Youtube comments of John Woodrow (@johnwoodrow8769).

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  1752. Interesting to see all her spin doctor friends such as Peta Credlin, Allan Jones, and Paul Murray running the line in support that she is 'just a poor helpless woman, in love and taken advantage of by a cad'. Totally utter nonsense, and just like Gladys herself they all know it. I spent most of my working life in a senior corporate governance role in the private sector. I often had senior executive ask my 'advice' on a questionably practice. They didn't really want my advice, just wanted me to say that's fine so it couldn't come back to bite them at a latter stage. My 'advice' to them was always, you are the leaders of the company, it is you who set the standard, you cannot expect lower level employees to do the right thing if you are seen to be bending the rules, even thought you think no one other than me and you will know about this, these things always have a way of getting out. Perception is just, if not more important, that reality. So Glady's as the CEO of the State of NSW, you not only bent the rules, but you actually broke the law (not reporting a corrupt politician to ICAC). You now only have one honorable option available to you, resign immediately. By continuing to hang in, whatever shred of credibility you still have is evaporating, and you will quickly be seen as nothing other than a typical double-standard sleazey politician prepared to do anything and say anything to cling onto power. Go now while you still have some level of credibility among some people (not much in my eyes).
    4
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  2391.  @sassyrobin420  Yep. I can still clearly remember about 6 of us standing in the dark in the sand hills about 40 meters away from the massive bonfire surrounded by about 50 aboriginal people (it was the local football end of season party). From the light of the fire we could VERY clearly what was taking place (a woman being repeatedly bashed while everyone around the fire just carried on like nothing was happening). One of the people I was with said "do you think we should do something about it". Everyone in unison replied "what!!". Just to put in in context, the local and only policeman had a spear put through him only a couple weeks earlier. Nearest maned police were about 3 hours drive away. No mobile phone service in that remote area. And it isn't just women. It was a violent disregard for human life. At one point in the day long leading up to the bonfire a couple blokes sitting on the back of a pickup truck holding the keg of beer had been thrown off as the truck bucked going though loose sand. The truck reversed back, the keg of beer was picked up and thrown in the back of the truck, and it drove off leaving the 2 blokes lying on the ground. Same deal with the motorcycles that we being driven around, crash. People just run over, grab the bike not even checking on the injured rider on the ground. At least 3 government cars were driven over into the massive sand hills, NEVER to be got out again. Young teenagers trying to selling their even younger sister for $20, common. Unless people have actually lived among this stuff, it can't even be imagined. I lived there for around 2 years.
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  2478.  @vmvs1984  As there are so many replies now under the original comment I'm not going to go back and try and find the context of your comment. So just taking what you have written as a standalone comment (which I acknowledge may not do justice) ...... You don't need to "show me another side". Everyone knows the 'other side', it has been thrust down our throats, other than a brief respite for covid paranoia, every day for years. Yes, mankind hasn't been harmonious with nature, and that why I'm a committed conservationist. BUT, there is a VAST difference between being a committed active environmentalist, and political actors using CO2 to bring about radical social change that will do next to nothing for the environment. You will not win hearts and minds describing anyone with a different perspective on the best way to tackle the very many environmental issues facing us as " arrogant, ignorant or complacent around the issue of ecosystem dislocation." That's the typical response used by political motivated 'climate extremists'. Anyone who doesn't fully subscribe to their narrow and often inexperienced view of the world lacks the supreme 'education', 'enlightenment', or 'intellect' they believe they uniquely possess. Not subscribing to the CO2 paranoia is not "doing nothing". In fact people like me believe it highly counterproductive as trillions of dollars are wasted on unproductive ventures where the money could be far better spent on issues that will have a very real and lasting impact on the environment. Cleaning the plastic from the oceans, or diverting water inland in Australia to stop the environment have to compete with farming irrigators for a scare resource on the driest continent on earth are examples. The environment will always loose in that last example, where our major inland river system come to a near stop full of toxic algae and suffocated dead fish by the millions due to lack of water flow. But closing a coal fired power station 1000 kilometers away is somehow going to fix the problem. It won't, it'll do NOTHING for the environment, and actually put the country into a less financial position to be able to do something. The focus on CO2 is actually a highly unproductive and polarizing approach to addressing the environment. It has virtually nothing to do with the environment. It is all about re-engineering society and a power shift from the West to China. Research who Maurice Strong was (called the farther of climate change). Take the time to fully understand what occurred in 'Climategate' where UN reports were fudged to appease their 'political masters'. A focus on C02 and the environment is just like a focus on vaccines for covid. The focus to deal with covid should be action to address the level of obesity (over 40% of Americans) and all its associated lifestyle diseases. That's why people are dying from an otherwise quite mild bug. Society has become incredibly unhealthy, that is the problem. Focus on a vaccine, is just power and people wanting to make money. Exactly the same as a focus on CO2 emissions thinking that's addressing the environment. Suggest you read some of Bjorn Lomborg's thoughts on the matter.
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  2752.  @dorianshadesofgray  That's the best defense you can come up with, out of control pork-barreling, with 170 MILLION allocated within 5 minutes from a telephone call. And you think that is appropriate management of public funds? What planet are you people on. I worked for years in a VERY senior executive position in the private sector. A 170 MILLION DOLLAR capital expenditure would take months to get approved, at a Board level, and would need to be accompanied by supporting documentation as thick as a telephone book. That is how good corporate governance should work. And it seems the NSW public service WAS trying to maintain it, in the face of these sleazebag politicians (Gladys included in that comment). But ICAC aren't directly looking at the hospital matter. They are examining TWO projects, a massive ridiculous function center at ACTA (a PRIVATE club), and a 20 MILLION dollar dedicated recital hall for a piss-ant tiny music society. Not only didn't the 20 million (Stage 2) recital hall have any economic justification (Wagga already has a significant Civic Center Theater than can seat 500 people) it wasn't even be a smart political move. It was during the middle of the 2018 drought, and to spend that sort of money on a quite frivolous concert hall would not be perceived well by the community. It was 20 MILLION DOLLARS of hard earned public money being flushed down the toilet by a weak premier would would do anything to keep her bullying boyfriend happy. And she was doing it for PERSONAL GAIN i.e. the maintenance of an intimate personal relation. Personal gain is not only money.
    3
  2753. The very first sentence that comes out this woman's mouth is a lie. Australian aborigines are NOT the oldest continuous 'culture' on earth. She can't even get that simple fact straight. The parliament (well specifically the Prime Minister and the Minister for Indigenous Affairs) already get advice on matters affecting aboriginal people via the government funded $4.6 Billion dollars a year National Indigenous Australians Agency (NIAA). By law the NIAA is responsible for... "i. to lead and coordinate Commonwealth policy development, program design and implementation and service delivery for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people; ii. to provide advice to the Prime Minister and the Minister for Indigenous Australians on whole-of-government priorities for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people; iii. to lead and coordinate the development and implementation of Australia’s Closing the Gap targets in partnership with Indigenous Australians; iv. to lead Commonwealth activities to promote reconciliation; v. to build and maintain effective partnerships with Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, state and territory governments and other relevant stakeholders to inform whole-of-government priorities for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, and enable policies, programs and services to be tailored to the unique needs of communities; vi. to design, consult on and coordinate the delivery of community development employment projects; vii. to analyse and monitor the effectiveness of programs and services for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, including programs and services delivered by bodies other than the Agency; viii. to coordinate Indigenous portfolio agencies and advance a whole-of-government approach to improving the lives of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people; and ix. to undertake other tasks the Prime Minister and the Minister require from time to time."
