Comments by "D W" (@DW-op7ly) on "China Overtake US: How China Became a Superpower" video.

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  2.  @weetaoneo3081  In China in 2008 around 70% of the people in their real estate markets were buying their 1st homes in their cities By 2018 around 70% of the people in their real estate markets were buying their 2nd and 3rd homes in their cities That’s why you are hearing about problems with their property developers these days. Because back in 2010? Their Central Government started cutting of money flow to these developers. Thus why you heard about Shadow Banks and Underground Economy back then, that their Government had to come into to shutdown or regulate. Even then, It took them almost 14 years to get their overheated real estate under control Heck they were about to introduce a nation wide property tax, but then trump started the trade war in 2018 Why is their Central Government doing this? Because there are still a few hundred million poorer rural folk they still expect to move to the cities to join their more well off urban city folk countrymen. Problem is these property developers were building higher end homes, and not building the affordable homes these rural migrants will need In China Owning a home in the city you migrate to? Affects your employment, health, education and even marriage prospects don’t have a house you don’t get married Thus the common prosperity push and the crackdown on the overt displays of wealth in China Their Government probably figured out you disenfranchise the people at the bottom of your society they are the ones most likely to act out in protest
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  3. In China in 2008 around 70% of the people in their real estate markets were buying their 1st homes in their cities By 2018 around 70% of the people in their real estate markets were buying their 2nd and 3rd homes in their cities That’s why you are hearing about problems with their property developers these days. Because back in 2010? Their Central Government started cutting of money flow to these developers. Thus why you heard about Shadow Banks and Underground Economy back then, that their Government had to come into to shutdown or regulate. Even then, It took them almost 14 years to get their overheated real estate under control Heck they were about to introduce a nation wide property tax, but then trump started the trade war in 2018 Why is their Central Government doing this? Because there are still a few hundred million poorer rural folk they still expect to move to the cities to join their more well off urban city folk countrymen. Problem is these property developers were building higher end homes, and not building the affordable homes these rural migrants will need In China Owning a home in the city you migrate to? Affects your employment, health, education and even marriage prospects don’t have a house you don’t get married Thus the common prosperity push and the crackdown on the overt displays of wealth in China Their Government probably figured out you disenfranchise the people at the bottom of your society they are the ones most likely to act out in protest
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  4. The US shale oil industry has been borrow to drill and then borrow to drill some more to maintain production numbers That’s because the depletion/decline rates on those shale oil wells are horrendous From what I read even the high oil prices have only helped these oil companies one close to break even on that borrowed money where they hope to transition to natural gas In short all that money spent and borrowed mostly went to the corporations and banks 👇 Shale Wells Producing More Early On, Then Declining Faster Than Ever The challenge of sustaining shale production is growing larger. August 16, 2023 Production from the average US shale oil well is declining more rapidly every year, with the biggest losses by far in the Delaware Basin, according to a report from Enverus. Increasing rapid declines by many thousands of older wells are obscured by the rise in total production from new wells as the industry engineers completions to maximize early production. JPT 👇 DECLINE RATES IN THE BAKKEN SHALE For decades the oil industry has applied a simple rule estimating a constant “decline” rate in conventional oil wells. Typically production in an oil field declines at an annual rate of around 8% to 10%, absent further investment. This allows field production to be counted on for two decades or more. Shale oil development, however, has turned the rule of thumb on its head, with decline rates as much as 50% in the first year. In order to maintain oil shale production the industry must constantly drill new wells. IAEE
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