Comments by "whyamimrpink78" (@whyamimrpink78) on "Bernie Sanders Lashes Out At The Senate Over Bloated Mílítary Budget" video.
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Now, with healthcare. Say you are correct (you aren't, but I can play your silly economic illiterate game), and the Fed can give Congress $3 trillion. That would cause massive inflation ruining out economy. Also, having more money does not increase the supply of doctors, nurses, hospitals, equipment, etc.
You are making this sound like a magic trick which is, again, why MMT is a joke. That is not how the economy works. More money does not mean more goods and services. Through your idea all you have done is create massive inflation and now people are worse off.
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Adam Sinclair, I watched your video and there are several things wrong with it.
To start, the federal government does not have to be the only issuer or currency. We can create our own currency. We don't because over time society has accepted the simple way of accepting the federal government's currency. Having money removes two problems in economics
1. The double incident of wants problem
2. The retention of value problem
We do not have to accept government's currency, and we can trade without it. It happens all the time in volunteer work for example.
Next, at around the 1:40 mark it has a little cartoon that shows a flying man dumping money on a rocket and having it blast off, and dumping money to create a road. Here is the problem with that. The government can spend billions and trillions of dollars, but if there is no one to run that rocket or build that road, it won't happen.
It later berated politicians as if they do not understand economics. That is false.
Our debt is from numerous sources and not just China. So this video is wrong there.
The idea that money being "stashed away" is bad is wrong as well. Money saved in banks are loaned out. Banks, by Fed rule, have to loan out 90% of what they take in. They can only keep around 10% of what people save. It is referred to at the "inverted pyramid". Someone puts $100 in the bank, the bank loans out $90 who spends it at a company. That company puts that $90 in a bank and that bank loans out $81 for someone to spend and so on. That grows the economy with spending and interest gain.
If sales fall the Fed lowers interest rates so people borrow more and spend more. That is why during the recession interest rates were almost 0%. If sales are too high the Fed raises interest rates so people save more and pull out less loans.
This idea government controlling inflation with taxes is false.
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Adam Sinclair, you missed the point. Even if government funds college to train them, what if no one wants to do it? That is my question. The government can dump a ton of money into the system, but if no one wants to do it, then what?
Also, no, the federal government has no constitutional authority to fund K-12 education and police.
It isn't so much about paying people enough to do it. Many simply can't. Many simply do not want to do the work.
I am getting my PhD right now. I put in over 60 hours a week at work. How many people want to do that? Many want their free time, hobbies, and raise families.
McDonalds could not afford to pay $100K a year because that would mean higher prices on food. That means less customers.
But back to your point of paying people enough. Doctors are paid very well. We still lack doctors. The money is there, people just don't want to do it. Why? Explain that.
And I will ask again, if no one wants to be a doctor, or teacher, or nurse, or work construction, etc., how does the government provide those things? You say spend more money, at that point you have hyperinflation.
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That is not how capitalism works. If there is no profit of some kind to be made than a company goes under. If the federal government were to spend more to attract more teachers, and the people they educate are not more productive, you have just wasted money. So now you are operating at a lost.
Oh, that's right. According to you government cannot run out of money, so it will create more which causes inflation. Teachers are paid more, so they spend more, which causes inflation. But you say you can just raise taxes. So you are raising taxes on all to compensate for the fact that you are giving teachers an arbitrarily amount of money. So someone who is working a low skilled job with a low wage is no paying higher taxes because of you.
But that aside, again, I ask, what if no one wants to be a teacher? I will go back to the doctor comparison. Doctors are paid well but we lack doctors. Many people do not want to become doctors no matter what the pay, same with teachers. Many do not want to become teachers despite the pay. So what if we do not have enough teachers?
The federal government does not fund police. It is 100% local. The fact you do not know this exposes, once again, you lack of knowledge in economics. 84% of funding for education is state and local, 8% is private, 8% is federal. Again, facts.
Doctors are paid well. Money has nothing to do with our shortage of doctors. Med schools have a less than 50% acceptance rate. It has everything to do with lack of ability and desire. Doctors are paid well.
Primary care physicians are paid well. They are paid lower than specialist because of skills.
To answer you question in how the private sector does it? It is simple. Limited supply means higher prices. That is why many are not covered in healthcare. In other countries they lower the quality. That is how.
Again, taxes do not prevent inflation.
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Adam Sinclair, the federal government does not pay teacher salaries with the exception of student loan forgiveness. That 8% goes into resources like free good, smart boards, iPads, etc. Teachers are not paid through federal dollars and 8%, in the grand total, is small. You can remove that 8% and since most go to title I schools to give them extra resources that other schools do not possess (like iPads) education will still function.