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  3487.  @garth9907  You kid yourself if you think I'm worried about offending you. It's to be expected when you challenge any 'religious' belief that relies on pure faith rather than solid scientific facts. I'm just trying to educate you, well not really, perhaps just someone else who happens to read these posts. Just take one of your popular FAKE NEWS claims, way too long to address all of that nonsense. Pacific Islands..... even the very first Assessment report of the IPCC in 1990 clearly stated pacific atoll islands would not come under threat as long as sea level rise did not exceed 8mm per year, the growth rate of coral. This is 30 year old knowledge. Sea level rise is currently around 2 mm year. I trust you understand the basics, that an atoll is nothing other than a section of coral reef where sand and old coral has been washed up into an 'island' slightly above sea level by storms and ocean currents? It's a glorified sand bank. As the sea level rises, so does the coral, and in turn the 'island'. Not even the most pessimistic credible scientist claims sea level rise is going to accelerate by a factor of 5. The most recent assessment of the state of pacific atolls by credible studies. FACTS: The majority of pacific atolls (88.6%) are either GROWING in size or retaining their size. The only atolls shrinking in size are small (under 11 hectares) that are uninhabited. That they are uninhabited suggests they were always unstable, long before 'climate change' religion. Here read this on the subject, rather than The Guardian or whatever biased left wing stuff you seem to be getting your 'information' from ...........https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/wcc.557 Low lying atolls nations ARE suffering real environmental threats, from over fishing, over development, human damage to the reef, and population pressure. Climate change is not one of them.
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  3549.  @anthonydoyle7370  Your just repeating unknown 'stories'. No one knows with any certainty how many animals were lost, if any. The key point is they DID cross the Italian Alps with many elephants, and thousands of horses to attack the Romans. A feat that is utterly impossible today due to no path being obvious due to the amount of snow and ice, and the IMPOSSIBILY of carrying enough food on the animals to feed them over the distance of snow and ice that exists today. It is not just me saying this, but experts in their field. The only possible explanation of how it was accomplished is that the valleys now filled with ice and snow were largely ice and snow free, and pasture to feed the animals on the trek was prevalent. Other well recorded historical events are consists with much warmer historic times. The Vikings crossing ice free seas to settle and flourish in Greenland, grazing cattle etc for a couple hundred years etc. The remains of ancient forests hundreds of meters above todays snow line. All indisputable historic facts, just simply ignored by the climate change zealots because they don't fit their false narrative. I trust you aren't gullible enough to have been sucked in by the commonly peddled lie that these historical climatic periods weren't warmer i.e. the 'hockey-stick' nonsense of Michael Mann. A proven nasty individual who forged the data, and destroyed the reputation of his colleague in order to appease his benefactors Al Gore and Maurice Strong. Research 'climate gate'. It's a pity the 'hacked' emails of those involved are no longer easy to find on the internet. They made truly fascinating reading.
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  3567.  @stevemercer4142  Hi Steve, I'm like you, actually a committed environmentalist. But I see 'climate change' hysteria as a distraction from making real and effective improvements to the environment. An example, I'm a keen fisherman and each year travel to a section of coastline about half way between Sydney and Brisbane. This couple hundred kilometer stretch is the closest thing we have left of pristine coastline wilderness on the East Coast of Australia. While there are some small villages (that's ok) and various National Parks, land developers have their eye on it, big time. They are pushing for the rough dirt road into one of the best parts to be sealed. What? just to get to the campground which fills up no problem in peak seasons. The only reason is to acquire the scattered large undeveloped private land holdings in the area to build housing subdivisions. This is effectively the total destruction of this large remaining nearly pristine area. It would take a tiny fraction of the cost of CO2 reductions in Australia (which have zero effect on global temperatures) to secure this land to incorporate it into the existing National Parks and be preserved for future generations, forever. I often watch Sky UK when there isn't much on the box. Watching it and it being told virtually the whole of Australia was recently on fire gave me a good laugh. As much as Belgium they said, do they have ANY idea how big Australia actually is, how much bush-land, full of incinerators posing as trees (Eucalyptus). These things are designed by nature to deliberately create fires. It's how they have clear competing vegetation and how they reproduce. They didn't say Koalas are a totally introduced species on Kangaroo Island, and in such plague proportion many have been sterilized to stop the total destruction of the environment. There was talk of actually culling numbers a while back. While brutal (nature is brutal), the loss of half of the out of control population is actually nature's way of reestablishing some equilibrium.
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  3714.  Reckless Abandon  Only one problem with your analysis. Yes the ratio of 'reported cases' to 'recorded' deaths is 1%. First problem we don't know the number of actual cases in Australia. Every county that had done antibody testing has found the incidence of actual cases to be significantly higher then reported cases. Why would Australia be any different. Up until only a week or so ago you couldn't even get tested no matter what symptoms you had unless you met two narrow criteria. So if we guess the true number of cases at a modest 20,000 the death rate drops to 0.5%. Next problem, virtually everyone who has died was either in a nursing home, or a floating nursing home. Not a single person under 50 has died. And a lot of under 50 people are certainly not healthy. The majority of aged care residents who catch the virus don't actually die, they recover. So what's the true number of otherwise health people have died? 5? 10? So lets say 20 actual deaths out of 20,000 actual cases. That's 0.1% or around 1500 people a year. Sounds about right. To put that in context around 160,000 people die each year in Australia. Not all the 1500 covid-19 deaths will on top of the normal number of deaths as some would have die regardless from their other health problems. That's what will happen, and trying to close the economy won't change anything . Being realistic that no vaccine will be found has nothing to do with an attitude to vaccinations. It;s just recognition of the fact no vaccine has every been found for any corona virus, despite years of seriously trying.
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  3799.  @catloveralways  I complete agree society should be prepared to protect its innocent vulnerable. But immediately that opens up two important moral (not medical) questions. First, do the most vulnerable in the high care section of a nursing home in the last weeks or months of their life want to be 'protected' when that entails effectively solitary confinement? Done mainly to protect the reputation of the home or some public bureaucrat. I think its pretty easy to assume they don't. So society has to be prepared to accept that some elderly aged home residents will die, and that is the cost of the risk they want to make. I respect that wish. Next moral question. The next most at risk using a stereotype, is a morbidly obese chain smoker who lives on a diet of McDonalds and Coke. He has been told for years his chosen lifestyle will shorten his life. He has neither the care or discipline to make the hard sacrifices to protect his health. So.... should millions of innocent people, many who take personal responsibility for looking after their health e.g eating well, going to the gym regularly , etc be forced into significant hardship to protect our obese chain smoker? In effect society is being forced to value his health more than he was himself. Is that fair and reasonable? Personally I don't think so. He can do his best with the public health care system, but the broader society should only be expected to care as much as he has. And that is not a lot. Hard, but that's how I believe it should be. It's nearly immoral to force other people into hardship for his benefit. So that just leaves the vulnerable who are in this situation due to no fault of their own. Perhaps born with some genetic based problem. Yes society should do all it can to protect these people if they don't have the means or intellect to do so, and that should be the governments role. And part of that protection is allowing society to achieve herd immunity as fast as reasonably possible. Until that time they remain vulnerable to everyone they come in contact with. The faster herd immunity develops they safer they become. They unfortunately have to remain isolated till that happens. This is based on the assessment that no vaccine will be found. If in the VERY slim chance on is and these people want to take it great. But until then there is no other viable option. The virus will just continue to circulate forever, just like the 1968 Honk Kong flu that killed over a million people does today.
