Youtube comments of seneca983 (@seneca983).

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  137. I have a couple of objections: 13:20 I'd say you could also justify changing the model if you can come up with a simpler one (which still fits experimental data). I don't know that much about particle physics but my impression has been that some of these proposed changes could at least plausibly be seen as simpler and/or more elegant. Supersymmetry is presumably more symmetric and therefore arguably simpler in a certain sense. Thus it doesn't seem like an unreasonable hypothesis. How much it makes sense to spend money to test this hypothesis is another question and I won't attempt to answer it here. 19:15 I think just saying "knowing the distribution is enough" falls short. If it's dark matter then we likely care about also knowing its composition and not just distribution. Trying to find its composition certainly isn't an easy task but if according to our observations the dark matter seems to be there and according to cosmological models only a portion of it can be explained by normal matter and/or neutrinos then it at least makes the hypothesis of "exotic" particles more likely than if didn't observe something that seems to imply dark matter which couldn't have a more "normal" composition. I'm not saying you should necessarily assign all that high probability to such hypotheses but it's at least higher than otherwise. Again, we might not care about knowing the composition so much that we would carry out these difficult and costly experiments to confirm or rule out some of the hypotheses we can come up with but I won't try to make that evaluation.
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  1552.  @Soshiaircon91  "doesn't seems worth it with economies still recovering from covid" Doesn't seem worth it? Whether it's worth it depends significantly on how bad you consider Russia being able to invaded unimpeded by sanctions. There is a good argument to be made that allowing countries to go on imperialist land-grabs without receiving a severe punishment for it would be very bad because then we could see a lot more of it in the future. The cost to Europeans from the sanctions and Russian counter-sanctions seem quite minor compared to what Putin subjecting Ukrainians to. "it is definitely not working as effectively as it is intended" Are you sure? Russia's central bank was predicting something like 9% contraction this year. Of course, there is a lot of uncertainty about such predictions. At least there isn't much to indicate that the sanctions aren't effective but it's hard to come by good figures because Russia has stopped publishing various kinds of data and some of the published data might be partially fabricated. I'm actually now more optimistic about the effectiveness of the sanctions. When the war began I thought they would not have a quick enough effect to affect the war. I was still in favor of them for the reason that it would seem dangerous to show that this kind of behaviour could go unpunished. Now it seems that the war is going to drag on long enough for the cumulative economic damage from the sanctions to eventually start affecting Russia's capability to continue prosecuting the war.
    3
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  1558.  @shanerooney7288  "The shutdown during the pandemic was NOT sustainable" But the comparison was to the pandemic recovery fund, not the shutdown. $75 billion is about 0.4% of the EU's GDP. That level of expenditure should be sustainable as long as the political will is there. "The EU hasn't recovered since the pandemic." I disagree. Unemployment rate in the EU is already below the pre-pandemic levels and has only gone down, not up, since the beginning of the current invasion. I'd argue that unemployment is usually a better indicator of how the economy is doing than inflation. (Admittedly, one thing that made lowering the unemployment rate easier is that it was rather on the high side earlier. However, I'd still say things have improved significantly since the pandemic despite the high inflation.) "And while inflation has lowered since the 2022 peak, it is still more than triple the 2018/2019 rate." Inflation back then was arguably too low to be healthy to the economy. At least it was below the ECB's 2% target. And if you think the rate of inflation determines what rate of expenditure to aid Ukraine is sustainable doesn't that mean that if inflation continues to go down the expenditure should at least become easy to afford somewhere during 2024? I would also like to point out that the pre-invasion inflation level in Russia was higher than current Eurozone inflation (and temporarily shot even higher once invasion started). Would you have predicted that that would make the much higher expenditure associated with war unsustainable?
    3
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  2294.  @08msteed  "That's an argument you could make" Of course, I personally would favor just a popular vote and thus I'm not in favor of the current geographic grouping of voters nor would I be in favor of racial, religious, nor any other such grouping. The argument was more of a rhetorical device as I expect that many who favor the EC for similar reasons as you wouldn't like e.g. racial or religious groupings getting their own electors even though many of the arguments in favor and against would be similar. "My concern is if we removed the electoral college and went with the purely popular vote Presidential candidates would have the incentive to focus exclusively on large population centers." I don't buy that at all for a couple of reasons: -There would be always at least some votes to be gained from catering to smaller groupings (geographic or otherwise) of voters (unlike current spectator states). -To some degree the point of election is that appealing to more voters increases one's chances of success. -You might similarly argue that currently candidates could totally ignore e.g. blacks and focus exclusively on whites if blacks aren't given more electors per populations. I don't see a reason to privilege geographic groupings over other kinds of groupings. -We can in fact observe candidates at least trying to cater to smaller racial groups and not only whites. Similarly, we can expect that they wouldn't exclusively focus on cities. "Still not a perfect system..." Similarly, a popular vote isn't a perfect system but I do believe that it's better than the status quo and your proposal. (I do think that your proposal would still be an improvement over the status quo, though.)
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  2762.  @mni892  "the US Congress recently passed a bill which ensures that the President can not unilaterally leave NATO" My understanding is that the POTUS still could, as the commander-in-chief of the US armed forces, prevent any direct military aid being sent to NATO members. "We as Americans know that if something happens in Europe, regardless of if it is any fault of our own. We will send our children to die for you. For decades we have watched as the Western European nations have reneged on their defense spending [...] For that matter it's also why you almost never hear our domestic politicians complain about the Eastern European states or Britain" Based on this it sounds like some Americans are seemingly being a bit inconsistent here (though I'm not saying you are). If some European NATO member is going to find itself under attack it's going to be one of the Eastern European countries and not e.g. Germany. Of course, the likes of Germany do probably still deserve some criticism because their militaries would be less capable of participating in the helping of those Eastern European countries than if their defense spending had been higher, but still. Another apparent inconsistency is almost never complaining about Britain. While Britain still is militarily powerful it has had some problems recently and I think it can be argued that France has done a better job of maintaining its military capabilities. Still, my impression is that Britain is complained less about that Britain. I suspect one reason is the deeper cultural and linguistic connection to Britain and at least if we go back to Bush years the French refusal to participate in the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
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  3426. ​@Andrew H "Inflation as a result of giving everyone free money without an accompanying increase in production doesn't actually do anything." Firstly, monetary policy is not conducted by "giving everyone free money" in any place I've heard of. Secondly, the point is that when there is cyclical unemployment expansionary monetary policy can increase production. It works by depressing real wages making hiring the unemployed cheaper and thus more profitable. "For Japan, they cannot just keep printing like you think. Their debt to GDP is 230%. If they keep printing like they did under Kuroda, they will end up like Greece when no one want's their bonds." There is no reason to believe that reaching, say, 2% inflation would make no one want their bonds. Presumably, investors would demand a 2% higher nominal return on their bonds but that's not a higher real rate. Also, the improved economy would make the risk of default lower. "Central banks were pushing on a string and had reached a point of very marginal return." Do you really think that a central bank that can (if needed) print unlimited amounts of money would somehow be unable to depress the value of that money? If that were true, we could finance all government with just money printing. Realistically, central banks can always increase inflation to, say, 2% with much less money printing that would be enough to finance the government in the long term. "The risk to future generations was too large." What risk is there? A bigger balance sheet is literally income for the government. The only risk of printing too much money is creating too much inflation. But I'm only calling for central banks to print enough money to meet their inflation targets, not more. Even if you disagree that inflation would reduce unemployment reaching 2% inflation is not high enough to create problems so there's no harm and the government would get (temporary) extra income from the requisite money printing.
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  3537.  @dicktracy3787 : "If central banks were good for the economy/people then counterfeiters would be also." If some of the monetary base is created by counterfeiters then the central bank has to create less money than otherwise to hit its inflation target thus earning less seigniorage. That means that typically counterfeiters don't really have a big macroeconomic effect but they directly reduce the seigniorage income the government earns so it's fairly understandable that governments want to combat counterfeiting. (I guess in extreme situations they might increase inflation but that probably doesn't seem common.) "Your justification is that central banks are only stealing a little from each person each year." My justification is that some inflation makes the economy operate more smoothly. Nominal prices and especially wages don't often react to changing situations fast enough so it's easier to adjust the money supply around them. Btw, I don't view e.g. taxes as theft so I don't view seigniorage either since it's similar from a certain point of view. Do you view all taxes as theft and support 0% tax rate? "BTW it is definitely 3-5%. The goal is 2% inflation in most western countries, plus the money supply has to grow at the same rate as the economy (1-3%)" But there's a number of problems with this. Just because there's 2% inflation doesn't mean that 2% of the economy disappears somewhere or anything. People who hold currency of course suffer some amount of real loss because of it and the government earns some income from the production of money. But 3-5% yearly growth rate of the money supply doesn't mean that these figures would be equal to 3-5% of the economy unless the supply of base money is equal to a year's GDP which it isn't. It's much less than that.
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  3577.  @electrodacus  "Is there a designed speed above wind speed that the vehicle will reach and then stay in equilibrium at that speed indefinitely ?" At some point drag will exceed the thrust that can be generated if the vehicle doesn't topple over before that. Of course, such limit is probably not explicitly designed. "How do you capture the wind energy when as far as the vehicle is concerned when you are traveling at say 2x wind speed the vehicle will now experience a head wind." It's because the propeller spins fast enough to generate thrust. The wind is still essential because the apparent headwind is slower than the speed of the ground relative to the vehicle. That's why the wheels can power the propeller. "If you take 5W from the wheel and put 4W out of propeller will the vehicle not slow down ?" No, because the force at the propeller is greater than the one at the wheels. "You can not say that 1W delta comes from the wind as air particles are now traveling in the opposite of vehicle direction at 2x the wind speed slowing the vehicle even more." You're looking at the inertial frame tied to the vehicle (at a particular moment)? I don't think it's the most intuitive frame to look at this. However, if you want to consider this frame, notice that here the ground contains kinetic energy because it's moving relative to the vehicle. So basically in it's own frame the vehicle will decelerate the ground and accelerate the air. Because the ground is moving faster than the air the former will release more energy than the latter consumes. The difference (minus some dissipative losses like friction) can be used to accelerate the vehicle.
