Comments by "Aaron Okeanos" (@AaronOkeanos) on "euronews" channel.

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  11. There will be no last minute Free Trade Deal. Maybe a last minute barebone deal for some products both want to trade, but the border will come, the paperwork, checks, tariffs, CE product certifiction, Certification for Rules of Origin, longer times to pass the channel in both directions all of it. Even a Free Trade Deal will make this necesarry the only thing not in there would be limits, quotas and tariffs but all the rest of it. And when people say "last time they were able to come up with something weeks before" should realize: The WA was a deal which was formerly going through the hole process of approval. May's deal. Johnson just changed a little bit regarding NI and the Backstop. But it was a ready deal more or less. However in this case: The EU has what it legally needed: A clean exit of UK from the EU and a legal solution for the GFA. And even managed to get the outstanding debt back and a little extra for their troubles. This time there is nothing not even a proposal from the UK. And the UK is not even willing to agree to the minimum conditions of the EU (CFP, Level Playing Field and ECJ to enforce the trade deal). And the clock is ticking. The EU can pull back from negotiations without unfixable consequences and preparing for this step for years now. For the UK it looks a lot worse. At the same time the UK clearly indicates to break promisses (Political declaration), agreements e.g. Common Fishing Policy and now even talk about reopening the WA again. Prepare to lower import standards (Trade Bill, Agricultural Bill) and and to top it all of: Negotiations with the US requiring lowering of standards and divergence from the EU. All signs are on red for the EU. And a little remark to the Brexiteers: Contrary to what your channels are telling you the Withdrawal Agreement of Johnson will not end on Dec-31 only the transition period which is tiny part of it. And it will not be replaced with nothing when no trade deal is reached. Trade deal and Withdrawal Agreement are seperate things and the latter is already UK and international law and will stay with or without a Trade Deal.
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  50. Legally the UK could start negotiating trade deals since invoking article 50 in March 2017 and had there were some meeting with the US in that time. But 2 years long Northern Ireland was like a big roadblock. Leavers underestimated that this british problem would be making such a big issue but noone cared to look before. The 2nd problem was, was everybody wanted a different form of Brexit. With Single Market, without it, with Customs Union, Switzerland, Norway, Canada, No Deal, there were soo many variations and for 2 years the Leave groups sabotaged each other to get what they wanted. Johnson for example voted 2 times against a deal. The 3rd problem was that Free Trade with the EU and Free Trade with the US at the same time is not possible because of different standards. And the Vote-Leave people want an US trade, while others don't wanted to lose 51% imports and 43% exports with the EU. The 4th issue is, that the UK could not start to talk about trade before the Withdrawal of the UK was completed. Because the Withdrawal Agreement set on which date the UK stopped being a member, if the UK would stay in the Single Market and Customs Union or not, if there is a transition period or not and how long and the 1st problem with NI was solved in this. So the actual trade deal talks with the EU started this year. And because of problem 3 nothing is currently moving. The Johnson Vote Leave government don't want a Free Trade Deal with the EU because it would made a Free Trade Deal with the US impossible.
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