Comments by "Jack B" (@WindFireAllThatKindOfThing) on "CBS Sunday Morning"
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@travel.guide_tobaoni NATO doctrine has always been to hold the European line at the Rhine (Russian doctrine was built to reach it in 7 days behind the initial nuclear & chemical strikes, known as Iron Fist doctrine), and NATO have made quite a point about not having a doctrine for invading Russia (which is why we lack in the amphibious vehicles department).
That sort of enabling/appeasement has led to the situation we have now, Russia feeling untouchable, a "you wouldn't dare, neiner-neiner" free-to-conquer attitude, coupled with their belief that russian winter would still protect them in the 21st century.
They are very, very wrong, and have lost their advantage in winter warfare in the modern age.
Nor would they try limited nuclear strikes, because that's automatic suicide. But if a reactor melts down in Ukraine and destroys the country from the Dniepr to the Black Sea....they see that as deniable/not suicide/still got away with destroying Ukraine.
Those reactor captures aren't about cutting off power, they're hostages that don't come with the same consequences as a nuclear launch if they execute one.
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