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  3607.  @coolmodelguy  "The mechanics of stock buybacks dictate that buying back shares increases the value of existing shares" It does mean that the share price will be higher than if the money had been used for dividends instead of buybacks. However, in the article, they mentioned that they were calculating a total return index which includes the assumption that the hypothetical investor reinvests all dividends. In theory, there should be no difference between buybacks and dividends in such a case (ignoring e.g. taxes). "We are entering into an age of "Techno-Feudalism", where each American family sends a $5000 "wealth tax" directly to the oligarch class each year." I'm not sure what you're referring to but, in any case, I don't see why that would make the performance of the stock market surprising. "The first one shows that the wealthy gained $9.8 trillion in financial asset value in 2020." It shows the total wealth of all households (and nonprofits), not just the wealthy. In any case, I don't see why the wealthy gaining X dollars would somehow imply that the performance of the stock market surprising. "The third one shows that money printing shot straight up in 2020, with $13.73 trillion in new dollars created" This is monetary stimulus. It's not far-fetched to think that the markets expect it to improve the economy. "over 90% of that went straight to the stock market" That just doesn't make sense. Whenever someone buys stocks there's someone on the other side selling them and vice versa. There isn't money "going to the stock market" in the net (except when companies raise capital by issuing stock, but that's certainly not in the $10 trillion range). If you simply meant that the stock market has gone up because of the money printing it can simply be because the markets expect it to improve the economy. "tons of money being printed and none of that money getting into the hands of ordinary people" Money creation is income to the government.
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  4021.  @RogerGarrett  "according to the builders, the propeller is allowed to freely rotate, with nothing other than the wind causing it to rotate" No, that's not how it works and the builders aren't saying it is. The propeller is not allowed to spin freely and it spins to the opposite direction than the wind would turn it. "And at that very point the wind is no longer imparting a force against Blackbird, . . . because both the wind and Blackbird are moving in the same direction and the same speed relative to the ground." It's still imparting a force on the propeller because it's spinning. "Then the propeller is engaged and begins to spin" No, the propeller was engaged right from the beginning. "The critical question then becomes, "What causes the propeller to rotate, where does the energy come from that powers the propeller?" It is NOT being caused to rotate BY THE WIND, because in the current state there is no wind relative to the propeller." The wind does not directly rotate the propeller. Where the energy comes from depends on the inertial frame. In a frame tied to the ground it comes from the wind. In the frame tied to the air/vehicle (which are the same in this instance) it comes from the ground. Just because the wind doesn't directly spin the propeller doesn't mean the energy isn't coming from the wind, though that depends on the inertial frame used to look at the situation. "They cite explicitly that the power comes from the wheels, from their interaction with the ground." True. This in no way contradicts what I have said. "It COULD come from a gasoline engine on board the vehicle. It COULD come from a flywheel on board the vehicle. It COULD come from solar panels powering an electric motor attached to the propeller." Of course, I have not personally inspected the cart to know whether the builders have cheated in one of the ways you list. However, their record was certified by NALSA and trust them to have done a thorough enough inspection to know that no such energy sources are present. "And when the vehicle is travelling at the same speed as the ground-relative air movement, that vehicle-relative air movement is ZERO and therefore contributes nothing, no energy, to the vehicle." But in that frame of reference the ground is moving relative to the vehicle and that's where the energy comes from in that frame of reference. (In a frame tied to the ground the energy comes from the wind.) "Further, when the vehicle is travelling FASTER than the ground-relative air movement, that vehicle-relative air movement is AGAINST the forward movement of the vehicle and therefore REDUCES the energy, the movement, the speed of the vehicle." It doesn't because the propeller is spinning. "Again, it is the repeated claim by the makers of the Blackbird that it is interaction of the wheels with the ground that powers the vehicle. That means that they are saying: It is the motion of the vehicle itself that increases the motion of the vehicle. It is the speed of the vehicle itself that increases the speed of the vehicle. It is the momentum of the vehicle itself that increases the momentum of the vehicle. None of that can be true. It is simply physically impossible." It's not only the motion by itself. The interaction with the air and the ground is crucial. None of that is impossible.
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  4022.  @RogerGarrett  OK, here's my answer. (I'll consider the situation 2 only after my answers to 1 and 3, because that would distract from the main issue.) Situation 1 Yes, I agree that in this case the cart would eventually stop. Even if the propeller is spinning and providing thrust it's being powered by the wheels and the grip of the wheels must be providing at least as much deceleration as the propeller is providing acceleration. Situation 3 You said: "The only thing that the Blackbird experiences is the various forces imposed up on it by the Blackbird-relative air, which is ALWAYS a Blackbird-relative headwind, plus the standard friction losses." However, those are not the only forces. If the Blackbird only interacted with the air it indeed could not exceed wind speed. However, it also interacts with the ground which is crucial. The wheels are being used to drive the propeller which means they are constantly braking the cart. However, since the ground is moving relative to the cart faster (100 mph in your example) than the relative headwind (which is only 50 mph in your example) it means the cart can get mechanical advantage in using the wheels to power the propeller. This means the wheels brake the cart less than what the propeller pushes it forward by. That means the cart can accelerate. Situation 2 What about this situation? If you tried to use the same setup, i.e. the wheels powering the propeller, the cart would indeed stop even faster than in situation 1. However, you can do the reverse and use the propeller as a wind turbine and use it to power the wheels. This way you can again get mechanical advantage and accelerate beyond wind speed. Blackbird can operate like this as well and has gone upwind faster than the wind (but by a smaller factor than downwind)
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  4023.  @RogerGarrett  "The ONLY way that the cart could continue moving at that higher-than-wind-speed is if there is some OTHER force driving the cart. You claim that it's the wind. But the cart-relative wind is a HEADWIND, a drag force, just like in Situation 1" If we're talking about forces the accelerating thrust isn't there merely because of the wind. The cart achieves acceleration from its interaction with the air because the propeller is spinning. I think we can agree that a sufficiently fast spinning propeller can accelerate the cart. The only question is that can it be powered by the wheels alone or does it need another power source to avoid decelerating. "Situation 1 and Situation 3 the cart-ground relative speed is exactly the same. The cart receives the exact same amount of energy from the system in either case. How much it receives is NOT dependent on what the ambient air might be doing." Yes, but in situation 3 the cart is able to use that same energy for greater acceleration. Let's take an example. Energy is force times distance. Let's assume the cart travels the distance of 1m (at a speed of 100 mph) and the grip of the wheels provides 1N of decelerating force (arbitrary number). Now on this 1m stretch the cart can extract 1m x 1N = 1J of energy from the ground to power the propeller. Since the relative headwind is only 50 mph the air travels only 0.5m relative to the cart during that 1m stretch. Let's assume the same 1J (no losses) is used to provide thrust. How big is the thrust. Again, energy is force times distance so we get 0.5m x F = 1J and from this we can solve that F=2N, i.e. the accelerating force from the propeller is twice as much as the decelerating force from the wheels. This is the mechanical advantage. In reality there will be some losses but as long as this mechanical advantage is big enough it can overcome those losses (and the drag on the frame of the cart) and the cart can accelerate even with relative headwind.
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  4024.  @RogerGarrett  "The end of the shorter section of the beam moves as a result of the movement of the long section with the end of the shorter section moving through a shorter distance but with a higher force." And that's also what's happening with Blackbird. The air is moving less relative to the cart than the ground. "But then you look at the Propeller section of the vehicle and note that, relative to the ambient (Ground-relative) wind, it's going a much shorter distance (half the distance, in fact), and from that you calculate that there is TWICE the Energy there." No, I calculated twice the force, not energy. I assumed the same energy, just like with an actual lever. Check again the numbers I used (though they're just made up examples). Most of the rest of your comment seems to be based on this same misunderstanding. I never said the energy would be multiplied by mechanical advantage. "The situation starts with figuring out how much Energy you can tap into from the momentum of the vehicle, from the speed at which the mass of the vehicle is travelling relative to the ground. That gives you a baseline, maximum amount of energy that's available." No, that's hardly the maximum because the cart can extract energy from its surroundings (either the air or the ground depending on what inertial frame you're using). "Leaves me wondering why you're not using that increased air velocity to calculate a LARGER distance travelled and thereby LESS Energy." Because the propeller, if well designed, mostly pushes the air backwards. It doesn't accelerate to spin with it at high velocity. That would obviously be inefficient. The angle of attack of the propeller's blades are chosen such that these kinds of losses are not too large.
