Comments by "verdebusterAP" (@verdebusterAP) on "Next Ukrainian offensive?" video.
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The simple answer
Russian incompetence
Russian lost this conflict from day one
At Battle of Antonov Airport
Simple plan
take the airport, land reinforcements and blitz Kyiv just 10 miles away and reinforce again with additional ground support
If they had been successful, Kyiv would have fallen in 3 to 5 days
instead they turned a simple plan into massive cluster fuck
Instead of coming in at night as the US would have done, they come in broad daylight and got their asses kicked
Instead of using Mi-26s to bring in additional forces, they used IL-76s and ended with 2 shot down and rest forced back to Russia
when Russian forces failed to capture airport , the Mi-26 could have landed nearby at secondary LZ and allowed Russian forces to maintain pressure but instead they give Ukraine time to render the airport unusable. Without that airport, the convoy instead of pressing into Kyiv ended up grinding to a screeching halt
That was the critical mistake that cost them
The other critical mistake is lack of leadership
In the US, all the generals in high level positions and most of the time, the SecDEF as well have vast military experience
In Russia, most of the general in high level positions have very little combat experience or flew desk most of their careers
Perhaps the biggest is that Sergei Shoigu, Russian Minister of Defense never served a day in the Russian army
By all accounts, its literally a politician
With combined that together
Ukraine surviving this long kinda makes sense as the Russian leadership has literally no idea what they are doing
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