Comments by "Horizon" (@Horizon344) on "Binkov's Battlegrounds" channel.

  1. Good presentation, thank you, quite interesting. Serious scale urban warfare in Gibraltar against Spanish troops staging a surprise attack & British defending units in situ resisting with house-to-house fighting would be impossible, Gibraltar is literally jam packed with civilians who would be caught in the cross-fire with no way to get out, it would be such a humanitarian disaster that the British Government would order the garrison to surrender in order to avoid it. If the British had time to evacuate the civilians & convert the Rock into a militarily garrisoned bastion as it was in WW1 & 2, then it would be a formidable prospect to attack for the Spanish. The primary way the British could retain Gibraltar currently in the threat of such military circumstances is the strategic deterrent that Spain does not want to risk the international pariah status it would incur from such an attack from the international community, eu, NATO, etc., with economic sanctions crippling its economy as an aggressor very quickly, in exchange for essentially what is token nationalist jingoism about the Rock on its part. (On Britain's part Gibraltar may have global strategic importance in controlling the Mediterranean Sea in another World War in the future, as it did in WW1 & WW2,, & this is why Britain should seek to hold on to it now against Spanish diplomatic pressure in the eu, perhaps more than its government currently realizes). The only other way the British could retain it beyond this is by defeating Spain in a general war with a land campaign in the Iberian peninsula itself, probably concentrating on seizing control of the region Andalusia to secure Gibraltar's hinterland - Portugal, Algeria & Morocco would become important then as potential allies to give the British a base of operations to mass in to attack from (France would undoubtedly remain neutral). Via this Gibraltar could be recaptured militarily, & would be ceded again by the Spanish Government as part of the victory treaty, as it was originally in 1704. Given the devastating nature of modern weaponry that Spain is in possession of, capturing Gibraltar again solely with a British sea/air assault, as it was originally obtained by a seaborne assault, is not practically possible.
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