Comments by "Alan Friesen" (@alanfriesen9837) on "Could Chinese \u0026 Russian military kick the US forces out of Japan \u0026 Pacific?" video.

That sword cuts both directions.
1
That's assuming that China and Russia would be the ones who picked the fight. But I agree with the assessment that the United States and Japan would win at least during the current decade.
1
@jamiemeza6148 I think their act is together. The only possible serious threat comes from the United States and I don't think the United States is interested in a war with China. If the U.S. and China went to war and the United States really believed that they faced an existential threat from China then the U.S. would win if it happened today. But Americans, despite a lot of ill will towards China, do not see them as an existential threat, and they will not engage in total war, which is what would be necessary to stop progress in China. As for time and money, I don't think that's a formidable problem for China. I think time is definitely on China's side, and I think that while participating in the established, western dominated, global economic regime is the best way for China to strengthen and progress quickly, I don't really think it's necessary. China has shown remarkable resilience during global economic crises in 1997 and 2008 and I think their heavily command-influenced market economy is one of the most nimble in the world. I don't want to oversell China's future prospects; their are many challenges on their horizon. But I have a great deal of confidence in the country's ability to deal with challenges, which I think rivals the same abilities demonstrated by the United States.
1
@jamiemeza6148 Since the seventies I’ve been paying keen attention. The United States was very supportive of China so long as the Cold War was on and Americans assumed that China was naturally evolving into a western-style liberal democracy. This illusion was shattered by the tragic events in Tiananmen Square in 1989. Since then political relations have been cool (in the bad sense of the term). Chinese government and industry have definitely been involved in industrial espionage and the free-rider argument is a legitimate one, but American businesses and consumers could not overcome the lure of trade with China and all that China had to offer them. China has since sought out and taken advantage of every competitive advantage, whether it be above board or not, it could find and they have defended their ability to do so. On a political level, this includes treatment of their weaker neighbors. I have no illusions that China is a nation of angels. I think China is strong, proud, industrious, well-governed, and neither better nor worse than the United States which is it’s only real peer competitor. I do think China’s behavior is logical and steeped in realpolitik, and I think their future century is brighter than their past one by a long-shot. American treatment of China has been schizophrenic because we’ve never been so integrally economically linked with a country that we’ve adopted as an ideological enemy. This is made even more nebulous because China refuses to declare the U.S. as an ideological foe. Both sides work with each other while also undermining each other. Both sides are quick to claim victim status, and not without some justification. The relationship between these two countries—and the people, businesses, and institutions within them—is about as complicated as international relations get.
1
I don't think NATO would because Japan is not a NATO member. I don't think most European countries would want to have a war with Russia. They probably would provide a lot of non-military support and military logistical support though. You might see direct military support from countries like Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Great Britain. God knows what would happen on the Korean peninsula.
1
The Chinese would still consider themselves red and they would be the senior partner in that coalition.
1
@刘涛-x7g2i The Communist Party has done a lot for the people of China. I don't doubt for a moment that the populace would rally quickly and wholeheartedly.
1
@istvancsiszar1118 Communist in China is about as correct a term as liberal is in America. Authenticity is rarely prioritized in politics.
1
Actually I'm really curious about the "protracted war" scenario. I think an industry vs. industry analysis would be fascinating. Which country could mobilize its factories faster and pump out the most hardware over the course of a couple of years? China has more factories and more workers than the U.S., but it also would have a harder time reaching the American industrial core than the U.S. would have reaching China's. It might very well depend on China's ability to protect those factories. Of course the U.S. has more factories currently churning out military equipment, so less of its manufacturing base would have to be re-purposed. The U.S. also currently has a technology edge that might or might not endure over the course of a long conflict.
1
@SerinaDeMadrigal Right, right, right, right, and never dismiss Russia no matter how weak they look on paper.
1