Comments by "Alan Friesen" (@alanfriesen9837) on "Why Taiwan is NOT Ukraine" video.

If a war takes place China will consider the waters around Taiwan as part of China. American naval power may be such that it isn't attacked, but China will feel justified in attacking ships supplying Taiwan or ships defending blockade runners, especially within "their" waters. I think that the likelihood of involvement of the United States might be higher in the case of Taiwan than in the case of Ukraine for this reason. NATO can supply Ukraine because it shares a border with Ukraine. In a battle for Taiwan, China will consider itself to be completely surrounding Taiwan. In order to supply Taiwan ships will have to go through China, or at least what China sees as China. The United States will probably try to declare some or all of the waters around the island to be not Chinese, so if the US Navy insists on protecting the supply lines into Taiwan then there will probably be a perceived territorial incursion.
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@elmohead Yeah, that was kind of my point.
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@doujinflip China relies on imports for fuel, but not for food.
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13:15 if the Chinese people believed that Taiwan could be taken in a day then the pressure for the government to finish the civil war would be overwhelming. The Chinese people know that it will be a difficult achievement, but they also believe that it is a fundamental necessity. I agree with your assessment that taking Taiwan will be hard, in fact, I would probably use stronger language. But it will happen as soon as China believes that they can win with certainty, probably before 2049. Also, the only thing that China really values in Taiwan is its Chineseness. All else is subject to sacrifice.
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@chihyutam4913 I hope you are right. The last thing I ever want to see is a war between the United States and China, proxy or otherwise.
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@deebil8099 I do not realize that, and I do not think it is true, at least not in the vicinity of the Chinese mainland. I do believe that the U.S. Navy is more powerful than the PLA Navy, but location matters. That's not to say that China would win, but the possibility is distinct.
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@omnomnom5359 The Chinese are not a race. They're not even a nationality. They're a people defined by membership in an empire, very much like Americans.
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