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M Simon
Yahoo Finance
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Comments by "M Simon" (@msimon6808) on "Yahoo Finance" channel.
The chip ecosystem is dependent on American and Dutch technology and software. China will have to develop its own while economically falling and demographically collapsing. If they can do it in ten years it would be amazing.
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Chinese don't seem to have a good attitude when it comes to quality and tolerances.
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@wongcw08 China, Russia, Iran. The future looks bright.
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@ulfseidl1216 The dragon is top down. Confront him with more problems than he personally can handle. The Chinese used to know everything is connected. They still know 'trust no one.' So no one trusts them.
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Are they allowed to think independently? Will they be given the correct orders? How is quality control? Can they do the required clean rooms? Can they develop the habits required?
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Who will make the chips?
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The volume customer is in economic and demographic decline. A good bet in the past. Not so good in the future.
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You know, 100 miles of ocean is a very serious transport obstacle for military traffic
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@tammystewart10 Individual habits and ways of thinking are harder to copy.
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@tammystewart10 Yeah. Russia. A very reliable partner. China is in demographic collapse.
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@801oap And the MTBF is?
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@ulfseidl1216 LSD helps. Once you come down.
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@ulfseidl1216 I will think for you. But I have to get paid. Honor dies where interest lies.
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@kriswright4739 Control of everything is not required for control.
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China can make some kinds of chips. The question is - can they meet the required demand? It takes 6 to 9 months for a significant change in production mix. If there are not enough fabs it can take 2 to 3 years. Me? I design. I'm starting to worry about a shortage of "glue" chips. They are very low end. And essential.
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100 miles of ocean is a very serious transport obstacle for military traffic.
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China can cut us off from food, oil, and iron. Oh? Wait. Never mind.
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@johnisaacfelipe6357 Imports depend on outside earnings. Those will be going down. Without Western tech (now embargoed) Russian oil and gas production will be declining. If I didn't know better I'd say Joe has gone full MAGA. He has everything but the slogans.
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@johnisaacfelipe6357 American oil field workers have been removed from Russia. Russian oil and gas are in permanent decline. China is in permanent decline (for the next 100 years) due to demographics.
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It could take a year to get production up to the required levels if FAB time is available. Otherwise 3 to 4 years. Logistics. Get some.
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A decade behind is one and one half orders of magnitude behind. Not significant for thermostats. Disastrous for AI.
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@kushagravlogs5627 And if the Dutch cut them off today? Developing is not the same as developed.
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@keirenle The US will have Taiwan's back until chip manufacturing is moved out of Taiwan. Three to five years according to the current plan.
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@glorioustrap And of course the Hong Kong example.
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@kushagravlogs5627 Yes. Keep it secret. While buying mfg eqpt. elsewhere. Very sensible.
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@rabbitsforyang8273 Biden is leading the Chip Making effort. Environmentalists will be overruled. It is a war.
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@samsungdelila5960 How is China on food production? Iron ore? Coal? Oil? Demographic collapse?
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@glorioustrap Keep rioters out of Taiwan?
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@cheeho9698 With Chinese machinery?
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I'm looking for supply and demand to come back in balance so I can get some LPC1115s.
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The corruption problem short circuits all this. Plus slavishly following orders. You need the mindset. Authoritarian systems tend to produce conformity. Which is a more stable system until it no longer conforms to reality.
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