Comments by "Steve Watson" (@stevewatson6839) on "TIKhistory" channel.

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  38. The greatest swordsman fears the tyro; because the tyro doesn't know "The Rules of the Game" and cannot be predicted. I have a book on WATU and Lindybeige has a video; at one point things were dire and they were tearing their hair out. So an 18 year old WREN got to play against the Admiral and handed him his arse. Panic over; Job Jobbed; Roll on the Rodney! The French high command in 1940; the Japanese Admiralty & Midway. Gamelin and Petain BOTH put their fingers on the Ardennes. Gamelin laid out a plan that looked like he'd breakfasted with Manstein. It was more or less the Sickle Cut. Petain said if they didn't take the necessary precautions in the Ardennes, the Boche would break through. Then when push came to shove the Boche did just as predicted; the Frogs didn't take the precautions; French First Army stuck its' head even further in the sack; the Air Farce wasn't deployed in numbers against the schwerpunkt; and France was to all intents and purposes lost in less than a weeks fighting. The Japs wargamed their Midway plan and it blew up in their faces in the rehearsal. They wouldn't have it and carriers miraculously resurrected and they declared the plan would work. The Americans showed them otherwise; and more or less as the wargame they had disregarded had shown them. There is more to all these realities than just accepting or rejecting the wargames of course. Read "Strange Victory" and " Shattered Sword" for just how messed up the French Army and Japanese Navy were at the top; and "The Rules of the Game" for just how messed up the RN was at the top going into WWI. As far as it could, the RN corrected itself; but there was still The Churchill Factor which would make it all pretty much for nought.
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