Comments by "Alan Friesen" (@alanfriesen9837) on "Chinese navy exploding in numbers: More ships AND tonnage than US Navy?" video.
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Kevin, everything you said about the Chinese navy is true, but much of it applies to the U.S. navy as well. The USN, the most powerful maritime unit in human history, is itself untested. The combat that it has participated in since 1945 has been against adversaries with no ability to challenge the sheer mass of firepower and defense that the USN presents. None of the current leadership in the navy was around when their was any kind of equity in combat capability and sailors had to be motivated to fight in battles that could very well end up with all hands lost. And even if they were, the game has changed so much since then that, except for the raw grit, the experience would be of limited value.
As to your numbered points, I don't know how training compares. I know the Chinese were very concerned about the training that their airmen were receiving after a dismal set of wargames about half a decade ago, but I believe that they are attempting to address that; I do not know how successful they have been with that. I think China's technology is very close to on par with the United States and will probably exceed it sometime in the next decade. I think the U.S. has a very slight edge on proven leadership which I explained above, and I think the tactics advantage is undeterminable because effective tactics for fighting a peer competitor in this day and age are completely untested. There are two other considerations, the first of which is location, if the fighting is off the coast of China or Taiwan then China will have a lot more other assets to bare from land locations. Likewise, if it were off the coast of the United States or say, Cuba, the U.S. would have an overwhelming tactical advantage. The second is industrial capacity, which only really plays out in a long conflict. I think China holds a substantial advantage there, though that could be mitigated if the U.S. were able to successfully attack enough of China's factories.
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