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  4025.  @RogerGarrett  "When you've got some object moving at some speed through the air it does not matter that the air may also be moving in the same direction of the object." True, if the object is interacting only with that air. However, here the air is moving relative to the ground and the cart is interacting with both of them which is the reason why it's possible to extract energy from them. "But if the propeller acquires its energy from the very momentum of the object itself that momentum will, must, reduce over time, with the result of the object slowing down." But this isn't really an accurate description. You have tended to look at the situation in the inertial frame tied to the cart (at a specific instance). In this frame the ground is moving relative to the cart and therefore has kinetic energy. In this frame it's the kinetic energy of the ground which causes the wheels, and therefore the propeller, to spin. The ground then slows down by a minuscule amount. Thus the cart (and the air) are able to gain kinetic energy. (In a frame tied to the ground the energy would be coming from the wind instead but let's use the frame tied to the cart instead because you have tended to focus on it.) It's like in your lever example. A lever doesn't multiply energy because the force and distance change by the same factor. However, you can still impart kinetic energy on an object through a lever. A similar thing is happening with Blackbird. The energy is coming out of the ground or the air (depending on frame) and the lever-like mechanical advantage is crucial for that being possible (but it doesn't multiply the energy extracted). "And if the Blackbird can indeed extract energy from the air when that air is actually a headwind, imparting a drag force on it, then why doesn't that also apply to the situation where there is no wind, when the air is stationary relative to the ground?" It's because of the mechanical advantage. If you remember my example with numbers. The air was travelling half the speed of the ground relative to the cart. Because of that the accelerating force from the propeller could be twice as large as the decelerating force from the wheels (assuming no losses). If, on the other hand, the air and the ground are travelling at equal speeds then there is no mechanical advantage. The accelerating and decelerating forces would be equal meaning zero acceleration and if you include losses or drag on the cart's frame then it would decelerate.
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  4582.  @cklinger500  "It is also true that when taxes is increased, people have less money to spend, and as a result demand decreases." But I think this argument is flawed for the following reason. If we assume constant government spending collecting more taxes will lead to less government borrowing. So the government is taking more money from the public through taxation but an equal about less through borrowing so there shouldn't be much net effect. If we instead assume more taxation leads to more government spending the conclusion still shouldn't change. In that case, the government is taking more money from the public through taxation but returning more money to the public through spending so again, I see no reason for much net effect. "the fact that interest rates around the world have been super low near zero for like 13 years and there still is yet to be any meaningful inflation" At least I personally could respond that low inflation should result in low interest rates through the Fisher effect. At any rate, it would seem very strange if the monetary policy couldn't increase inflation if it's loose enough. What would happen if the central bank would announce that they're going to expand their QE program by, say, 5% each month until the inflation target is reached. Either the inflation target will be reached or soon the central bank and the government is earning so much money through seigniorage that there's no need for taxation anymore. Of course, the latter scenario is too good to be true so the inflation target should be reached far before that point. "which is what is supposed to happen according to neoclassical economics" Which neoclassical model or argument are you talking about here? Can you give a reference because this sounds rather strange to me. Also, I thought the neoclassical school was mostly about micro, not macro. (Disclaimer: I'm not an economist. I'm just a layman interested in the subject.)
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  4584.  @cklinger500  "Government borrowing isn’t actually a necessity today since the US dollar is a free floating currency. [...] One of my points from before is that taxes do not “pay for” government spending. This is because under this framework, there is no inception point of money." But neither of those points makes sense. That the currency is free floating or "there is no inception point of money" (whatever that means) doesn't mean that spending needn't be funded somehow. The goverment needs either income (which is usually mostly taxes) and/or it needs to borrow (usually by bond issuance). Note that this is again the thing that UE considered weird about MMT (except you're going a bit further in saying that it's not just taxes that are unneeded for spending but borrowing as well). "When people buy bonds, they are pretty much getting a savings account (something with interest returns and also a maturity date), so if anything these bonds are increasing the amount of money that the general public has." It doesn't really. First, the various definitions of money, M0, M1, M2, etc. don't include bonds. Maybe you think some alternative definition would be better but bonds are rather different from at least M1 money. You can't pay groceries with bonds. Also, bonds have a market value which can fluctuate when interest rates fluctuate, possibly by a lot if it's a very long maturity bond. Also, some bonds (TIPS) are indexed to inflation. "QE is just the replacing of securities to reserves in the banking system. It is a misconception that QE is just when the government mass prints a smack ton of money." But there isn't really much difference assuming that "smack ton" would be given to the government to spend. Either the Fed could (electronically) print X dollars for the government to spend or the government could borrow X dollars for that spending via bonds and the Fed just buys those bonds off from the market. The end result is pretty much the same so there's no difference. "What I meant my neoclassical is just mainstream economics. The neoclassical argument I was referring to is the argument that lowering interest rates leads to more people borrowing. As a result of more people borrowing, that will lead more people to spend, and if the interest rate is too low, the economy will be become overheated and lead to inflation." I don't think there's quite this kind of mainstream consensus. Do you consider e.g. Milton Friedman to have been mainstream or heterodox? He remarked that low interest rates are usually not a sign that the monetary policy is loose but rather that it has been tight. Both the low interest rates and low inflation are the result of tight monetary policy.
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  4585.  @cklinger500  "The way spending is “funded” in the US federal gov is when the Fed changes numbers in bank accounts, creating new money after Congress appropriates the money." That's not the case. Spending is handled from Treasury General Account (at the New York Fed). When the government pays someone their account balance is increased and the balance in the TGA reduced so no new (base) money is created. Similarly, the balance in the TGA is increased when receipts from e.g. taxes and bond emissions come in. In those cases the balance in the payer's account goes down so again the amount of (base) money doesn't change. If the Fed just increased the balance in the TGA without any corresponding payment from elsewhere that would increase the supply of base money. It would effectively be a type of QE. Theoretically, monetary policy could be handled that way but currently Fed is banned from doing that. They implement their monetary policy by buying securities, usually government bonds on the secondary market. "It is illogical to assume taxes or selling bonds fund the federal government because without money being created, there would be nobody being able to pay taxes." Taxes could still be paid as long as there's money in circulation. Even if no new base money were created anymore taxes could still be paid using the money in circulation (though not creating money anymore would be bad monetary policy and would likely harm the economy). "The gov selling bonds is completely necessary under a fixed exchange rate b/c it would restrict the currency that the gov doesn’t create." That makes no sense. Inflows into the TGA need to at least match the outflows or else the balance would eventually go to zero. Most of the inflows are taxes and borrowing (through bonds). Those are needed to fund spending (assuming no increased money creation by just increasing the balance in the TGA). "but you can convert treasury bonds into US dollars" A lot of things can be converted into US dollars. Stocks can very easily be converted into US dollars but we don't call that money or say that a company issuing new stock is expanding the money supply. Bonds are similar. The Fed buying bonds at the very least expands the supply of base money. I would also say that it does more expand the money supply because bonds are not included in the definion of "money". "I do not understand what this and the rest of your response to what I said about QE has to do with QE?" I mean, the main effect of QE is that it increases the supply of base money. That the Fed puts this money into circulation by buying bonds is secondary. "I considered this the mainstream consensus because it is what I learned in school [...] I wouldn’t consider those specific remarks by Milton Friedman mainstream because of this." Fair enough, but at least my perception is that the acceptance isn't as wide as you say, and this way several economists (e.g. Scott Sumner) who would at least broadly be classified as neoclassical wouldn't be "mainstream" on this issue. FWIW, I don't accept that description either though I'd think I don't stray all that far from economics mainstream.
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  4586.  @cklinger500  "Scott Pelly: is that tax money that the fed is spending?" Note that he's asking how the Fed (i.e. the Federal Reserve) spends money, not how the Treasury spends money. "This proves that when the fed gov spends..." No, it doesn't. He was talking about how the central bank a.k.a. the Fed spends money. "my point was that by logical necessity, the gov must spend first, and then tax and “borrow.”" It's not a logical necessity as long as there currency in circulation. That can be used to pay for bonds or to pay taxes. "Or below zero, the federal deficit is the balance if my understanding is correct." But that's not correct. A deficit means that expenditures exceed income. The difference is covered mostly by borrowing (through bonds). The inflow from borrowing keeps the TGA from being depleted. That's still a deficit because the borrowing doesn't count as income. "I would consider stock a form of money." Well, then you're pretty radically departing away from how almost everyone defines "money". Do you consider real estate a form of money? It too can usually be converted to cash (albeit with some effort and delay). "I wouldn’t say that a company issuing new stock is expanding the money supply for the reason that the money is already existent somewhere in the private sector(no net financial assets are created)" I don't think this makes sense. When investors pay for the new stock with money that money also still exists even afterwards in the company's bank account. (I don't consider stock a form of money but I wanted to comment anyway.) "issuance of treasury bonds with interest rates above zero implies more money in the private sector that can be used to buy groceries eventually" Issuance of bonds with interest doesn't imply more money. "This is misleading because if you consolidate the Fed’s and the treasury’s balance sheets into a single balance sheet, then QE does not actually expand that balance sheet." The balance sheet is expanded. Both the assets and liabilities (when base money is considered liabilities for the Fed).
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  4627.  @metatronyt  But "burnish" and "burn" are different words and I think their etymologies are different too. From what I can tell from your videos it seems that the "bronze glowing in a furnace" description was in the New Testament in Greek and the "burnished bronze" description of cherubim was in the Old Testament in Hebrew. Of course, I don't know any Greek or Hebrew so I can't check these myself so I have to rely on your videos and other translations. However, these seem somewhat different descriptions. Bronze that has been heated in a furnace to the point of liquefaction actually glows due to the high temperature. Burnished bronze doesn't glow but the surface is shiny/glossy due to being so reflective due to being smooth. I don't have an etymological dictionary but here's what Wiktionary says about the etymology of "burnish" (i.e. it's not related to "burn"): "The verb is derived from Middle English burnishen, burnysshen (“to polish, burnish; (figuratively) to brighten, give lustre to; to clean (something) until shiny; to decorate (with something shiny), adorn”) [and other forms], from burniss-, a stem of Old French burnir (compare, for example, the first-person present singular indicative form burnis), a variant of brunir (“to make clean and shiny, polish; to make brown”) (modern French brunir), from Frankish *brūnijan (“to polish, make resplendent”), from Proto-Germanic *brūnijaną (“to decorate; tan”), from Proto-Germanic *brūnaz (“brown”, adjective), possibly from Proto-Indo-European *bʰerH- (“brown”, adjective)."
