Youtube comments of k98killer (@k98killer).
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“The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.”
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Brilliant guy, but he got a few things wrong. First, neural networks have come a long way since he gave this talk. Now, LSTM networks/neural Turing machines are the major brains behind NLP. Google Translate, for example, is a series of networks that can each translate a human language into a series of vectors representing meaning, share them across a neural interface, and then translate back into a human language. Second, dinosaurs didn't go extinct: tens of thousands of them fly around to this day. Birds and mammals survived the K-T event because they were adaptable. If you look at corvids, they have language skills that far exceed that of all non-human apes; they have more advanced skills in making and using tools than most apes; and they are able to teach others in their flocks about things, perpetuating knowledge through multiple generations. Corvids have a very different brain structure without a neocortex, but their evolutionary history converged upon the same abilities. It is unfortunate that he dismissed both neural networks and non-neocortical brain structures, but he will probably change his opinions.
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50 U.S.C. § 842: The Communist Party of the United States, or any successors of such party regardless of the assumed name, whose object or purpose is to overthrow the Government of the United States, or the government of any State, Territory, District, or possession thereof, or the government of any political subdivision therein by force and violence, are not entitled to any of the rights, privileges, and immunities attendant upon legal bodies created under the jurisdiction of the laws of the United States or any political subdivision thereof; and whatever rights, privileges, and immunities which have heretofore been granted to said party or any subsidiary organization by reason of the laws of the United States or any political subdivision thereof, are terminated: Provided, however, That nothing in this section shall be construed as amending the Internal Security Act of 1950, as amended
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+Martin Kirk fwiw, CryptoNote simultaneously guarantees anonymity and proscription of double spends. The main issue will be hardening it against Shor's algorithm.
And if the proposed VoteCoin system simply used two currencies -- nontransferable atomic votes distributed to the addresses of voters and a secondary currency generated to reward miners -- voting power will remain independent of spendable miner efforts. Miners would both verify the validity of ballots during the election cycle and count the ballots afterward. At the end of an election cycle, the government would then buy the coins generated by miners; the specific exchange rate would be guaranteed at the beginning of the election cycle. The issue of central authority of initial vote distribution would be a regional issue, and ballots would be cast by burning the coin. Regional elections would have their own block chains, though a unified block chain for miner rewards could be possible.
For elections using ranked voting systems, you could cast a vote by listing the name of a candidate, hash of the candidate name, position/seat/office for the election, and the rank of that candidate. The ballot would have a hash of the list of candidates and ranks. Miners would then tally the hashes of the ballots before calculating the election result using STV, AV, Schulze, Borda count, or whatever. For plurality or majority votes, the process would be much simpler.
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In SWFL, I have been able to grow sweet potatoes, but I have had no luck at all with regular potatoes. I tried several varieties, but I haven't been able to figure it out. The best producers in all of my agricultural/permacultural experimentation have been cowpeas, okra, and pigeon peas. Everything else was pretty meager, obnoxious, weak to pests, or a combination. But then again, I was working with suburban nonsense soils that I had tried to rejuvenate with compost, mulch, and huegelkultur.
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You know, he's like, you know, raise rates, but, you know, it's not like, you know, the Fed decided to treat the economy like, you know, a light switch, you know.
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I might be mistaken, but the newest Wasm standard being currently rolled out supports a garbage collection mode that does not require bundling a garbage collector. Wasm looks like it will be the new, universal platform target for compilers -- basically fulfilling what Java wanted to do. Also, the Go dev team is currently experimenting with arena allocations, which will significantly improve the control programmers have over memory management, but, even without arena allocation, it is possible to manually manage memory in Go to some extent for performance optimization -- it is tricky, but still a lot easier to get a handle on than Rust RAII imo. The greatest strengths of Go are the mild learning curve and excellent concurrency model. The greatest strengths of Rust by comparison are more consistent performance for large applications, good performance on resource-constrained/embedded systems, and the ability to tell people that you write code in Rust.
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"Come to me, lord Hermes, as fetuses do to the wombs of women. ... I also know what your forms are: in the east, you have the form of an ibis; in the west, you have the form of a dog-faced baboon; in the north, you have the form of a serpent; in the south, you have the form of a wolf. ... Whereas Isis, the greatest of all the gods, invoked you in every crisis, in every district, against gods and men and daimons, creatures of water and earth, and held your favor, for victory against gods and men and all the creatures beneath the world, so also I, NN, invoke you. ..." -- PGM VIII 1-63, "Astrapsoukos"
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To expound upon the final question of the interview before the book/service hook, the market is not homogeneous and will never be homogeneous because the technological implementation details, models, and strategies are proprietary. If all details of every tech stack, strategy, and trade were publicly available and distributed evenly, then the market would tend toward homogeneity, but this is not how the market is structured in reality. This being said, the competition will drive evolutionary progress toward better technologies, models, strategies, etc.
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The proper measure for valuing silver is gold, not the dollar. At some point, the industrial utility of silver will outweigh the over a hundred years of suppression, and the GSR will contract to something more reasonable -- right now, silver is mined at about 8 times the rate of gold, but it is used so much faster that there is more above-ground gold than there is above-ground silver. We cannot have a modern, digital economy without silver, as its high conductivity is necessary for soldering electronics together. So while stacking gold might not be a "pay off" during an economic collapse, stacking silver likely will be a good long-term investment, and history has shown that having either will preserve your purchasing power through monetary collapses (e.g. Argentina).
However, if you have the wherewithal to stack, you likely also have the wherewithal to have some food stored up and a selection of seeds for gardening. Down in the sunny south, peas, okra, and sweet potatoes do exceptionally well in the summer, while pigeon peas will grow throughout the year and produce substantial quantities of legumes in the fall/winter. Flint/dent corn and buckwheat will also do fairly well throughout most of the Americas. The goal should be to find a strategy that requires minimal maintenance to be successful.
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@Little.R "Lucifer" is the Latin word for "morning star" found in the Vulgate. It is technically a translation of the Greek "Phosphoros", itself a translation of the Hebrew "Helel ben Shahar" from Isaiah, which means something like "shining one, son of the morning"; it was an epithet given to the king of Babylon, but Christians interpret it as meaning "Satan" because the verse in question describes Helel ben Shahar as "fallen from heaven".
The idea of the "fallen" has also been twisted from its origins: originally, the "fallen" were the honored dead heroes, those who fell in battle. These are the Rephaim from Canaanite mythology, who were described as having feathered wings similar to the description of Christian angels. As chthonic beings, they were also celestial beings, as what is under the Earth during the day is above it during the night, so to become one of the fallen Rephaim was to become elevated to the heavens. In the Hebrew stories they were called the Nephilim, which also means "fallen". However, the Semitic stories painted these beings as evil since they were the great Canaanite heroes who fell in battle fighting off the invading Israelites.
How can the Christ and the father of the anti-Christ both have the same moniker? Since Christianity is a confused amalgamation of pagan and Semitic myths, it is not surprising that it would contain such a confusing contradiction. A reasonable apology for this contradiction is that Jesus' spirit descended from heaven when he was incarnated while Satan was cast out of heaven during the rebellion, so in a sense they both fit the description of the "shining one, son of the morning" who fell/descended from heaven, though it is still very strange to describe supposedly opposite beings identically.
I recommend the book "Lucifer: Princeps" by Peter Gray for an in-depth exegesis on the topic.
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The topic of the actual international monetary system, capital flows, and the difference between reserves and currency is a very detailed and -- for nerds like me -- interesting rabbit hole to dive down. I've been scrounging around these tunnels for several years now. The idea of "dedollarization" is not at all new, but it could easily be picked up for a psyop campaign at the right time. Before even watching the part after the "is it true -- did the world dedollarize" question, I'll just say this: many large, foreign, governmental institutions have diverisified their reserves away from US Treasuries because they got spooked by the sanctions against Russia; however, the dollar as a global unit of account, trade settlement medium, and debt denominator has basically never been stronger. There is more foreign USD-denominated debt than at any time in history, and USD has a larger share of trade settlement than at any time in at least recent history. The world uses dollars more now than it did before the commie coof scamdemic.
