Comments by "Taint ABird" (@taintabird23) on "euronews" channel.

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  21.  Leroy Jenkins 2.0  Really? Where is my delusion? You do know the British Demos is in terminal decline, right? Of course NI is part of the UK, nobody is disputing that - but it is contest territory, with half of the population tolerating its constitutional position within the UK for now. The majority of Scots appear to identify as Scottish rather than British. We know that because of the rise of the SNP and the prevalence of Scottish identity even among many Scottish Labour voters. The 2011 census tells us that there are vast areas of England that identify as English rather than British, and polls since then have shown that English identity is on the increase in England. There is a direct co-relation between the areas that voted for Brexit in 2016 and those areas that identified as English in 2011. Wales voted to leave. But again that 2011 census tells us that 12% of the population of Wales identifies as English, not Welsh. With most of these English voters in Wales being retirees and fitting the most pro-Brexit demographic, it is fair to say these people brought their politics with them. When you consider that of 17 + million people who voted to leave the EU, 15.1 million of them were English, and add that to the diminishing overarching Britishness across the union, and then the delusion is that the UK voted to leave 'as one country'. If fact, English insecurities dragged the rest of them out. The constitutional arrangement is clearly unfit for purpose, and there is a yawning democratic deficit that has no parallel in western democracy that I can think of. The delusion is on your side, I'm afraid. Leaving the EU is England's wrong answer to the wrong question.
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  68. 'One factor that you didn't mention was the EU federalism and the progression to a federal United States of Europe. There is no doubt that will happen.' On the contrary, there is serious doubt that it will happen. This desire for a federal Europe was realistic with the original six members, but today both the Italians and Dutch in particular are strongly against the idea. The fact is, expansion to 27 countries means that it will be practically impossible to get all members to agree to it. We are starting to reach the limits of EU integration. It is quite possible that there will be a united Ireland in the medium term. The English will may well be the ones who force the issue as every single survey of both Leave voters and Tory party members over the last three years has shown that they are not unionists. They want Brexit, and if the price of Brexit is the end of the union, so be it. Therefore the real question is not whether there will be a united Ireland in the medium term, but will there be a United Kingdom. I would argue that Brexit will break up the 'precious union' as there is a diminishing British demos and no constitutional account for the fact that Scotland and Northern Ireland voted to remain. Against that back drop, and the fact that Brexit is predicted by every rational commentator as being an act of national self harm, Brexit is likely to turbo charge Scottish nationalism. Once they leave, Northern Ireland will follow - what will a unionist be if there is no union? It will not be plane sailing. Any united Ireland will have to be agreed with unionists in NI. The nature of that united Ireland - whether it will be a unitary state or a federal one - will have to be decided by the people of the whole of he Ireland.
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  108. 'Leo, trade talks with the 400m strong eu will be down the queue after talks with the biggest economies in the world and the 2000m strong commonwealth countries' This is untrue for a number of reasons: 1) The Commonwealth made it clear to the UK in April 2018 that they are not interested in being the UKs Brexit crutch. It is not a trade organisation. 2) The UK is a high end producer. Most of the countries in the Commonwealth are Pacific or Caribbean islands or are in Africa countries and are dirt poor. There's also a lot of black people in these countries that will be looking for visas, Brexit is all about racism. The Commonwealth is not answer to your problems. 3) India, Australia and New Zealand have both said that they are prioritising EU trade deals over deals with the UK - the UK is at the back of the queue. Two countries are already in the EU and are bound by EU law. 4) All of these countries are far away and in international trade distance applies - you trade more with those closer to you because its worth more to you. The value of the UK’s trading relationship with Ireland is higher than the value of UK trade with Italy or Spain, even though the total size of Ireland’s economy is much smaller than Italy’s or Spain’s. You're swapping a four course meal for a packet of crisps. 5) The US is not the answer either as any trade deal with the Americans will be for the benefit of the Americans, not the British. The Americans already pick your Ambassador to Washington and your foreign policy is dictated to a large extent by the US State Department. Your country is vulnerable. It is desperate for a trade deal with a United States ruled by President that wants to Make America Great Again. And you have no trade negotiators. 6) Meanwhile, the Single Market is augmented by preferential trade deals across the world, with countries such as Canada, Japan, MERCOSUR and anothers are pending. The UK has nothing but the safety net of the WTO. 7) The Single Market is worth more the EU than the UK. Failure to understand this has been the single biggest strategic error of Brexit. Varadkar will be kicked out of office in the future because of his domestic policies and not because of Brexit. When he leaves he will be replaced, but the Ireland's Brexit policy will remain the same. There is consensus that Ireland must stand up for the Belfast Agreement and protect its sovereign national interest. Enjoy your poverty, and remember you voted for it.
