Youtube comments of 林子倫 (@zilun).

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  1143. "... in China, not owning a property is shameful" There. I've heard it a million times. That's why it's bad news. That's not economics. You said cities like Vancouver, Paris have their real estate money coming in from sources NOT from local job income. Fine, locals simply rent. If all goes to shit, tenants will do just fine, some landlords will make it out with gain, some will take major losses. But you are saying most in China own. So what happens during economic downturn which will happen no matter what? Chinese people are immune to being laid off by big corps to please shareholders? Let's get technical. Those buyers don't own, they co-own with banks. They are not renting condos, but they are renting money from the bank to pay for condos. So, which rent would make more sense? Renting a space or renting debt to buy a space? If rent is at 1% against property value, and mortgage interest is at 2.5% of property value, which makes more sense? That boils down to economics of the one and only question that matters: will millions of Chinese buyers be able to pay off this massive debt? "Feeling" rich and being rich, and making the right calls to become rich, and stay rich, are all very different things. Real estate will be determined by math of economics, it won't be determined by how desperately Chinese men want to get girlfriends to have their dicks wet, or any stigma. For argument's sake, let's assume the Bible shames those who rent. Is that an enough reason to guarantee real estate prices in religious west cities skyrocketing far beyond what existing money can pay out, will be safe bet? Money can't magically appear through wishful thinking. It's either in existence within reasonable projection, or it doesn't exist.
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  1401.  @jjsamuelgunn1136  - Taiwan had been a colony of Dutch, Portugal prior to Qing - Qing invaded Taiwan in late 1600 and colonized it until late 1800 - Japan then occupied Taiwan and colonized it until 1945 - RoC's civil war was 1920s to 1940s, which Taiwan was never involved, Taiwan was under Japanese rule that entire period - KMT lost RoC's civil war and seek refuge in Taiwan just as Japan left Taiwan in 1945 - Mao declared indepence from RoC and founded PRC in 1949, which obviously did not include Taiwan - Japan officially surrendered governing rights over Taiwan in its 1951's SF Treaty with U.S. ( not RoC or PRC ) without naming any state as a custodian, leaving the island to people of Taiwan. Effective 1952. - Chiang Kai Shek's original plan was to rebuild his army in Philippines islands and reclaim mainland. Taiwan was just his "pit stop". That didn't happen so Taiwan became a home for RoC in exile - Taiwanese finally had enough of foreign power treating Taiwanese as second class citizens and wanted Taiwan to be a state ruled by the people of Taiwan for the people of Taiwan, and independence movement was born. Indepence from RoC ( not PRC ) - Mao publicly voiced support for Taiwan's independence movement as that would mean Taiwanese eradicating the last remnants of RoC for him. - RoC eventually evolved into a state governed by the people for the people, and Taiwanese have accepted making Taiwan a home for RoC, which then renders independence movement obsolete As you can see, Taiwan has never been part of PRC
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  2174. +Xiaoxiao So, it is saying Chinese save every penny to own homes. But again, there's still a limit, even if Chinese are willing to eat instant noodles for every meal, there's a limit to how much of income can be saved, that's 100% income. No matter how much can be saved, it can't exceed 100% of income. Okay, so houses are bought with previously sold houses which were from previously sold houses which originated from Chinese government giving previous generation of parents to buy on the cheap. That still doesn't say anything. Getting free money from parents doesn't guarantee future influx of money at X% growth. Just because current Apple shareholders enjoy the massive cash stashed that wasn't earned during their time, does not means it guaranteed Apple will keep growing at 15% annually. Let's take 50% down payment, 2.5% mortgage interests on 50% is still 1.25% of property value, how much is renting? Use that 50% or 70% downpayment to invest in a Chinese government run Goliath communication business giving out 4% dividend, use 1/4 of dividends to pay rent. You'd be growing wealth debt free instead of owing debt. Having welfare and socialism isn't being immune to economic downturn. Healthcare and other services aren't free, even if they are provided for free, it's still paid for by tax earned through income. So, during economic downturn, tax paid to government tanks, all free social services costs the same, if not more, due to more people relying on welfare, how is that safe? It only "feels" safe. "Feeling" safe and "feeling" rich are very different from being safe and being rich. The bottom line is how much debt is in real estates? That includes developers' loans to run their businesses. So, even if Chinese buyers aren't greedy, developers being greedy and irresponsible to the value of properties they built is still a huge problem. It's highly unlikely these developers are running business with their own personal money. Areas with deteriorating houses, and ghost cities, someone, some entity lost money. It doesn't matter if it's buyers losing their life savings, developers that get sued and lost, or banks that take the loss, that money HAS TO come from somewhere. Even if all losses is covered for by the Chinese government, it's still tax payers' money which is from income.