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Do not accept the Mark of the Fed.
Countries that launched a central bank digital currency: Senegal, Venezuela, Uruguay, Iran
Countries piloting/testing a CBDC: China, Canada, Thailand, Bahamas, Kazakhstan, Philippines, Russia, South Africa, Brazil, UAE (Emcredit subsidiary of Dubai Economy), France, Ukraine
Countries developing a CBDC: Tunisia, Sweden, Singapore, Cambodia, Marshall Islands, Curacao, Turkey, UAE (UAE central bank), Saudi Arabia, EU, Mauritius
Countries that are researching a CBDC: Indonesia, Israel, Noraw, UK, USA, Japan, Germany, India, Hong Kong, Lithuania, Kenya, Malta, Morocco, Australia, New Zealand
Countries that canceled their CBDC plans: Ecuador, Estonia, Italy, Switzerland, South Korea
For some reason, when I look at who is leading this trend and those who have dropped out, I do not feel optimistic about the whole project.
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The evidence from NDEs seems to verify the idea of Baphomet: after death, your mind/soul/life force is drawn toward and dissolves into Baphomet; as life begins, your mind is formed from parts of Baphomet. Reincarnation thus does not guarantee continuity of individuals, though there seem to be ways to bypass the solve et coagula process.
There are at least six minds that comprise the human soul, 3 in each brain hemisphere: the exalting/human mind (cerebral cortex, higher level functioning), the normal/mammalian waking consciousness, and the unconscious/reptilian mind. (It would not surprise me if the mind colony included a different mind for every anatomically/ontologically unique part of the brain -- indeed, the ancient Germanic heathens believed in separate aspects of mind each having their own fate after death -- but adding complexity to the model may impede progress toward a good enough result.) We know from empirical observational studies of epilepsy patients who undergo corpus callostomy that each hemisphere can function independently with differing personalities, so the panpsychic, Baphometic concept of natural reincarnation makes a lot of sense. (Are you any more or less "you" if your hemispheres are severed, revealing two distinct minds?) If such a model is correct, then reincarnation with an intact personality could be achieved by two different methods: 1) dissolve into Baphomet with a strong, magickally enforced intent to then entirely recoagulate thereafter, perhaps gaining some insight or power in the process; 2) remain separate from Baphomet (e.g. enter your own purgatory) until a new host body can be acquired. Both would require first finding an adequate harmony in the mind organism, i.e. achieving the gnostic state of the True Will, and I imagine that experience with Baphometic invocations may be instrumental for achieving the first path. However, the goal in such a working should be to further advance experience and development, else the universe may find your unnatural schemes too much to permit.
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For sure, Trump is better on balance than any president I have seen in my lifetime. But let's not forget that there are real problems in our society -- the leftists might be crazy and psychotic now, but the left-wing activists had some legitimate grievances before being subverted by communists.
In particular, they are right about the wealth inequality being a problem, but they misdiagnose it as being a flaw of capitalism rather than a flaw of the central banking debt slavery model. The problems are twofold: the fractional reserve system creates instability (the credit cycle), and the Cantillion effect enriches those closest to newly created debt-money at the expense of those furthest away. These can be solved by 1) banning fractional reserve lending and 2) adopting a framework in which the People issue their own currency, ensuring that the Cantillion effect is negated. (In my model, one signatory per household issues currency into a currency co-op on behalf of the household; the co-op elects a secretary, a treasurer, and a board of governors to enforce contract terms and make sure the paperwork is proper. I included a 5 year note expiration system for replacing lost notes automatically and making sure the money supply is adequate for representing the productive capacity. I'm still unsure how to structure an adequate price discovery mechanism, but I suspect a multi-round silent auction system where each bid/ask match has 10% chance of assignment would work reasonably well.)
And everyone is correct when they say our system is corrupt, but that is also misdiagnosed as being caused by shady campaign finance; the real issue is that first-past-the-post is the worst voting method in all but one specific scenario (the 100% strategic voting scenario for the Borda count) and it relies upon polarization and partisanship to drive turn out. The solution is rather simple: replace FPTP with score voting, which elects consensus candidates regardless of campaign bullshit; voter turnout is also driven by strong consensus candidates rather than polarization. Bees have been using a form of score voting as a consensus mechanism for tens of millions of years, and it works very well for them; humanity would do well to take inspiration from nature.
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@NoBoilerplate I'll check out that video. I write primarily typed Python, use pre-conditions and sometimes post-conditions, and use a test- and specification-driven development cycle, so I don't worry much about things being broken. And like I said, the idea of my code being clean and beautiful is reinforced by feedback I have gotten from others who have perused it, so the assertion that nobody will agree with my definition of beauty in this case is false. Maybe there is an argument to be made that Rust development saves time on writing pre- and post-conditions, but whether that offsets the time commitment to learning a new language when I'm already proficient in the three or four that I regularly use is an open question.
I can appreciate that there is beauty in that Rust example, at least conceptually, but I wouldn't call it "objectively beautiful" since there is no such thing. Whether or not it is aesthetically appealing also depends upon the surrounding code in my opinion -- part of what makes my code clean is that I use standardized forms that are easy on the eyes (pep8 with my own subjective flare).
The ".collect::<Vec<i32>>();" to my eyes does not look particularly clean and beautiful -- it looks like someone copied and pasted html and JavaScript in a confused and haphazard way, but that could be my web dev background coloring my perspective. I also found Java code distasteful for the same reason. Angle brackets are just ugly unless padded with whitespace, and they only make sense as comparison operators in that case.
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As Thomas Sowell said, to really screw things up, you need to put someone with a high IQ in power, someone who has lived their entire life as the smartest person in any room. (As one of those types, I get why this happens: almost nobody understands what you're talking about most of the time, or they haven't thought as deeply about it and take a long time to catch up, so it is typically impossible to get any useful feedback on ideas.) That is what is going on today with the flailing of the emergent technocracy. For example, Larry Fink, CEO of Blackrock, the largest financial institution in the world, caused the energy crisis by starving energy companies of funding because he believed the ESG bullshit, and he has publicly stated recently that it was a mistake, but he only made that mistake because he has a high IQ and lacked the humility to consider what would happen if he was wrong.
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One of the problems with defending against anti-personnel FPVs is that they are very small, so they are hard to detect. Another problem is that they move very quickly, so it is hard for a human to acquire a target and hold an accurate aim to engage the FPV before it can carry out its mission -- and even if soldiers can be trained to be effective in this technique, or perhaps delegate it to a specialist who is highly trained and capable, many anti-personnel FPVs simply hover several hundred feet directly above soldiers and drop small ordinance on them.
The Germans are developing (or may already have developed) defenses against anti-vehicle FPVs and to equip their most modern tanks and APCs, but those FPVs are larger, somewhat less agile, and easier to spot. The German system is like a Claymore mine on a swivel that pops out when a target is detected and explodes in the general direction of the approaching drone. The Ukrainian armed forces are using their own small FPVs to successfully defend against fixed-wing, autopiloted drones intended for engaging stationary targets (e.g. the Shahed).
