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Alan Friesen
Binkov's Battlegrounds
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Comments by "Alan Friesen" (@alanfriesen9837) on "Is US military strong enough to take on China? (2016)" video.
True, they also underestimate China and Russia.
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I think this is a fairly sober analysis of what would likely happen. China would lose almost all of its projection platforms but would almost certainly fend off any kind of land invasion. If the war stretched out to a year and and production capacity became the defining factor it would still be complicated. China would probably have a marginal edge in industrial production if they could keep their factories relatively safe. The U.S. would have to reestablish its industries but U.S. factories would be beyond the range of military attack. And then there is the cyber angle.
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It depends on what you mean by "colonized". China has been conquered twice, once by the Mongols and once by the Manchus. It has also been partially conquered by the Jurchen's and by the Japanese. The first three groups were eventually absorbed into China and the Japanese were expelled within a generation.
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The U.S. hasn't faced a foe with effective air defenses since the Korean War. The Chinese have good anti-aircraft artillery and their fighter aircraft will have the same benefit the Germans had in the First World War. Namely, they will have flexibility in engagement because they do not have to worry about running out of fuel. Also, infantry is hard to destroy by air if they are in the field because they are not lumped into a convenient target; they're spread out.
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