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  4718.  @charlesyang4923  "Will all NATO member states willing to take risk waging a nuclear war with Russia because of Finland or any Baltic state?" I think there is at least a good chance that they would defend the Baltics or Finland. Russia's nuclear doctrine only calls for the use of nuclear weapons if the existence of the state is threatened. Thus merely defending Baltic or Finnish soil without an attempt to push into Russia should not cause a nuclear response. Also, letting Russia gobble up unwilling neighbors by using nuclear blackmail would be too risky of a precedent to set and almost certainly lead to nuclear proliferation which is something the other NATO member would like to avoid. But most importantly, I don't think Russia would risk invading a NATO member which makes membership a great security boon even if the Article 5 were a total bluff (which I don't think it is). "Always remind oneself threat is always acting counterproductive and reciprocal, so why keep pushing NATO military power to Russia doorstep without thinking Russia will do the same towards NATO." What would be Russia doing the same? Admitting new CSTO members bordering NATO countries? I don't see a problem with that (as long as those countries join willingly). If you say e.g. the Baltic countries or Finland shouldn't be NATO members then could we similarly demand that e.g. Belarus shouldn't be a CSTO member nor host any Russian troops? "Why not consider develop indivisible security within European continent including Russia and Europe but excluding US who has repeated shown its war-mongering ego." How would that be done? Remember that most European countries don't trust Russia. Your suggestion would need to take that into account and provide safety to e.g. the Baltic countries from Russia that's based on something more tangible than just a promise given by Russia (which can't be trusted).
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  4866.  @nc3826  ""Single use plastic disposable bags" was just a specific counterpoint example, of your generalized assertion that disposable products can be more environmentally sound." I don't see how one example would in any way contradict what I said. I only said that for some products recycleability doesn't make sense, not all. Also note that recycleability and durability are two different things. OP was only talking about recycleability, not durability, and my response was aimed at that too, not so much durability. FWIW, where I live plastic bags are recycled, at least if consumers put them in the right bin. "Plus you could have given a different example, instead you mentioned, shoes?" Shoes are a specific example of a product that would be too difficult to recycle once they are too worn out to be used anymore. How would you recycle them? It makes more sense to e.g. just burn them for energy than to recycle the material in them. (Sometimes burning is called "thermal recycling" but I don't think that comports with what people usually think of as recycling.) "My true salient point, is the economic principles I gave earlier, based on negative externalities." Yeah, negative externalities can exist. How big they are depends on the case. I'm just saying that in some cases they're not big enough to warrant recycling (or recycling could itself have too much negative externality). On the other hand, in some cases recycling does make sense. If you're worried about the negative externality of plastic bags, you can implement a Pigouvian tax on them like some places have.
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  5541.  @neilsaunders6009  Here are some reasons. These are not decisive arguments but I think they're reasons to lean more to the side of the Russians having done this: -Back when the Ukrainians were bombarding the bridge going along the dam with HIMARS in preparation for the Kherson offensive, they judiciously avoided damaging the dam by bombarding the part at the southern end where the bridge curves away from the dam. This seems to indicate that they don't want to damage the dam. -The Ukrainians would probably most prefer to recapture the dam intact because it's a valuable asset whereas the Russians might prefer to destroy it over the Ukrainians getting it back. -The dam was still under Russian control. That would make it easier for them to blow up the dam since they can lay explosives (or have them laid in advance) rather than having to try bombard the dam with something. -I see no obvious reason for the Ukrainians to destroy the dam now (rather than earlier). The most advantageous time would probably have been during the Kherson offensive before the Russian troops withdraw to the Left Bank possibly trapping them and hindering supply. If the motivation were to reduce the water supply to Crimea it would also make sense to destroy the dam as early as possibly as opposed to only now. If the reason was to make crossing the Dnieper upstream of the dam easier it would also have made sense to destroy it earlier. -As far as I know, the Russians haven't after their withdrawal from the Right Bank crossed the Dnieper whereas the Ukrainians have (though these have been rather small scale operations). Thus the flooding seems to affect Ukrainian operations more than Russian ones. -A few months ago the Russians had left one of the sluice gates open lowering the water level a lot in the reservoir. This may indicate that they prefer some flooding downstream, possibly to make the Ukrainian crossings more difficult. -Recently they have done the opposite and let the reservoir fill to a very high level. This is suspicious and may indicate a motive to cause flooding.
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  5875. +Luceafarul Thanks for answering, as this is quite interesting. You mention the threshold for intelligibility. But one can just as well argue that the foreigners' mispronunciations of Mandarin differ more from the native pronunciation than their possible mispronunciation of Italian would differ from native Italian. Also, I'm not convince your alternative criterion is necessarily better. I have two issues with it. Firstly, how large part of the vocabulary needs to be different? Of course, you could pick some arbitrary amount like e.g. 80%. Secondly and more seriously, how different does a word need to be to count as a different word. Presumably e.g. English 'father' and German 'Vater' are similar enough that they count as "same" word? But what about Frech 'père'? All these three are cognate and have slowly drifted apart starting from Proto-Indo-European. Elsewhere you mention intelligibility between different Chinese languages/dialects in writing. However this is at least partly because of the nature of the logographic script which makes intelligibility between languages much easier than an alphabetic or a syllabic script would. At least you can't count a word in two dialects to be the same just because it's written with the same hanzi. You might just as well say that the word 'and' is the "same" in a lot of languages because you can write it with the '&' sign in all of them. Of course the more interesting point (than the definition of the word 'language') is how big the difference between say Mandarin and Cantonese is compared to the difference between say Italian and Spanish or English and Swedish. Do you think Mandarin and Cantonese are more similar than Italian and Spanish? Metatron seems to say that they aren't.
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  5878. +Luceafarul I'm not trying to strawman your points. I'm only asking for clarifications. "It's the same word, they are both understood as the same word. They just pronounced a bit differently." What I wanted to know was how do you decide, how differently the words have to be pronounced before they count as different words. As dialects diverge into different languages words (at least some of them) do eventually become "completely" different. But the process is gradual. Similarly (wherever you draw the line) the entire lexicon changes gradually. I was just curious and wanted to know where roughly you would draw the line of counting words or lexicon's as different. E.g. if two languages/dialects have 80% same words and 20% different ones, would you count them as same or different languages? I'm not asking for a precise definition, just a rough guideline. "Using intelligibility as a criterion the mandarin Chinese spoken by Robert Downey Jr. And Gal Gadot is not Mandarin Chinese apparently." Before you gave the example: "imagine if there arises a demographic of people who spoke Mandarin Chinese as bad as Robert Downey Jr. or Gal Gadot in Wonder Woman, would you then say that what they are speaking is no longer Mandarin Chinese?" If this demographic could communicate with that language among themselves, it might indeed count, by the definitions used by linguists, as a separate language from Mandarin, though still a closely related one. It would probably also count as a creole language. A real example that's at least somewhat similar to this is Tok Pisin, which takes the majority of it's vocabulary from English, but still you probably can't understand it even if you know English. I think most would count Tok Pisin as a different language from English. Here's what it sounds like: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H61y75G0A24 "Nobody only classifies a language based on what it sounds like" To my understanding the genetic/genealogical categories are classified precisely based on that. At the very least you can say that the spoken Chinese languages are indeed different languages. "Metatron here also did not only talk about SPOKEN language." I meant that Metatron meant, calling Chinese languages different languages is, I think, based on spoken language (and saying that they're more different than Italian and French and sometimes even Italian and English). "Did I say Chinese is THE MOST continuous language EVER?" No, and I did not mean to suggest that. Icelandic was just an interesting tidbit, which I wanted to mention. My comment may have inadvertently sounded aggressive, which is not what I wanted convey. If that's the case, I apologize.
    1
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  5880. +Luceafarul "It means you are arguing for little details instead of trying to understand what the person's main points and arguments are." A lot of what you called strawman arguments were not arguments at all but questions I asked to understand your points better. "Why don't you ask the EXACT same question regarding intelligibility?" Of course, this is an interesting question I would like to ask from a linguist. I didn't mention the fuzziness/arbitrariness as a critique against your definition, I just wanted to understand your preferred definition better. "Which is why I reject the definition of the linguists" To me it doesn't seem in any way problematic that that kind of hypothetical foreigner created from of English might count as a separate language. So I don't personally see that as a reason to eschew the standard linguistic definition. "And btw, how large should the "demographic" be for it to become another language?" I don't think the size matters so it could be pretty much arbitrarily small. But you need at least 2 people to consider intelligibility, because the demographic needs to be able to at least communicate among themselves using it. "Can I learn [Tok Pisin] just by the English of lexicon?" I suspect not, but I don't think that I could learn Cantonese just by learning the Mandarin vocabulary and grammar either. "I on the other hand have pointed out boat loads of problems intelligibility has that my criterion does not have." I don't really see those as problematic. E.g. to me, counting your hypothetical creole derived from Mandarin as a different language seems more natural than saying it's still Mandarin.