I suspect that a workable solution for defending against anti-personnel FPVs will be some sort of small robotic device that is either set up in a fortified position or goes ahead of, behind, and flanking troops on a tracked vehicle chassis. It would have to have the ability to detect radio frequencies used by FPVs for a proximity alert (which will not work against FPVs using thin fiber optic cables); high resolution cameras pointed up and all around to find possible enemy FPVs before they make their attack approach; high speed cameras with target tracking and prediction algorithms to aim at approaching FPVs; laser range finders to accurately determine distance to the target; an autoloading cylinder (no choke) or even slightly rifled (for better spread) shotgun turret to take out attacking FPVs of the sort that dive straight in; and either a full choke autoloading shotgun to engage the high hovering bomber FPVs or its own anti-drone drones to send up and joist. For the anti-drone drone method, something very small, cheap, fast, and relatively simple would have to be made, perhaps one that is primarily guided by the base unit and triggers a small plastic BB shrapnel charge when it gets within a meter of the target. If miniature chemical rockets could be made to work reliably in this scenario, then inertial guidance (or even perhaps no guidance) might be good enough -- say something not much bigger than a large firework rocket that either triggers the proximity sensor or self-destructs after reaching apogee for safety (to avoid falling back and triggering the proximity sensor on soldiers' heads); fire a salvo of 4-6 in quick succession to surround the enemy drone and prevent it from escaping; have 3-6 salvos ready.
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The purpose of money is to facilitate transactions and economic planning. Money is just a tool. And for a market economy to work, money must be neutral -- it does not make sense for anyone to be "steering" the economy by manipulating the money unless you believe that Carl Marx had a winning idea despite the trail of corpses it has left. People are corruptible and untrustworthy with such power. The idea of gold as money is that gold is relatively hard and reasonably neutral: the stock-to-flow ratio is very high, leading to long-term price stability; the natural abundance in the crust is relatively geographically even; nobody can change the qualities of it on a whim; it is traded as a market good like anything else. The gold standard was the centralization of the banking system, which was developed to alleviate the real issues with gold: it is relatively difficult to transport, so it has low salability across space, and it takes time to verify, so it has low velocity. While the decentralized banking model carried some risks for depositors in individual banks, the administration of a centralized fractional reserve system transferred that risk to the whole system. A money that has hardness, neutrality, ease of transfer across space, and high velocity will win over fiat in the end because its relative strength against the continually depreciating fiat currencies will attract savers to it over the long term.
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Walter White If you're not a formally trained scientist, you are not qualified to make statements about science. Similarly, if you're not formally trained to perform heart surgery, you are not qualified to open someone's chest. The commonality is that being a scientist and being a heart surgeon are professional careers. If you aren't trained in a certain profession, then your conclusions on topics within those professions have very little relevance and will not be taken seriously.
No matter how many times you say "fact", it will not give your nonsense any more validity. Your sources are shit, so you resort to just spamming the word "fact".
Wanna see a real fact? http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v2/n9/full/nclimate1542.html
And it's a pretty sad fact: scientific discoveries and data are not reaching the public effectively because media sucks. If you're a scientist, you can read the full article for free because your institution has a department-wide subscription; if you're not, pay the journal to get access. It's a real problem. Discussions like ours would likely be avoided if everyone had free access to all research that has been done in every field. But the masses have to wait for highly revised, shoddy summaries from mediocre writers and 3 word headlines. It's a very serious problem that is gaining a lot of attention in the scientific community; hopefully we can solve it soon.
I don't blame you for your ignorance. I just want you to realize that you know far less than you suspect--and that you shouldn't draw conclusions from anecdotal commentary or media hysteria. There are too many data that you have not examined, and you are cheating yourself by trying to conclude definitive truths about the world without first examining them.
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Walter White "Lies, damned lies, and statistics." "Figures don't lie, but liars figure." I am reading these to see who was actually misrepresenting the data: the scientists (who went through years of training to measure and interpret data professionally) or the journalist (who reads blogs and writes comments professionally).
Concerning the first article:
As an interesting point, Booker specifically claims that neither asbestos nor second hand smoke pose health significant hazards, which calls into question his particular biases.
Booker's only citation in that article ("The fiddling with temperature data...") was a link to a previous article that he wrote ("Climategate, the sequel.."), which then cites a blog post. That blog post links to some NASA graphs and says "look at inconsistency". So, check this out. http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/FAQ.html#q216
The blog post Booker cites frequently misuses the term "raw data". What he did not take into account was that the data was never "raw" to begin with. Many weather stations changed their sensor locations from inside cities to the countryside over the past few decades, and cities tend to be warmer than the countryside (I don't think anyone would argue that point). So, in an attempt to normalize the data from these stations after a location change, several algorithms were developed. Flaws were found in the original algorithm, so an update was made. The one thing that NASA did not do that this blogger did was cherry pick the data sets. The general, global trend did not substantially change between algorithm versions; the change had the opposite effect on many other station record sets. Normalization of data is a very complex subject; it is easy to mislead the ignorant by using word like "raw" and "adjusted" when, in reality, both sets of data were "adjusted"--just with different methodologies.
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Any time I hear someone repeat the simplistic lie about Jan 6, I know they haven't looked into it or viewed the evidence themselves and cannot be relied upon. I watched hours of footage from the event from many sources to figure it out for myself. Jan 6 was clearly instigated by federal agents, and the riot began before Trump had even finished his speech a mile away -- the people who attended the rally did not start the riot, which runs counter to the absurd claim that "we know what happens when Trump tells his people to march on the capital". (Hell, most of them were seen smiling, waving, and walking peacefully where they were directed by security before leaving and being charged with trespassing. The lunatics who went into Pelosi's office, etc were a different matter and deserved prosecution.) Known FBI informants were caught on camera instigating the day prior, and guys with black ear pieces went around cutting fences and directing the crowd to "move forward" on the day of the riot. The FBI has refused to cooperate with investigators or give an accounting of how their assets engaged in the events of the riot. We know about how the disgraced Peter Strozk and his group of conspirators subverted the FBI for political purposes, so it is not surprising that malefactors within the agency would do such a thing -- the regime media mouthpieces have been retelling the official propaganda narrative ever since, so they clearly got a lot of utility out of the ordeal. (See also the CIA paper "Managing a Nightmare: CIA Public Affairs and the Drug Conspiracy Story" about how they used US media to destroy the career of journalist Gary Webb who broke the story about the CIA's complicity in Contra drug smuggling and thereby ran a massive PR cover-up.)
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Yes, let's distort, ridicule, and ostracize these people, just like those kids did to that guy in Parkland, because that has never backfired. I see a lot of historically ignorant people in here. "A tank?! An AR-15?! What a bunch of nutcases!" No, the entire point of the 2nd amendment was to arm the citizenry to deter would-be tyrannical regimes. Know who disarmed the citizenry? Nazi Germany. Know who didn't have the firepower to protect their civil liberties? The Jews who are now ashes. Democracies devolve into tyrannies constantly, and it is pretty obvious that this is what the leftists want now: tyranny of the majority, concentration of power into the hands of popular figures, and squashing of rights of people with minority opinions. The Founding Fathers wrote the 2nd amendment specifically to guard against the success of these neo-Marxists in establishing tyrannies. I leaned left politically until these rabid communists took over the so-called liberal movement, but now even moderates like me are being demonized and pushed into the fringes. The radical leftists need to calm the fuck down and cease their pro-class warfare propaganda if they want any chance of representation in the Republic -- the people of America do not like being told they are demons who should be silenced for their views.
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You're way off and should probably correct your comment.
"The overhead and administrative costs for most programs are modest, generally under 5%." -- Cato Handbook for Policymakers § 41. Poverty and Welfare, the Cato Institute, 2017
"It is often assumed that program consolidation will reduce costs by reducing administrative overhead, but the overhead costs in welfare are typically less than 10 percent; therefore, it is not likely that consolidation will substantially reduce spending." -- Understanding the Hidden $1.1 Trillion Welfare System and How to Reform It, the Heritage Foundation, 2018
Edit: the closest thing I could find to an argument of inefficiency was a left-wing article complaining that welfare has gradually shifted from "cash assistance" wealth redistribution to things like child care, addiction treatment, and domestic violence services, but even it showed the administrative overhead as decreasing from ~10% in 1998 to ~8% in 2014. (This article then says that California gives half its welfare grant money directly as cash assistance while Georgia spends 80% on social programs -- imo, Georgia is less of a literal shithole than California, so the comparison does not help the pro-communism argument.)