    3
  2175. I read your reply, and read the article, and read the reviews of that book written by the author of that article. Before responding. Because I'm always very intrigued by things I don't get. I didn't say Chinese are paying off mortgages by eating instant noodle, my point was, it doesn't matter if Chinese are saving X% of income on average. The maximum Chinese people, or any people, can save is still 100% of their income, and no more than 100%. No matter how hard Chinese work and save, there is still a cap, even if they can survive on air alone. So, real estate growth still need to be matched by income growth. Because, beyond that cap, where is the money going to come from? You are all over the place. Overseas travel spending isn't money that's going to help inject into China's real estate, or China's economy. Okay, so many young people you know own many properties with no mortgage debt. And we've also established that real estate in China is ridiculously high. Higher than Palo Alto, California where it has the world most multi-millionaires still working 9 to 5. Again, where did those money come from? If we also established local income can't pay for real estates going prices? Most owners buy it outright, with what? With income? Or by selling real estate owned by their parents? Okay, so who bought their parent's real estate and where did those money come from? It still has to come from income of current generation, as old money is already in real estate. Current real estate has a lot of parents money being injected into it. But, now, those money are already invested in real estate, so any growth has to come from elsewhere, from people's future income, not inheritance. A real estate sitting there not earning rent is still losing money due to inflation. Growth is only part of it. It is sustainable growth? The keyword being 'sustainable'. So, China's median income rose X% annually forth past Y years. Well, did real estate grew at the same pace or far outpacing that? Rights to healthcare, rights to have this and that, doesn't mean it's provided for by money falling off China's trees. It's still paid for by tax payers money. Money has to come from somewhere. It isn't some rights, it's basically legal enforcement to force young people with income to pay for retired aging population's or unemployed's healthcare, via taxing those with income. China still owns $2.1 trillion of American debt, and ...? Is Chinese government going to collect that debt to help Chinese people buy properties when real estate rise beyond their income power or in an event of loss sales in real estate, compensate for their losses? Those, can be sold to other countries to depreciate U.S. dollars with malice, which may temporarily mess up U.S. economy, but ironically, will harm China's competitive edge against U.S. Chinese government isn't going to cash it out just to give it back to the people who helped earn it. I didn't say China is poor. I also think Taipei's real estate is ridiculous, that it's bound for a major correction. That doesn't mean I think people in Taipei are poor, it's just that looking at the numbers, it simply doesn't add up. You keep saying Amercia's problem is greed, while Chinese are investing with real money. So how did America end up with cities in Silicone Valley having 3x the income of Chinese big cities while that very city's real estate costing 1/4 of of Chinese big cities?
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  2411. Like I said, if you are expected to bring in the skills yourself, you still need to take classes. Ugh. what if they go to modeling class in Ukraine, then gets picked up by agencies, can't find work, went home and owe student loans in Ukraine? Same difference. What does this even have to do with prostitution? Because it's young women? Replace modeling with 'being a translator' and replace young women with 'men'. Entire story stays the same, some made it, some end up in debt. Still human trafficking? These women can go home whenever they want. They can go to the police whenever they want. They can have their families go visit them whenever they want. Did those two abducted Venezuelan teens get to go home whenever they want? Were they free to go to the police? Were any models in this report being sold to brothels? Any? Again. Not all are in debt. Some. There are many, many, many Eastern Europeans who started out that way who found so much success in Asia that they have their own TV shows not related to fashion, like travel shows, food shows, whatever. They get paid like local celebs for local ads. Because those models adapt their culture, learn their language, have great work ethics and work well with others, have a plan beyond just modeling. It's the same with any job. Some gets to the top, some get chewed up. You did see a brief moment where a manger was upset because he was expecting models to come and work but no one showed up. Could be translation issues, could be someone at agency playing office politics, but getting justifiably or unfairly blacklisted for future work is far from being sold as prostitutes or slaves. Chinese experiencing extreme poverty 70 years ago were shipped to Singapore exactly the way you described, owing their boss, most Indians, their faire which they had to work off. All later found success and started their own business upon learning whatever trade they learned. Again, they don't have to do modeling. They can go and work labor like their male peers. There is a reason they flock at the chance. It is because they have heard stories of financial success of those who had gone before them.
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  3370.  @taborevan  I went through art school. I know what I am talking about. The problem is those DEI boss who can’t even draw bossing artists who have designed and sculpted characters for years what to do what not to do. Every feature of a character needs to have a reason. The designer who designed Mario has to have a reason why Mario’s nose is big. Even if an artist designed a fantasy muscular guy, he still has to explain why his character is built like a tanky bodybuilder and not that of a tall swimmer. Even if a designer pick a real life model to model after, he has to have a reason why he chose that model, and WHY changes are altered from his model. There is a million ways to make Stellar Blade’s Eve look pretty. But I’m 100% certain the director can still tell you why Eve looks exactly the way she does and not Monica Bellucci type pretty, not K-pop girls type pretty, or a thousand other types of pretty. Eve’s eyes, nose, jaws, etc has to look exactly that way for a reason that is not just “that makes her attractive”. Those DEI’s “I want it to not look gorgeous” is NOT a valid reason. Those characters look ugly because people who don’t know jack about character design meddling with character design. Akira comic’s characters look “ugly” but they still look great artistically. Problem is bigger than attractiveness. Pay those DEI to design the most gorgeous character they can and it will look like a $5 blowup doll from the 50s. That’s the problem.
