Comments by "seneca983" (@seneca983) on "Detailed analysis of the Nile dam crisis, military \u0026 politics" video.

One more more factor to consider. It may be more beneficial for el-Sisi to keep the situation unresolved (at least as long as the dam doesn't cause actual damage to Egypt). Having an external threat is something that can keep the population behind him and rein in any potential internal challenges to his rule.
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It should be noted that even hydroelectric dams can lead to some loss of water as their reservoirs increase the surface area from which water can evaporate. However, that might not be such a big issue in this particular case since the GERD is in a cooler and less arid region than e.g. the Aswan dam and its reservoir has a much smaller surface area than Lake Nasser.
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Why would war be inevitable? To use the dam Ethiopia needs to let water through. That's how hydroelectric dams work.
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Hydroelectricity tends to be cheaper, especially in years past when the dam was decided on. Also, solar PV is variable; you need some other electricity source which can follow changes in solar output (and electricity demand) and hydroelectric dams are good for this purpose.
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That is true but there are still issues: 1) Egypt fears that Ethiopia will fill the reservoir too quickly leading to temporary, but possibly severe, water shortage in Egypt. 2) Egypt wants binding guarantees that Ethiopia will not restrict the Nile's flow too much even temporarily whereas Ethiopia doesn't want to give Egypt a veto on how it can use the dam. 3) Playing up an external threat can benefit el-Sisi in domestic politics.
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"Is it moral for ukraine to force its citizens into conscription to potentially die" You could ask the same question about Russia.
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@MohamedGamal-nk8on "egypt will collapse without the nile" At least so far there has been no damage to Egypt despite the filling of the reservoir having started and the dam is already producing electricity (which it can't do without letting water through).
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@abdelrahmanahmed2415 "egypt effectively managed fast and quick by having desalinating plants" I find that hard to believe. Based on some googling the share of desalination in Egypt's water supply is still quite small. "and having the reservoir at aswan dam continuosly pumping more" I also googled the Lake Nasser water levels and they don't seem to have declined after 2020 when the GERD reservoir started being filled (though I didn't find the very latest figures).
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Why would it be guaranteed?
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@mamdouh-Tawadros I don't think there have been any problems. Egypt's own reservoirs haven't run dry even though Ethiopia has already been filling the GERD's reservoir. Once it's filled water should flow normally.
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@max9074 "the dam enabeling more irrigation in ethiopia" At least according to what I've read there are currently no plans of using the dam for irrigation in Ethiopia. Even if it were used for irrigation, a lot of that would probably have to be in Sudan rather than Ethiopia due to the location.
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@niewpisze7493 I think the evaporation issue is that big in this particular case. The GERD is located in a cooler and less arid region than e.g. the Aswan dam and its reservoir has a notably smaller surface area than Lake Nasser (the Aswan dam's reservoir).
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