Comments by "Aaron Okeanos" (@AaronOkeanos) on "When Will China Invade Taiwan?" video.

  1. Why is 2024 removed from these speculations about potential invasions? - 2024 is the "Year of the Dragon" -- The west may not care and Mao removed all religions but some superstitions remained and some people in China might see it as a "good year". - The "Mandate of Heaven" comes into question which scares the hell out of the CCP -- Another superstitution China could not remove with the revolution. The numerous floods, drouts and storms in the last years and especially this year hitting even the heart of power in Bejing is making the CCP very uneasy. These "signs" usually indicate the end of a dynasty and the CCP is a dynasty of China just a modernized form. - Xi changed Chinas nature totally. Instead of young teenger trying to get acknowledge by the world they now prefer to challenge and potentially dominate it. Inward orientated, nationalistic, militaristic, self-sufficiant (if possible), xenophobe, propagandistic, communistic he wants to top Mao and may even want to replace him with himself in Chinese society. And invading Taiwan might just be the trick to surpass him. - The economic pressure on the CCP grows domestic and foreign. All economic indicators showing a significant downward trend and we and I think not even the CCP itself has reliable data on the true extend of the problem because local governments are too afraid to submit bad news. - It's bubbling below the surface of Chinese society. There are single outbreaks of dissent and even protests unheared of before. Rarly noticed and highly suppressed but some leak through. And the frequency is rising. The central government needs more and more resources to keep it under control. A common goal in form of a war might be a measure of a desperate man trying to unite the people to ensure loyalty and to prevent to be replaced. Xi removed all potential rivals and acts one the slightest signs of illoyalty. - 2024 is an election year in the US. Always a time of instability especially after Jan-06 and Trump still around. The division in the country created a slight instability. And there is a ton of misinformation about loyalties of each candidate to China making Americans question the motives of their leaders regarding China. I'd say hope for the best but prepare for the worst. If humanity indeed tries a war based on nuclear weapons we are either back in the stoneage a shadow of what we are today or our path as a species ends here.
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