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  3471. NARCISSUS Lyin 反過來算,男人非常非常願意降低自己的生活品質去讓一個女的過得更好。一直以來都是這樣幾千萬年了。看看一堆大陸呆男,辛辛苦苦賺的錢看到直播美女就錢一直丟,笨到不會去想她都已經過比自己好了,應該把錢花在自己身上。女人會有這種行為嗎?我自己也用我自己的錢幫我女朋友開了投資戶口。她也沒有跟我要。找一個會這樣對男人的女人然後還覺得理所當然。一堆男人繳自己的錢買保險怕自己死了女人沒有人照顧,有聽過女人幹這種事嗎?女人會因為保險理賠是女的領,男的死了用不到去幫他繳保險費嗎?還是藏私房錢都來不及了? 我主要是說要期望女人不介意比她沒錢的男人等於在期望男人不介意大他10幾歲的女人。 丑男人有錢會變帥,已經有好幾個不同的研究證實了。一個是要女生給男人的長相吸引力打分,只是男人的照片下方偷加了工作跟薪水,之後把同一組男生照片的工作薪水換來換去,再打分,發現明明叫女人按長相打分,分數高低跟著薪水走。另一個是先對長相打分,再馬上透露工作跟薪水問要不要重新對長相打分,而經濟能力強的長相都被加分,工作不順的長相都被扣分,心理學家問那些女的為什麼她們也答不出來。 重點是,不是嘴巴說平等,我們就會反了幾千萬年存活下來的本性。如果把女人送去做勞力來供男人上大學,馬上不會有剩男剩女,因為男人不但不會瞧不起沒有唸書做勞力的女人,還巴不得趕快讓她們過好一點。女人就算有那個能力,可能會這樣嗎?可是就算女人願意頂男人的勞工,社會也不會接受。因為不可能送有子宮的人去做勞力。
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  3733. You see it as one sided. We don't. There is only one side, and that, is the truth. What feminist see, is imaginary made up b.s. Why waste time looking at it? When a young man wanted to understand why two of his friends committed suicide, what side did feminist offer? "Have you considered it is because men are toxic, and the guy trying to help you is just a rape-apologist?" So, he should look at that side? If MRAs would listen to me, I would recommend them to not bother wasting time talking to feminists. All feminists do, is say, "Stop being how toxic men are, act like how we tell you to, and all problems in the world will go away." What is the point? That is like saying, women should stop acting like women are, and rape will go away. Would you want to listen to "that side"? Karen wants to speak. What's the problem? Speaking, and expanding audience, is important.  Again, Paul is not talking about imagery stuff like women play video games to get a kick of their fantasy of killing men. Which then results in vindictive women in divorce courts. You know, what Anita does. When dads cry foul for being treated worse than criminals in family courts. Anyone cares? Nope. It's "male tears" feminists drink up to pride themselves of having no empathy. Karen speaks, other men speak, now, more men are aware of what's going on, and MGTOW is a response. Hey, now people are paying attention. Tell me, why is that a bad thing? Why is feminist movement a concern? Who knowingly turned domestic violence into a narrative of male oppressing women through violence? And inject that b.s. into family court? Who is blocking fundings to shelters that also accept men, to keep that false narrative intact? Who took the serious crime of rape, and make it a campus administrative issue? Who denied college boys of legal council if they are accused of rape? Who is funding all those efforts to ensure these nonsense become reality? I can't believe you are talking about making money off drama. Are you trolling or are you blind?
    1
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  3735. Persuasive Barrier You simply refuse to look up history, and reality of cases. Dads are denied of their kids not because the court thinks moms should be the primary caregivers. Court would prefer shared custody and parents work it out themselves like adults. It's because moms are lying about potential abuse if under the care of dads. Why? Because if she claimed that, everything goes her way. Everything. It's over for the guy. And the court has a huge bias to never question moms words. There is no due process. Where did that power come from? Here is a customer review of a book "7 years ago I was a happy loving father with 2 daughters a nice house and a good job. Now after 7 years of living hell, I am broke, lost my house, children, real estate, life's savings and 70% of my income. I have been accused of being a threat to myself and others. Arrested, banned from my house, taken against my will to a psychiatric hospital, and denied access to my children. What have I done, I married a woman who knew how to use the divorce system. Taken into Custody is the first real expose of the greatest injustice in our society. Guilty until proven innocent, insulted, threatened, falsely imprisoned, impoverished I suffered alone and confused. How can this be happening? It can and does happen. The war against fathers is real. Thank you Dr Baskerville, for the truth. We can't let this go on, I don't worry about myself anymore, I worry about my children." I have heard similar stories. It has nothing to do with religion. But everything to do with the dogma that all men are potential violent threats and all women can do no wrong. That, did not come from religion. New law coming this year, kids will be allowed to speak in court against their dads ( not their moms ). That comes from religion? Do you know how easy it is for lawyers to tell women how to coach their kids?
