Comments by "HomerOJSimpson" (@Homer-OJ-Simpson) on "China Update" channel.

  1.  @chabadlubavitch7303  I don’t know how your long post proves “it’s complete BS”.
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  2. 4:08 some viewers complained you didn’t talk about some news but you said you had covered it a few times in the past. I think the issue is that this is a daily show and most viewers won’t watch every episode. I think a solution is to have a weekly recap of actions in China. Or a monthly recap. This format makes it really difficult to keep up with every little update so with a recap episode, the viewer will be able to see some news they may have missed from your Channel. And more importantly, the recap will also summarize all the happening of any story that is constantly changing. For example, let’s take housing crisis. 3 weeks ago there may have been X bailout but today it’s now up to 2X amount of bailout. A recap would cover all the topics discussed in the week or month but with latest information only.
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  3. There estimates from research based on night time lights and correlation to GDP that Chinas actual gdp might be only half of what China has officially stated. I wonder now if that huge difference between estimates and official GDP is a lot to do with ineffective growth of GDP. Building millions of excess homes that don’t get utilize would increase gdp but add no actual value. Building many high speed rails that don’t get used much and bleed lots of money increase gdp and add little actual value. And housing and rail are two of the big spending industries so I imagine it would artificial fluff up the gdp a lot and there are many more examples. So maybe China isn’t lying by that much on gdp but it’s a lot of artificial growth?
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  4. It was a bubble and it was obvious. It was a pyramid scheme — you can’t have declining population and housing price increases for long. Even japan saw the bubble pop in the 90’s. It was just a matter of when.
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  5. Yes, the spending will not be as strong as would have been in the past because 70% of Chinese savings is in housing and since it’s in decline, people will be spending less. If you’re savings go down, you tend to start reducing your spending.
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  6. Tony, I'm glad you don't have a narrative. The reason I come here is because it's not a circlejerk of pro China or anti-China. It's facts. I do like your occasional opinions & insight though, but the focus of the material is just facts & straight forward reports.
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  7.  @jaydee6268  sure but China averaged around 3% in 2020 and again in 2022. Only way I see 5% is completed removal of any major Covid restrictions for the whole year, housing crisis is no longer a crisis, and massive government spending on inefficient projects.
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  8.  @seniorsergeanttomcroydon6401  No one really cares about your opinion. You are already a follower so if he’s looking to to grow the channel, he will have to consider what non viewers would like.
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  9.  @leekah9981  having traveled China, I was surprised how much inequality there is. Beijing city limits looked on par with a major U.S. city but the outer parts of Beijing and suburbs start looking like Detroit and then as soon as we were far enough out, it looked like African poor. Traveled inland as well and saw many towns (300k people) that were very poor but had so much flavor and culture. Then traveled to more rural area and it looked like 1980 China still. It was very poor.
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  10. Most of their imports are raw material so your argument might hold up well.
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  11.  @goukux5908  but they export more than they import so wouldn’t a weaker RMB help more than it hurts?
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  12.  @dragon723.  so you’re saying that’s right now it’s good trade off for China to hurt their exports in return for making their debt effectively smaller? A stronger yuan makes for smaller (effectively) debt?
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  13.  @madeinchina1450  that is a long list of mostly irrelevant stuff. Where do you get 70% approval of the CCP? You also ignored that Putin has 80% approval today. Why is that? Seems a lot like control of media amd all info and suppressing an opposition or protest might be a HUGE factor.
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  14.  @madeinchina1450  I’ll look up the video of the C919 plane and you can look up the video NYT video titled “ how China’s surveillance is growing more invasive” or BBC “ hacked files reveal Chinese shoot to kill policy in Uyghur detention camps”
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  15.  @agtsmith87  US doesn’t even buy much Saudi oil. It’s always been an interesting way people phrase like the US is the one dependent on Saudi oil. Oil is a global commodity so Saudi oil affects everyone. The reason the US is involved with KSA is that the US is sort of the world police and that includes global economic matters.
