Youtube hearted comments of Nicholas Conder (@nicholasconder4703).

  1. 158
  2. 92
  3. 91
  4. 45
  5. 39
  6. 24
  7. 20
  8. 13
  9. 11
  10. 11
  11. 10
  12. 8
  13. 6
  14. Georgi, very good analysis of what happened with the mobilized troops. Based on what you are saying, Russia has been committing the prisoners and mobilized troops as cannon fodder in frontal assaults, which explains the huge losses we have seen over the last month. I'm probably lowballing the figure to be around 650 KIA per day on average, according to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense. Doing a quick bit of math, that means that Russia has lost around 18,000 KIA + 36,000 WIA = 54,000 casualties in the last month out of the recent mobilization, about 1/3 of the 140K who have been deployed thus far. At this rate they will have expended the bulk of their mobilized troops on the front lines fairly soon, given that a large number of the mobiks have to replace logistics troops lost due to munitions warehouses blowing up, supply trucks getting destroyed, etc. I also notice that in recent data that Russia is losing a lot of artillery, MLRS and logistics vehicles, all of which is good news for Ukraine. Losing the artillery means that Russia will find it harder and harder to advance (as they rely primarily on artillery to facilitate their attacks). Taking out the fuel and cargo trucks keeps the Russian forces tied more and more to the railroads, and reducing their mobility and making resupply far more difficult. One other thing I have noticed is that Russian High Command appears to be getting desperate. They are throwing troops and equipment into the line and incurring horrendous losses. This isn't just because they have figured this is a winning strategy - it isn't. Something must be going on behind the scenes that is creating this desperation. It is possible that the Russian economy is on the verge of collapse, and they feel they have to win the war now or face political turmoil at home. Or they are running out of certain supplies and equipment, and their military will no longer be able to conduct any offensive operations in the near future. Perhaps they are running out of aircraft parts, chips for their missiles, workers threatening to quit, who knows. But it seems to me that something is going on in Russia that we are not currently aware of that is driving these poorly planned, equipment and personnel-wasting offensives.
    5
  15. 5
  16. 5
  17. 4
  18. 4
  19. 4
  20. 4
  21. 4
  22. 4
  23. 3
  24. 3
  25. 3
  26. 2
  27. 2
  28. 2
  29. 2
  30. 2
  31. 2
  32. 1
  33. 1
  34. 1
  35. 1