Comments by "whyamimrpink78" (@whyamimrpink78) on "What Else Could A Tax Cut For The Richest 1% Buy?" video.
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" In fact, our middle class and the country's overall well-being was at it's highest when taxes were outrageous... Almost 80-90%"
No one paid that high rate. For example, in 1967 there were 155 Americans who earned over $200,000 and paid zero dollars in federal income taxes. Also, we did well during that time because after WWII every other country was rebuilding and we weren't.
As for a simplified code, there is no one ideal tax code. It is complex with our complex economy. We are a nation of 320+ million people with varying economies and cultures. $200,000 in NYC is different than $200,000 in Iowa. At the federal level the best tax code is a flat tax with a consumption tax. Equal all across the nations. States can set different tax rates if they so desire as there are pros and cons to every system.
"have to increase deductions for middle class and decrease deductions for corporations to yield more favorable results. "
The economy is not that simple. You can have low tax rates along with high revenue. What is higher? 50% of 100 or 10% of 1000?
"Our highest tax bracket is 39.6% in the country, yet corporations only pay about 23-25% "
I disagree with the corporate tax rate at the federal level as the federal government should not discourage companies from coming here. States, can. But when they leave a state they stay in the US.
As for the tax bracket, I explained the flaws behind it with our different economies.
"Fact is, higher tax rates regulate wealth inequality. "
Wealth does not equal income. And wealth inequality is not necessarily bad. We have massive wealth inequality due to several people being in debt. That means we are so well off as a nation we allow people to take steps back before going forward. People, like me, have negative wealth due to loans where mine is a college loan. Others have home loans. As a whole the average home owner has 60% of their wealth tied into their home. The home owner has 30 times more wealth than a renter. Beyond owning a home the average person has little wealth, but they are still well off. The Walton family have so much wealth purely because they own half of Walmart.
" History has shown us a regulated economy produces far favorable results."
Not really.
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Accelerationist, I see you have given the typical links. Very predictable.
1. Skeptical Science has been debunked. It has been debunked by the book "Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming". I can get into details on Skeptical Sceince, but that book does it well enough. And I know you won't be able to debunk that book.
2. Again, I never denied that man did not cause climate change. By the 2nd law of thermodynamics we are adding entropy. So this source of yours supports exactly what I said.
3. The "consensus" was also debunked in that book I encourage you to read. One point is that they never ask if current climate change is bad. Another is that they never directly ask how much man is playing a role. Orekes study only looked at abstracts which do not get into the details of the study. As a person who have actually wrote peer reviewed papers I understand this. There as a nature paper that described that as well. In Bray's work they sampled around 500 scientists and 40% responded. And their work as only asking about how accurate the models are. It is not saying if climate change is bad. Doran's study simply asked
"When compared to pre-1800s levels, do you think that mean global temperatures have generally risen, fallen, or remained relatively constant?"
"Do you think human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperature?"
None of those are asking is climate change is bad. They had a response rate of 30%. Such a low response rate is sensitive to a bias for one. They ended up narrowing down the respondents to 79 overall, who remained unnamed so we can't double check their work. We just have to take their word for it.
4. Never heard of James Powell. I will pass on this one as I never read his work.
5. Same as before, read the book I pointed you to
You, predictably, gave the same sources everyone else does. They are cherry picked. I have read many of those sources and feel the same. Again, on "consensus" study only looked at abstracts where several researchers who were references were insulted by the fact their work was misrepresented. Another "consensus" study submitted a poll of cherry picked scientists and received around a 30% response rate. What is 97% of 30%?
Climate change is happening, it has been for over 4 billion years. Man is playing a role. The questions are is it even bad? And how much is man playing a role? You said there were many peer reviewed papers. You gave me no more than 20 from the usual sources I always receive. Climate science is a broad field that involves physics, chemistry, biology, ecology, atmospheric science, etc. You cited James Powell who is a ecologists. I am 100% sure he will not understand the complexity of photosynthesis at the quantum level that is being studied by Dr. Graham Fleming. I bring that up because we know very little about the ecosystem. We cannot even explain photosynthesis. We can't predict how it will evolve. The idea that current climate change is bad is a hard, religious like idea to take. Science is science. Science is not a religion.