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  16.  @DoubleDogDare54  can you access google maps on a flip phone? Or email?
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  17. I love this channel. Recently discovered it. However, the nearly daily episode make it hard to keep up and FOMO (fear of missing out) makes it less enjoyable and in the long run might push me and others to find another source that provides a summary of the week or month in China. Perhaps a twice a week schedule or a weekly summary of all the Episodes would help.
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  18.  @seniorsergeanttomcroydon6401  what a terrible comment. I’m offering constructive criticism.
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  19. No one really cares about the opinions of Senior Sergeant Tom.
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  20. Are you comparing the US to China as if they are very similar? US can carry more government debt than China because US is bought internationally at much higher numbers. In addition , the 300% shows the countries total debt from government to corporate to household. It’s higher in China than US and when you consider 250% is from corporate and household debt, you will understand that spending among households and businesses will be harder and harder.
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  21.  @kennethli8  China uses state owned banks to hide a lot of the “public debt” which is why total debt is useful. Or add government debt to state corporation debt. China has a larger total debt as percentage of gdp than US and Chinas is growing faster. Add in what you said about how a lot of Chinas debt has to be paid in foreign currency and add in that US is by far more bought currency in the world and you can see chinas debt issue isn’t the same as the US even if both are problematic.
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  22.  @kennethli8  let’s not also forget that chians debt is likely exaggerated by a large amount. One study in lights showed Chinas GDP is possibly only 40% of reported based It’s findings. It’s not an exact science but it gives you an idea. In addition, similar countries in debt and autocratic rule where about 30% lower their reported GDP With richer and more democratic nations showing equal with reported and research estimates. So if chians gdp is 60% lower, it’s debt to gdp is actually 750%! If it’s 30% lower (in line with typical autocratic regime) it’s still a 430% debt to debt!
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  23. That happens everywhere and governments need to adapt. People can’t keep living so restricted for so long. I’m in the US and I wore my mask religiously for the first year then sporadically after my two vaccines shots and now after my two boosters (including latest vaccine for omnicron variant), I only wear my mask in certain situations such as in tight crowds or hospital and public transit. The latest variant isn’t as deadly especially with vaccines mRNA with boosters. China just won’t use mRNA and will keep oppressing people for a while longer
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  24.  @matthewdolman  FYI, i think YT re-mo-ves any comment that has the word 'brain' and 'wash' combined so your comment doesn't show up.
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  25.  @matthewdolman  I agree that it is suprising to hear about that in China considering the level of br**nwa$hing there. But it's been 2.5yrs so cracks are bound to form. They somehow have to balance "rest of the world is in chaos with so money dying" with their human instincts and live normal. Honestly, this can't continue for another year so I suspect by early 2023 the party will find ways to drastically cut back on the zero covid strategy.
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  26.  @imapimplykindapimp  I personally would like a weekly recap but that might take too much time from Tony or might cut into his daily viewership so I can understand if he just does a monthly recap. I think there are 3 types of viewers (I am #2): 1. The subscribers who watch all or almost all episodes. I imagine this is a small%. These are probably the types that don't subscribe to many other channels and are very focused on China related content. 2. Subscribers who watch many episodes but likely 1/4 to half the episodes. They miss episodes and they likely don't go back to watch what they missed in part because they are following many other channels or just don't have time. 3. Viewers who were either recommended this video or searched 'China news" and found these videos or are subscribers but don't have notificaition. These types are likely to watch maybe 1-4 of Tony's video a month.
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  27. 99% sure Ali Baba isn’t releasing singles day revenue sales because the CCP told them not to. I’m sure the numbers were not good and it would scare the market and the People
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  28.  @dragon723.  this i probably why most reputable economic YouTubers and journalists are saying that Chinas high growth era is over and it’s going to decline into a japans style stagnation. I guess that’s better than an economic collapse that would happen if the housing market were to completely crash which is where over 70% or Chinas wealth is stored.