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  3750. You simply refuse to look it up. There were two false doctrines injected into family court since the 70s that allowed feminist movement to keep pushing atrocious legislations. One, domestic violence is cause by men's violent nature to oppress women, men in family is a potential violent threat to women. Women are perpetual victims. Two, father is not needed in family unit. Both of which are known to be scientifically false. With the former known to be false by the feminists when they hijacked the issue. Look. It .Up. Start with Erin Pizzey, why she was getting death threats, follow the money trail of Women Against Violence Act. Study Harriet Harmon's positions. Look. It. Up. The very reason that there are no shelters for men despite men make up 40% of the victims of domestic violence was because feminist movement need to keep their false narrative alive. There are even active efforts to block shelters for men to ever come into existence. They've known the truth since the 70s. All your claims are useless when there are hard FACTS of how things spun out of control after four decades. MGTOW is a solution. It's a start. You are not part of finding the solution because you refuse to acknowledge where real problem is. Coming this year, in UK and in US, kids will be allowed in court to speak against their fathers ( but not their mothers ), you think lawyers are not going to take advantage of that and tell mom how to coach their kids? Erin Pizzey compared this to Chinese Cultural Revolution where kids were encouraged to crucify their parents and teachers, and the comparison is spot on.
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  3751. Patrick McGinnes Please, tell me what rights women in U.S. do not have. Enlighten me. The rejection rate for leadership, for women, is 5%, for homosexuals, it is some 30+%, for atheists, it is 40+%. Look it up. Why does this matter? Apple is the largest company on this planet, far exceeding Exxon. Its market cap is bigger than the economy of Russia. Who's leading Apple? Tim Cook. He is gay. No one cares. Tim Cook, for being in a category supposedly 6X rejection rate than being a woman when it comes to public opinion of leadership, has zero problem leading the biggest company of the world, zero problem. Where do you think women stand? Tell me what rights women in U.S. do not have? And by the way, all these "women are oppressed" only deter young women to go far. Because you are telling young women sky is not the limit, space is not the limit, that their limit is set by some invisible oppressor. And you are telling me it's impossible for people to fight for rights of women in war torn regime, while allowing men to acknowledge there's a problem in family court in US, UK, Canada? No one ever asked you to help with men's issues. Go fight for women's right where it is needed. Just don't assume MGTOW is just a bunch of people who do not understand relationships who are beneath you. Or support for male victims of domestic violence do not exist because it's men mocking men. I simply hate these idiotic rhetoric go unchecked. There are hard FACTS of how those two things happened.   It is very clear you are just some hardcore feminist that when I simply point out historical facts, and you refuse to look at it and just go on full assault. Were you heading the feminist movement in the 70s? Were you involved in lobbying to push legislations into family law? So why are you taking this so personally?
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  4105.  @thomasbobhuang311  The Economist 喔? “ …greatest uncertainty is how many cases have gone unrecorded. Primary health care is rudimentary in China and some of the ill either avoided or were turned away from busy hospitals. Many more may have such mild symptoms that they do not realise they have the disease. Modelling by academics in Hong Kong suggests that, as of January 25th, tens of thousands of people have already been infected and that the epidemic will peak in a few months’ time. If so, the virus is more widespread than thought, and hence will be harder to contain within China.” “Many experts praise China’s efforts. Certainly, its scientists have coped better with the Wuhan virus than they did with SARS in 2003… China’s politicians come off less well. They left alone the cramped markets filled with wild animals that spawned SARS. With the new virus, local officials in Wuhan first played down the science and then, when the disease had taken hold, enacted the draconian quarantine fully eight hours after announcing it, allowing perhaps 1 million potentially infectious people to leave the city first.” - The Economist 2020.2.1 你給我一個理由中國的人民健保還是 rudimentary。中共花在監控人民的費用比國防預算高,然後人民健保是 rudimentary,你覺得合理嗎?台灣花在監控人民的費用是零。公衛跟醫療是沒辦法在幾個月內趕出來的。那是要長期一步一腳印邊走邊跌拚出來的。10天內蓋幾千個負壓隔離病房?每個隔離病房需要近30個醫護人員,人哪裡來?連現有醫院的醫護人員跟資員都不足了。啊不就又只是在浪費時間做宣傳轉移焦點?“ ...left alone the cramped markets filled with wild animals that spawned SARS” 不就等於 17年 什麼事都沒做?