I suggest you actually read the references you post. I have. I suggest you study more science. I have. I suggest you look for new material and not recycle what every other climate change alarmist gives me. It doesn't work on me.
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"That book has been debunked completely. It was pushed by the Heartland Institute. It's a well-known fraud"
How is it a fraud? You have to give examples. Here we go again with you saying one thing with zero support. This is why I said you would not be able to debunk that book. Notices how with sources I actually read them, quoted them, and gave my opinion. You are just saying "it is a fraud" without supporting evidence.
". It can't possibly stack up against the list I gave. They're not cherry picked. These are literally hundreds of national academies of sciences and other scientific institutions from all over the world"
That list you gave said man is contributing to climate change which I said I agreed with. Also, that book agrees as well. You would know that if you read it.
"Of course you're going to pass because he's the one that has done some of the best meta-analyses"
Based on what? I told you he is an ecologist. He does not understand the physics involved in climate change and the ecosystem.
"Look at his meta-analyses about peer-reviewed papers on the subject. In the end that's all that matters. It isn't 97% or 99% of climate scientists that we're talking about, it's 97% or 99% of peer-reviewed papers on the subject, you idiot."
I told you it was selected peer reviewed papers. He is citing the same thing Cook did. He did not look at all papers.
"And read that last link. Don't mention that book. Read the link, because you clearly haven't."
That book discussed the IPCC. Again, read the book.
"[M]ost of the observed warming over the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations"
"likely". You see that word. It doesn't say it is, it says "likely". This is where my scientific background puts me at an advantage. Man is playing a role. How much is the question. You will be hard pressed to find scientists to give a hard number or give a certainty. That is why they say "likely".
Again, you need to try harder. I study science for a living. I understand how scientists think and the community. That word "likely" leaves doubt which is what science is driven off of. It is also common practice in science as scientists are not going to make the strong claim you are.
Also, I did read your sources. I quoted them. I gave my intelligent analysis. You have not read the source you gave. You simply said "It was debunked!" with zero evidence.
Again, try harder.
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"Wrong again, The book is Koch Brothers propaganda. The Heartland Institute is a corporate lobby group pretending to be an independent think tank."
And how does that make them wrong? What did they write that was wrong? You are pulling a logical fallacy. You have to give a reason why they are wrong. Until you do than what you say is meaningless.
"Nope, the list says caused by, not contributing. "
Let us break that down. You are right, it says "cause". It is a source from the CA government, not scientists but instead politicians. The worse part of climate change is that it has been politicize where people who are not scientist, like you, are ignorant on the issue.
Next, when you say "cause' you are acting like a young earth theorist as you are literally saying that only man causes climate change Not solar patterns, not volcanic actions, not beavers building a dam, but only man. The climate only changed because of man. Despite the evidence saying that the climate has always changed according to you the earth is not 4 billion years old.
"And the book does not debunk the consensus. Period. "
Again, why not? Give me evidence. You just saying it is does not make it so.
"He's a geologist."
Ok, still lacks understanding of physics and chemistry that is related to climate change.
"It's not just likely, it's extremely likely. I guess evolution is just likely, right? Lol!"
Funny you brought up evolution because you clearly deny it. You say climate change is bad. I am saying it isn't as climate change has been a driving force in evolution for over billions of years. You are saying that the ecosystem can't evolve thus the current climate change is bad.
So not only are you a young earth creationist, you also deny evolution.
"Of course I know what an abstraction is. Do you? It's a brief summery but it has the conclusion in it."
The key word is "brief". It does not give the details of the methods. It does not give the details of the finding. Science is about details. Science is a complex field. You can't just go off of the abstract. The abstract is there to give the reader a quick understanding if the paper is relevant to their work. For example, when I write papers I read an abstract to see if reading the paper is worth my time. If it is I read the entire paper and get the details.
"hat's why they do it. 99.94% of the peer-reviewed papers he surveyed agrees that humans are causing global warming. Are you really that dense?"
What papers? Why did he pick the papers he did? How did he come up with that conclusion? What exactly did those papers say? That is important.
You see, unlike you I look for those detail. You just take things off of face value. I actually look deeper.