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  29. Yeah, Xi literally acknowledged the bad that China has done in Canada. Did he not see the camera?
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  30.  @madeinchina1450  i do because i don’t have to use vpn. So again, what’s the source? I don’t see it on google.
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  31.  @madeinchina1450  did you use google to look up Uyghurs in camps in Xinjiang?
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  32.  @alanleung1828  I really liked Hu. He gave me hope that China would eventually become a democracy or less oppressive at least.
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  33.  @didierduplantier8359  Are guy a writer? Lol
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  34.  @EquipoNitro1  it’s all lies from the government. Like calling Xinjiang and Tibet “autonomous regions” when there is no autonomy
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  35.  @DK-ev9dg I went to China a few times and met my significant others family. They also did the same..asked “US economy isn’t doing so well?” And it always come off as if they were bragging about china’s economy. How do you like Beijing? Pays well?
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  36.  @monkofmayhem1373 I heard it two or three times from my significant others family in China. I’m sure each time they asked “American economy isn’t doing so well?” They were bragging
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  37. I’ll believe such a rumor only when several reputable news sources report it.
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  38. Nobody cares what you have to say. This is about china not Russia.
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  39. No one really cares about your opinion. You are already a follower so if he’s looking to to grow the channel, he will have to consider what non viewers would like.
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  40. By doing so Xi confirmed everything that was leaked about Chinas involvement in Canada.
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  41.  @seniorsergeanttomcroydon6401  No one really cares about the opinions of Senior Sergeant Tom.
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  42. No one really cares about your opinion. You are already a follower so if he’s looking to to grow the channel, he will have to consider what non viewers would like.
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  43. No one really cares about your opinion. You are already a follower so if he’s looking to to grow the channel, he will have to consider what non viewers would like.
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  44.  @leekah9981  Yes, the government does it's best to hide any part of China that isn't the rich central parts of a big city. The only reason we were able to travel inland so much was my then s/o is from China so she was able to find hotels we can stay at. We went to the famous rice terraces of Yunan. It was so beautiful but I was shocked how poor that state was because the government tries to hide those scenes. I went inland in 2017 but I've heard it became increasingly anti foreigner since then. I went to China again in 2020 right when Covid brokeout LOL. I got a few days of stuff before the country began to shut down. I was already noticing less friendly behavior to foreigners at that time....I guess Xi had been doing his thing for the previous 3 years between my visits.
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  45.  @leekah9981  We had to get on VPN to get actual news on covid because the state media (which is all media) in China was nothing but praising Xi and downplaying covid before the lockdown.
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  46. No one really cares about your opinion. You are already a follower so if he’s looking to to grow the channel, he will have to consider what non viewers would like.
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  47.  @Intelligencia  my bad. I confused you with Bob Watson (OP) who said he didn’t care about my opinion when I provided some constructive criticism to the Channel and also recommended the channel have a weekly recap.
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  48.  @bobwatson8754  that is the worst response ever. “Polling the POSSIBLE non viewers”? It’s arguing that if a channel has issues and some number might not stick around, their opinions don’t matter? I’m okay with your opinion that you like the daily video that has no weekly or monthly summary of China news. That’s your opinion. And my opinion is that he should include a weekly or monthly summary of the events in China. But you people have issues
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  49.  @bobwatson8754  No one really cares about your opinion. You are already a follower so if he’s looking to to grow the channel, he will have to consider what non viewers would like.
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  50.  @bobwatson8754  look man, he is doing a good job. But I’m just pointing out a potential major flaw with his strategy. His videos can have much more value if they were jam packed with very important information for a broader audience. A weekly video of the highlights of the week would be great — and he can do a daily one as well. Anyone that just tunes into just one episode might be that impressed because a daily episode means more watered down content. But a weekly summary episode might be the type of video that would draw in a larger audience. Maybe he can call the series something like “China Recap” or something. That’s all I’m getting at.
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