Comments by "M S" (@MS-ii1sv) on "Stop Obsessing Over the Polls and Take a Hike Instead || Peter Zeihan" video.

That 270 to win map shows that Trump only needs two out of five swing states to win unless those two are Arizona and Nevada. That's (5 choose 2) minus 1. That is 9 paths to victory for Trump as it stands now. Biden needs Pennsylvania plus 3 other swing states. That's (5 choose 4) minus 1 which equals 4 paths. Someone can correct my math because it's been a while but that's the basic gist of it. Trump has over twice the likelihood of winning based on that map as it stands now.
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@steveb.2326 Yeah. Let's face it. In a real election he wins easily. We'll have to watch on the night and if he picks up Virginia or something you know it's over. I remember Virginia being the first state to stop counting. I think he won it last time. The Democrats absolutely need Pennsylvania or they are done. I hope they have an army of poll watchers this time.
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