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  5340.  @ch33psk8  Weeks? - It takes at least 3 months of bombing to weaken Taiwan’s defense to a point where a successful landing attack is possible. - We will know a month in advance when PLA is finally ready to make landing, from troop movements - Your shet-ton of infantry is still limited by your ship capacity to ferry them over - There are only a few spots where successful landing is possible, so we know where it will happen - PLA can do it only either in April or October, due to weather and visibility - We will bomb the hell out of the straits when PLA tries to cross - For the few that didn’t become fish food, they will have to swim through skin-tearing barb wires while being shot at - For the miracle few that managed to swim through their dead friends stuck on traps, and made it to shore, they will have push forward in tear gas fog, on a shore full of mines - Then they need to replenish water, food, ammo, which could have been sunk, or shot down - Sunk ships can’t be made in a day, downed planes can’t be made in a day - If by some unknown magic, they managed to establish their presence at landing sites, our tanks are waiting right by the shore for them to approach. While they are still thirsty, hungry, out of ammo, hoping to get replenished. If it’s easy, China would have tried it already. All the “China can take Taiwan in 48hrs”, “China is invincible”, nonsense are just propaganda. It’s actually going to harm PLA as their morale is going hit rock bottom when reality kicks in right in front of them.
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  5424.  @Shirumoon  That's faking achievement, like David Beckham's wife saying she grew up in working class. I'll try to explain. When I was assessing if I should buy my $2mil vacation home, I knew perfectly well it'd be less of a hassle to just keep my $2mil where they are, in investments, and use annual return from it to book hotels. No cleaning, no maintenance costs, options to travel to more places, don't have to worry about earthquakes or landslides turning my $2mil into debris worth nothing. So, I had to consider, is it really worth my hassle? I am a fan of the architect, its architectural space and site environment is very close to my dream/perfect home, so it is worth my hassle. However, owning a Ferrari, closet full of luxury fashion, or overpriced real estate where I live, is not worth my hassle. I did go through a phase of wanting to live to impress. That was when I had 1.2mil. I planned like I had 3mil and wished I had 10mil. It was stressful. On hindsight, it was also very embarrassing. It was like someone who just learned how to ski without falling and started to see himself a Redbull athlete. So glad I'm past that. Anyways. When you can afford to buy a supercar any day you want, it will no longer be on your priorities of to-do list, and if you keep doing the things you really want, those "lifestyle" will be pushed down your to-do list, and you will eventually forget you could go and buy a supercar. It's not faking anything. If spending 300k a year would make me happier, I would do it in a heartbeat. But it doesn't.
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  5462. Ended wasting taxpayers' money to fund ISIS and bombing of Syria isn't better? Are you aware U.S. previously got cut out of any ceasefire deal by all parties because Obama failed to keep his end of the deal during ceasefires many times? With Trump? Ceasefire got done so fast while they negotiate other terms to improve conditions. Illegal crossing from south of the border declined so much that many human trafficking groups went out of business. Simply by enforcing laws that are already there. Trump stopped U.S. from paying for that Paris Accord. Think about it, just because U.S. reduce production energy that isn't green, does that mean there'll be less consumption? So, global consumptions stays the same. U.S. reduce supply, who is going to fill the hole? China, who is even worse in polluting Earth. It's all a show for politicians to look good and get votes. Obama's cabinet picks match the leaked list of "suggestions" picked by Citigroup. George Soros who supported and funded Clinton, betting on Clinton to win, SHORTED U.S. economy. George Soros's track records is that every time he has positions in shorts against a country's economy, that country goes into shit, and he makes billions off its collapse. He is considered extremely dangerous by many countries. Trump is giving America back to the American people. This is one huge turning point for America. You have to start digging into hard research. I disliked Trump all the way after he was elected. But once I talked with Trump supporters, they're like the white rabbit that led me down the rabbit hole. You're going to see truths you didn't see. Do your research. Talk to Trump supporters who are better at communicating than I do. Or, if you can take it, go to the subreddit that's for Trump supporters. But I suggest you start slow. Obama is great at giving "moving" speeches that sounds really nice but actually says nothing and he then later act on nothing. Nothing had gone wrong. Stop getting just fake news from CNN. Try give opposing arguments a listen, then pick which one makes more sense and is more credible.
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  5554.  @smgchg9581  By the way, 92 consensus was a lie. KMT dude 蘇起 who fabricated it in year 2000 even admitted it. He fabricated it out of fear of DPP cutting ties with PRC after KMT lost executive power. He created a reason for DPP to feel obligated in continuing relationships with PRC which KMT had built. CCP actually blasted 92-consensus to be "a lie from Taiwan" when KMT first introduced it. It was one time when CCP was actually telling the truth and it was Taiwan(KMT) lying. That "consensus" is 一中各表: One China whereby both PRC and RoC can claim to be THE China that owns all. You can see why CCP was furious. Upon being alerted of this 92-consejsus by KMT, President Chen was baffled that there was a cross straits agreement in 92 that no one knew about till 2000. He knew agreements can't be as simple as 4-words slogan like 一中各表, so he assigned an investigation to find out what consensus was reached, which revealed that there was a meeting, but no consensus was ever reached, not even verbally. However, over time, CCP and KMT figured that this '92-consensus' has a nice ring to convince Taiwanese that merging is eventual, so they kept selling it. Then, last year, Xi went and changed 92-consensus' 一中各表 into 一國兩制 in his "letter to people of Taiwan", along with threats of invasion, which now makes it impossible for KMT to cotinue to sell 92 consensus lie to people of Taiwan. On top of that, the lead person tasked to investigate that 1992 meeting and reported to President Chen that it was all b.s., was Tsai Ing-Wen. So, that lie is dead. It isn't going to fool anyone anymore.