    1
  5881. + Luceafarul "Then there is no distinction between a language and a dialect or even accent." The distinction is fuzzy and there are disagreements on where to draw the lines (which probably can't be avoided with alternative definitions either). The example you gave was Robert Downey Jr's attempt at speaking Mandarin which you didn't understand at all or even recognize that it was supposed to be Mandarin. Despite fuzziness in the intelligibility criterion, this one would seem to clearly stray too far from Mandarin to meet it by any reasonable account. Now I don't think Robert Downey Jr can actually communicate with anyone using his "Mandarin", but if hypothetically there was a group of people who could communicate speaking like that, it doesn't seem unreasonable to me to call that a language that is separate from Mandaring (but closely related to it). And you can still draw similar boundaries between languages elsewhere with the intelligibility criterion. Of course, there is going to be hard cases (like Papuan languages) but I don't think there's a definition that can avoid those. "In fact, there would also be no such thing as "good" or "bad" language skills" Generally the goal is to understand and be understood by some group of people (like native speakers of some language) and generally use the language in a similar manner to them. You can say that a person's skill in doing that is good or bad. "or even "right" or "wrong" usage of a language" Well, when linguists study languages, it's often useful for them just describe how people use language etc. rather than saying whether the use is "right" or "wrong". https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linguistic_description When it comes to dialects say with small differences in pronunciation, you don't usually say that one dialect is "correct" and the other "incorrect", do you? (One of the dialects may be considered "standard", but that doesn't make the other "incorrect" even if for foreign learners of that language it might be practical to aim to speak close to the "standard" dialect.) "Metatron speaks is not mandarin but a form of "creole" Mandarin." I don't speak Chinese, so I don't know how close to Metatron's Mandarin is to native speakers' Mandarin, but got the idea that he can actually communicate with native Mandarin speakers. That's very different from Robert Downey Jr's unintelligible "Mandarin".
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  6598.  @domtweed7323  "Thus the principle borrowed, the stock, doesn't create inflation, but it's associated flows do." It doesn't create inflation as no new money is created. Even if it did create money a real project would also create similar flows of interest and capital gains to the project initiator (if it is successful). "And I agree money is printed, but the relevant thing isn't the volume of money, it's the ratio of demand to real output." Demand in nominal terms is to a large degree determined by the amount of money. The amount of money is what mostly matters. Other things are not very relevant for inflation. "And if you blindly hike interest rates you hammer productive investments and speculators simultaneously." The point isn't to "hammer" anyone. Lower inflation requires less money printing. There's no alternative, even if it might mean a temporary recession. Accelerating inflation would/will do more damage. "The smart strategy is to ration credit away from speculators, and consumers, and allow real investment to boom. Yes you'll still have low double digit inflation, but you'll be able to harness the massive growth potential of a developing economy." Any such strategy will not contain the rampant inflation. There is no alternative to rate hikes. "Turkey could be doing explosive, China-style growth (incidentally China also kept interest rates very low, and ran inflation high), and its not worth missing out on that just for single digit inflation." Inflation is well into the double digits and soon into the triple digits. That's notably higher than China had. Also, China used a currency peg unlike Turkey. The inflation needs to be contained or it will soon cause more damage than rate hikes would. There's just no alternative to rate hikes.
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  6651.  @davidedeus12  "how grateful I'm for the generosity of the blessed landlord to allow me to survive after an exhausting day in a F#CKING WARDROBE for the low low price of my kidney!" First, I never claimed this was out of generosity but merely that landlords are responding to real demand here. Secondly, if you live in a place where an apartment the size of a wardrobe costs a (metaphorical) kidney then there is no easy way to make things better. Clearly then that area is in high demand because people are willing to pay so much for so little. If housing wasn't divided into wardrobe sized units then a lot of people would just be forced out of there altogether which is not good either. Whose to blame in such a place an what can be done. The only thing that would be a good solution would be to build more housing. If that isn't being done its (generally) not the fault of the landlords. Sometimes the city council might not allow some areas to be developed or limits how high buildings can be. There may be good reasons for that but it also has a real cost which can't magically get around by blaming landlords. Sometimes due to limitations of geography you simply cannot reasonably build more even without legal/political limitations. In such a case you just have to live with the fact that some resources (such as space in a high-demand place) are limited. "We have enough houses for almost everyone but they are rent too high to pay." That's rather hard to believe. If a landlord sets the rent so high that they don't get tenants then that hurts their wallet. Generally, you'd expect them to set rents low enough that they still get a tenant (but not lower). "The number of empty houses speculating in the market is ridiculously high." I have a hard time believing that that kind of speculation where you don't even try to get a tenant represents a significant part of the housing stock in most places. That kind of speculator also isn't even a landlord and thus falls outside the scope of this video. Note that when you read news articles saying things like "X number of apartments are empty in city Y" they're often misleading numbers. You'd have to actually check how that number is counted. Often they may e.g. count every apartment which is without a tenant some time during a year even if it's a very short period (e.g. for a couple of weeks between tenants due to renovation) and for the most of the year it's occupied; it counts as a whole unoccupied apartment even though it's unoccupied only for 5% of the year. Sometimes also apartments may be empty on paper but occupied in reality (as a form of tax fraud).
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  7103.  @politenonparticipant4859  "the important bit is that it prevents their claim of copyright infringement official, so if they do make a string of false claims, there is a record of everyone they have scammed. If the dealing is done under the table, it would be difficult or impossible to prove how many people they cheated" Any emails sent, like the one the Thunderf00t received, leaves just as much trail as those can be published (and a DMCA notice doesn't become public automatically). "A DMCA notice would not be any less expensive to the person whose video was taken down, except perhaps in that it would delay the release of the video." It can easily be a lot more expensive. It could result in a copystrike and, if it's a third one, deletion of their channel. "As to your statement regarding the impropriety of threatening legal action on someone who has stolen your work, that is true. The matter at hand here is that the work isn't stolen if it is covered by fair use." That has nothing to do with whether it's better to first initiate private contact or go straight to a DMCA notice. In this case, Mahlmann had clearly considered fair use before sending his email. In such a case, both a private email and a DMCA notice are valid options but I would say the former is generally morally better because sometimes unnecessary damage can be avoided if the infringer is willing to settle. (If the copyright holder hasn't considered fair use, then he shouldn't be doing either of the options before proper due diligence.)
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  7279.  @elainelouve  "I think we would need to define what does permission mean in this case?" In this case the homeowner had just notified the board that he's going to install a heat pump (i.e. he didn't ask for permission). The board's reply was that they're not allowing the installation of heat-pumps to any apartments. The homeowner went ahead with the installation anyway. The board ordered it to be removed. However, the ruling by the appellate court (affirmed by the supreme court) was that in this case the homeowner had the right to install the heat-pump if he just notifies the board and the installation doesn't cause problems (e.g. noise or damage to load-bearing structures). "This has been in the law since 2010, as condo owners only own shares, not the walls." The supreme court's ruling was basically that this doesn't apply to the section of the wall between the rooms and the balcony. From the ruling: "Muutostyöoikeuden on vakiintuneesti katsottu koskevan huoneiston sisäpuolisia toimenpiteitä. Siltä osin kuin rakennuksen ulkoseinä sijaitsee osakkeenomistajan hallinnassa olevan huoneiston ja huoneistoon kuuluvan parvekkeen välissä, ulkoseinä jää osakehuoneistoon kuuluvan alueen sisäpuolelle. Huoneisto, sen vieressä sijaitseva parveke ja näiden välissä oleva osa rakennuksen ulkoseinää muodostavat luonnollisen ja kiinteän kokonaisuuden. Kokonaisuuden vähäisen osan, parvekkeen kohdalla olevan rakennuksen ulkoseinän, erottaminen muutostyöoikeuden suhteen osakehuoneistoon kuuluvasta kokonaisuudesta olisi keinotekoinen ja käytännön tarpeita vastaamaton ratkaisu."
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  7468.  @jamesng7320  "Why does it matter so much what their name is? Suffice that they are the ones who are de-facto in government due to their influence." Their names matter because then it's possible to try to check if these individuals actually have any significant influence over the government. The fact that you haven't been able to name any suggests that such individuals don't exist. "According to the UN, 14000 people have been killed in the Donbass in the past 8 years including civilian and military on both sides. The present war has only killed around 3,000 people according to the same UN. If the current war succeeds in bringing sustainable peace then there will be no more dying." That 14,000 figure is from the Ukrainian government, not the UN. The UN gives a slightly lower figure of 13,100-13,300. Most of these deaths happened early in that 8 year period. Later the rate of deaths was lower so the present invasion is going to increase deaths, not reduce them. Also, even the lowest figure of deaths for the present invasion is about 4,400 and the true figure is likely much higher as this figure uses the casualties reported by the Ukrainian and Russian governments both of which are likely to understate their own casualties. "Russia did think about just invading the Donbass, but then Ukraine would have likely mobilized and assaulted Russian positions. This made the operation to demilitarize Ukraine necessary." That makes zero sense. Ukraine likely would not have dared to do so and even if it did just defending is much easier than attacking so it would have been an easier military task for Russia (and sanctions would likely have been lighter too). "It is simply a threat Moscow cannot live with and they have every right to respond to it." There's no such right for a pre-emptive invasion (or else you could say that invading Russia pre-emptively would have been OK too). Ukraine was unlikely to join NATO, at least any time soon and even if it did there's no reason to assume any such missiles would be placed there. "Did you see what the US did when Cuba stationed Soviet missiles in 1962?" Back then missiles in Cuba (and Turkey) were a much bigger deal because ICBMs were few, inaccurate, and unreliable. Today ICBMs render Cuba-like situations largely irrelevant. Also, it's not clear that the US's response was justified (even though it wasn't even a full-scale invasion).