You did say that. You are saying politicians are stupid and government has a magic wand. That they can magically create resources out of thin air. Sure, I can admit teleportation was an extreme case, but I will go back to teachers, doctors, construction workers, etc. What if no one is there to work in those fields? What does the government do to provide those programs to the people? If the resources are not there the government cannot do anything.
That is why when the video you showed me said that government can afford infrastructure, education, etc. they are completely wrong. It isn't about the money, it is the reality that resources are limited. No amount of money is going to magically create more teachers and construction workers just like it will not create teleportation. You cannot consume what you don't produce.
The farther this goes the more I see that MMT is a complete joke. I can see why it is not taught anywhere.
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Adam Sinclair, you have no clue how fiat currency works. If you put too much money in the economy than the value goes down. Also, you have to worry about the international market as well. If other countries do not value our money foreign trade becomes a problem. MMT completely ignores that. What MMT also ignores are the banks. The banks do not have to accept the currency. If the government is just going to push money out there than banks will not accept them as the money is worthless.
Resources are an issue in healthcare. We have a waiting lists for organs. Resources are limited everywhere. That is why you have around 7000 people dying a year in Australia on waiting lists for "elective" surgery. Also, you are running into the major problem is inflation. If you say to all citizens that you are going to offer healthcare to all then providers will simply increase the prices. Government will have to pay because if they don't healthcare providers will refuse services. You can then say you are going to tax the doctors to control inflation to where at that point people will stop being doctors. You are forcing them to work for free at that point.
You say we do not lack the people. We do. Again, medical schools have a less than 50% acceptance rate. People simply do not have the ability to become doctors. Many that do simply do not want to.
And again, on offering money, how much are you willing to go? And how will you control inflation? Who will you tax? When you subsidize something the price always goes up. The student loan program increased the cost of tuition because you increased demand without increasing supply. So who do you tax? The rich? They will just leave or stop working.
MMT is a joke. You have not countered anything you said. All you said was "we can increase doctors' pay". Ok, what if doctors charge $1,000,000 for a routine check up? Then what? Also, it is debatable. That is why Paul Krugman does not accept it. That is why the vast majority of economists do not accept it. You have no idea how the Fed works. You have no idea about supply and demand. You completely ignore international trade.
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Teagan, I was thinking of another report. On this one say "Rather than try to build complex economic models...."
Ok, I am done. Your first study tries to simplify a complex issue. Add the fact they have immature and facetious comments such as
"Opponents of UHC should be careful not to use the conclusion above as a straw-man argument against supporters who actually know what they're talking about."
If they knew what they were talking about they would have used a more complex model. But of course, screw complexity and the researchers who do the work. Let us do an 8th grade analysis of healthcare.
Next, they look at obesity and diabetes. Type II diabetes and obesity are self inflicted issues. Access to healthcare would not solve that. On the demand issue they say "guess the behavior" in trying to avoid the complex model. They say "let's just look at the behavior itself." However, they later say "....we assume 80% of costs covered." Ok, are we looking at something objectively or assuming? Assuming is in line with guessing. Also, their analysis is off. They say that healthcare spending is around $8000 per person but then drop it down 80%. Why? I see no reasoning.
But let us look at those numbers differently. They say government pays around $4100 per person. Government covers around 120 million people in 2011. That is 39% of the total population. Government, by their own numbers, covers 47% of the cost of healthcare but covers only 39% of the population. So one can do a model that is not "complex" and have healthcare costing more.
Other countries lower cost by lowering quality. They have increased wait times and offer advanced care. They do not factor that in as well.
Teagan, that report grossly over simplifies the issue with their assumptions.
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Teagan, your last question is rather rude as you seem to be making the assumption that I do not support helping the poor. It is much more complicated than that, but in the end I want the highest quality of healthcare to as many people as possible.
Next, it isn't so much if universal healthcare can "work" or not in the US. In the end I think it can "work", but you have to consider many factors.
1. Is it even better than what we have?
Many say universal healthcare is better in terms of both outcomes and cost. However, those who say that are approaching this topic in a very shallow way. They look at raw stats and make a direct connection to healthcare when many factors contribute to them. Read the book
"The Business of Health
by Prof. Robert Ohsfeldt and Prof. John Schneider
There they break down the numbers and show that as a whole the US is on compare to the world in terms of outcomes. For example, if you remove car accidents and murders the US is number 1 in life expectancy.
Another example is infant mortality. The US is high in that. However, we also have a high obesity rate, especially with the poor. There are higher rates of pregnancies with the poor and there is a higher rate of pre-term births with obesity.
https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/03/unplanned-births-another-outcome-of-economic-inequality/386743/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23757084
Pre-term births are at greater risk of infant mortality.