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  124. Where to start.... The EU will always stand by its members against outsiders, which is what the UK is now, even though it is still a full member of the EU. It is not Ireland's problem that the UK thought that it was so exceptional that all it had to do was strike a deal with Germany to hold the EU over a barrel. What a clusterf*ck that turned out to be. Once the UK (finally) leaves, Brexit will not be over and the EU will continue to have Ireland's back. This is because it is what the small nations of Europe (Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Malta, Cyprus, Croatia, Slovenia, Luxembourg) expect from the bloc - that the EU should stand up to threats to the interests of smaller members by the British, the Russians or the United States. The EU is very good at it. That's one of the reasons for the existence of the bloc, not that a Brexiter would understand that. They will be behind Ireland when the UK returns to seek a deal with the EU in the future. And you will. The tax issue is another area I am better informed in than you. Taxation is a matter for individual states, and Ireland, the Netherlands, Luxembourg and Sweden are in alliance against the EUs proposals. In the end there will be a compromise, as there always is in the EU, something the British seem to hate. Certainly, there has been no drop off in FDI into Ireland since the tax issue emerged, unless you are claiming to know more about the intentions of Intel, Yahoo, Microsoft, Facebook, Google and all the rest. As a Brexiter, you probably do make this claim. Post-Brexit, Ireland remains ideally placed to eat the UKs lunch as the only English speaking member of the EU, providing a gateway into the European Union for American, Canadian, Australian and New Zealand FDI. Ireland has considerable soft power in the United States, being the closest friend of the White House within the EU and having a considerable Irish-American diaspora whose ancestors escaped famine with a bitterness for the British. It is also the sixth biggest investor into the United States, which impresses the moron in the White House. Brexiters are bitter little toe-rags, as you demonstrate. You may have no consideration for Ireland, but we will continue to defend our sovereign national interest regarding Brexit. The UK has overplayed its hand, failed to understand how the EU operates and is led by donkeys. Ireland is a confident country and benefits from consensus about Brexit - something the UK can only dream about - and it knows how to use its sovereignty effectively. Ireland also has the weight and power of 26 other nations behind it. Enjoy your deal-free Brexit and all that WTO it brings to you. Your trade deal with the US will be blocked by Congress if there is a hard border in Ireland. Its your remainers I feel sorry for.
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  252. About 13% of the population of the UK was born outside the country. The figure for Ireland is 17%. Granted, nearly have of these immigrants come from Poland and the UK, but immigrants integrate well here and we have no right-wing anti immigration parties that don't fail to lose their deposit when they run in elections. The concept of multi-layered identity is part of the Irish national identity now. In the Irish constitution, the definition of the Irish nation includes the notion that you can have more than one identity by including people of Irish heritage as part of the Irish nation: you can be Irish and British, Irish and American, Irish and European, Black, Muslim, Jewish and so on. You don't have that type of civic nationalism in England - its an ethnic nationalism. There's no mention anywhere of conscription into an EU Army - except in the UK right-wing media. In any case, Ireland has an exemption from the EU Army in the Lisbon Treaty, which is what the Irish people had included as a protocol in the Treaty and voted for in that second referendum that Nigel Farage believes is an example of the Irish being 'made to vote again'. Ireland voted for its membership of the EEC and later the EU. The Irish people vote on every single treaty change and so we 'own' our membership in a way British people never did. The Irish people never voted to be part of the United Kingdom in 1801. I won't give you a history lesson, but Ireland experienced real oppression under British rule and we know what real oppression looks like. Its the same in Europe: between the ambitions of Hitler, Franco, Mussolini, Salazar and Stalin, Europeans know what real oppression looks like. Our country is still dealing with the consequences London made in the interests of an establishment which spoke a different language, practiced a different religion, culture and customs than the natives. English oppression within the EU is merely a product of the English imagination. It would appear that some English concluded that if the English are not ruling the EU, then the EU must be ruling them. Brexit is seem as a very English tantrum. When you have to shoot your way out of the union you want to leave, perhaps we can compare the Irish independence and with the UK leaving the EU... You don't get taught much Irish history in the UK. Mores the pity.