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  3822.  @tigerbugs9867  You're not 'interested', the only interest you have is pushing your rather uninformed ideas. Right now on SkyNews is a bunch of so called experts discussing 'curves', vaccination rates, etc., the usual faces that seem to get on TV a lot to profess their 'expertise'. They speak as if there are ZERO economic and social (and health) consequences of lockdowns. As far as they are concerned only one metric matters, and that is the number of people testing positive to covid.... totally irrespective of whether or not these people are even getting symptoms, let alone overwhelming the hospital system. So you ask what possible reason is there focusing ONLY on the group that can possibly justify the MASSIVE costs of locking down a whole society, and destroying thousands of livelihoods, family breakdowns, ete, etc, etc, is your question ..... do I REALLY need to answer that. You honestly believe hundreds of thousands of people's livelihoods, elderly single men who's only connection with society is a few beers with fellow travelers at the local each night, young mentally ill people who's only discipline in their chaotic self destructive life is paid employment, etc, etc, should be sacrificed for a VERY small number of people aged less than 60 years old. Mostly people who are already sick due to their own decisions in relation to smoking, eating junk food, etc? Again, do I really need to answer that. And just were did you get the nonsense that asymptomatic vaccinated people are infectious for less time than asymptotic un-vaccinated people. They have EXACTLY the same viral load. I reckon you just plucked it out your backside.
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  4023.  @will-ld9fj  I totally agree different countries have different circumstances. But one thing most have in common is a total failure to adequately protect elderly and frail people in aged care facilities. Should they have known to do a better job at this, absolutely. Influenza runs rampant in aged care homes every season, accounting for the vast majority of the 3,500 deaths a year in Australia, EVERY year from Influenza and Influenza related issues. We don't think that's a big enough problem to totally smash the economy. Just properly attending to this one factor around the world would have cut the global death toll by 50% And we did know the way the virus was acting well before our brilliant leaders decided to smash the economy. It was clear from Italy that it was the elderly living mostly in multi general family homes who were vulnerable. And we knew from China that people where were obese were disproportionately at risk. Put those two factors together and you have the explanation for what happened in Italy. Old fat men are the highest risk group, and elderly Italians fit this description to a tee. We always knew young people at the beach or fishing posed no risk whatsoever, as long as you kept them out of aged care homes, exactly the same as Influenza. Your 'die if you die' description while very emotional lacks both scientific fact and moral rigor. No vaccine is likely, so the vast majority of the population will catch the virus at some point. If people have looked after themselves they will be fine. Even the majority of people in aged care homes recover. But if someone has lived on a diet of McDonalds and Coke, just sitting on their fat arse, with all the associated diseases this has resulted in, they very well may die. They have been told this often enough for years. The moral question you need to ask yourself is.... is it fair to expect other people to make massive sacrifices and bear significant financial hardship to protect the well-being of someone who hasn't cared enough about their own health to make sacrifices themselves? Put another way, isn't it perfectly moral for society to care the same about that person's health as they are prepared to do for them self. No less, just the same. If you say society should care more than the person is prepared or wishes to, I say whatever happened to personal responsibility. P.S. And by the way, I'm 68 year old.
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  4322. The article is little more than an attempt to push an agenda, and deflect from a real genuine problem. The simple fact is around 50% of the covid cases in Israel are in fully vaccinated people. Because it is below 78% of cases (the population vaccination rate) someone can say, well that proves the vaccines while not stopping transmission in vaccinated people, is at least reducing it. Not necessarily true. The fully vaccinated and unvaccinated populations will be HEAVILY weighted by age, with a much older average age in the fully vaccinated group. The unvaccinated will be in the young and WAY more socially active, and as such have far greater exposure to catching the virus. So just weighting cases by the population vaccination rate as the article attempts to push is massively flawed as it overlooks a major variable, age. If you do a 'back of the envelop' calculation would it seem reasonable that the most socially active largely unvaccinated 22% of the population could generate 50% of cases e.g. twice as likely as someone say 60-70 years old, just on that criteria alone, I think the answer is a definitely strong possibility. Botton Line: Israel is real world proof that current vaccines are NOT effective in materially prevention transmission of the Delta variant, and the medium term effectiveness of two jabs of current vaccines is in serious doubt (6 months is very poor performance). Just shoving a 'booster' into people without extensive clinical trials is VERY poor practice by any standard, to put it mildly.
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  4510.  @heartofpuregold  Putting you money into super has ZERO effect on whether or not a person qualifies for the old age pension. The pension has both an income and an assets test, and with any significant superannuation a person in retirement will fail both qualifying tests. Not only will the significant balance in super fail the financial assets test, as you MUST withdraw a minimum amount from your super each year (the parentage increases with age) you will also be WAY over the income threshold. I would dispute "most pensioners are legit". The biggest ripoff of the retirement 'system' comes from 'part pensioners'. It is these 'small fish' with modest financial means who have organised their financial affairs to receive a 'part' pension who are the biggest drain on the system. They may live in a $2 million home, own a couple brand new cars, go on overseas holidays ever year, eat out at restaurants ... yet receive some aged pension, and all the lurks and perks e.g. cheap vehicle registration, etc that go with it. That are NOT poor and in need of support from other tax payers. One thing your overlooking in your assessment that people with large superannuation balances aren't paying their 'fair share' of tax, is that most of them will have paid a crap load of tax during their working life. They are the people who have paid the VAST majority of income tax and have spent their whole life subsidising low income earners. I was paying over $100K a year in tax when I was working, and qualified for ZERO from the government. How much income tax do you imagine a company CEO pays each year, even with good accountants? It'll be around $300K a year. In retirement these people just want to just be left alone by the government to full fund themselves, drawing NOTHING from other taxpayers, but somehow they are supposedly evil tax dodgers.
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  4794.  @alvinjohnson773  Eating garlic keeps vampires away, fact. I eat garlic routinely and haven't been attacked by a vampire yet. Proves its works. That's the level of 'science' your using. AZ not recommended by who for under 60's? The same people who scoffed at the very noting there may be issues with blood clots. Called anyone who raised a concern a 'flat-earth' thinker. Oh! yes... those 'experts. The risk of blood cloths is essentially exactly the same for ALL ages. It's the covid risk by age that sways that recommendation. That's right, the risk of covid to a person under 60 is so low, its lower than the VERY low risk of blood clots from the vaccine. You can get a second AZ as short as 3 weeks after the first. The AZ instructions are second dose from 3 to 14 weeks after the first. But because the government wanted to spread what they had out as much as possible they ran around telling everybody it HAD to be 14 weeks, the MAXIMUM length of time. You go right ahead and do whatever people like Kerry Chant tell you. Remember to wear your mask as instructed by 'experts' like her. That ill fitting piece of shi# that leaks like a sieve around the edges that I wouldn't use to try and keep sanding house paint out of my lungs, let alone something a thousand times smaller like a virus. Sorry, your 'experts' are IDIOTS. And don't be so disingenuous to people who spend literally thousands of hours researching and considering ALL aspects from respected medial journals and studies. Just because you don't isn't a basis to assume others don't either.
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  4983.  @elizabethweber390  Hi Elizabeth, trust you haven't taken anything I've said to mean I think old people really are expendable. It wasn't that long ago my mother was in a aged care home. My comment is that society as a whole doesn't care. I care enough to be be really pissed than globally around 3/4 of all deaths are 50% people in aged care facilities, and 25% of people in home-care. Who is responsible for this appalling situation? Well certainly for the people in aged care homes its the governments of the world. In both the UK and New York, they were actually returning aged care people who had been taken to hospital back to the care home without testing them. They just rolled the virus straight in the front door. In Spain the staff just fled aged care homes and left the dead lying in bed. The army had to come in to clean up the disaster. I watched in horror at the PPE supplied by the UK to its health care workers conducting testing, and aged care workers. By comparison to what countries like South Korea supplied its workers you'd have thought the UK was a third world country. Even the most strident supporter of 'herd immunity' will emphasis the importance of protecting the vulnerable. So whether it is a 'herd immunity' or 'lockdown' it is the governments of the world who claim to be looking after the citizens who have failed miserably. Yet they go around lecturing everyone else how to handle the situation. My comments on government are non partisan, it apples equally to whoever was in charge regardless of their philosophy. Both have failed miserably. Take care.