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Thought experiment: if a global currency system can expand and contract with the population to maintain a stable per-capita currency supply, we would have an elastic currency system that is still a fair and neutral price measurement tool. As the population expands, greater economies of scale are achieved, increasing the per-capita productivity in an exponential way while the currency supply inflates only linearly, so prices would naturally decline while liquidity simultaneously increased. If the population was to decline for some reason, then the exact opposite would occur: the excess liquidity would dry up at the same time that economies of scale are lost, causing prices to rise during a deflationary contraction. If you think about it, these are the exact correct things to do in the scenario and send the exactly correct price signals for the scenarios: in the first, we on average get wealthier, so you can get more goods and services in exchange for less of your savings and labor; in the latter, we on average get poorer, so you get less for more.
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@keithbrandson6293 No, I specifically meant that new monetary systems very rarely last for very long. If you look at the history of monetary systems, you'll see that most of them last a few years before being replaced. The notable exceptions are commodity currencies, which tend to last long-term as they are an emergent system that naturally arises, and the currencies of major empires, which tend to last for a few hundred years before structural problems with the empire cause a degradation of trust. The Ithaca Hour, for example, had a very short period of widespread use, and it fell apart after its founder moved out of NY. In Austria during the Great Depression, a few towns experimented with paying public servants with expiring scrip, which worked only well enough that they kept tinkering with it until the monetary/economic system restabilized.
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"It will not work" is a false statement. Bitcoin already works. If you ignore the hyperbole and the FUD, what remains are simply the facts: 1) bitcoin has a transparent, predictable, and immutable monetary policy, and only systems derived from bitcoin have that property; 2) nobody knows how many dollars or ounces of gold exist, but I can tell you exactly how many bitcoin exist; 3) final settlement on bitcoin takes one hour, while final settlement of dollars takes days and final settlement of gold takes anywhere between a few minutes to a few years (depending upon the amount); 4) the bitcoin protocol is applied mathematical proof using a few well-defined cryptographic assumptions (sha256 is a cryptographically secure hash functions and the discrete log problem has no efficient solution), whereas nocoiner systems require explicit trust and/or many poorly-defined assumptions (e.g. estimates of the size of the eurodollar system, yearly gold production, difficulty of asteroid mining, etc).
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"Indirect exchange of the most marketable commodity" is an interesting way to frame the development of gold and silver as monies. But an equally valid perspective is that gold cannot maintain such a high value relative to its commodity utility without being assigned a heavy (~150%) monetary premium. If the moneyness of gold was to be decreased by some new neutral monetary commodity (e.g. Bitcoin), the monetary premium would be diluted. However, the size of the monetary system is many multiples of the size of gold's monetary premium, so other monetary assets would be more likely to be parasitized by the new monetary commodity, and as the old monetary systems lose their moneyness, gold will likely gain some of the bleeding monetary premium: Bitcoin and defi will likely be the stake to the heart of the current monetary order, but gold will be in the splash zone imo.
Fwiw, since the central bankers are the ones with most of the gold, I think adopting a new standard that is still controlled by the central banks via gold remonetization is a less preferable outcome than the ascendance of cryptocurrencies designed to enable individual sovereignty, guarantee free trade that cannot be impeded by intervention, and promote decentralization/disintermediation/the dissolution of concentrated/monopolized power.
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The puritan heritage, or more generally the Protestant heritage, is likely the culprit. Everything sexy, nude, or natural is an abomination because "the Devil" or some other such nonsense. They can't explain why Jesus has breasts (mastois) and wears a woman's girdle (zonen, or cultic bra) in Revelation 1, nor why he adopts the epithet of Lucifer in Revelation 22, nor why he was arrested with a naked kid in Mark 14 -- they just reiterate what they want to believe because they were told to believe it by someone else and melded their identity to that belief. When you sacrifice reason at the alter of dogma, the only way to settle a dispute is with domination and violence; they all fundamentally agree on preferring dogma over reason, and they historically settle disputes violently, so why not prepare your children to do the same?
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401k is not an investment; it is a tax-sheltered investment vehicle. The money that you put in is tax-exempt, and any growth in the underlying investments within the 401k is tax-exempt, but any distributions you take in retirement are taxed as income. The idea is that you'll likely be in a lower tax bracket at retirement than during the bulk of your career. Additionally, early withdrawals are subject to a penalty and taxation. Whether the underlying investments perform well within a 401k or any other investment account or trust is independent of the tax structure; for a 401k, it is dependent upon what your employer has selected for you to invest in.
By contrast, the money put into a Roth IRA is taxed on the way in but tax exempt on the way out, and you can withdraw your principal investment at any time without penalty.
Of course, the ultimate tax avoidance hack in the US is to get a whole life insurance policy with a trust as the beneficiary, then borrow against the death benefit to splurge, and then die without paying it back; the loan will be deducted from the death benefit paid out to the trust, then the trustee gets the remaining money tax free. Then just make sure to go the opposite direction of all the other souls to escape the transmigration process and hang out with Saturn for the rest of eternity or something.
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In early March, I had a prophetic dream in which I was in isolation during a natural disaster; though I was somewhat lucid, I did not consciously attempt to change the course of the dream because I wanted to see what the demons were trying to tell me. A few weeks later, I was in a two week isolation due to exposure to what appeared to be covid (the guy I was working with had severe lung inflammation, but the doctors did not have any tests, so they just sent him home with naproxen). While it can be fun to fuck around in lucid dreams, I prefer to not interfere with the natural course of the dream in case there are any prophetic messages being expressed -- in that particular case, the demons communicated a few specific things that I had little difficulty understanding. On the other hand, scrying has, in my experience, been somewhat difficult to interpret but obviously accurate in hind sight (e.g. a symbol for "terror" without any further context the day before the stock market crash). Experimental forms of cartomancy and visions from other gnostic methods have communicated similar themes but have also been difficult to exactly translate -- I have known since February that hard times were imminent, but I could not tell exactly what would happen or when events would transpire -- I suspected it would be covid casualties. Dreams that are prophetic tend to stand out much more strongly and are easier to interpret in my experience, so I do not want to arbitrarily interfere with the process through lucid dreaming techniques.
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I have been in this situation before. I once worked for a startup where the original code was written in Visual Basic and SQL stored procedures, though all new dev work was done in C# by the time I got there. When I first started working for the project, there were two git repositories and a few hundred sprocs; by the time I left, there were several dozen git repos (most of which had been abandoned) and over two thousand sprocs (because all updates to sproc code were done in new copies since there was no system for schema migrations). Management never understood or communicated actual project requirements, or they just constantly changed their minds -- projects were regularly cancelled after 6+ months of development. One such effort was to modernize the core system, and I was tasked with the DevOps for the new system while also trying to maintain an old infrastructure that was dying. A good portion of my soul was lost in the layered RDP and SSH sessions. The sales team constantly sold features we hadn't built and didn't have on the roadmap, and since the president was doing both management and sales, new requirements for the old system were constantly added, delaying progress on the new system.
Because they didn't want disruptions during the work day (which consisted equally of production servers going down and my enraged swearing at the cloud), I often arrived in the late afternoon to work overnight and then leave in the morning after everyone else had arrived. I quickly became an overworked, stressed, and irritable mess. And during this time, I would often end up having to investigate and solve the problems that nobody else could, e.g. a loop that recursively attempted to connect to a sketchy Redis server rather than just fall through to the database (a gift from the insane first dev). I feel for Rick, and my sense is that his outbursts were somewhat exaggerated in the article.
