the interests of the people they work for the corporation's that pay them the most. Need a toxic drug approved, pay to have it approved and get the health risks suppressed.
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  20. Joseph Bloggs I suggest you down load the satellite pictures of the size of the ice cap over time and then tell me the cap size is increasing.
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  21. The report is from the telegraph, I have found one from the independent of the same year that states global warming estimates are worse than predicted. www.independent.co.uk/environment/global-warming-temperature-rise-climate-change-end-century-science-a8095591.html The basic science is solid, the details are likely to change over time as the computer models evolve. The system being modelled is very complex with many feed back loops attempting to regulate the temperature, both directly and by indirect effect. Some of the indirect effects have delayed action associated with them. it is easy to understand how the feedback can switch between positive and negative. Consider the effect of melting ice. Ice cover reflects sun light, as the ice melts more heat is absorbed by the dark water below, melting yet more ice. Melting permafrost results in the emission of trapped green house gasses, trapping more heat in the atmosphere. Forest fires, triggered by the heat wave, give off yet more CO2 to trap more of the sun's heat. The loss of green photo plankton from the oceans result in a further reduction in the capture of CO2 from the atmosphere. Should trapped methane hydrates on the ocean beds start to be released, then we are in real trouble.
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  22. Joseph Bloggs I apologize for the delay, I spent the week in hospital. The point is that past medium term variation in global temperatures is small compared with those of the industrial age. There is a correlation with atmospheric green house gasses and global temperatures. Very long term variations can be correlated with changes in solar output and the milankovitch Cycles. I refer you to http://theconversation.com/the-three-minute-story-of-800-000-years-of-climate-change-with-a-sting-in-the-tail-73368. Some short term cooling and warming can be linked to geological events, such as volcanic erruptions. With reference to the US temperature record, these are not the only source of past temperature data. The temperature record is not dependent on man made measurement of atmospheric temperature. The temperature changes are also recorded in natural recording systems such as tree growth rings and ice cores, admittedly these are not as direct as the reading of a thermometer, but do provide indirect temperature readings that predate the invention of the thermometer. There is so much vested interest in denying that man made global warming exists there are bound to be many articles refuting the science, some paid for by the myopic petrochemical and fossil fuel industries who stand to lose billions.
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  23. Joseph Bloggs maybe you can explain who benefits from the claim that global warming is man made? It is not as if the green energy industry already existed, unlike the fossil fuel Industries who are defending their billion dollar positions. So what is the purpose of the global warming conspiracy, other than saving the world from a disaster of biblical proportions, a mass extinction event? I did not responded to your comments about unusual cold weather events, such as snow in the Sahara. Extreme and unusual cold events are also consistent with the predictions of global warming. As I pointed out earlier. A nonlinear system with feedback tends to experience a period of extreme oscillation as the stability margins are eroded as negative feed back becomes positive. The oscillation swings become increasingly extreme as the system switches to a new stable state. More frequent and violet hurricanes and tornadoes are to be expected as energy is added to the system, as are ice storms. The extreme weather events are a small portent of what is to come. As energy is being trapped in the system, it is more likely to settle in a hot state than a cold. The other planets in the solar system show how bad it could get. Venus has a runaway green house effect, with surface temperatures of 400C. Give that solar output has been steadily increasing since the earth was formed, it is the complex feed back loops that have been regulating the planet's temperature. Some believe that life itself has played a part in regulating the temperature in a range suitable to sustain life, and if it had not evolved on earth when it did the earth's temperature would already be too high for liquid water to exist. It follows that if sufficient number of plants and lower animals are killed in an extinction event, the planet's temperature will reach that of the inorganic environment lacking the biological feedback components, from where there is no way back to an earth that sustains life. Hopefully the earth will stabilise at only a few degrees increase in temperature, but even that may be because the source of the pollution has been removed from the system, I will let you guess what that might be.