    1
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  6354.  @brighamalbrecht8084  Nope. Look at Philippines, bunch of highly trained educators and health care professionals working as housemaid in Singapore. Why? No proper education industry and heath care industry opportunities for those talents in their country. Talents still need investments that need those values talents can provide. If China has better opportunities, they won't have left China in the first place. Plus, https://www.theverge.com/2019/1/30/18203718/apple-self-driving-trade-secrets-china-titan https://www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/2140353/chinese-scientist-gets-10-years-us-prison-stealing https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2019/04/29/fbi-director-discusses-chinese-espionage-threat-us-academic-research https://www.nbcnews.com/news/asian-america/texas-cancer-center-ousts-3-scientists-over-chinese-data-theft-n997151 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-06-13/the-u-s-is-purging-chinese-americans-from-top-cancer-research So, U.S. will be the one gaining from not taking those losses. Those Chinese talents could have had great careers, and then contribute their experience in China *WITHOUT* stealing. But no, CCP just has to use those people to play dirty. Why? Because a win-win situation in a free and fair trade, tech collaboration, isn't what CCP wants. CCP wants invisible war to weaken U.S. 2025? Shit is about the hit the fan for China's economy, because no one trusts CCP anymore. Good luck with, "China is the greatest above everyone else". I've checked all official numbers released for the public by China's government regarding China's economy, it's looking really, really bad. Only that very few are putting those scattered data together to paint a grand narrative.
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  6892.  @Shenzhou.  And U.S. pressured Jiang Jingguo to mentor Taiwanese? America was reluctant to sell Taiwan military arsenal in the old days to prevent KMT from attacking mainland unprovoked, because Jiang Jieshi's plan was to eventually reclaim China when KMT is strong enough. Jiang Jingguo ended Jiang dynasty on his own free will. Geez. Gawd, that China being 2nd largest economy again. Because you have the largest population. Okay? Is that really that hard to grasp? Taiwan's total population, including rural areas, low income population, is less than Shanghi, has 134% GDP of Shanghi. Per capita: Taiwan USD$25k, U.S. USD$60k, China USD$9.9k. Yeah you have a big population, what does that have anything to do with economy under authoritarian regime? Yeah, guess who okay'd shifting Taiwan's production to China? Modern KMT who wanted to become part of China. Guess who finally got elected to put in restrictions and helped keep those money in Taiwan to boost our GDP? The party that's for independence. See, that still works under free system. We don't need a totalitarian power monger above the law to accomplish things we can do ourselves. Citizen's total reliance and dependence on absolute power is a dangerous thing. If CCP decided to screw you all over in this CCP-U.S. fight, to maintain their power, you are powerless to do anything about it. Enjoy your "long march" just so your hardship can help CCP keep their powers over you. While Americans are doing it for a brighter future for their kids.
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  6894.  @Shenzhou.  It's not what I think or my reasoning. It's a fact. When KMT under Jiang Jieshi had plans to reclaim China, U.S. not only limited military arsenal sales to Taiwan but sold only crap. It was after Taiwan shifted to pure defense only with no plans to attack any country, that U.S. started selling Taiwan state of the art military weapons. U.S. didn't use military sales to pressure Taiwan to go this way or that way. Yes, KMT led by Jiang Jingguo was what propelled Taiwan to a success that it is today. But it was also him who ended KMT's one party dominance, because he had a vision of a better Taiwan governed by the people. How many times do I have to repeat this? If he could rise from his grave, he'd tell you, you are wrong about one party authoritarian being better. Btw, that great president, also never trusted CCP. There is now a divide in Taiwan, but it's not caused by Taiwanese. It's CCP infiltrating into KMT. C'mon. KMT once saw CCP as an enemy to a point of wanting to restart a military war with CCP. They were on the opposite sides of a civil war where each side lost families. And now, all KMT does, every single freakin day, is talk about how great CCP is. We are not dumb. Unlike KMT, DDP never, ever, had plans to go to war with CCP or "reclaim mainland". All DDP wants is for Taiwan to eventually have nothing to do with CCP and be left alone and do our own thing like we always had. Since CCP never ever governed Taiwan and never ever set foot on Taiwan anyways.