So when people say other nations do it better they are making a grossly over simplified argument. There is way more to the stats than they present
2. Is it even cheaper?
We have covered this where I feel universal healthcare isn't unless you lower quality. The US offers more advanced care such as more CT scans.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/283085/computer-tomography-examinations-in-selected-countries/
In other nations they lower the quality by offering less advanced care and having longer wait times for "elective" care. However, many people have died while waiting for "elective" care in countries like Canada and Australia where around 7000 die a year on waiting lists
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2560551/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/9616340
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3708013/
https://www.aihw.gov.au/getmedia/a7235c2d-3c90-4194-9fa1-b16edf7ff1f0/aihw-hse-197.pdf.aspx?inline=true
In short, they keep prices low by lowering the quality.
The US system is also expensive because of many government regulations.
https://mises.org/wire/how-government-regulations-made-healthcare-so-expensive
So you have that of if universal healthcare is even better or cheaper? As a whole I would say no. I am not saying it is worse nor more expensive. I am saying that overall that it not any better than what we have now.
So with that in mind you have to consider this. We are a nation of 320+ million people. Our GDP is over $18 trillion and healthcare is 1/6 of that. Installing universal healthcare would mean completely dismantling the system we have meaning killing jobs involved in it, taking out that component of the stock market, raising taxes on everyone, and forcing everyone to go to a new system. With higher taxes people will change the way they spend lowering consumption at the time which means less investment, less jobs, and a recession larger than this country has ever seen. Bear in mind that the housing market is around 5% of GDP.
So considering how universal healthcare is no better than what we have now, and considering how installing it would lead to a major recession, I see no reason why we need to implement it.
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Interdimensional Steve,
Defense spending is around 4% of GDP. Healthcare is close to 20% of GDP. Bernie is complaining about how we cannot make healthcare a "right" but can somehow afford to increase the defense budget to around 3.5% of GDP to close to 4% of GDP. That is a very poor comparison. If we did not increase the defense budget we still would not come even close to affording healthcare.
Our social welfare programs cost more than defense. Social security alone is around 5% of GDP. Our student loan debt is $1.2 trillion. This defense budgets is going to be around $700 billion. Even if we cut defense spending down to zero it would not pay back the student loan debt.
Bernie went on this rant about how we are increasing the defense budget and how it is bad and then goes on a rant on how we should pay for other things when he does not give a price tag on those programs. He is hiding important information and making purely an appeal to emotion statement to cater to the ignorant.
To give two simple examples. One, I ate at Jimmy Johns yesterday. I could have saved money by eating something at home, but I ate at Jimmy Johns instead. You cannot say to me "well, you can afford Jimmy Johns, so why don't you buy a new car, or a new TV". Well, my mean at JJ was around $10. A new, or at least newer could would cost around $10,000. Bernie is asking how we cannot afford universal healthcare, which would be around 3 to 4 trillion dollars a year, but can afford an increase in the defense budget that is less than $200 billion. Do you see the problem?
Another example is my saying my rent is $700 a month. Now I have not given you a standard. I have not given you how much space I have, how much I earn, what is rent in my city, etc. I have not given you anything else to determine if I am getting a good deal or not. That is similar to what Bernie does when complains about our increasing the defense budget. He gives a dollar amount but no standard.
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A Gott, universal healthcare will not save $17 trillion. I will ask you, how did they get that $49 trillion and how did they get that $32 trillion? I bet you don't even know. The reality is those numbers were calculated with two completely different methods. You cannot compare them. The $49 trillion made a grossly over simplified assumption of cost rising at the same rate over 10 years. The $32 trillion admitted their value is an underestimate, that they left out numerous variables. So please, stop citing that value.
K-12 teaches you the basic things you need for life. Beyond that you are on your own. How long do you want the government to hold your hand? Seriously, do you need the government to keep educating your after 13 years of schooling?
Yes, I agree, we need more workers in the STEM fields. The reason why we don't have many is because people simply do not want to do it. It has little to do with cost because those fields pay a lot.
The value of a college degree isn't sitting in a classroom and learning. The value is developing connections, leaning how to manage time and money, showing employers you are willing to invest that in order to complete a long term goal. Compare college to K-12 schooling. You have more time outside of classroom in college. You are living on your own in college. You can pick your own courses. It is completely different than K-12 education. The value is developing connections and showing employers you are willing to invest your time and money to achieve a long term goal. If you make college "tuition free" you remove that second component.
The problem I have with the whole "bloated military" argument is how people are complaining about how we cannot afford healthcare and "free college" but somehow can afford a military increase. That is a poor argument. The cost of those programs differ, how those programs are ran differ. You can make a solid argument against increasing the defense budget. But you cannot say "we should use that money for food stamps, healthcare and education". It isn't that easy. That is my major problem with the arguments I am hearing here.
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