Youtube hearted comments of HomerOJSimpson (@Homer-OJ-Simpson).

  1. 90
  2. 78
  3. 28
  4. 17
  5. 9
  6. 7
  7. 6
  8. 6
  9. 6
  10. 6
  11. 5
  12. 4
  13. 4
  14. 3
  15. 3
  16. Another great video. 4 videos in 2 days. I think India’s actions are indeed siding with Russia but India is conflicted on what is best for India. They aren’t criticizing Putin or Russia and increased purchases of Russian goods so actions suggest pro-Russia. With an authoritarian nationalist like Modi, this is what I expected. And given that 2/3 of Indians blame the west or blame both sides on war that is about the most black and white wrong vs right we have seen in decades, there is indeed some love for Russia in India. But I believe India is starting to realize that the future is with closer ties to the west and India is being impacted by Russia’s decision to invade Ukraine. The reasons why India may be starting to realize the future is with the west were many of the points brought up in the video. India’s biggest foreign policy concern is China, especially after another border clash. It needs the ‘global NATO’ to help counter China in the region. Continued close relationships with Russia will be a stain on India as well. And another major factor not mentioned in the video is that the west (plus allies such as Japan, South Korea, etc) is by far India’s largest trading partners. 18% of India’s exports are to the US alone, the biggest export market. India has had 30+ years to break the relationship. The US seems to be weakening their ties with Pakistan. It appears the US is putting together a military weapons package with discounts to help India break away from reliance on Russian weapons. Will it accept it and start making actual moves to align with the west? Or it’s also possible that India is just trying to milk both sides as much as it can. That nothing will actually change at least in the near future – India keeps it’s friendship with Russia and continues working with the west. Hard to tell.
    2
  17. 2
  18. 11 months later and 9 months after the invasion (it’s Dec 2022 as I write this). Interesting to hear what was commonly believed by geopolitical experts. It appears the sanctions against Russia where much more severe than originally thought nearly a year ago. The Russian army turned out to ineffective with serious logistical issues and low moral. Ukraine army turned out to be much better than thought helped in large part with some powerful western weapons which have become increasingly more powerful — HIMARS in the summer was a game changer and now Ukraine will get the Patriot missile defense to protect its cities. The war is now slowly moving but Russia is losing little by little at this point and not sure they can turn it around. The best hope for Russia is to drag this war out as long as possible and hope the west caves and forces Ukraine to negotiate with Russia but given how Russian troops have low moral, high casualties, and lacking supplies — it’s likely Ukraine will keep on fighting and if they cut Russian occupied territory in half with what appears to be their latest move going through the center, it’s very possible the western part of Russian occupied Ukraine will be tough to hold on to for long. I see this war this going back to 2021 borders in the too long future. Will Ukraine keep fighting beyond that to take Donbas and Crimea? Seems like Crimea might be east to take if they cut Russians occupied lands in half but Donbas might end up being part of a negotiation.
    2
  19.  @JamesKerLindsay  I appreciate the feedback and you make some great points. In regards to going back to 2021 borders I was mostly speaking about the military difficulties of Ukraine taking Donbas back. If Ukraine splits the Russian occupied lands in half, they can easily take the western half including Crimea. however the Donbas bordering Russia would be easy to keep supplying, and Putin will have no problems throwing as many bodies as he needs to defend the eastern part of the territory. Ukraine will have to take and absurdly amount of casualties to take the Donbas or they will need to fight a very long several year war in the east. The latter might be determined by whether the west will continue to supply Ukraine for three or four or five more years. Will the west continue to provide such support for that long? Well, you Made a point I never thought of which would suggest the west will help so long as Ukraine is wanting support….many now that the integrity of the international system relies on defeating his land grab. A land grab we haven’t seen since maybe 1991 Iraq invasion of Kuwait and that was for a much smaller land. Plus the severe level of the war crimes just gives even more motivation for the west to keep up the support. With the ever increasing weapons that Ukraine is receiving (18 more HIMARS approved, Patriot missile defense system, and likely some new weapons not yet made available to Ukraine), Russia being isolated and seeing negative annual gdp growth for the foreseeable future, europe decoupling from Russia, and low troop morale for Russia but high troop morale for Ukraine, it seems that Russia can be driven out of Ukraine so long as the western support for Ukraine holds. And I thought this war would be over in a week after it started.
    2
  20. 1