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Whether using a reduced instruction set or a complex one is "better" is a matter of opinion and use case. Complex instruction set architecture operations can take operands from registers, memory, or even the op code itself ("immediate" values). I have implemented a CPU in Minecraft redstone that uses an even more reduced instruction set architecture in which every operation uses only immediate values because it is the simplest way to implement a Brainfuck machine: the data pointer (in its own register) always points to a memory address; "+" and "-" respectively increment or decrement the value at that memory location, implemented as `ADD value` and `SUB value` to compact sequential operations; ">" and "<" respectively increment or decrement the data pointer itself, implemented as `ADP value` and `SDP value` to compact sequential operations; "[" branches if the value at the memory location is 0, taking an offset equal to the number of instructions to skip forward; "]" branches if the value at the memory location is not 0, taking an offset equal to the number of instructions to jump past backwards; "," reads a byte from stdin, writes it to the current memory location then increments the stdin pointer; "." writes the current memory location value to stdout then increments the stdout pointer. If I wanted to implement this with a standard register machine ISA, it would require many more registers and multiple CPU instructions per Brainfuck operation. (I also was able to use 4 copies of the same memory module for stdin buffer, instruction ROM, program RAM, and stdout buffer, greatly simplifying the whole thing.)
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I don't mean to offend or demean, but I think many who resonate with this message are probably doing a psychological factory reset to the cultural default beliefs because of the shock of being confronted with a real apocalypse. Don't get me wrong -- Christian ritual definitely works; the Christian perspective is full of cohesive meaning; and these are probably pretty impactful to an awakening post-materialist/Nihilist/whatever-paradigm-is-currently-ending when it happens. But I caution against blindly accepting superficial religious doctrines/perspectives of one's childhood or the nearest preacher -- there is a lot of symbolic and linguistic depth to the Christian religion and scriptures that reaches back to the founding of civilization itself, and a lot of the old/establishment Christianity tends to ignore that depth when dispensing teachings for the masses. For example, when Jesus promises "ζωήν αιώονιον" ("life aeonic") in John 6:42/48 and "ζήσεται είς τόν αιώνα" ("will live into/in/until the aeon/age") in John 6:51, His listeners with the ears to hear knew what that meant from hundreds of years of what Justin Martyr called "Spermatikos Logos". And as another example, "Ιησούς" has the numeric value of 888; 1st and 2nd century Christian tombstones included an 8-spoke wheel cryptogram that encoded the letters "ΙΧΘΥς" ("fish") standing for the anagram "Ιησούς Χριστός Θεού Υιός Σωτήρ" ("Jesus Christ God's Son Saviour"); Jesus resurrected on the 8th day of the week (i.e. 1st of the week because 8 modulo 7 is 1); and Jesus claims the epithet "ό αστήρ ό λαμπρός καί ορθρινός" ("Bright and Morning Star") in Revelation 22:16 (compare to the iconography of the Akkadian version of the Morning Star, then compare to Byzantine icons of Mary the Theotokos). The language used has a thousand years of recorded history and meaning compressed into every word, and the symbols used stretch from pre-Sumeria to Egypt and Eleusis. It is mind blowing stuff when you dig into it. If you're going to take Christianity seriously, I highly recommend getting an interlinear New Testament and learning some Koine/classical Greek (or at least getting some reliable reference material for assisting in translation). If you're a nutter nerd like me, you might also consider a Septuagint in original Greek. (Contrary to popular assumption, the Greek Old Testament predates the Hebrew Old Testament/Masoretic by at least 500 years.)
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In Florida, we have a law codified in our statutes explicitly authorizing sheriffs to deputize a posse comitatus of citizens to suppress riots. Maybe that historical role of galvanizing the community against hell raisers is why the left hates them.
Edit: it is 30.09(4)(e-f), granting exceptions to bond requirements for deputization in certain scenarios: "(4) EXCEPTIONS.--This section does not apply to the appointment of special deputy sheriffs appointed by the sheriff: ... (e) To aid in preserving law and order, or to give necessary assistance in the event of any threatened or actual hurricane, fire, flood, or other natural disaster, or in the event of any major tragedy such as an act of local terrorism or a national terrorism alert, an airplane crash, a train or automobile wreck, or a similar accident. (f)To raise the power of the county, by calling bystanders or others, to assist in quelling a riot or any breach of the peace, when ordered by the sheriff or an authorized general deputy."
A competent sheriff is a real community leader rather than simply someone who wields power. This is why the left hates the sheriffs: they believe in wielding power without any leadership responsibilities.
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Debt to M2 ratio: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=txxW
Increases lead to short term asset inflation and long term broad deflation; decreases lead to short term asset deflation and long term broad inflation.
The Zimbabwe-fication index -- percent of federal debt held by the Fed: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=txx2
The likelihood of a currency crisis and loss of reserve currency dominance is directly correlated with this indicator.
And finally, the gold price to M2Real ratio: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=tugK
It peaked around 0.38 in the past two major bull markets; if the upward trend in peaks continues (i.e. long term erosion of trust in the fiat dollar), the ratio could peak around 0.49. At current M2 level, those give peak price targets of $2,700 and $3,400 respectively; after the next $1 trillion in M2 stimulus, those targets become $2,800 and $3,600; another $3 trillion in M2 stimulus instead make those targets $3,100 and $4,000.
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There will likely be a major correction in assets next month (probably next week or the week after). But we are nowhere near the top of this gold bull market. Check out the gold price to M2Real ratio:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=tugK
Historic bull market tops are around a ratio of 0.38; trend shows that ratio moving to 0.49 at the next bull market top. At current M2 levels, those are price targets of $2700 and $3400, but after the next $1 trillion in M2 stimulus, those price targets become $2800 and $3600. If the dollar collapses and loses reserve currency dominance, that ratio could go way higher, and eurodollars could come flooding back into US markets, increasing gold and silver prices even further.
Here is a rough approximation of the probability of a currency crisis, the Zimbabwe-fication index (percent of federal debt monetized by the Fed):
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=txx2
The last time it got above 16%, we had the Nixon shock, which was a currency crisis that took over a decade to stabilize. That time, the US defaulted on its gold debt; this time, the dollar payment system will default. The likelihood of a currency crisis increases proportionally to the percentage of federal debt monetized by the central bank. My guess is that the likelihood approaches 100% as the ratio approaches 20%.
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In Florida, the sheriff and his deputies are required to post a bond or buy an insurance policy for payment of fines and civil damages in the case of civil liberties violations. Statute 30 covers the specifics. (To my knowledge, municipal police are not subject to state requirements for bond/surety, but it is possible I simply have not read that chapter yet.)
From first- and second-hand experiences, I estimate that this explicit liability for civil liberty infringement has led to a sheriff system that is more conversational than punitive. For example, if you slide past a stop sign in a dangerous intersection, you're more likely to get a warning than a ticket -- the purpose of having the deputy there is public safety, not raising revenue.
Another example: one of my friends got stopped for not renewing his tag (in protest over the system not pro-rating the fee). He had a lot of cash on him because his boss had just paid his weekly salary in cash. Since he's from Chiraq, he had a very aggressive and non-cooperative attitude that made the deputy suspect he was trying to hide something, so the deputy searched the car. Normally, the cash could be charged with a crime under civil forfeiture laws, but the deputy instead simply commented that he better not be up to any fishy business with the money and then let him go.
In yet another example, a roommate in college was dealing drugs and throwing parties, and I and my other roommate wanted him to stop, so after a few weeks of being unable to convince him to stop, we called the sheriff to report it. When the deputies arrived, the party attendants flushed all their drugs and hid a lot of paraphernalia (the apartment still smelled, and not all paraphernalia was adequately hidden). The deputies explained to them that there had been a complaint, wrote down their contact info, tried to dissuade them from continuing in their destructive ways, and then left. We had a cleaner, quieter apartment and a better-behaving roommate for the rest of the lease term.
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If you're going to quote Proverbs and claim it is not a religious thing, then to be consistent you also must quote the wisdom literature from other religions and cultures. For example, from the sayings of Odin (Hávamál):
25. A foolish man thinks all who speak him fair to be his friends; but he will find, if into court he comes, that he has few advocates.