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  298. 'you are confusing the EU budget with the GDP of the EU, not he same.' The EU budget comes from the contributions each member makes annually - their 1% of GDP pay-in The UKs contribution is easily replaced by increasing these payments by .1% per member. I'm not confusing anything. 'Multi speed Europe, don't be stupid.' I'm not. Progress in the EU can only occurred if all are agreed; the Italians and the Dutch are two of the original members who have already become skeptical about the Superstate; there is no way the EU is will be able to agree to much further integration when you have 27 countries with 27 different aspirations and agendas. Brexit is not only a learning curve for the UK, you know. 'You will all be paying EU income tax in no time.' Is this a feeling or a fact based statement? 'Super state EU is really a French project supported by the eurocrats. The Germans are not so keen given they are begining to realise they are going to pay for it while losing much of the control they once had.' The Germans and the French will make the core of the multi-speed EU. '...they have just issued demands and expected the UK to comply, well that is not going to happen.' We will see. So far the UK has managed to deliver none of its promises based on its trade with the EU, and the UK has rolled over on a regular basis. I think the UK will crash out, a hard border will go up in Ireland the UK will return to the negotiating table once the economic reality of Brexit hits the ordinary people. Unfortunately, its up to the EU to be adult in the room. I give it two or three years.
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  337.  @aib0160  Again, if you had bothered with a plan, if people had voted upon that plan, you would not have had MPs and parties arguing over what type of Brexit you voted for. The UK will not tear up the agreement, that bluff was called last December. If it were left to the UK and the RoI to resolve the border issue, the UK would merely steam roll over Ireland and the Irish would just have to put up with it, and probably leave the EU or the SM - neither of which the Irish people voted for - and to the detriment of the Irish economy. We know that when Brexiters talk about sovereignty and independence they do not take into account that others value their sovereignty and independence too. As Sajid Javid stated on TV one Sunday morning, 'the tail cannot be allowed to wag the dog'. That's lovely, Sajid, thanks. The EU is not weaponising the border. The border is an issue the UK never considered and it is a problem for which it has no solution, undermining the 'we hold all the cards' mantra that English nationalists were seduced by. Brexiters never considered that the EU would stand by a small member state in relation to an 'important' country like the UK, failing to understand that the EU is made up of 'small states', and one departing state that does not know it is small. The Irish also wiped the floor diplomatically in Washington, so much so, that British diplomats have been told to 'copy the Irish' in terms of winning friends and influencing people in the United States. The border issue does not have and never had, anything to do with the free movement of people between these islands. The problem is the movement of goods and the anger Irish people living on the border would have in relation to checks because of a vote held on another island. Now we can see the anger of Unionists in Northern Ireland, Brexit supporters, as borders are being placed in the Irish Sea. We can see the UK is not implementing all it is supposed to, and that Boris's claim that there would be no paperwork is another Boris lie. We can see how the DUP are desperately trying to undermine the Irish Sea checks because their supporters are deserting them, deserting them because they made the strategic error of blindly supporting Brexit even after being sacrificed by the Tories. But if you're a Brexiter, you blame the EU.
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