"You're making it too easy for me. You can't think for yourself. You need a book by the Heartland Institute to think for you. Why don't you read all the books that support the consensus?"
Actually I have read a lot of material on the subject. Noticed how I was quoting it?
"I don't need a book to counter the highest standard in science. "
Really? What is wrong with that book? They cite Nature and Science. It is written by three scientists. What is wrong with that book? Tell me. And just because something is from one source of a certain standard does not mean they can't be incorrect. Or most likely you do not know what they are actually saying. As in the "likely" part.
"The fact that it was based on abstracts is not a counterargument, let alone a refutation."
It is a counter argument. The abstract is a summary. Read the paper
"Modelling the effects of subjective and objective decision making in scientific peer review"
By Park, Peacey and Munafo published in Nature.
"Try harder. Or do your own research. Do your own meta-analysis and submit it to a credible journal. Otherwise shut the fuck up."
Well I hit a nerve there. I will not do my own meta-analysis as I am busy doing my projects for my PhD. My project involves developing methods to study structure and dynamics of biological materials. The fact is, though, is that you refuse to actually read anything. You are giving me the same material that I have seen many times. You haven't even read your own sources.
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Accelerationist, Exxon Mobil donated money to fund the San Gorgonio Pass Wind Farm.
Anyway, again, why haven't you read the book? I read your sources, why haven't you read the book? But I will read your article
"With this as a backdrop, I received a copy of a humorous report"
What makes it humorous? Already the author is setting the tone of his bias towards the book before they even open it. As I can see this person already was close minded.
"As a scientist, when I read any manuscript I ask a number of questions. Who wrote it and what is their expertise in the field? "
Listed on the cover. I guess this guy has a hard time reading?
"When statements and conclusions are made, what is the evidence? "
Well, that is why you read the book.
"These three are not exactly (or even nearly) a trio of reputable climate scientists"
What defines a "climate scientist"? That is a vague field. A physicist studying solar patterns is study something that influences the climate. Dr. Graham Flemming using 2D EV to study the physics of photosynthesis is contributing to climate science on the evolution side.
In science it is a collective effort.
" According to a literature search performed using the search engine
SCOPUS, neither Idso nor Singer published a credible paper on global
climate change or its implications in years."
Again, what would be a "credible paper"? And why? He does not give his standards.
"One way to measure the authors’ impact is by counting how many people
have read and cited their work. For both of these authors, the number of
people who have cited them is shockingly low. "
Because they are both scientists who no longer do academic research. But if you want to play that game, Cook, whom you cited often, is not cited much. Using the comparison of Kevin Trenberth, John Cook has almost no citations. I smell a double standard here.
"The Heartland publication falsely calls Dr. Oreskes a “non-scientist.” "
Can't confirm they said that. But Dr. Oreskes does not do any formal research in science. From her website
"Professor Oreskes’s research focuses on the earth and environmental
sciences, with a particular interest in understanding scientific
consensus and dissent.
"
Not data collection or physical explanation. Simply studying consensus and dissent. That is simply polling. I question her scientific background as well. But I am willing to give here and say sure, she is a scientist. However, the author of that article never gives a direct quote in that book or page number reference.
I went looking and found it on page 11. Despite the "not a scientist" claim, they broke down how her work was not peer reviewed, something this author does not deny nor mention. Hmmmm..... It seems like our author is hiding things.
"I wouldn’t disagree with either of their conclusions. The 97% of
scientists that agree are more productive and younger than those who
disagree. The references that the Heartland uses to support its
conclusions are from its own website, from the Wall Street Journal, and
other non-scientific outlets. Not very convincing"
He said he does not disagree. But then he goes on to disagree? I am confused?
"The Heartland document finally attacks the 2013 study by John Cook and colleagues of the scientific literature."
I mentioned how Cook has low citations.
" Just like before, in response to this the Heartland document cites no
peer-reviewed scientific sources — just think-tank literature, websites,
and blog posts."
That is not true as I showed you that Nature paper they cited in their website.
"I could go on,"
Oh please do because this is fun finding your double standards.
He goes on stating facts and criticizes the book for no references while he gives none himself.
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Accelerationist, you see what I did? I read the article, quoted it, and gave my intelligent opinion. Why do you refuse to read the book and come up with your own thoughts?