34. Long is and indirect the way to a bad friend’s, though by the road he dwell; but to a good friend’s the paths lie direct, though he be far away.
51. Hotter than fire love for five days burns between false friends; but is quenched when the sixth day comes, and-friendship is all impaired.
121. I counsel thee, etc. If thou knowest thou hast a friend, whom thou well canst trust, go oft to visit him; for with brushwood over-grown, and with high grass, is the way that no one treads.
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NIST has been running a post-quantum asymmetric cryptography standardization competition for several years, and the result has been a handful of new methods, the most noteworthy of which are the related Kyber and Dilithium lattice algorithms (together comprising the PQ Crystals project). Signal already uses PQ crypto as an additional layer of security. Wrt Bitcoin, the elliptic curve cryptography is potentially vulnerable to a sufficiently powerful quantum computer, but most addresses are actually a double hash of the public key, and hash algorithms are not vulnerable to quantum computing, so only such addresses that are reused would be vulnerable to a quantum attack. However, the new Taproot addresses use a Schnorr group derived from the elliptic curve to commit to both a public key and a script hash, so they might be vulnerable at the outset. The problem with PQ crypto schemes is that the smallest key sizes are 2+ orders of magnitude larger than EC public keys of equivalent security level, and the signature sizes are also several orders of magnitude larger (e.g. lattice public keys are several kilobytes and McEliese code signatures are several megabytes). These could potentially be accommodated by using the hash of the public key as the address, including both the public key and the signature in the witness data, and increasing the witness data block size with a soft-fork, but it would make the blockchain much larger and thus harder to replicate in a distributed fashion.
Fun factoid: I implemented a hash-based PQ cryptography algorithm called the Lamport Signature scheme when I was in college. In addition to the large key and signature sizes, it also has the problem that keys can only be used once since they rely upon selectively revealing part of the private key.
(Hopefully the gestapobots don't censor this for being detailed and factual. The censorship on this platform is unbearably irritating.)
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Here's an outline of what has happened:
1. Fed and Treasury print up trillions of dollars of funny money. Fed drops reserve ratio requirement down from 10% to 0%.
2. Banks get flooded with deposits via Federal Reserve balances.
3. Deposit liabilities have costs due to regulations and FDIC insurance premiums, and reserve balances pay nothing, so the banks buy securities with 0% credit risk rating (bonds, TSYs, MBSes, and agency MBSes) to cover the costs of holding the customer deposits.
4. Fed says they will keep rates at 0% forever ("We're not even thinking about thinking about thinking about raising rates" - J-Pow, 2021), and money supply continues to expand, so bank treasurers don't hedge duration risk.
5. Inflation spikes, so Fed raises rates at fastest pace in history, tanking the market clearing prices of securities.
6. Banks move their securities into the held-to-maturity bucket to avoid recognizing unrealized losses.
7. Broad money begins to contract at fastest rate since the Great Depression. Banks now need to sell their securities and realize losses to settle deposit withdrawals.
8. Realized losses exhaust capital of some banks, causing them to go bankrupt.
[We are here.]
9. Federal Reserve goes bankrupt in late March/early April because their realized losses on their assets and net interest expense ($39.8B as of 2023-03-13) exceed their total capital ($42.5B). What is the value of a dollar when it is by definition worth less than a dollar?
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@maneco64 Not different from what I said; just a more technical description. When the Fed buys Treasuries from non-banks through the primary dealers, it indeed creates new bank deposits. The non-bank it bought from in 2020 was the Treasury itself.
1) Treasury issues TSY and sells to a primary dealer. 2) The primary dealer pays for it by creating new deposits and transferring them to the Treasury general account at the Fed. 3) The primary dealer then sells the TSY to the Fed, using the proceeds to extinguish the deposits it created. 4) The Treasury sends out stimulus payments from the TGA, creating new deposits in the commercial banking system, using Fed reserves for settlement.
With other non-bank entities, it creates new deposits more directly. But iirc, the majority of TSYs purchased by the Fed in 2020 came from the primary dealers and thus the Treasury. Correct me if I'm wrong on this. At any rate, QE alone did not create any deposits during 2008-2019, and any analysis of the economic dislocations of 2020 must take into account the government shutdowns rather than just the expansion of credit, so my original statement still stands, though I think we are arguing technical details at this point. (I think that the style of Ludwig von Mises' The Theory of Money and Credit is starting to color the way I write comments at this point.)
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@lastcall8286 the Christian prophecies are always coming to fruition because they were just a pseudo-mystical description of the then-current times -- they are just a description of events that commonly occur throughout history. There's no special value to them anymore than my noticing the 2018 yield curve inversion gave my prophecy of the 2019-2020 crisis/recession any spiritual or magical significance. The same can be said about the prophecies of many religions.
For example, from the Voluspa (a dead witch's prophecy of Ragnarok) in the Poetic Edda: "(38) I saw oathbreakers wading in those thick streams, and murderers, and those who seduce others' lovers. There Nithhogg sucks the corpses of the fallen, snaps them in his jaws. Have you learned enough yet, Allfather?...(44) Brothers will fight one another and kill one another, cousins will break peace with one another, the world will be a hard place to live in. It will be an age of adultery, an age of the axe, an age of the sword, an age of storms, an age of wolves, shields will be cloven. Before the world sinks in the sea, there will be no man left who is true to another."
Another example, randomly selected from the Dead Sea Scrolls (Hymn 10 (formerly 5) of the Thanksgiving Hymns): (~30) The torrents of Belial shall reach to all sides of the world. In all their channels a consuming fire shall destroy every tree, green and barren, on their banks; unto the end of their courses it shall scourge with flames of fire, and shall consume the foundations of the earth and the expanse of dry land. The bases of the mountains shall blaze and the roots of the rocks shall turn to torrents of pitch; it shall devour as far as the great Abyss."
There are many scriptures that have prophecies that apply broadly because human civilization is inherently cyclical. It does not grant any spiritual superiority to any over the others. In my opinion, "you will know them by their fruits".
I can indeed describe my religion with quite a lot of detail and scriptural references. It just isn't any of your business. Y'all slaughtered the gnostics for their slight differences in opinion, so I have no interest in relaying to you mine. Some of those fruits Iesous was talking about.
Also, if you are criticizing me for not addressing the specific Christian prophecies, then why haven't you done so? You have said nothing specific at all.
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@johnbecker70 Pew Research has a report about how religious groups were affected throughout the world during the pandemic. It cites the case of police in New Jersey arresting the attendees of a rabbi's funeral as an example. To be totally fair, there was also an arrest of a pastor in Tampa, Florida by a Republican sheriff, so it was not just the Democrats violating the 1st amendment. I have not done a quantitative analysis, but I remember seeing more such stories from predominantly blue states at the time. On the 2nd amendment, Trump banned bumpstocks (hugely unpopular among Republican voters and overturned by SCOTUS years later), while Biden's admin has tried banning 80% lowers, forced reset triggers, and pistol stabilizing braces, violating several laws in the process; red states have expanded gun rights, while blue states continuously try slightly modifying their new restrictions after each gets struck down by SCOTUS in a never-ending dancing Stalin clown show. Since we use plurality/first-past-the-post/choose-one voting, we are stuck trying to pick the least worst option of two bad choices, and right now I think the Repugnicans are slightly less awful over all.
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Mark, what is your take on the issues around immigration in Canada and some European countries? For example, in Canada, they have experienced extreme housing price inflation and other economic disruptions so great that their per capita GDP has declined in nominal terms; Canada has imported mostly skilled workers, driving down wages for skilled Canadians while the cost of living has been skyrocketing. In Germany and the UK, they have been less selective with their immigration policies, and the result has been significant increases in poverty and accompanying crime (and there is an argument for cultural differences driving some types of crimes and various scandals about those crimes being covered up).