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  5114.  @Feshman117  It is simply not in Australia's interest to phase out coal. What do you think pays for your schools, police force, hospitals, grants to the arts, employs hundreds of thousands of people both directly and indirectly. The town of Newcastle would be a shadow of itself if there was no Hunter Valley coal industry. Renewables are NOT the cheapest form of power generation. That is simply a lie you either know, or have been fed without validating it. In fact is it one of the most EXPENSIVE forms of power generation when properly and fully costed. Why else is it so heavily subsidised??? If you truly don't understand why it is the most expensive when fully costed........imagine I came to you and said I can supply you with water (for your farm, business, whatever) at half the price that Sydney Water charges you. Great you say, sign me up. BUT, in the fine print you notice that I will only supply water to you when the river that runs through my property is flowing, and it only does that when it rains. So you ask me, why aren't I building a dam (like Sydney Water) so I can supply your 24/7/365. My answer: building a dam to guarantee permanent and on demand supply is VERY expensive, and if I did so I'd have to charge you even more than Sydney Water charges to cover that cost of providing a permanent supply. So, stiff shit, you figure out where to get your water (at a vastly higher price) when its not raining and I can't supply. What I just described is the renewables power industry. Unless a cost for back up supply from a permanent source of power (coal, gas, nuclear, hydro) is added to the cost of renewables the cost of just supplying power 'some times' is a complete fiction. It vastly understates the true cost.
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  5223.  @AD-zz1fr  No matter how you try and angle it, the Government stopping people from doing something that has no impact on the outcome of this virus is not only silly tokenism to distract from their own incompetence, it actually undermines the credibility and authority of those supposedly in charge. This issue is not just about those directly vulnerable to the virus. It is way more complex than the simplistic view many want to push. Using just two people, one from each side of the issue as an example of the complexities involved. If you were to ask me who I have the greatest symptom for, a highly vulnerable to the virus chain smoking obese 50 year old with diabetes from a life of living on McDonald's and Coke who hasn't cared less about their own health despite being told for years of the dangers, or the young person who had just secured a job after a long period of unemployment, was optimistic for the fist time in many years, and now finds themselves back on the unemployment queue and faced again with years of depression and hopelessness in order to protect the life of the chain smoker....... do you really need to ask where my concern lies. You may think the best approach is just follow whatever the Government and their advisers say, they know best. Honestly I don't think they have a clue and are just making it up as they go. Regarding the risk to myself, I fully expect to catch the virus. Was tested a week of so ago and was actually disappointed it came back negative. This thing will only end when the majority of the population (greater than 60% to be precise) have had the virus. Government telling you otherwise are lying to you. I'm 67 years old, have looked after myself, expect to go ok when I catch it.
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  5322.  @midknightgeek6629  I like to be guidance by science, not populist or political agendas. So far genuine science says only properly fitted medical grade N95 type masks make any difference. I consider any so called study done in the last couple months that comes to a totally different conclusion to endless previous studies to be purely politically driven. Here's a decent authoritative and independent summary of the true state of science on the subject .... "The evidence from these laboratory filtration studies suggests that such fabric masks may reduce the transmission of larger respiratory droplets. There is little evidence regarding the transmission of small aerosolized particulates of the size potentially exhaled by asymptomatic or presymptomatic individuals with COVID-19. The extent of any protection will depend on how the masks are made and used. It will also depend on how mask use affects users’ other precautionary behaviors, including their use of better masks, when those become widely available. Those behavioral effects may undermine or enhance homemade fabric masks’ overall effect on public health. The current level of benefit, if any, is not possible to assess." https://www.nap.edu/read/25776/chapter/1 Another if your genuinely interested in the facts ... "we continue to conclude that cloth masks and face coverings are likely to have limited impact on lowering COVID-19 transmission, because they have minimal ability to prevent the emission of small particles, offer limited personal protection with respect to small particle inhalation" https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/04/commentary-masks-all-covid-19-not-based-sound-data
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  5744.  @lukem2260  Hi Luke, If the money is in a Australian registered bank, which is the big 4 (ANZ, Com, NAB, Westpac) or just about any other of the smaller ones unless it is a really weird one, the money is totally safe. It is guaranteed by the Australian Government. Ok, someone will say the government isn't so financially crash hot at the moment, but their bank deposit guarantee is still rock solid. If your concern is an internet story that went around about the banks can take depositor funds if they get into financial difficulty, that is complete FAKE NEWS. The legislation associated with that myth specially excludes depositors funds being counted as bank 'capital'(I'll spare you the accounting lesson on what is 'capital'). Who ever started that myth knew nothing about company accounting. The money is totally safe, and the Australian banks, especially the big 4, are totally safe. No government could possible let one of the big 4 banks fail. They didn't fail in the GFC, they won't fail now. They'll feel a lot of pain from bad debts, but it is the shareholders who are going to wear that pain, not the depositors. The issue for your girlfriend is that if the money is sitting in a regular bank account it is earning virtually nothing. It is worth exploring better options, keeping in mind the higher the return the higher the risk. Personally I think a serious financial crash is coming when governments all around the world are forced to withdraw financial support virtually simultaneously. Where to have your money then, well I'd be a lot richer if I can get that 100% right.
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  6149.  @johney3734  Excellent examples of wider mandatory vaccination (military and school children). Only one small problem, they are excellent examples to support the exact OPPOSITE of the point you were trying to make.... 1. The military. Yes, there is a valid bit of logic that you want your armed forces in a crowded combat zone to not come down with a highly transmissible sickness e.g aboard a naval vessel engaged in active combat. Should this logic extend to non combat roles? I can also see logic in the 'one in all in' military approach. Not saying I support or otherwise this logic, just saying I accept it has some validity. This situation has NOTHING in common with workers in a tomato cannery in the back of Shepperton. 2. Young school children. Perfect example of unfounded totally unscientific nonsense. If you asked parents why school children need to be vaccinated before being allowed to go to school, 99.99% would say ... "so they don't infect the other children". WRONG! I've looked into quite a number of the mandatory children vaccinations, and not a single one effectively prevents the child from carrying the illness and spreading it to others. NOT A SINGLE ONE. Yes these vaccinations are effective at stopping the child developing symptomatic disease and worse, serious illness. But none of them, just like the covid vaccine prevent 'spread'. You vaccinate a young child to protect him/her against serious childhood illness e.g whooping cough ..... Covid doesn't even qualify as a 'serious' illness in children.
