Comments by "Ace1000ks1975" (@Ace1000ks19751982) on "US Farmers Brace for Long Term Impact of Escalating Trade War" video.
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huntlywestside, you don't know anything about farming or the economy. The profit margins are small, like 2 to 3%. Farmers need to buy a lot of things, like tractors, harvesters, seeds, chemical fertilizers, pesticides, etc. They have to borrow money to buy these things. If they have a bad season, they can go bankrupt just like that.
We will see what happens in a year that's it. I am 100% sure, this economy will crash.
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hunlywestside, farms surviving this will depend on a few thing, like does the farmer have deep reserves of cash to take the losses, can they adapt fast enough, and can they replace the market they lost.
It isn't just to affect farmers, it will affect the people who sell the stuff to the farmers, like the tractor manufacturers, people who sell seeds to farmers, the petro-chemical industry, etc. It will have a ripple effect on the economy.
Most of the farms we have today are large industrial/corporate farms that focus on mono culture. They grow just a few key crops, like soy, corn, wheat, etc. If they start cutting back, it will affect other sectors of the economy, like I stated earlier.
In turn if those other industries are affected in a negative way, they will lay off hundreds of thousands of people. That will have another ripple affect on local economies. The people who once had jobs will affect restaurants, and other local businesses. People who lose jobs will default on loans, and cause more foreclosures. You will have a lot of farm bankruptcies too. You have to take other things into account, like foreigners not buying treasury bonds or U.S. debt. This will cause interest rates to go up and up. Putting additional burdens on the population; after all, the U.S. population is heavy in debt. Making interest rates highers will only compound the interest. It will be painful, and we will have a 2008 type of recession. I am absolutely sure of it.
Interest rates going up would be a good thing for me, I would just move all of my money into a savings accounts and accrue high interest rates. For most Americans, it would be devastating.
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