How temporary or persistent will these issues be? What benefits can these countries expect in the medium and long terms for the pain that ordinary citizens are experiencing right now?
My initial thought is that the governments of these countries are trying to arrest demographic decline to avoid becoming Japanified, but I don't know how effective they will be considering the ubiquity of failed integration. On the one hand, the US has experienced more than our fair share of issues with integrating immigrants through a few centuries, and we have come through mostly okay as a whole, but on the other hand, this was not without internment camps, exclusion acts, ethnically motivated violence, and the like. And on top of that, the European countries with mass and unselective immigration are known to be sclerotic and not technologically very innovative, so increasing their populations might not have the desired effect. It's a complex issue that is evoking a lot of simplistic proposals by disaffected citizens.
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@fairybeliever4479 One of the difficulties with numinous experiences is that numinous effects tend to conform to the expectations of the perceiver. This is related to (if not identical with) what the remote viewing researchers call the "analytical overlay". For example, if you grew up in a cultural context dominated by Abrahamic religions, you will be predisposed to experience numinous phenomena that align with the philosophical, metaphysical, and ontological ideas prominent in that culture; if you consciously rejected Abrahamic religion and found Hindu myth and scriptures fascinating or relatable, or if you grew up in a Hindu context and did not consciously reject it, you will be predisposed to have numinous experiences that conform to Hindu ideas. (In general, religions will discredit any numinous experience that does not align with the official narrative and reinforce as legitimate any numinous experience that conforms to the religious dogmas and themes. Religious control over spiritual experience is primarily a boundary maintenance mechanism for social cohesion.)
I tend to dissect my experiences after the fact to recognize the influences that colored my perceptions. For example, when I was reading about and experimenting with astral projection/out-of-body experiences, after I had read about a concept called the "guardian of the threshold", I had a very potent experience of this phenomenon -- I have had OBEs since I was 5 years old and had already had several controlled OBEs through meditative practices by this point, but this was the first (and only) time I experienced this threshold guardian phenomenon. It is impossible for information to be meaningfully conveyed without some pre-existing frame of reference, and numinous experience takes this principle to an exaggerated degree.
The only pieces of advice I would give anyone on any spiritual path are the following: first, nothing is perpetually beyond scrutiny -- there is a time to acquiescence to riddles, but there is likewise a time for a stubborn resolve to extract answers; and second, stay away from egregores unless you know what you are getting yourself into.
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2:25 “And all the [Watchers] took unto themselves wives, and each chose for himself one, and they began to go in unto them and to defile themselves with them [...] And they became pregnant, and they bare great giants, whose height was three thousand ells: Who consumed all the acquisitions of men. And when men could no longer sustain them, the giants turned against them and devoured mankind. And they began to sin against birds, and beasts, and reptiles, and fish, and to devour one another's flesh, and drink the blood. Then the earth laid accusation against the lawless ones. [...] And as men perished, they cried, and their cry went up to heaven. [...] And to Gabriel said the Lord: "Proceed against the bastards and the reprobates, and against the children of fornication: and destroy the children of the Watchers from among men: send them one against the other that they may destroy each other in battle: for length of days they will not have. And no request that they make of you will be granted unto their fathers on their behalf; for they hope to live an eternal life, and that each one of them will live 500 years." And the Lord said unto Michael: "Go, bind Semjaza and his associates who have united themselves with women so as to have defiled themselves with them in all uncleanness. And when their sons have slain one another, and they have seen the destruction of their beloved ones, bind them fast for seventy generations in the valleys of the earth, until the day of their judgment..."” -- 1 Enoch, chapters 7, 8, and 10
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Part of the issue is the fractional reserve lending scheme. It is literally a Ponzi scheme that we agree to call "monetary policy". Banks conduct fraud and call it business -- lending money you don't have doesn't make sense. Additionally, through their fraudulent practices, the banks and their cadres exacerbate socioeconomic stratification through the Cantillion effect. In my opinion, if the system enables a handful of greedy bad actors to cause systemic collapse and impoverish the nation for their own benefit, then even if it can be managed responsibly, that system is an existential risk to the economy and nation. And even when the money masters keep things somewhat balanced, they are still siphoning off the wealth of the nation for their own benefit without providing anything of value in return -- they are like economic heroine dealers, where their only product creates dependence.
In my opinion, the issuers of currency ought to be the People, not the banks. As long as everyone is playing by the same rules, it'll work out just fine. So, set up a transparent and accountable system with democratic governance, ban fractional reserve lending, and issue your own currency; the resulting monetary system should be stable and beneficial for the many rather than the few.
This is my proposal for how to go about doing exactly that: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1ArD8wegZrPFakpRW8Cq9pnVWx6498WbyeNjT0SXYNcA/edit?usp=drivesdk
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An interesting thing to note about the notion that you can program some of the CBDCs so that "you can't use them to buy X" is that it would require everyone selling X for the CBDC to voluntarily implement the transaction information system on their end: a CBDC, just like any other computer program, is not omniscient -- it knows only the inputs generated by humans using it. Thus, if someone wanted to sell candy to kids whose wallets disallow the purchase of candy, they just would not mark the transaction as one involving candy. There has thus far been one major attempt to create a cryptocurrency system that can track inventory, components, etc from original production all the way through to end user, and that is the shitshow known as Iota which basically does not function. Bureaucrats will be unable to get the privacy-killing pervasive surveillance system that they desire because they are technically incapable of building such a system; and even if they had it, they would be technically incapable of even using it competently, as has been the case with the US domestic surveillance apparatus which has failed countless times to identify and prevent the same tragedies they use to justify their profligate and pointless projects. The most they will be able to achieve in our lifetimes is an inconvenience, and creating such an inconvenience will cause people to use alternatives and thus neuter their project. These idiots fail to understand game theory or just about anything else of relevance for their childishly simplistic schemes.
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I guess none of y'all understand how the economic ponzi scheme works. Because of Federal Reserve funny money policy (Sanders got them audited, showing $16 trillion loans to companies owned by Fed officials, which is the only reason I voted for him), businesses had to take on leverage to compete. Because of the leverage businesses had to take on, slight economic disruptions are amplified. The long term solution is to reform our monetary system, not create a glorious communist dystopia. Communism and champagne socialism never function. With the current system of leverage, if you don't bail out corporations, the jobs disappear, and all you unenterprising peons who can't do anything without your NPC buddies standing next to you with picket signs won't recreate them fast enough to avoid another Great Depression, which is what happened the last time the US tried nationalizing industries. The greatest problem that Americans face is and always has been the banking cabal, not the enterprising capitalists.
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Here's how to fix the US health care system:
1) Mandatory price transparency for all pharma companies, hospitals, doctor offices, and outpatient clinics.
2) Single-payer major medical/emergency insurance program. Deductible is half the total value of your HSAs, and maximum benefit is equal to your cumulative HSA contributions.
3) Unlimited, tax deductible HSA contributions + 1% tax credit on contributions up to one month of the 5 year median income.
4) Voucher system for routine medical expenses equal to 1/4 your 5 year average HSA contribution up to one week of the 3 year median income.
The effect of this is that the more you save for a health emergency, the better your health care coverage will be. The voucher system will encourage people to continue contributing to their HSAs, and it + price transparency will use market pressures to drive more efficient business models. Eventually, even the poorest of workers will have made enough contributions to their HSA that they could survive anything, and private charity can fill any gaps in the safety net.
And pre-existing conditions are effectively covered, because you can use your HSA contributions to pay for medicine and treatments in addition to the voucher system and major medical.