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  6917.  @pku9977  It's everywhere in China because of several things which CCP failed. And compounding all together made it a disaster. Keep in mind this virus is droplet, not airborne: - China never implemented strict public hygiene. So, a contaminated food service, or any public space, can start infecting several. Whereas for countries with strict public hygiene, after a food service or any public space is contaminated, it gets disinfected shortly after before spreading to others. - China does not have strong personal hygiene education, so citizens are more likely to pick up viruses in contaminated spaces. - China covered it up for too long. We now know China reached U.S. for assistance on 1/5 as Wuhan's medical capacity was overloaded.  - 1/18 is probably already really, really bad, and yet, Wuhan held a "Million Family Banquet" where tens of thousands dine and share food together. - 5 million leaving Wuhan before its lockdown weren't screened at all, those travelers were basically viruses' free ride to other regions. I understand there are probably many incubators roaming around in Taiwan. And new incubators may still enter. But so far, Taiwan's strategy of keeping tab of those with travel history to China, demanding those with such travel history to wear masks, doubling up workforce in disinfecting public areas one timely basis, tightening up supervising health safety on food services, several measures to minimize traffic inside hospitals while separating routes for those with travel history to China, etc, etc. We also had an overhauled disease control management after lessons from SARS. It 's working well, for now. It's a very different scenario from China.
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  6965.  @vislytoong  China is heading for a disaster. It took me a long time to understand what Taiwan did right and there's just too much to explain. In short, Taiwan separates those healthy, those at risks of being already infected, those infected, to exist in separate distinct spaces such that overlapping of those spaces are absolute minimal.  Our vice president who is an epidemiologist from Johns Hopkins thinks locking down Wuhan was a big mistake. That type of lockdown still lumps everyone who shouldn't be mixed together, to be mixed together. Keep in mind 14-days is just incubation period. Not recovery time. When Hubei eventually lifts its ban, those with strong immune system still fighting off viruses will be mixed with people who had never been infected. Not to mention those who left Wuhan under quarantine in other provinces will be heading out soon. You may say, well, Taiwan also let people at risks leave quarantine to mix with general public after only 14-days. It's different because Taiwan's public health checks their health status every day. They had no symptoms for *ALL* 14 days. Whereas in China, even those who survived locked down of 48 days, could still be coughing on and off or have had fever. China's health authorities aren't checking. The fact that you all have to be told whether you are green, orange, or red, and have mobility limited accordingly, goes to show all three groups are still moving in shared spaces until new actions are taken. Meaning, not much was done thus far.
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  7608.  @Shenzhou.  "Unrestricted Warfare" or 「超限戰」are warfare tactics that doesn't involve military confrontations to weaken target enemy: https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/超限战 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unrestricted_Warfare Tell me exactly what Australia did to China?: https://www.theepochtimes.com/ccp-attempts-to-influence-all-levels-of-australian-politics-top-secret-report-reveals_2542771.html https://www.foreignaffairs.com/reviews/capsule-review/silent-invasion-chinas-influence-australia-third-revolution-xi-jinping-and Oh, and U.S. finally figured out the source of their recent opiad problem, nice "coincidence": https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/01/world/asia/china-bans-fentanyl-trump.html The world knows what CCP is up to. It's over. Behave like normal people, or U.S. will end it. My prediction? CCP won't give up this charade, will drag Chinese people through the mud to keep going at it, and Chinese will blame their hardship on U.S. Forgetting that the reason U.S. wanted China in WTO in the first place was hoping to help 1.4billion people get rich like Americans to be able to start buying American-made goods. One Belt On Road is part of "Unrestricted Warfare". Helping other nations? Please. China's overall living standards are still below Malaysia and Thailand: https://chinapower.csis.org/china-middle-class/ It's only that China's population is so big that sacrificing 6/7 of the population to remain poor to benefit 1/7 population, that 1/7 population is already close to the size of entire U.S. population being very well off, which allows China to create an ad to fool everyone.
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  7659. +NARCISSUS Lyin 我並沒有說男人要負擔所有的。很簡單。女的經濟能力是 $X,男的經濟能力是 $Y;$X=$Y 兩個人的開支一起付單,兩個各人用掉共同開銷的50%,就是女的原地不動,多了兩個人的生活;$X 多於 $Y 兩個人的開支一起付單,兩個各人用掉共同開銷的50%,就是女的放棄掉一些已經習慣的生活上的享受,多了兩個人的生活;$X 少於 $Y 兩個人的開支一起付單,兩個各人用掉共同開銷的50%,就是女的生活上的享受提升,多了兩個人的生活。女人決對不會為了跟男人在一起降低生活品質,因爲女人跟男人在一起的目地就是要提高生活品質。 幾千萬年前就有很多女人願意“下嫁”照顧男人,她們的小孩生存力比較低,都沒後代了。我們的老祖先的女人都是對資源自私的,因爲她們贏了把自己的資源分給男人的女人。 問題在大家覺得嘴巴喊平等,女人就可跟男的一樣。女人的本性不是說關掉就關掉的。老婆整天不賺錢,跟朋友喝下午茶,家務事花錢請人做,連自己的小孩都請別人帶,男人可以接受,覺得沒什麼,她開心就好。去找一個女的接受那樣養男人的,不可能。 這好像如果一群20出頭的男人整天喊平等,要跟女人一樣閒在家,跟朋友約打電動(約下午茶),然後一堆40幾歲的有錢老女人可以給他們要的平等,他們就會覺得那些老女人好美。怎麼可能。 男人不是只有賺錢,那只是半個男人,另一半是把他的血汗錢拿去照顧別人。女人要平等,前半段有了,沒有人在阻止女人去做後半段。結過呢?嘴巴一直講平等還是沒有辦法關掉本性,這是男人跟女人都要接受的。 女人抱怨家務事,那爲什麼男人分手後,男人的自由時間突然多很多,而女人分手後變成什麼事都忙不過來還要打電話叫男性朋友幫忙?有沒有可能男人也分擔了很多事可是女人不但不放在眼裡,還不高興她在做家事,而她的朋友嫁給有錢的在旅遊,然後把不開心怪在自己的男人?