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  6202.  @HMASJervisBay  Thanks for the reply. By the way I'm 68. Your goal of zero cases can ever only possibly exist by keeping Australia totally isolated from the world for all time. That is simply a completely unrealistic impossible goal. It has always been the major 'gap' in current government strategy. We have to 'face' the world at some point in time. The States do NOT have to go back to immediate lock-downs for a few reported cases. That is purely a political decision, not a science based health decision. At no time in the history of covid in Australia has a single internal community wide lock-down been justifiable on a health basis. Virtually all deaths have been in aged care, and due to total incompetence by the government and health care provider e.g. allowing aged care works to freely move among different locations. What will stop state governments imposing lock-downs? No more difficult than the majority of people refusing to comply if they are implemented. This happened just recently in Sydney regarding having to return to wearing face masks to go shopping. The ONLY reason Gladys revoked that directive one day after announcing it would be extended for another week, is because someone told her a significant percentage of people were refusing to comply. I wouldn't agree the vaccine will will not alter the spread (and I'm what people may call an anti-vaxer). People with few to mild symptoms are not that infectious to others, they have known this as a medical fact for the best part of a year. Regarding the vaccination, like you I consider myself healthy, generally try and stay active and fit, eat healthy food .... and at this point will not be getting vaccinated. If at some time in the future Australia's are dropping like flies, the longer term health effects of the vaccine better understood, etc. naturally I may review that decision.
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  6850.  @davebrune882  What has lockdowns got to do with my use of Singapore as an example? How 23,000 positive people caught the virus, whether it would have been 100,000 or the whole damn city of nearly 6 million people is TOTALLY irrelevant. I'm using Singapore as an example of the death-rate. In Singapore case it's 0.09% Out of 23,000 cases only 21 people have died. Is there something special about the constitution of Singapore people? Does it have a magic cure the world isn't aware of? Is the Singapore health system vastly superior to other countries of the world? The answers, are No,No,No. There is only one possible answer. Singapore is VERY accurately assessing each person that dies and correctly classifying it on medical grounds. That's exactly what I'd expect them to do being familiar with how the place operates. The result, Covid-19 isn't that deadly a virus and other countries are VASTLY overstating true death numbers because their sloppy inaccurate processes of recording anything and everything as a Covid-19 death.. Lets take another country, how about Australia. Nearly 7,000 cases (its irrelevant how many it would or would not be if we did something different). How many deaths have been recorded for Australia's nearly 7000 cases? Answer: 97. Now of that 97 there is a SERIOUS question over the majority of them as they were nearly all in aged care homes. Did the person die FROM Covid-19, or was their general state of health was so poor they died WITH Covid-19 (would the common cold have finished them off). This is what I believe the Singaporeans are most likely doing. Correctly classifying people who died FROM Covid-19, and out of 23,000 there aren't many. FFS a 93 year old lady died this week who have successfully recovered from Covid-19 only a couple weeks earlier. Someone that age, in a state of health only a very short time away from dying, recovered!!! She wouldn't have recovered from SARS, MERS, Ebola, Yellow fever, and probably not Influenza. There is a reason the British have now removed Covid-19 from their list of dangerous diseases. Because they now know it isn't one. So I'll leave you to ponder was trashing the Australian economy, throwing 3? million people out of work, and creating massive social damage that WILL cost lives (many more than the actual virus), destroy relationships, create homelessness, and a debt bill that will take generations to pay back worth it to try and address a virus with a death rate certainly no more than Influenza. I don't have a single doubt what the answer is.
    1
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  6947.  @Majik12  No, not the same in any way. While Donald Trump's 'style' leaves a LOT to be desired, a rational person should look past that and consider why are the governing philosophies and detailed actions (policies) of the respective candidates. On one side you have an a group of elites who want to gain power by promising to change the 'system', promising to reshape the world into some new utopia for the masses. All controlled by 'their Government'. They actually despise the masses e.g. a group of deplorables, but need them solely to gain power. That's how socialism has worked since the beginning of time. On the other side you have a pro-business, pro-growth, small government, just let people get on with their lives candidate. Vulgar in style no doubt, but in the larger scheme of things does that really matter. So just ask yourself, which philosophy (candidate) do you think is going to create the jobs, the wealth, the inspiration for people to lift themselves (never rely on the government to improve your lot in ANYTHING) out of the hole the world has dug itself into over the virus (all totally unnecessary in my opinion but that's another subject). Just don't look at it from your own narrow position. Think of what is in the best interests of everyone you know. In 4 years time the person who I think is best placed to do this disappears forever from the political scene. It's not like he has a life-time appointment. When things are humming again nicely, maybe then give more weight to 'social justice' or 'climate change' if that's what floats your boat.
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  7338.  @eddybulich3309  It wasn't till I really looked into why a vaccine takes so long from initial 'discovery' till it can safely be rolled out into the community did I realize the possible risks involved. The media promoting one is just around the corner are being quite irresponsible, probably due to being totally uninformed. People need to understand a vaccine has the potential to make things WAY worse, kill the person. How will a vaccinated persons body react when Covid-20 turns up??? Etc, etc. I'm most certainly not an anti-vaxer, quite the opposite. But the public needs an accurate understanding of the likelihood of success, and that is low, very low. I hope they do find one quickly, but I think it prudent that Government's plan their strategies on one not being found. I think we now have a pretty accurate idea of mortality rates, and the risk factors that drive the greatly varying rates in different demographics. For truly healthy people the death rate seems about on a par with Influenza. For health compromised people (and that includes obesity which seems to be the biggest factor) the rates are significantly higher. So to a large degree the virus is attacking people who have made poor life style choices. Even healthy 90 years olds are recovering from the virus. So this opens up a moral question. How much should society be forced to pay to protect individuals who haven't been prepared to look after themselves. They were told for years their lifestyle choices would likely kill them. The only thing changed is they just didn't know quite how.
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  7388.  @anthonycanalese2142  Why a belief that the likelihood of a vaccine being found is so low it is wise to assume none will ever be found. Nothing bold about it at all, its mainstream scientific opinion of those with no vested interest based on history. No vaccine has every been found for a corona virus. None, zip, nil. And its not through a lack of trying. Researchers have been trying for decades to find a vaccine to the most common corona virus, the common cold. A vast fortune awaits anyone were they to discover a safe and effective vaccine to the common cold. All the current hype about a vaccine to Covid-19 is simply to extract vast amount of research money. Even if a potential candidate is found. It will take years (not 18 months) to become widely available, just as it should. The reason it takes so long to properly test a new vaccine is a lengthy subject itself. Get it wrong and its theoretically possible to exterminate all human existence from the planet when the next unknown virus turns up. I don't disagree the Covid-19 has attracted the world attention. And just why? It's no more deadly than Influenza, and that statement is recognition that Influenza is a very serious disease in certain segments of the community. The only reason is the media. They have blown this thing out of all proportion and made half the world paranoid. Every night its just an endless stream of 'doom and gloom' pumped out by the media on no scientific or factual basis whatsoever. A couple reported case somewhere is the beginning of a 'second wave', a 93 year person with "advanced dementia" dies in an aged care home, Covid-19 disaster. Every year hundreds of people die in Australian aged care homes from Influenza, not even considered newsworthy.