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The SW Expanded Universe already covered events after the Battle of Endor: Han and Leia have three children (Anakin, Jaina, and Jacen) who all become Jedi; Luke has a number of romantic flings/brief marriages and trains his son, Ben, as a Jedi; an extra-galactic colonial armada invades the outer rim and eventually terraforms Coruscant into a copy of their home planet; two of the Solo children die in the resulting madness of the invasion, including Jacen, who undergoes a compelling villain's journey to become Darth Caedus. There was plenty of very well-written material to draw from, but I guess that Catheter Kennedy, Jar-Jar Abrams, and Ruin Johnson figured that engaging narrative and intriguing character development are just not woke enough.
The sequel trilogy should have been Jacen Solo's epic war heroism, his descent into darkness, and the tragedy of his death at the blade of his own sister. The main reason Jacen Solo became Darth Caedus was to consolidate power in preparation for a war against a prophetic vision of a warmongering villain -- he literally becomes the enemy he wanted to prevent, and he pays the ultimate price for it. At the end of episode 7, we would leave the theater shaken in horror at Anakin's sacrifice and the torture Jacen suffered in captivity. At the end of episode 8, we would leave reveling in the victory he claimed from his predicament though uneasy by our hero's growing corruption. At the end of episode 9, we would leave feeling distraught by our hero's unredeemable fall from grace and the grief and anger tearing apart the remnants of the Solo family -- the galaxy is one large scar from a decade of constant warfare; the Solo dynasty is a husk of what it once was; countless Jedi have died and Luke has disappeared -- there is no longer anything to fear, but all hope is lost. Now that is a story worth telling in cinematic form.
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Wait a minute, these riots have actually hit quite a few small towns within driving distance of the main cities. Check out Michael Tracy's work on it and Tybosaurus Rex's videos on the experience of militias guarding small towns when the riots first started. According to Tybosaurus Rex, antifa sends scouts to find soft targets first, then they send in an agitator to scare people, then they send more scouts at night to make sure the way is clear, and then they send in their useful-idiot protesters and rioters; if there is a show of force when the scouts appear the second time, the riot is averted. It has been a few months since I saw his videos explaining it, so I might be misremembering some of it, but that is the general idea.
In Coeur d'Alene, Idaho, just across the state border from and a satellite city of Spokane, Washington, hundreds of people showed up with their guns to maintain the peace; Spokane burned, but Coeur d'Alene remains intact. Some useful-idiot protesters did try marching through with their signs, but it was a pathetic affair, as they were not as emboldened as their riotous counterparts in southern Idaho cities; some scout vehicles were driving around (this is my interpretation from watching livestream footage), but they ultimately did not organize a riot. Check out North Country Off Grid for footage from that event (videos titled "Antifa in the House", "Protecting the Neighborhood", and "Idaho welcome party") -- in one of the videos, a random woman offers her thanks to the militia men as she walks past. It is quite interesting.
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@Caitlin_TheGreat Actually, if you look at the electoral college map from the last presidential election, it is clear that the vast majority of counties and municipalities supported Trump more than Hillary. The value of the nation is not merely the number of its citizens, regardless of what they do or where they live -- maybe it sounds a bit too tree-hugging hippy dippy, but the land contributes significantly to the health of the nation; in fact, if the whole country were like NYC or San Francisco, we would all have starved a long time ago. Considering how much the city dwelling Democrats rely upon the work of the food producing rural Republicans, it makes no sense to fully disenfranchise the majority of the nation's communities for the sake of "fairly representing" the will of those crazy enough to jam themselves into cramped cement boxes all over each other in NYC and then pay $5k a month in rent for that cramped cement box.
If San Francisco votes away the water rights of the towns on its outskirts, is that somehow "fair" just because of the higher population? Without city folk paying exorbitant taxes from their proximity to the funny money banking warlords, farmers would arguably have shittier roads and fewer super carriers roaming the South Pacific on their behalf; without farmers producing food, city folk would have no food. You can't eat money, but money and waste are all that a city produces. Abolishing the electoral college would effectively mean that those farmers who grow all the food for the city folk no longer have any say in how the executive branch is run in this country -- disenfranchisement of the sharecroppers was tried by Jim Crow, and it was ended because it was a bad idea.
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I imagine that monetary history is not an obsession for you like it has been for me, so I do not want to provide overly harsh criticism, but there are some corrections worth noting.
First, the archaeological evidence indicates that the first form of money was credit: favors were traded, and debts were recorded. Endogenous money can be created between any willing transactors, and exogenous forms of money are only necessary for scaling an economy or settling endogenous money balances. There is a strong argument that exogenous money was invented specifically to augment the more primordial endogenous money.
Second, gold is not deflationary and has historically not been deflationary. The amount of gold available for transacting inflates slowly over time. Gold did not naturally accumulate in Fort Knox -- it was confiscated by FDR in an idiotic attempt to bail out the banks by devaluing the dollar 40% overnight, which was one of a set of contradictory policies which prolonged the Great Depression. Gold itself is mildly inflationary, but credit created on top of gold supposedly redeemable for gold on demand is bound to eventually deflate though it is also inflationary until it reaches a tipping point of instability. During times of increasing prosperity, the growth in the supply of goods and services available in an economy will outpace the growth in the gold stock, so prices will tend to fall, but this is not deflation in the strictest sense.
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@NoBoilerplate The GIL is definitely an issue for concurrency/multithreading, but performance is slowly increasing, and there are options for gaining additional performance with PyPy, Cython, Numba, lru caching decorators, etc. It's more work and detracts from the allure of pure Python, but if performance is a big issue, then better performance can be achieved with a bit of additional effort.
Just as a random thought, I wonder if a new Python interpreter/JIT could be made with Rust that makes use of Rust's memory management. Would it be compatible with CPython? Would it have improved performance? Could it do away with the GIL? And if the answer to all those is "yes", would you be less disillusioned with it?
Edit: what are your thoughts on the multiprocessing library?
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@confucius12012 1. If you've done any hunting, you'll know that a kill shot does not guarantee an immediate pool of blood or even a discernable blood trail.
2. There is blood pooling under the right armpit/next to the torso of the guy in the center of the hall. The camera exposure adjustment accounts for the sudden appearance of the rest of the "streak" of blood, which is actually under the other guy's leg -- you may as well say that the outside world strangely came into existence and wasn't there previously.
3. It is a glass ornament in the flower bed (edit: on the rail around the flower bed). It is clearly visible as he walks in at 6:34-6:37 and again as he walks back in at 10:30.
4. Visible at 9:52; gone 10:26. Traffic cone in front of the gate was standing at 9:52 but has been knocked over from 11:44 on. People were escaping during the entire event; the car drove out suddenly, knocking over the cone, which is likely why he paused at 10:08 and gazed in the direction of that gate for a while.
5. Again, it was a glass ornament, and it was right there throughout the entire video.
6. Again, the entire outside world strangely isn't there and then is. Lighting mechanics be damned, the fake world is an outside job!
7. Again, it's a glass ornament.
8. He is likely still shooting at the first woman at 11:53, though we can't see due to camera angle.
9. & 10. The shoes coming off is the strangest thing in the video. Perhaps she had taken them off and was carrying them. We'll never know because he put a bullet in her shoulder and then in her head. My guess is that she slipped and fell (ground looked wet), but this one is definitely weird and the only objection that holds any merit.
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It is not a problem with feeling entitled. It is righteous indignation for being told that in a time of national suffering, the landlord cares so little about his fellow Americans that he is unwilling to shoulder any of the burden. "We might be at war, but I won't fight and you better bring me your goddamn potatoes, serf." If anything, it is the landlord who is acting entitled, and the tenants are reacting in kind. Had the landlord instead said "hey all, I know times are tough, and I want to help, but the reality is that we have fixed costs per tenant amounting to $X/month and non-essential expenditures of $Y/month (see attached spreadsheet), so I'd appreciate if we can work out a temporary deal where we figure out what we can cut and don't get foreclosed," the tenants wouldn't be rent striking. This is a totally justified response -- the last time the landed aristocrats said "let them eat cake," heads rolled. I have no sympathy for abusive landlords who refuse to do their patriotic duty during this crisis.
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