Comments by "Roger Dodger" (@rogerdodger8415) on "New Money" channel.

Sooo many errors in this video. S&P500 is not the biggest index. The total market is the largest one. Burry, like Kathy Woods was right ONCE, and since that time, you've gotten crushed if you invested with her. The stock market can't "crash" anymore since there are breakers built in that halts trading. Millions upon millions of workers are invested through payroll deductions. They are NOT running for the exits. Only the fear mongers pull out when it's too late, and the slow and steady investors swoop in to buy up the bargains. The PE ratio is all you need to know about when stocks are "extremely overvalued".
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Right now there is NO supply demand imbalance in Government bonds. Not even close. The bid to cover ratio on the ten year has been about 130% meaning 30% more bids than bonds being offered. Dalio has been a prophet of doom for his whole career. His biggest prediction was that China would INEVITABLY overtake the USA economy. We see now that their economy is collapsing.
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I've found out that through decades of investing in the stock market that this method of determining a stocks value is not valid. Why? It's because as the business grows, so will the greed of the white shirts. They will soak up all of that cash that YOU think will be returned to shareholders in the form of dividends or stock appreciation. Stay out of the stock market. Instead use leverage (10-20% down) to buy rental property in decent areas with good employment. I'll buy that $200,000 apartment using $20 grand while you invest the 200 in the market, and we'll see who comes out WAY AHEAD in ten to twenty years.
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It's the dumbest advise you can ever hear to "keep on investing through the bad times" The market like ANY market becomes overvalued and money is pulled out at the top (when it's overvalued) and put in when it represents a good value. If bonds are a better value, money moves into bonds. Simply this... If the dividend paying or expected growth beats real estate, and bonds....the market will go up. If real estate crashes and it represents a good value (rent/mortgage) then money goes into real estate. Only dummies buy when stocks are overpriced.
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Hmmm let's see, do I go with the guy that's been right a hundred times over forty years, or the guy that's been right once? Tough decision.
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Over FIFTY years of investing has taught me that it's not about the company. They CAN be doing great. However..if the market doesn't think so, or likes a competitor BETTER than you and your holdings are toast. Great company, great earnings, you're toast.
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@williamskohler8337 I lost everything by investing with Tracy Helene Aalvik. I found out it's a scam.
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It's SHOCKING to me that ANY financial entity could be so stupid as to allow their bank balance to exceed $250k. It's easy to buy 30 day paper from the Treasury and just use the proceeds or reinvest as needed. If I was a CEO and my CFO had done that, I'd fire him.
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