Comments by "Alan Friesen" (@alanfriesen9837) on "Bloomberg Originals"
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The verdict is very much still out on whether or not Russia is a paper tiger. Assertions that Russia is failing in Ukraine is every bit as much of a propaganda as Russian claims that everything is going as planned. Wars take time, and Russia's goals and intentions may or may not be what we proclaim to be. A year or two from now we'll have a better grasp on the totality of the situation one way or another.
It's important for the United States to maintain a military that's sufficiently effective to back up the seriousness of American interests, this is not in and of itself, merely a slavish capitulation to the political power of the military industrial complex. We do have legitimate as well as questionable interests that need to be protected by more than words and promises. Also, in the absence of industrial strength, the capacity to research and produce military hardware has to be preserved somehow, because, as I mentioned earlier, wars take time.
As for Chinese aggression, China will take Taiwan at some point, though it will most likely be at a time when they are confident that is not merely achievable, but assured. That timetable may be moved up if Taiwan actually declares independence. I think the current narrative on the Ukraine war is likely to be the template for coverage on a war of recovery on Taiwan, if the PLA doesn't take the island within a week the western media will be declaring a victory for the island's defenders. I seriously doubt Chine thinks they'll take it in a week though.
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