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  7663. +Jimin That's a different issue. Define "same level". Same level isn't same economic and educational level. A young beautiful women can still be way out of a man's league even if that man has far higher education and socio-economic status. A guy in his 20s with no income who take scare of his hair and skin isn't the "same level" as an mirrored female version, because women don't care for those qualities in men. So, a woman close to 40s with good education and financial success isn't the "same level" as mirrored male version of herself. The "level" we are at, is how desirable we are to our opposites sex in dating market. So, if an average looking successful woman close to 40 is rated undesirable by men, her "same level" would be men rated undesirable by women. We don't see women flaunting their degree and job title on social media to attract men, do we? So, youthful beautiful young women with no money, good manners and no temper, are on the same level as successful millionaires and billionaires; while aging bossy women with temper, who are successful, are on the same level as unemployed men with bad hygiene. Women can pick whoever they want. Their female nature will tell them to pick men who are even more successful than them to provide, so they can spend everything they work for, only on themselves. However, that doesn't mean women get to define what level they are at. What level a woman is at, are defined by what men look for in women. Just as what level a man is at, isn't defined by what men value in women, but by what women look for in men.
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  8046. That reasoning of "$12 million USD, instant wealth, 拆二代" is such obvious bad news. There is no free money. Money has to come from somewhere. Chinese government didn't get the 10 condos from developers for free. Developers didn't do it for free. Chinese government bought those condos with tax payers' money, which is INCOME of the people. So, the value of those real estates still need to match INCOME of the people. It isn't free wealth, it's forced relocation. Simple as that. The 10 condos they own of 1000 sq meter is living space, not land deed. Land deed is less 80 sq meter. Those many 80 sq meter collected is then sold to developers to develop condos that'll end up with more than 10 condos per 80 sq meter. That's the deal. You Chinese people jacked it up all the way to 1.2million USD per condo. How is future generation's millions of kids who aren't the only child be able to afford 1.2million condos? And here is how current gen is paying for million dollar price tag. They get 10 condos, they sell to people who also got 10 condos. It's new "free money" that's fueling the real estate. In short, it's a ponzi scheme. Which means, it will work until it doesn't. Developers don't build for free. Chinese government didn't pay developers 12 million USD for those condos to give it to people with 80 sq meter of land. It doesn't matter how much Chinese government paid for those, money comes from tax, which comes from people's income ability. So, unless Chinese government had previously collected 12 million USD worth of tax from EACH of those families, how does this math even work? There is no such thing as free money that just appear out of nowhere.
    1
  8047. Xiaoxiao You are still not getting it. It isn’t about free market. Just because it’s government controlled doesn’t mean it can defy the law of mathematics, Money has to come from somewhere. Now you are saying companies help pay for housing, okay, where does that come from? Still income. Company subtracts income to force security of housing. If you stop working for that company, that company stops paying, why? Because there’s no monetary value the company can extract from you. So, EVERYTHING still comes from people’s income level. If China can give its millions of citizens instant free wealth to the extend if 12 million USD a household, China can solve global poverty. You are the one not reading my response. Government builds condos with tax, which is part of people’s income, to give some units to people in exchange of land they are sitting on, leaving a few units to be sold to recoup the cost, then, again, spends more tax to build another one to trade for more lands to do the same. Those who were compensated with condos are able to sell their condos to buyers. Tell me, which part of this entire process has money NOT from circulating people’s income? If all money is from circulating people’s income, millions of dollars just magically appear by shuffling the same lot of money around? Government takes your money to build condos to for you, to force you to move, so they can take another group’s tax to build on the land you were sitting on. And suddenly everyone instantly becomes multi millionaires. I wonder why China is the only country to figure this out. People can afford the high price tag beyond their income level, because they get free condos built with tax payers money, which, is part of income, and if they can’t afford it, company they work for will help fund it by using part of their income. So, even though housings prices have rose far exceeding what they can save up in a lifetime, they are able to pay for it because they aren’t paying with their income, but paying with their income deducted by their companies and the government. That makes sense? Are Chinese paying 90% tax?
    1
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