Comments by "Alan Friesen" (@alanfriesen9837) on "Is now the best time for China to invade Taiwan?" video.

  1. China's growth rate in 2023 was 5.2 percent. You can't have peaked if you're still growing. The U.S. grew at 4.9 percent in the same period. You could argue that China's growth is not substantially outpacing the United States' growth at this time, but that's not the same as peaked.
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  2. Believed by whom? Oh yeah, believed by people who want to believe the worst of China.
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  3. It's nice to see such a clean brain.
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  4. China will attack Taiwan if Taiwan declares independence, regardless of who's president. Otherwise, China will wait and try to convince Taiwan to come into the fold without violence. Admittedly, this probably won't happen. The U.S. is investing too much into separatist groups like the DPP, and our investment is affective. China will eventually seize back Taiwan if it looks like the only possibility of reincorporation is through military engagement and if China feels like it would definitely win any resulting war. This is currently not the case. When it becomes the case, of that I'm not sure. China will have to assume Japanese involvement and the possibility of involvement by other neighbors against them, even though it's pretty unlikely.
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  5. I doubt S. Korea will get involved at all. They have far too much to lose. It's likely that they won't even allow use of ports and airfields. Also, I doubt that the Philippines will be much of a factor either. Letting the U.S. use their territory means that China will have the green light to bombard them with missiles. Japan will probably side wholeheartedly with the U.S. and that may make the difference in China's decision. They have to assume that they're not just facing off against the United States.
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