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  24. Joseph Bloggs you really don't have a feel for the physics. Venus is much smaller than the earth, closer to the sun. It is highly volcanic giving a dense CO2 and sulphuric acid atmosphere. It never had a chance for life to develope, so biological feed back never developed. It is questionable if life could ever have existed on Venus. The point is that the CO2 atmosphere shows how solar energy can be trapped in the atmosphere to produce extremely high temperatures. On the earth, early in its history before the solar output had reached today's levels, oxygen breathing life evolved and started to remove CO2 from the atmosphere, stabilising the global temperature. One of the major feedback loops that regulate the temperature is the amount of oxygen breathing life on the planet. When it is too cold, life dies back and CO2 levels rise, warming it to the point where organisms can thrive again removing the CO2. Add to much CO2 and other green house gasses and the biological feedback loop cannot cope and starts to die. The decaying bodies release further trapped gas heating the environment further. One of the big risks of global warming is that the oceans organisms will die allowing sea temperatures to rise and release huge deposits of trapped methane from the sea floor currently held as very cold solid methane hydrate. Methane being a much more efficient green house gas than CO2 would completely destabilise the system and killing all life on the planet. With the much higher solar output of today, oxygen breathing life would be unlikely to evolve again. It is quantitatively very difficult to model these complex systems, but it is relatively easy to visualise how they evolved and work. The earth's temperature regulation system is constantly being stress by natural forces such as variations in the solar output, geological action and the Milankovitch Cycles. A combination of physical/chemical and biological feed back has developed that tends to keep the planets temperature in a range where liquid water exists on its surface. This is critical to the existence of life, so the biological feedback has evolved to make it so. The system has been stressed further by the addition of man made green house gasses. Such stress will not initially produce any significant change in temperature as the system feed back allows it to adapt. But the reserves being used to stabilise the temperature are finite and are being used up. Over stress the system and threshold points are reached on the individual feed back loops and they stop working, or worse switch to positive feedback further increasing the temperature rise. This explains the step changes and purses in the temperature record. Anyone who has worked with electronic feed back systems will recognise the oscillations that accompany the onset of switching to overall positive feedback. That explains the cold events that interleave with the ever more frequent and intense hot events. All are signs of a system under stress that is about to switch state are obvious. Just because the world has not changed state yet, does not mean it will not do so in the near future. All the warning signs are there to be read. It just requires a basic understanding of nonlinear system dynamics and feed back to see what is going to happen unless we destressing the system. Positive feedback is applied to control systems to make them react rapidly. The changes to the earth's temperature may happen very rapidly when they start. We should all be very concerned by heat wave like the one we are experiencing at the moment. It may be just a one off random event or the start of a big lethal switch in global temperature state.
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  25. Joseph Bloggs I have never looked at Gore's predictions, he is not a climate scientists so why should I take notice of his predictions. The climate models are still evolving as more details of how the system works are discovered. At this stage, the principles are well understood making quantitative predictions are more difficult. As I have now repeatedly pointed out the temperature regulation system is complex, dependent on numerous interconnected feed back loops. It is not surprising that new ones are being discovered as existing ones reach the limits of their range of operation. The effect of bring me loops into operation just buys us time, it is not changing the climate trend.
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  26. Joseph Bloggs I have taken a quick look at Al Gore's predictions. As far as I can tell the only problem is the time scale, he may yet be proved right. The models he was using at the time are not as complete as they are now. The basic physics is sound. It is not surprising that the climate changes in steps, with each increment opposed by some new feed back system that attempts to keep the temperature constant. It is a very complex system with many interactions. That does not mean we can stress it with impunity. At some point the system will run out of resilience and change will be dramatic. The argument that man's input is relatively small ignores the butterfly effect, where a small change is amplified by positive feedback in a system. I keep going on about feed back, but this is key to understanding the problem. Imagine running a home with air conditioning. A feed back loop in the air con is designed to keep the house temperature constant and cool. Now suppose the home owner switches on the cooker and takes a hot shower. The aircon response by stepping up its motor output to maintain a constant cool temperature. If the home owner continues to add heat sources, the air con continues to up its output to compensate. Sooner or later the air con motor is adding yet more heat and reaches its limit as to the cooling it can provide. At this point the temperature in the home starts to rise. The air con motor starts to over heat and fails. Without cooling the true effect of all those heat sources is felt and the house temperature rises dramatically, only limited buy the heat that can escape through the walls. In the scenario, the house temperature remained constant up to the point where the air con reached its limit and then it became part of the problem. It shows in a very simplistic fashion that we may be living on borrowed time and not know it. Before the point of failure the aircon might have switch on and off repeatedly as a result of a thermal overload switch, this would have resulted in the house temperature oscillating between cool periods and hot. Technically these are called limit cycles, as linear regulation has been replaced by nonlinear switching. This is equivalent of positive feedback where the gain of the system has become infinity. Again a very simplistic analogue to heat waves and cold events.
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