"Are you really going to make me look up all their official statements?
Because I'm going to embarrass you with a very long post if you do."
Oh please do because this is fun.
"Geology is a crucial part of climatology, and him being a geologist does
not in the least disqualify him from doing credible meta-analyses."
All science is physics and stamp collecting. He is a stamp collector. He can't explain anything physically which is crucial in understand the impact of climate change.
"It's bad if it's artificial"
How is it artificial?
" 200 species going extinct every day "
What? And what cities are drowning?
"Yeah, you were quoting them and didn't offer a single refutation."
Actually I refuted everything.
"That paper was written by an economist and an experimental psychologist.
Does it debunk the notion that peer-review is the highest scientific
standard? I highly doubt it."
Do you even know the impact factor of Nature? Wait, do you know what impact factor is?
"I actually have read a lot of stuff on climate change. I frequently read
Skeptical Science, which your book does not debunk. I also recommend
potholer54.
"
So you read one sided articles. That is your problem. I suggest you fix it. I already criticized Cook. As for potholer54, he isn't even a scientist. He is a journalist. You refused to take that Nature paper seriously based on the fact that guy was not a scientist, but you take potholer54 seriously? Also, I had a long discussion with him as well. When I called him out on his tactics he ran away. One tactic is that he picks easy targets like in one he picks a 14 year old girl. Wow. What a challenge for him. And him trying to discredit PragerU was funny. He randomly picked one video that was an opinion video that was discussing religion. He disregards other videos with important information. But there is also a double standard. He showed a study from the University of Nebraska, Lincoln. That university also teaches religion. So according to him they should not be taken seriously.
BTW, I know PragerU is not accredited. I also do not agree with everything they say. I am just showing that potholer54 is a terrible source to go to with his condescending attitude.
" And you're the one that's biased. I'm with hundreds of scientific organizations, and you're with the Heartland Institute"
Actually I live in the scientific community. I am highly critical of that book. The point was that it was debunking the "consensus". Cook pushes that "consensus" where he is about as reliable as those authors of that book. I explained that in my other comment. My understanding of science has it where I know how scientists think and act and I know how science works. A geologist does not understand physics. They collect data and present a conclusion that is not set. A physicist does not know the hard numbers or correlations found by geologists. Science is a collective effort. There are not "experts" in climate science as that is a vague field.
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Nicolas de Condorcet, " All science is physics and stamp collecting", that is from Ernest Rutherford and the statement is true. What is done in science? Data is collected to give supporting evidence to theories. What are theories? They are models designed to explain natural occurrences and predict future occurrences. They are models that can be flawed and in many cases are. The vast majority of those models are developed by physicists using the data collected.
Now that does not mean the work that geologist does is meaningless, it is very important. I also never once said his work and papers are invalid. My point is that there is a lot we do not know about science. As I mentioned before, we do not know how photosynthesis works at the quantum level with quantum coherence. A group at my university researches something as simple as the acidity of alcohols. We have numerous models of water that all have their advantages and disadvantages. We do not even has an ideal model for water. For example, in one of my papers we used the Onsager model and CPCM model. That is just two of many.
The problem we have here is that
1. These opinions are opinions are non-physicists who seem to lack the understanding of the complexity of science. While their work is important, they are geologist, ecologists, environmentalists who are not the ones developing theoretical models or are not the ones trying to understand this at the atomic level
2. We do not have a comparison, as in a control. We do not have another earth where we change the variables to see what happens. Thus we are going off of speculation and in reality going off of very little information data as a whole.
I am not saying climate change isn't happening, it is. I am not saying man is not playing a role, it is. I am not denying the data. What I am saying is that in the field of science we know very little about the universe. We do not know how much man is playing a role as we do not have a comparison. We do not know if this is bad we we know very little about the ecosystem.
I study science for a living, I understand the complexity.
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"Pruitt did deny it, and I told you how."
No you didn't. He never denied climate change.
"How do I know you really read those papers? I can cite papers all day. Demonstrate your credentials. Stop beating around the bush and show that you're legit. "
They are all papers that are related to multi-dimensional spectroscopy. One is by the Hochstrasser who created 2D-IR. He was the first to publish a paper on it where Fayer from Standford published the first high impact paper. Rubstov worked for Hochstrasser as a post-doc where he cited Hochstrasser in the paper by Robstov I pointed you to.
