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Titanium Rain
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Titanium Rain" (@ChucksSEADnDEAD) on "Why the Kerch Strait Bridge Attack is BAD for Russia || Peter Zeihan" video.
@noah5291 Yeah you're all "skeptical". Funny how you never apply skepticism to Russia's claims.
49
@sergeikhripun If you steal a car do you find reasonable to ask for gas refills from the owner?
44
The fact that the first attack involved a VBIED shoud hint at the fact that Ukraine lacks the weapons to do so.
2
We have repair time estimate from the last repair. Several months.
2
The first attack most likely used a truck driver unaware of the cargo he was hauling.
2
They can get through mine fields, it's just harder when people shoot at you. Remove their source of ammo.
1
Clearing mines is easy when nobody is shooting at you.
1
Yeah just like after the first attack. Then Russia lost Kherson.
1
An explosion above water will do that too. There were no scorch marks under the bridge, and the guard rails were bent outwards suggesting an explosion above the road.
1
There was no barge, that's just standing waves.
1
@Victor-ns6pj Russia is flying airliners with atrocious lack of regard for safety. Passenger rail doesn't place the demand of 60 ton main battle tanks on the tracks.
1
Think about it for a second. Look at a road. What do you see? Cars and trucks moving, never stopping. If there's no traffic jam you can have trucks lined up in a huge convoy. Now think of a boat doing a short hop. You need an hour to load. An hour to cross round trip. An hour to unload. And you don't have boats lined up bumper to bumper. You have maybe three, four boats. Roads are like email on the internet. Boats are like regular mail.
1
Railway was weakened by the all night long oil fire that happened last year.
1
Did you give them the weapons to do it?
1
Russia throws reserves at the line of contact like mad. Fortifications mean nothing without people inside, and those who were meant to man the fortifications are being sent into desperate counter attacks.
1
Took them several months to repair the damage from the first strike.
1
@robderich8533 It is. Photos from the road bridge show the rail bridge stands taller.
1
North of Kiev is absolutely mined to high heaven. It would be the best thing Wagner could do for Ukraine, get a bunch of experienced troops bound to wheelchairs.
1
Yeah and crossing a strait in 20 minutes vs 1h plus loading and unloading.
1
The rail line was never repaired, just used as is. The road bridge was repaired.
1
The rail line was damaged last year and only the road sections were repaired.
1
False. Bridge was repaired early this year.
1
@jesseterrell2109 It was "functional", not repaired. The evidence of rail was literally posted the day after. An empty train rolling over the damaged section at snail's pace. The actual repairs were completed in 2023 because they were extra bridge spans from the initial construction left over and they were placed on the explosion site. The rail bridge segment was never actually filmed or photographed under repair to the best of my knowledge, they simply limited weight load and speed over the damaged section. YOLO. If he dies, he dies like Ivan Drago said. I wouldn't ride the train, but that's just me.
1
All American GPS guided weapons default to inertial navigation in case of jamming.
1
Comparing the efficiency of commercial shipping lanes to a strait crossing is like assuming the short hop flights in Cessnas to islands benefit from all the economies of scale airliners flying Airbus do.
1
The rail line is still damaged from last year's strike. The supplies and vehicles brought over the Kerch bridge rail were massive prior to the attack. They don't have the ability to push the same tonnage as before.
1
Same cope as last year.
1
Still damaged from the 2022 attack. Usable, but I wouldn't call it ok.
1
They didn't have the weapons. They specifically asked for ATACMS for the HIMARS and M270 launcher vehicles. The US refused to consider ATACMS for over a year.
1
Also they had TRAITORS in their country, some Ukrainian mayors flipped to Russia's side. One Ukrainian combat engineer sacrificed his life to detonate a bridge they couldn't rig to blow in time. He blew the bridge with himself in it and with Russians already crossing it, pinning him down. "Doesn't add up" those guys gave their all for their country and you sit on a keyboard questioning it.
1
The first attack took months to repair.
1