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  7933.  @carolinebarrett4736  The internet is full of factual sources on Hunter Biden's involvement with the shady gas company Burisma in the Ukraine. Much of it fake news that tries to defend it, which just defies common sense. What on earth would they employ a drop kick like Hunter Biden at $50,000 a month (I've seen the bank statements where the money was paid to him) other than he was the son of the Vice President. There IS only one reason for paying him money, to get influence with his father, the Vice President at the time. He's just one source to get your research stated .... https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7519043/Chris-Heinz-split-business-partner-Hunter-Biden-board-seat-Ukrainian-energy-company.html After reading that article ask your self how credible could the repeated remark by Joe Biden be that he never say any reason to EVER ask his son about what he was doing at Burisma. Hunter Biden's business partner ran a mile to get away from the 'stench', I believe he actually wrote to the Department of Justice to have it put on the public record he was having nothing to do with this scam (probably on the advice of John Kerry). His business partner thought the whole think stank, the CIA would have been monitoring the situation and providing reports back to the intelligence community (and so the White House). But supposedly Joe knew nothing. But he just happen to intervene to get the state prosecutor fired when he just happened to opened an investigation into Burisma, where he son was 'working'. What an amazing coincidence..... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oesl2RXpfPQ&ab_channel=ByMonaSalama
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  8067. Anyone who thinks you just invent something in a lab tube, and then just start sticking it into the population should read the following. Mainstream science from the National Academy of Science, not some wacko anti-vaxer stuff.......https://www.pnas.org/content/117/15/8218 Stuff these clowns in the media pushing an agenda will never tell you..... "Researchers need to understand in particular whether the vaccine causes the same types of immune system malfunctions that have been observed in past vaccine development. Since the 1960s, tests of vaccine candidates for diseases such as dengue, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) have shown a paradoxical phenomenon: Some animals or people who received the vaccine and were later exposed to the virus developed more severe disease than those who had not been vaccinated (1). The vaccine-primed immune system, in certain cases, seemed to launch a shoddy response to the natural infection. “That is something we want to avoid,” says Kanta Subbarao, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Reference and Research on Influenza in Melbourne, Australia. This immune backfiring, or so-called immune enhancement, may manifest in different ways such as antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE), a process in which a virus leverages antibodies to aid infection; or cell-based enhancement, a category that includes allergic inflammation caused by Th2 immunopathology. In some cases, the enhancement processes might overlap. Scientific debate is underway as to which, if any, of these phenomena—for which exact mechanisms remain unclear—could be at play with the novel coronavirus and just how they might affect the success of vaccine candidates."
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  8110.  @alanwestbury7051  I don't hold onto 1999 'belief structures', I just understand the history of the subject and how we have arrived at this point . Unlike you I have actually researched the subject and have a pretty good feel for its political beginning by shady characters like the self admitted Marxist UN power broker Maurice Strong. I understand how so called 'climate scientists' like Michael Mann were prepared to fudge their research in order to gain favor with these political masters. I understand how these political activists masquerading as 'scientists' were able to completely take over the IPCC process (the so called scientific consensus) in order to promote themselves, both financially and career wise. I understand how ruthless they were in crushing any academic or scientist who held differing views to themselves. Getting them sacked from their jobs, and blacklisting any scientific journal who dared publish their work. And the result is what you have today. A highly politicized activity masquerading as objective science, and anyone daring to challenge the required narrative will be immediate platformed, sacked from their job, and never again work in their field of expertise. But feel free to hang on every word their emanates from these people as 'gospel'. P.S. And by the way, if you did know anything about the subject you would never have said you think NASA is the 'bees knees' because of satellite temperatures. Satellite temperature records have an appalling history of being incorrect, and have been adjusted a number of time in order to try and correct them. https://climate.nasa.gov/faq/49/which-measurement-is-more-accurate-taking-earths-surface-temperature-from-the-ground-or-from-space/#:~:text=Since%20satellites%20technically%20measure%20neither,more%20accurate%20than%20satellite%20measurements.
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  8202.  @rattusfinkus  Scientists don't "know" that CO2 is driving the quite slow minor rise (1C degree in 100 years is NOT very rapid) in average global temperature. They conclude it must be the cause by dismissing other drivers, and there are plenty of VERY eminent climate scientists who disagree the basis for dismissing those other drivers e.g. Judith Curry. And scientists don't know what drove past temperatures. In fact they even dispute it was warmer in the 'Roman Warming Period' that today, because it doesn't fit their narrative. Recorded factual history says it was clearly warmer. The reason the Roman's left Britain was because the climate started to turn cold again, and famine set it. You need to read up on Climategate. That scumbag Michael Mann was prepared to lie about his research because it didn't give the answer the power brokers like Al Gore wanted. The VAST amount of pointless money spent currently trying to address 'climate change' (really just get rich schemes by the elites) would be FAR better spent addressing real, measurable, and vastly more important environmental problems. The biggest cause of species decline is loss of habitat. The oceans and beaches of tropical atolls are littered with plastic. The millions spend on academics playing 'research' on the Great Barrier Reef to protect it from 'climate change' (an excuse to get paid going scuba diving) would be VASTLY better spent paying someone to go pick up all the rubbish on the beaches of the remote islands.
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  8222.  @TB1M1  Yes its a world average, that's my point. I'm assuming from your response you have some understanding of statics. For someone wanting to understand the risk from the virus as it relates to themselves, the global average will tell them absolutely NOTHING. We know the data behind the global average is anything but a normal distribution, being heavily skewed by age (which I think is mostly a proxy for the prevalence of relevant preexisting health conditions). So even the most basic assumptions we make using a global average are highly misleading, at the individual level. The best indicator for the individual is to look at the world average for age groups, but not for their physical age, but for their own estimation of their 'health age'. Example if unclear, if someone is a morbidly obese 30 year old, look at the death rate for say people 80 to get some indication of what this virus means to YOU. If your a healthy 60 year old (which is not the majority, sorry folk), probably not unreasonable to look at the 40 year old age rate. Then recognize your average health age death rate is overstated. It is the death rate for reported cases. The more correct answer needs to include unreported cases. What's the rate of unreported cases, we don't seem to have a clue, certainly not in Australia without widespread random testing. Reasonable to assume, the rate of unreported cases gets higher as age decreases. So pulling all the above together, the global average death rate for people with a health age of 40 or less is 0.2%. Make an adjustment for unreported cases, and living in a country with a first class health system, and the number is probably somewhere closer to 0.1%.
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  8282.  @freibuis  Honestly, you've lost me on the left/right question. But regarding human induced climate change, virtually everyone agrees man has an affect on the climate. Man started affecting the climate 4000 years ago when we cleared the great forests of Asia and replaced them with methane producing rice-paddies. That man induced climate change is the 'debate' is just a deliberate misrepresentation of the concerns of many by the left-wing social warriors masquerading as people genuinely concerned about the environment. Judith Curry, is a highly qualified climate scientist with way more integrity than the fraudulent Michael Mann. She believes in AGW, yet she is called a 'climate denier' simply because she believes a lot of current climate science lacks basic academic rigor. Same criticism as Professor Peter Ridd, again a highly qualified reef scientist (no matter what the hate brigade say). Bjorn Lomberg believes in AWG, yet he is also called a 'climate denier'. Simply because he believes trying to address rising CO2 emissions under our current approach is just a massive cost for next to no environmental impact. Many believe current approaches are destined to fail. How can just sticking in a bunch of windmills and solar panels possible be adequate when the world population will double in just over 60 years, the third world has a right to climb out of poverty and is becoming a rising middle class, and the first world continues its ever increasing environmental footprint pretending banning plastic shopping bags is going to achieve anything (just look around, it is). Well it has, sales of plastic rubbish bin liners have skyrocketed. Even the most basic scrutiny should surely indicate sticking in a bunch of windmills and solar panels must fail. The 'rent seekers' like Malcolm Turnbull's son, Ross Garnaut, and the big energy players will be the only winners. To me the debate is really about where will we get the best environment outcome for our dollar, not put the whole burden on those who can least afford it, and bring about an orderly transition that doesn't punish working people. THAT is the real debate people who generally care about the world they live in are trying to have. The current climate change push is actually a hindrance to true and direct environmental action e.g. preservation of habitat, getting enough water into the Murray Darling system to satisfy BOTH farmers and the environment. If they have to complete for a limited resource the environment will lose every time. Don't hold you breath waiting for the ABC to discuss these types of 'meaty' issues.