How much more do you want me to go? I can explain to you that there are two ways to plot 2D-IR plots. Fayer does one way and those who worked with Hochstrasser does another. They place the detection and excitation axis differently. I can go deeper but there comes a point I will be literally telling you my name where there are too many creeps on the internet.
"You know what would debunk the consensus? A professional survey of climate scientists that contradicts the consensus. Where is that? Or how about a list of major scientific institutions like the one I gave you?"
Two things. One, they showed how those "consensus" studies are vague and unreliable. For example, looking at abstracts does not give details on what the paper actually says. Anyway, I doubt you read the book. Where are they wrong? Tell me. They go through all the "consensus" studies and break them down. What is your rebuttal? Next, polling "scientists" is vague. In those consensus studies all they do is poll geologists and environmentalists. I do not see them polling physicists, chemists, astronomers, etc.
"Fully 87% of AAAS members say climate change is occurring due to human activity"
Which I agree, but that is not the only reason. Nor are they saying to what degree. Pruitt said that as well. Man is contributing, but by how much?
"Fully 77% of AAAS members say climate change is a very serious problem. "
There is not reference there I am immediately dismissing this source.
The Bray survey has been covered and is also not peer reviewed. You want something professional for me to present but you never present something yourself.
You keep citing Cook, why?
"If you would actually examine that list you would see that nothing there is vague"
Actually it is.
" There are tons of links with not only statements, but peer-reviewed literature. "
Same thing as that book.
"This is not a leap of faith"
By scientists it isn't. That is why those polls have low response rates to begin with. Scientists are not taking leaps of faith, you are.
" Again, you're using the same talking points as creationists. Major scientific institutions don't just say stuff like that. It's always backed up by evidence. "
What? I find that funny as you are denying evolution and support young earth theory. See how easy it was to resort to name calling?
" He isn't even a scientist."
And neither are you, so what's your point?
"You, and people like Pruitt, are treating man-made global warming as a religion. "
Because we have doubt? Science is a culture a doubt. Richard Feynman said that.
"You refuse to accept the consensus, like creationists on evolution or the age of the Earth."
I question the "consensus" and realize that science is not ran on "consensus". It is ran on evidence and experiments. You are accepting the "consensus" like a religion. And people how are as extreme as you are deny evolution because you feel that climate change bad and the ecosystem won't evolve. Or you are a young earth creationist as you feel that only man causes climate and all the time before man did not exist.
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Nicolas de Condorcet, here is your problem. You have such a strongly held, religious like belief in climate change that when someone comes up and questions if man is playing a major role or not, and question if it is even bad, you freak out. I never once said climate change wasn't happening, it is. I never once said man was not playing a role. They are. I question how much. I also question if it is even bad as the ecosystem has always evolved.
My approach is 100% science. There are many scientists who agree with me. You have a handful on your sides, Cook, Powell....and that's about it. I can find more in my department that agree with me. Again, it is
1. Climate change is happening
2. Man is playing a role, but we do not know how much simply because we don't have a comparison or control
3. We cannot say if it is bad as the ecosystem has always evolved.
The reason why I say people like you deny evolution because you must surely believe that the ecosystem does not evolve. The reason why I call you a young earth theorist is because you believe only man influences climate change thus only when man was on earth is when the climate changed, where there is evidence of it happening all throughout the existence of earth.
Also, I feel we should do more research on it because unlike you I know that science is never settle.
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"in a competitive market in which there is demand for the products."
If people lack money than a business will have to drop prices in order to get customers. They will also find a way to increase productivity in order to create more which drives down prices. However, with you increasing demand by giving people money that does not mean there will be an increase in production. To give an example, the college loan program increase demand as college students were given money. But we lack professors, dorms, TAs, tutors, classrooms, etc. Thus colleges raised prices.
" businesses invest if they think there is demand for more products. "
They invest to beat competition. Why does Apple continue to release new iPhones? Because they know people want the next best phone. Many people cannot afford it, but they still create it. I also makes older models cheaper for others. And eventually that new iPhone will become cheaper.