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  7469.  @jamesng7320  "Even if you had the name of someone like that how could you tell if they had influence or they don't have influence? This kind of thing is very hush, hush and no government wants to admit that it is being held hostage by its own military." I could at least try to check what info is available. If it's really so "hush, hush" then how are you able to know it? You're basically just making stuff up. "Russia says that have intelligence on Ukraine that suggests they would have mobilized if they had only gone into Donbass." Where does Russia say that? Do you have a source? In any case, it seems unlikely that Ukraine would invade Donbas in such a scenario. "I choose to take Russia's word." But that's not rational. Would you consider it rational if some person similarly just took the Ukrainian government's word without any evidence when it comes to this conflict? Just believing the Russian government without skepticism would be at least as irrational. "And they say that defending against this mobilization would be more difficult than conducting the special military operation." Where does Russia say that? Do you have a source? In any case, such claims would not be credible since defending is usually much easier than attacking. "According to your logic, Israel has no right to do such a thing" It might be. I don't know enough to make a definitive judgment. A full-scale invasion is a much more clear-cut case. "All I'm saying is that more powerful countries always act like this if they see a threat to themselves emerging in a neighbouring weaker country." All I was saying was that many such actions are not justifiable, the present invasion certainly so. Thus e.g. sanctions are in order. "Having missiles 5 minutes away from Moscow would make it impossible for Russia to have any chance of defending against them. That is a huge threat." Russia has nuclear ICBMs. Any missiles in Ukraine wouldn't take that deterrent away. In any case, Ukraine wouldn't have been able to join NATO for the foreseeable future. Pre-empting such remote possibilities with an invasion is not justifiable.
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  7470.  @jamesng7320  "Ok, here are two names for you - Victoria Nuland [...] Barack Obama" If these are the so called extremists with influence over the Ukrainian government then I don't seen how it makes sense invade Ukraine over them, especially if the goal is not to remove Zelensky. This invasion wont' remove Nuland from her position and Obama isn't in a position of power anymore in any case. Also, I don't think either of them is a member of Azov. "Yes there's skepticism when I take Russia's word for it, but no one will prove that their intelligence is real given the nature of how intelligence is gathered." Well, to me what you have claimed seem just unsupported assertions and nothing more. I don't see why it would be rational for most people to change their minds about this conflict just because you make these claims. Also, remember that Russia (as well as Ukraine) has an incentive to just make whatever claims happen to be convenient for them even if they happen to be lies. "Justifiable or not, that is the reality of how geopolitics works. We might as well learn to live with it because every country does it." Maybe, but we also want to keep invasions to a minimum because they're destructive. One way to do that is to make invasions painful for the invader. That's one good reason for sanctions. "And, if you are smart leader of a country which is weak such as Ukraine, you would make decisions based on this geopolitical reality to avoid war with Russia in the first place." Maybe, but we cannot go back in time and have Ukraine make different choices so what remains is a decision what to do in the current situation. If and when peace is reached we wouldn't want the terms to be too harsh on Ukraine. Sanctions put pressure on Russia so they should be more willing to agree to less harsh terms. "As for sanctions, no one sanctioned the US and Israel when the conduct their special military operations. So in your world where everything is fair they should have sanctions too." Maybe they should have, I can't say. "If nukes are the be all and end all of deterence then why do nuclear powers keep their regular armies then?" For example to deal with non-existential threats (so something less than leveling Moscow in 5 min), to fight outside one's own borders, to fight potential separatists, etc. Nukes might not be a be all end all but they certainly make attacks onto a nuclear power's soil quite unlikely. Even if you don't believe that, it still remains that Ukraine would have been unlikely to join NATO for the foreseeable future.
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  7471.  @jamesng7320  "They are the ones who arrange for the extremists to be put in positions of power in the Ukranian army." I expressed skepticism over the existence of extremists in the Ukrainian government or one's with influence over it that Russia would try to remove (without necessarily removing Zelensky). Just mentioning Nuland or Obama does not really allay my skepticism. I'm still skeptical on whether these extremists with influence over the government exist. "Russia is simply trying to undo that by destroying the Ukranian army." That makes no sense. Destroying the entire army entails huge amounts of deaths (on both sides). Also, if someone in the army has influence over the government it's likely to be generals or other high officers. Usually they would not be there dying on the frontlines so such a plan likely wouldn't work anyway (if the plan is to still not try to remove Zelensky). "I guess we will both keep on believing as we did before." Maybe, but I would like to note that I don't take Ukrainian claims at face value either. The way I see it is that Russia is the invader and invasions require a very high bar to be justified. Just taking an anti-invasion stance by default is the right choice barring very compelling evidence for the opposite. "Why must you resort to sanctions or military action if there's a better way to resolve the crisis?" I'm in favor of sanctions in the present situation where the invasion has happened and as long as it's going on. I'm not saying that before invasion one shouldn't try to avoid it (depending on what it would take). I'm not sure what would have been the best course of action before the invasion but now sanctions are in order until the invasion is over. "So if you say that invaders should always get sanctions then how will you enforce this on the US?" I don't know how to enforce it but it's better to discourage invasions at least some of the time. (As a sidenote, I'm not saying that invasions couldn't sometimes be justified. Few would claim that it was wrong for Allies to invade Germany in WWII. However, the justification has to be very strong.) "If nukes are so good then Russia should have just threatened Ukraine with nukes." No one wants a nuclear war so there's a lot of compunction over using nukes or even threatening their use. Countries might plausibly threaten using nukes over attacks that threaten their existence (such as leveling Moscow in 5 min). They don't threaten using them willy-nilly. That's why I mentioned fighting outside one's borders as one motivation for having a conventional military besides nukes. Russia's nukes still make invasions into Russia a very remote possibility. "you can't have missiles 5 minutes from your capital" As I've said many times, this was unlikely to happen for the foreseeable future anyway (and your logic would also mean that Belarus wouldn't have the right to be a CSTO member).
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  7472.  @jamesng7320  "there would have to be a material benefit to me if I were to prove things for you" That's understandable but the fact remains that for me and many others there is no rational reason to give the Russian claims much weight. "The West's intelligence for invading Iraq in 2003 was phony." At least my skepticism is not that much based on counter claims by Western intelligence agencies so this doesn't really matter all that much. Distrusting Western intelligence agencies doesn't make it rational to trust the Russian ones. Also, one could argue that one intelligence agency failing or deliberately lying means others could do it too or alternatively Western intelligence did correctly predict that this war would begin (or at least the US one did, not so much the French) which again should boost their credibility (if it matters). "I also believe that Russia must destroy the whole Ukrainian army because it is just too infested by Nazis" If you mean rank-and-file soldiers, that's ridiculous. The Ukrainian army is a conscript army largely made of ordinary people. There's no reason to believe it's significantly more "Nazi infested" than the general (male) population of Ukraine. It also has more than 200,000 people. Are you saying that massacring that many people is justified. On the other, if you just means generals etc. they're not likely to die on the frontlines. "it would have mobilized to attack Donbass if it were left operational" If the Russian army were in Donbas (but didn't push further) I don't think that would have happened. It's hard to imagine Ukraine attacking in that situation. Even if it did, that would be much more difficult for the Ukrainians since attacking is pretty much always more difficult than defending. This is basic logic and you don't have to consider anyone's intelligence info to come to this conclusion. "This pre-emptive self-defence justification is very strong justification in my view." I say the opposite, it's very weak. We need to have norms that discourage attacks. Otherwise, you could similarly say that a pre-emptive attack on Russia would have been even more justified (in hindsight). "Western sanctions are going to unravel when the West starts paying in Rubles for their gas" No, that's hardly going to make any difference. Firstly, the plan seems to be that European buyers of gas wouldn't have to get their hands on Rubles but rather they would remit Euros (or some other currency) to Gazprom Bank which would convert them to Rubles and give to the Russian exporter. Since the exporters were already required to convert 80% of their foreign currency to Rubles the difference is small. None of the sanctions unravel because of this. "Either that or Europe will shut down and go into recession." Even if gas keeps flowing other sanctions will still stay in place. If the gas trade is halted by one side or the other Europe would indeed go into recession but Russia too would likely go bankrupt fairly soon. Something like half of Russia's federal budget comes from the export of oil and gas. "So your sanctions aren't going to work anymore." Well, I disagree but in any case they should be kept in place at least as long as they still do work. There's still hope that peace might be achieved before that and meanwhile it's good to keep some pressure on Russia.
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  7473.  @jamesng7320  "The best that can be achieved is to exchange views and at least suggest to you that there might be more to it" Fair enough. It's just that many of these claims sound rather improbably so they don't shift my position much. "China in particular has echoed Russia's narratives quite consistently." China has stated that Russia has legitimate security concerns but it hasn't said that these would justify invasion. It also hasn't repeated any Russian claims about extremists in the Ukrainian government AFAIK. "What I mean by destroy is to destroy military facilities and disband the human component of the army either through surrender or them just leaving and going home, similar to how Iraq's army disbanded when the US invaded in 2003." That involves going in an toppling the government, not leaving Zelensky in power. "Russia is considered strong and not subject to this preemptive attack" Do you mean then that attacking Russia pre-emptively would have been morally justified (even if in practice it wouldn't happen)? "who is going to sanction US and NATO when they preemptively attack? How are you going to enforce your "norms to discourage attacks"?" I don't know but it's better if these norms are enforced at least part of the time. "Russia says that the money they get from the gas trade in Euros and dollars is immediately frozen upon receipt." You are mistaken. Russia does not say that and that is not the case. E.g. Russia's central bank's forex reserves were frozen. However, energy transactions are so far not subject to sanctions and receipts from those are not frozen. If they were frozen Russia's situation would already be much more dire than it is now (and Europe would have already stopped receiving gas). "Russia says that oil and gas export revenues to Europe account for 15-20% of it's budget." Total energy exports to Europe have been about $100 billion per year and the total budget about $300 billion so the share is more like 1/3rd. "If the gas trade is halted because Europe fails to pay in rubles according to this scheme then Russia would have lost nothing. Their funds from the trade are frozen and useless." No, these funds have not been frozen. Paying in Rubles doesn't have much effect (and the plan isn't for the gas buyers to remit the money in Rubles anyway). If the trade is halted both Russia and Europe will suffer massively.