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  8406.  @SigrunHT  It's more than just driving the Democrats crazy. It's being unable to get women largely uninterested in politics to vote for him. It's giving the left-wing biased MSM a total 'free kick. It's giving the Deep State a gift from heaven. People seem to be loosing sight of the future goal, and are bogged down in the past and personalities. This is playing right into the hands of the Democrats. The goal should be to select the candidate with the highest chance of winning office, and regaining the House and Senate majority. .... as well as delivering on a future vision as people see it. If people put aside petty squabbles about who done who wrongs etc, the Republicans have a wealth of talent to choose from. That's probably the biggest problem, too many good potential candidates, what a problem to have. On the other hand, the Democrats have NOTHING. Their only chance is a rerun again Donald. Say for example Ron DeSamtis is seem as the future, if this decision is made NOW, and every conservative 100% throws their support behind him (putting aside their own favorite for the greater good) the House and Senate are regained in 2 years, Joe/The Camel becomes a 'lame duck' President, and the Presidency is regained in less than 4 years. Eight years of good conservative rule for certain. The only thing that can derail this idea, is division within the conservative base, and giving the 'establishment' the only possible change they have of clinging to power, Donald Trump. P.S. I like Donald, but the 'goal' is way bigger than just the future ambitions of one person.
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  8506.  @will-ld9fj  Personally I think your just virtue signalling. I don't have any of duty of care for anyone beyond the care they take themselves. If someone wants to row a small boat to New Zealand, and they have been told endlessly this is a foolish and dangerous thing to do, and they get into trouble a couple hundred meters offshore, am I going to put myself in danger and to rescue them, NO WAY. If I can rescue them with no possibility of harm to me, yes I'll do that. But that's not what a total lockdown of society is, its EXTREMELY harmful to a section of society, and generally the section least able to bear the pain. The reality is that the overwhelming majority of people outside the aged care sector who are at risk are in that situation because of their own foolish actions. Eating shit, and not exercising. And they have been told for years this behavior was likely to kill them, which it is doing slowly (in many cases not so slowly) every day regardless of Covid-19. Why don't you explain to me why its necessary to stop people going fishing to protect old people in nursing homes? I have no idea why. And please spare me the virtue signalling nonsense about you really care about the elderly in nursing homes. When was the last time you visited someone at one just to give them some company? When did you last drive for 'meals-on-wheels'? Never will be the answer. You've probably never set foot in one. And while your at it, just why should the 3500 people a year who die from Influenza not be brought up? Or the 600,000 who die world wide from Influenza, or the 8 million from cigarette smoking? Or the 3 million a year who die from Type 2 diabetes. Or the 380,000 Americans who die each year in aged care homes from infection. Why? Because comparison to such things puts 90 deaths in Australia, or 240,000 globally so far into some sort of perspective. And we can't have that now can we.
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  8889.  @adrianfox7972  Wind farms 'all around the coast' !!!! How f'ing ugly would that look. And it wouldn't only be a visual disaster, it would be an environment disaster killing every sea eagle and other coastal birds in the country. I'm impressed you have gone to the trouble of installing your own dedicated power line coming into your home that is plugged directly into some renewable sources on the other end. Unfortunately I'm going to have to burst your bubble and inform you that you have just been sucked in by marketing spin and the power illuminating your home may have come from a dirty brown coal fired power situated in Germany. Has it ever occurred to you that the sun doesn't always shine (it doesn't every day for about 12 hours), and the wind doesn't always blow. What happens to the aluminium or steel smelter them? They just jack hammer the mess of cold metal set in their melting pots out ever few weeks.??? Perhaps they just pack up and move to Indonesia where both labor costs AND electricity prices are a faction of Australia, and we quickly accelerate our journey toward becoming a third world backwater. Renewables will accelerate the disappearance of the 'middle class'. People without university degrees who made a reasonable living in manufacturing. It's all now gone to China. And the population is quickly becoming split between the educated elites, and those working in hospitality and other service industries barely able to make enough to live on. That's the reality of your renewables revolution. Millions of previous middle class people who worked in good wage manufacturing jobs being pushed into poverty. Perhaps you don't care about them, I do. Way more that some fanciful crap about the world is going to end in a decade or so.
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  8946.  @damob5969  Sorry to disappoint you, the study you have linked is just ANOTHER theoretical modelling exercise using proxies, and very poor ones at that e.g. "we use a physically-based index of fire weather, the Fire Weather Index, long-term observations of heat and drought, and eleven large ensembles of state-of-the-art climate models". Basically worthless spin. What Matt was asking for is EXACTLY what should be expected, a historical analysis of ACTUAL REAL bushfires data (number, area burned, property damage, conditions on the day, etc, etc.). If the various rural fire services have not been recording this information in a central database for quite some time the management should be sacked. I've long looked for EXACTLY the type of study, and I've yet to find one. The closest I've come was the following study by the CSIRO done in 1976. If you take the time to read it, take note of the "unprecedented" fire of 1905 that swept through much of the same are as the recent fires. The eyewitness accounts from Bateman's Bay residents in 1905 could have been describing the recent fires that struck the area, again. https://publications.csiro.au/rpr/download?pid=procite:96d88e42-6798-4f25-9e9a-b3b306fe4736&dsid=DS1 Of cause there was a drought that created bad fire conditions along the whole East Coast of Australia, and in VIC/SA. Is it some sort of secret Australia was in the grip of a drought of the same magnitude as the worst drought since white settlement, the Federation drought of 1900? This isn't our worst. In the 11th century Australia had a 39 year long drought, and 80 out of the 100 years were below average rainfall. So bad the aboriginal clans had to abandoned parts of Australia. It happened before 'climate change' hysteria and it will happen again, sometime. We need to be prepared. I suggest you do some research of the so called rainforests that burned for the first time. This has well and truly been shown to be FAKE NEWS. The true rain forest areas did NOT burn. I saw the manager of the Binna Burra lodge being interviewed and he confirmed the pristine rain forest did NOT burn.
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  8948.  @damob5969  Matt wasn't asking for a theoretical 'study'. He as asking for a solid factual one. Even if you don't agree with Matt's political leaning, it would be a grave mistake to think he isn't smart. He would be fully aware on the numerous theoretical opinions like the one your linked. Quite recent theoretical studies acknowledge no proper attribution study (meaning analysis of REAL fire data) has ever been performed. Seventeen experts?? On the balance of probabilities, a bunch of post graduate students who have never had the ability or confidence to ever leave the safe confines of a university. And yes I've spent quite some time in this sheltered workshop. The CSIRO report of the the 1905 fires was a "pretty small area"????? From Bateman's Bay on the coast to Adaminby and through the Snowy Mountains. Basically the EXACT same area of the recent fires. I fully appreciate you truly want to believe recent events are FAR worse than in the past. But its just an unfounded belief, not based on any demonstrable fact. Just 'virtue signalling' i.e. I'm a good person because I really care. But have you ever considered how condescending and disingenuous this belief is to previous generations of Australian, those who built this fine country, claiming they had it relatively easy. The reality is the hardship and fear they would have faced from horrific bushfire in the past would have been many magnitudes worse, before mobile phones, radio, TV, helicopters, even insurance, only transport a horse and cart down a rough dirt track, and fire fighting gear a wet hessian bag on a stick.