" And if prices fall, demand does not go up."
That is not true.
" Increasing demand is not buying a greater volume. it is buying a greater amount in dollars even without a change in price."
You only do that with greater productivity. If people had more money but productivity does not increase than prices go up, period. We need to produce.
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"That is not true. You're wrong. I tried to explain it before. Get an
economics textbook. The first chapters will cover what is money, then
go onto demand and supply curves."
There are a lot of economic textbooks, which one?
" Let us say. At a price of $10, you may get sales of 100 items for a
normal product. !t $15 you get sales of 80 items, at $20 only 60 items.
You then plot the graph with two axes: price and volume sales. But
what you plot is a demand curve. "
I agree, you raise the price you lower demand. From a company's perspective that is all they can control, the price. They can't control what the people actually demand. If consumers demand go up but not supply than prices will go up.
" However, if you start getting 120 items sold at $10, and 100 items
sold at $15, and 80 items sold at $20 - THAT is an increase in demand.
This is early classes of economics."
But if you can only produce 100 items, you will not sell 120 items, ever, until you find a way to produce 120 items. If you do not have the workers to do it than you won't be able to produce. Now you may say "hire more workers". But if there is simply not enough people willing to or able to work, than it won't get done.
This is also taught in economics.
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"You are confusing supply side and demand side economics. I refer to
demand side, you to supply side. They are different things. "
I know.
" If people have more money, there will likely be an increase n demand.
they have more money, so they have the opportunity to spend more, and
probably will - at least to a degree = increased demand. "
I agree.
"If there are more customers with more money to spend, suppliers will want a piece of the action. Don;t confuse things. this is simple stuff."
Well, it isn't that simple as you are confused. Yes, suppliers want a piece of the action. But again, if there isn't anyone to work or able to work to produce, than you won't get more supplies, thus prices go up. You have not accomplished anything. A reason why you will lack workers is that the normal consumer has more money, so why would they want to work more?
I go back to the college tuition. We lack professors, TAs and tutors as we lack skilled workers to actually do those jobs. We lack dorms and classrooms as we simply can't build fast enough. The college loan program gave students money to spend on a college education but did not increase the supply of those goods and services I listed. Thus colleges raised tuition.
Let us go with a simple model. Say you have a community of 10,000 people who work various jobs. One company sells widgets at 100 a day. Now you give a tax break to the middle class and raise taxes on that business owner. Now more people want widgets. But he only produces 100 a day. He can't sell more. So you say "hire more people". But why would anyone want to work another job? They have more money because of a tax break. And go to the extreme route of all 10,000 people have a job (excluding any children), there is no one left to hire. Thus he will raise prices.
Now say instead you had a tax cut on the rich, or simply you don't raise their taxes at all. A rival company may see an opportunity to build a company there that produces a better widget, a widget 2. People will buy that instead so the other company has to lower their price so that people who could not afford the widget can, and that same company may have to push for an even better widget. And so on.
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"Your theory has been tried and tested over the last forty years, "
Actually it hasn't. The idea of cutting the defense budget and increasing federal spending has for the past 50+ years. Defense spending has been dropping from 10% of GDP to 3% where the federal budget went from 14% of GDP after WWII to now 20%.
" In those forty years, wages have not gone up at all with worker productivity and inflation,"
That is not true. First off, we created the payroll tax that hinder wage growth. But also goods and services have become better and cheaper over the years. A car now is much better and cheaper than 40 years ago. The areas of the market that has seen the largest increase in prices have been healthcare, college tuition, and housing. They are also the ones that have the most federal government influence in medicare and medicare and the payroll tax, college loan program, and the FHA and bank bailouts respectively.
"Tell me what is more of a waste of money, funding that gender studies
student or providing tax breaks for large corporations so they can stash
their money or pay it out as dividends to millionaires, who put it in
their bank accounts."
Both are wasteful which is why I support a flat income tax and a consumption tax at the federal level. Don't tax corporations and they will stay.
"Take a look at what happened after the Bush tax cuts."
A lot happened. You can't just blame that on taxes.
"Take a look at who ended up bailing those same people out when the market crashed in 2008."
The government bailed them out.
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