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  7474.  @jamesng7320  "China has largely blamed NATO's expansion as being the root cause of this conflict." I don't think they have used the word "blame" in such a way even though they have said that Russia has legitimate security concerns. China has also stated that the sovereignty of every country, including Ukraine, should be respect. "by increasing trade with Russia since this war started it is implicitly saying that they think it is ok" I'd rather say that any trade with Russia is just an indication that they don't want to take an economic hit if it can be avoided, not a real statement on the issue. "When the US entered Baghdad I remember that Saddam Hussein was still in power but his army refused to fight and dissolved. I think that this had largely been achieved in Ukraine" I don't see any indication of that. "I do think that if NATO preemptively attacked because it is using the same pre-emptive self defense argument that Russia is using. It is defending Ukraine by pre-emptively attacking the would-be attacker" I don't understand what these sentences are saying. Would a hypothetical pre-emptive attack on Russia have been morally justified? In any case, my position is that a pre-emptive strike is not justified, not on Russia nor on Ukraine. "Both sides are justified in their use of force and to conflict is the only way to resolve who is "right"." I disagree. Norms should be such that they discourage destructive violence. "Your claim about the funds from the current gas trade NOT being frozen I have not heard of." There's e.g. article titled "SWIFT sanctions against Russia exempt energy payments" by ICIS (and I would give you a direct link if YouTube didn't tend to delete comments with links but you should be able to find it by googling). I've also not seen any mentions of gas money being frozen, only other assets. Have you seen any mention of gas money being frozen. Additionally it's just basic logic. If the gas money was being frozen why wouldn't have Russia already halted gas deliveries? Why would have the US banned the import of Russian oil, gas, & coal if it couldn't access the money from those anyway.
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  7475.  @jamesng7320  "Increasing trade with someone who has been severely sanctioned by the west sends a strong statement. Actions speak louder than words. India too has increased its oil imports." To me the statement just seems that they look after their own interest. "most of Ukraine's military infrastructure has been destroyed" The Ukrainian military hasn't disbanded nor stopped fighting like the Iraqi military did. "Sorry what I meant to say was that in a hypothetical non-nuclear world, NATO would be morally justified in pre-emptively attacking Russia to defend Ukraine." OK, my position is the opposite. "In academic circles, your arguments would be classed as "positive". This is the way the world SHOULD work. [...] My arguments are based on the reality on the ground and are called "normative"." You got the terminology the wrong way around here. Claims about how things are are "positive" claims whereas claims about how they should be are "normative" claims. "I agree with you - in a utopian world, everyone would renounce violence and we would all co-exist harmoniously. It is a very nice concept, but it is just a fantasy and you even concede that some of your concepts are unenforceable." Even reducing violence has a lot of value. International norms and responses can discourage and reduce invasions. Just because they might not reduce them to zero doesn't mean it's not worthwhile. Similarly we don't say that there's no point in funding a police for even though they can't reduce crime to zero. Strong response to this invasion makes future invasions less likely. "In my view, everyone has the right to challenge the status quo before the ultimate authority - force." If you say they have the right to do it it's a claim about how things should be, not how they are, just like my claims you mentioned. "Military force is the ultimate authority whether you like it or not and we must learn to work with it. [...] You can say that this is really unfair and I'd agree with you but this is the reality of the world." A good way to live with that reality is to discourage that kind of behaviour with sanctions (and air-strikes if Russia didn't have nukes). "not freezing Russia's oil and gas money in dollars and Euros doesn't make sense. The EU would essentially be financing Russia's war if they didn't sanction the payments." The EU essentially is financing Russia's war. While various sanctions have been applied they have not touched energy, at least so far, because that would impose hardship on some EU members, chiefly Germany and Italy. The US has banned the import of Russian oil, gas, & coal. Recently also Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania have announced that they would block gas imports from Russia. There would be no reason to do any of that if Russia couldn't access its gas payments. "Russian news also says the money is being frozen - see sputnik and RT." I actually don't believe they have said that. I tried to check but couldn't access their websites. If they have made such a claim then the person saying or writing that probably didn't know their stuff. However, I think it's more likely that you just misunderstood or misremember. More likely they have talked about some other assets being frozen or the possibility of the gas payment money being frozen at some point in the future (hence the demand for payment in Rubles). "it says that payments for energy are sanctions exempt. I interpret that to mean that the EU will still pay for the gas imports by putting Euros into a bank account. However, what is not mentioned is that the bank account where the money is held is frozen and no funds can be transferred out of it." That would directly contradict the statement of energy transactions being exempt.
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  7476.  @jamesng7320  "Zelensky is making concessions in talks with Russia so that indicates to me that the Nazis have lost their hold over his government due to them being destroyed in Mariupol and all" There's no reason to expect that Zelensky's stance would so much depend on whether some person with influence over him would die in Mariupol. It's not like that kind of influential person would be on the frontlines (and if they were that alone would make it difficult for them to influence the president). This is not a credible extrapolation. "If Ukraine was winning the war then why is Zelensky making concessions?" I haven't made any claims about which side is winning or losing. "The problem with having international norms and responses to discourage invasion is that they can't be applied to a perpetrator who is very powerful and armed with nukes - say the US or Russia right now. If you can't apply your norms to the powerful and only apply them to the weak then it makes your whole system extremely unfair to those who are weak and people will see it as glaring hypocrisy when you don't apply your norms to the strong. Once again I point to your concession that you can't apply sanctions to the US when it invades. If you can't do that then you might as well say that you don't do it at all so that everyone gets treated fairly." Quite the opposite. Let's not have the best be the enemy of good. It's better that norms are enforced at least sometimes. We don't say that because we can't catch every criminal we shouldn't have any law or police at all catching some criminals would be unfair to them. "Everyone and every nation does have the right to go before the ultimate authority - military force whenever they want to and for whatever reason they want to. This is not a statement of how the world should be it is a statement of how things are." No, saying that is a claim about how things should be (and one that I disagree with), i.e. normative. Saying that nations do or don't have the ability to do so or saying how likely they are to do so would be a claim about how things are, i.e. positive. Also, claims about enforcing international norms part of the time being unfair is a normative claim too. "That censorship should give you an idea that your government is trying to bias your views and perceptions of the world so that you agree with them." I don't necessarily agree with censoring them but I don't see that as a reason to shift my position much. Similarly Russia has banned various Western media there. Should one take a stance against Russia in this conflict because of that? "There is no contradiction - the payments are occurring because they are exempt from sanctions but the bank accounts which the payments are going to are frozen." To me that would be a contradiction. That would be a sanction on energy payments. Gazprombank, which handles at least some of those transactions, has specifically been excluded from sanctions, at least partially, so that energy payments could be facilitated. I've also not heard any mention anywhere (except YouTube comments) that money from energy transactions would have been frozen so far (though it could plausibly happen at some point). "And did you know that Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania get the majority of their oil and gas imports from Germany?" I don't know how much their ban has an effect. I just pointed it out because there would be no reason for them to do so (nor for the US to ban Russian oil/coal/gas) if the money from those transactions were frozen and unavailable for Russia.
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  7477.  @jamesng7320  "Azov (nazi) battalion was incorporated into Ukraine's army after 2014" Technically it was incorporated into the National Guard, not Army. "But an army always has influence even over its own government because it is strong." The Azov battalion is something like 1% of Ukraine's military. There's no reason to believe it has influence over the government. "If you selectively enforce norms against certain countries when they violate international rules then that is blatantly injustice." It's better than letting the worse injustice like Russia's present invasion go unpunished. To end this so called "injustice" of sanctions Russia just needs to end the injustice it is committing and retreat from Ukraine (or alternatively agree to a peace with Ukraine). Sanctions are a much gentler measure than an invasion anyway and if you prefer a world without international norms (rather than norms without perfectly even enforcement) then sanctions aren't anymore against international norms than invasions are. "The criminal analogy is not valid because not being able to catch a criminal and not knowing who to prosecute is different than knowing who the criminal is and not wanting to prosecute them because they are more powerful than you are." I doesn't have to be that it's not known who to prosecute. Sometimes the criminal is known but powerful enough to evade capture. Even if that's the case I wouldn't want the police to stop catching regular thieves and murderers. "I don't understand your argument about nations being unable to go to war at any time and for any reason." I never said they're unable to go to war. I responded to a section where you said they have a right to go to war which is different from ability.
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  7478.  @jamesng7320  "Those 1% are in senior positions in the Ukraine army which makes them a real threat due to their influence." No, they aren't, or certainly not most of them at least. Who exactly is in a senior position? "To end the "injustice" of sanctions, Russia needs to turn off the gas and then Europe will realize that they can't put sanctions on Russia without going into recession." Maybe they'll do that but it's not going to be easy for Russia either because they're gonna lose a lot of revenue. "What about Israel?" Maybe they should be sanctioned. They have at least face Arab sanctions in the past (though most of these have lapsed now) and e.g. in 2014 Spain froze military exports there (due to the events in Gaza). I don't know what is the best approach wrt. Israel. "NATO alleged that there was genocide being committed in that country and bombed it - without UNSC approval." OK, so you're talking about the Kosovo War (and not the Bosnian War some time earlier). "After that, the area where the genocide was alleged to have been committed was given independence. Russia also alleges that genocide is being committed in Donbass and has carried out a military operation similar to NATO. After that, they are going to give independence to Donbass." That campaign (Operation Allied Force / Noble Anvil) was certainly very controversial. I'm not arguing it was the best course of action but Russia's present actions are a lot worse for a couple of reasons. -Russia had prior to the present invasion basically already achieved a Kosovo-like situation by gaining control of Crimea and de facto independence (from Ukraine) for a part of Donbas. -Kosovo Albanians were experiencing mass expulsion. Nothing like that was going on in Ukraine. -There was no land invasion of Serbia. -Kosovo wasn't really given independence but rather they declared it unilaterally in 2008 and recognition remains split. -Operation Allied Force / Noble Anvil resulted in around 500 civilian deaths. Russia's present invasion is much worse in that regard. -Many Russian speakers in Ukraine don't want their region to be split from Ukraine by Russia. There was certainly a majority wanting that in Crimea and maybe also in at least parts of the east but not in many of the regions Russia is pushing on into now. I think these make it so that Russia's invasion is at least more clearly condemnable. I'm not saying NATO should have done what it did in the Kosovo War. At least targeting infrastructure in addition to military targets might have been the wrong thing to do. "If a criminal is powerful enough to evade capture, the authorities still need to show to the public that everything is being done to apprehend them." Even if they didn't try to apprehend that criminal I wouldn't want the police to stop arresting ordinary thieves and murderers (even if they might think it's unfair).
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  7479.  @jamesng7320  "I found another video from a French journalist in 2016..." Thanks, I'll watch the whole video at some point but right now I don't have the time. "Russia wouldn't lose any money because all the money they are getting from the gas right now is frozen" I don't believe that. I haven't seen any mention of money from energy transactions being frozen (aside from a couple of YouTube comments). "if it weren't for the US veto on the security council, there would be UN sanctions on Israel right now" Sanctions don't require permission from the Security Council. "The defacto independence for Donbass was not good enough. Despite Minsk 2, as the video shows there were still crimes committed against Donbass and this resulted in 14,000 deaths according to the UN." Quoting that 14,000 after saying "there were still crimes committed" is highly misleading. Firstly, the UN figure is slightly lower at 13,100-13,300 (though this is a minor point). Secondly, this figure includes both military casualties on both sides and civilian casualties killed by both so you can't blame all of it on Ukraine. Thirdly, and probably most importantly, the clear majority of those deaths happened in the earliest phases so "there were still crimes committed" and that figure aren't really connected. It doesn't justify a full invasion. "there has been very little land invasion of Ukraine too" That's just false. Even invading just the east and the south is a major invasion. For much of the conflict so far there was also invading force in the north as well. "you must take into account that Serbia is a much smaller country than Ukraine" Fair enough, though it still doesn't look that good in comparison. Human Rights Watch gives an estimate at around 500 civilian casualties for Operation Allied Force / Noble Anvil. Ukraine in 2020 had about 5.85 times the population of Serbia in 1999. Scaling up the civilian casualties by that is around 3,000. The recorded civilian casualties for the present invasion recorded by the UN as of April 7th is a bit over 1,600 and the true figure is likely higher. The 3,000 might have been already exceeded even though the current invasion has so far gone on for less than half of the time so it's almost certain to be deadlier, at least eventually, relative to population. Also, this invasion entails many military deaths too. "Donbass held a referendum on breaking away from Ukraine in 2014 just like Crimea and both populations voted for it." They were already de facto independent. I don't see how that would justify an invasion into the regions under Ukrainian control. "To apply justice selectively and only to those who you can enforce it upon is a big injustice in itself." I still consider it the lesser evil relative to no norms at all. "everyone has a right to defend themselves by any means necessary - just like Russia is doing" By that logic, everyone has the right to place sanctions too.
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  7510.  @Volcanares : "Yes, Admiral Gensoul met Captain Holland." If so, how long did it take? I don't recall such meeting mentioned in this video or on the Wikipedia page on the battle. At least initially he did send Lieutenant Dufay instead of meeting personally or sending a more senior officer. "What would you do in his position?" At the very least I would receive Holland as soon as he arrived. I would also send the Vichy government a message describing the whole situation including the whole ultimatum (and not just two of the given options). Ideally, I'd hope that one of the options given by the British could be accepted (such as sailing to the US). "it's their responsibility anyway" Yes, it is in the sense that you're using the word. I think in this video it was used to mean "blame" in the sense that some people involved ought to have done something different. Maybe the wording wasn't the best but I think it's a far more interesting question whether e.g. Gensoul or Somerville or someone else should have done something different rather than what's the meaning of the word "responsibility". "it was a mistake" At least in hindsight it was a mistake, but I'm not entirely sure whether it was a mistake also ex ante. "If the french fleet was really a threat, and you don't want it to join the axis power, that attack was the worst thing to do." That's certainly a risk. I guess the British government estimated that it was a smaller risk than leaving the fleet at Mers-el-Kebir intact. It's hard for me to make a judgment about that. "the french deserve respect for that" I agree.
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  7941.  @5metoo  "I thought you'd at least look at the last 3" Well, your earlier comment didn't give a clear indication that the right of return stuff was specifically in one of those. Your previous mention of them was "But I've give the nod to Spaniel for fair presentations based only on JKL's last 3 videos" and it wasn't clear to me what you were trying to say with that since you were talking about giving a nod to Spaniel rather than the right of return. The phrase "right of return" led me to think that you were referring to Israel/Palestine so I checked videos related to that and didn't find anything. But OK, apparently you were referring to the Chagos Islands video. I don't see an obvious flaw in that video and I don't see how it would justify making the claim that he assumes a universally accepted right of return. In his video he mentions a 2019 UN General Assembly resolution calling for the UK to, among other things, let the Chagossians return to the Chagos Islands. It's entirely correct that this kind of resolution (about Chagos Islands specifically, not of the right to return more broadly) was passed. It's not a claim that any such right is universally accepted in other cases (and I would guess this resolution didn't pass unanimously, though I haven't checked). He also mentions some court cases the UK lost but doesn't mention a right to return being included in the judgments in them. Can you point out an actual problem with this video (or some other one)? It doesn't seem that could infer based on this video that he assumes a universally accepted right of return. Even if he assumes something like that, it doesn't appear to have seeped into the video so it shouldn't be a problem for his content.
    1
  7942.  @5metoo  "But the 2019 UN General Assembly resolution at bottom was about those that were expelled would be able to "exercising their right to return". This is the most fundamental assumption, without which the 2019 resolution would make no sense." That resolution was about the Chagossians' right to return to the Chagos Islands. That doesn't necessarily imply a more broad right to return which would apply in other cases. I don't know what was the reasoning or motivation for the delegations that voted in favor or this resolution but it's far from clear to me that it would have to be a universal right to return. They might have e.g. thought that the expulsions were wrong in this particular case because Britain had no right to split the colony or some other reason specific to this particular case. And even if they (or some of them) believe in a universal right of return, that doesn't mean that Ker-Lindsay does and him not discussing the motivations behind each country's vote doesn't seem to be evidence that he has such a belief. "Lindsay didn't state this or discuss it at all" There's a bazillion things he didn't discuss, like the reasons for the outcomes of the court cases, why the UK or the US might want a base in this particular locations, etc. He probably could've made a 10x longer video, but his style requires that a lot of things have to be cut due to time. I don't see why this one thing would be more important than the other things left out. I guess if you would be interested in that particular thing, a video that included a discussion of it would've been better for you. That's fine as such, but it's mostly a feature of your particular interests.
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  7945.  @5metoo  "What makes something rightful right?" Well, I can't read the minds of those that voted for the 2019 resolution talked about earlier, but I can say that it can be (in their minds) something other than a universal right to return. This resolution was based on an earlier ICJ ruling that stated, among other things, that the decolonization of Mauritius wasn't done properly and that Britain had no right to split Chagos from Mauritius and therefore it has to be returned to Mauritius. That in practice is probably going to result in the Chagossians being able to return eventually, but that conclusion doesn't require positing any kind of universal right of return. In theory, Mauritius could itself prevent civilians from returning to Chagos once it takes over the territory, but it seems that's not going to happen. "Instead of recognizing as does Spaniel, the obvious truth about why it is that some aspects of international law are so commonly breached, Kerr-Lindsay merely stares into the screen with those dead eyes and intones that such breaches are a problem for their inconsistency alone, as if geopolitics is little more than a list of sacred rules or a dogma." I don't think there's any good reason to believe that about him. I'm sure he understands why international law might get either followed or breached even though his content mostly isn't about what kind of incentives decision makers face. Also, a reasonable person can believe that international laws and norms being followed can have a lot of utility instead of them being terminal values by themselves. Surely, most his viewers can be assumed to realize that, whether they agree or not, without him having to explain why he thinks it's bad if international laws get broken. "He notes in the Russia video that it is "violating every one of the principles that underpin this system" that has "existed for 70 years". Every one? If one state can violate every principle of a system that is 70 years old at a stroke with such impunity, what does that say about the realism of this 70 year old system?" The rule that a state cannot acquire territory from another state through war has mostly held very well after WWII until very recently. That has been very good for mankind since it has reduced the incentive for war significantly. That's one of the reasons (though not the only one) why the Ukraine war is so worrying. And that "every one" is probably just a turn of the phrase and not intended 100% literally.
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