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  8950.  @damob5969  You can't possibly have any objective understanding of Climategate and still believe Michael Mann has an ounce of credibility. He fraudulently altered data because it didn't show the 'right message'. That's not the work of an objective scientist, its the work of a deceitful activist. In summary ..... "The scientists involved in the email exchanges manipulated evidence in IPCC and WMO reports with the effect of misleading readers, including policymakers. The divergence problem was concealed by deleting data to “hide the decline.” The panels that examined the issue in detail, namely Muir Russell’s panel, concurred that the graph was “misleading.” The ridiculous attempt by the Penn State Inquiry to defend an instance of deleting data and splicing in other data to conceal a divergence problem only discredits their claims to have investigated the issue. Phil Jones admitted deleting emails, and it appears to have been directed towards preventing disclosure of information subject to Freedom of Information laws, and he asked his colleagues to do the same. The inquiries largely fumbled this question, or averted their eyes. The scientists privately expressed greater doubts or uncertainties about the science in their own professional writings and in their interactions with one another than they allowed to be stated in reports of the IPCC or WMO that were intended for policymakers. Rather than criticise the scientists for this, the inquiries (particularly the House of Commons and Oxburgh inquiries) took the astonishing view that as long as scientists expressed doubts and uncertainties in their academic papers and among themselves, it was acceptable for them to conceal those uncertainties in documents prepared for policy makers. The scientists took steps individually or in collusion to block access to data or methodologies in order to prevent external examination of their work. This point was accepted by the Commons Inquiry and Muir Russell, and the authors were admonished and encouraged to improve their conduct in the future. The inquiries were largely unable to deal with the issue of the issue of blocking publication of papers, or intimidating journals. But academics reading the emails could see quite clearly the tribalism at work, and in comparison to other fields, climatology comes off looking juvenile, corrupt and in the grip of a handful of self-appointed gatekeepers and bullies."
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  8951.  @damob5969  All your actually demonstrating is that you know nothing about the Climate-gate fraud. It's impossible to read the emails and not conclude deliberate data manipulation occurred to "hide the decline" to prevent "skeptics from having a field day" and give the IPCC "the nice clean message they want". That is not science, it is fraudulent activism. https://sealevel.info/FOIA/ Try .... "excuse me while I puke" from the highly regarded late Keith Briffa in responding to Mann thanking the team for arriving at a product "acceptable to all". Keith Briffa actually believed temperatures in the past 1000 years were similar to present (at the time of the email exchanges around 2000). In a number of emails he expressed his disagreement with 'massaging' the outcome. https://sealevel.info/FOIA/0926681134.txt Or Professor Bradley's view on Mann trying to censor differing points of view "I would like to disassociate myself from Mike Mann's view ...... I find this notion quite absurd. ...... As for thinking that it is "Better that nothing appear, than something unnacceptable to us" .....as though we are the gatekeepers of all that is acceptable in the world of paleoclimatology seems amazingly arrogant." https://sealevel.info/FOIA/0494.txt Mann's instruction to his lackeys on how to deal with conflicting points of view https://sealevel.info/FOIA/1067194064.txt The only reason different data sets were spliced together "I've just completed Mike's Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for Keith's TO HIDE THE DECLINE" https://sealevel.info/FOIA/0942777075.txt Pure 'cherry picking' by Mann to achieve a desired outcome ....."I think that trying to adopt a timeframe of 2K, rather than the usual 1K, addresses a good earlier point that Peck made w/ regard to the memo, that it would be nice to try to "contain" the putative "MWP". MWP stands for Medieval Warm Period, a time with solid scientific and historical records that support its temperature was not significantly different to present, may have actually been warmer. Mann's more experienced and credible colleague Briffa supported this view. https://sealevel.info/FOIA/1054736277.txt Is this the work of an objective and balanced scientist, or a biased vindictive activist? https://sealevel.info/FOIA/1047388489.txt If you actually take the time to read through the emails, and still don't believe Mann is a fraud, an egotistical bully, someone prepared to falsify 'research' for political and personal gain, goes to great length to drag down anyone with a different view, then that simply demonstrates how clouded your judgement is by your bias. Michael Mann should be the 'poster boy' for the climate change scientific establishment, he more than anyone else represents everything that is WRONG with it.
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  9035.  @Robert-cu9bm  People don't die from Influenza in any numbers all year round. Influenza has a 'season' of about 5 months each year. In the Northern Hemisphere the vast majority of deaths occur in just 2 months February and March. It's so short and predictable the season is tracked in weeks. So you found one website for you information, that's not a lot of effort. Go to the UK bureau of stats (can't recall its correct name) and they track Influenza deaths in minute detail, down to the hospital level for England. Its consistently around 30,000 a year who die FROM both Influenza and Pneumonia. You have to add pneumonia to the total as this is what caused the person to die, and what many doctors write as the cause of death. They also track in detail, deaths where the doctor notes Influenza at the time of death, but the cause of death is some other preexisting condition. And these, plus the actual Influenza deaths tally around 100,000 a year. It's no different to Australia where the number of reported deaths from Influenza is around 1,500 taken from the death certificate. This doesn't include deaths from viral pneumonia, which is primarily caused by Influenza. You have to add those 2 together to get the true number per year, around 3,500. And it still doesn't include deaths from some other disease, exacerbated by having Influenza. Using the English stats as a guide, that would bring the total where people had Influenza at the time of their deaths to somewhere around 10,000 a year. That does not seem unreasonable for a country that has 300,000 reported cases, and the majority of people probably don't go to the doctor if they get Influenza.
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  9296.  @MrJ9191  You think not sending kids to school for no medical reason, but just to send a 'message' is Australian public health officials doing a good job? That's the admission by the Queensland head of health. And the extreme shutdowns AFTER the so called 'peak' was well passed just to punish the population for people being on Bondi Beach was also a good job? Destroy thousands of businesses and throw million of Australian's onto unemployment just so people would take it 'seriously'. That's what happened. The ICU beds in neither New York were overwhelmed. In the case of New York and New Jersey, for solely political reasons, recovering patients were sent to aged care homes to free up normal hospital beds rather than send them to the Federal supplied field hospital and the navel hospital ship. These facilities hardly received a patient. People wen't sent there because that would have been seen as an admission the city and town hospital system was poor. So they sent them to nursing homes. The people who made this decision should go to jail for gross negligence. The UK has always used aged care homes as an overflow facility for its hospital system. They just stupidly continued this always ridiculous practice. There is ZERO evidence that radical shutdowns have made any difference. Preventing the spread of Covid-19 among the aged care sector is what makes a difference. Sweden has not had radical shutdowns yet has no higher a death toll than other European countries that did. Sweden has as equally high death toll because it failed to control the spread of Covid-19 into its nursing homes. The current global death toll stands at 300,000. In any given year this is the number of people who die from Influenza, reaching 600,000 in a bad year. And the people who die from Influenza are the EXACTLY same age and circumstances as Covid-19. Old people in nursing homes, or in-house care. These are the facts.........
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  9508.  @davidl98717  The is now clear evidence the virus was in France in late December (from blood samples taken at that time) from someone who has never been to China, or mixed in a Chinese community. So the virus was already circulating in the French population in December. Similar results have been found in the USA for blood taken in early January. It's been way more prevalent for much longer than most people believe. When informed people make a comparison to Influenza (and there are many valid comparisons), what goes wrong is that uninformed people assume Influenza is some very mild disease. It is for the majority (just like Covid-19) but it is extremely deadly if it gets among the frail and elderly (just like Covid-19). Australia has had around 90 deaths from Covid-19, nearly all in aged care facilities. In any given year around 3500 people die from Influenza, again mostly people in aged care facilities, and society doesn't blink an eye lid. There is a global health care crises. But it isn't Covid-19. All this quite mild bug is doing is shinning a light on this MAJOR health care problem. And a vaccine (unlikely to be found) is not a fix, it is a band-aid solution till the next virus turns up, which it will. Unless people start to address the real problem, their appalling state of poor health from living on junk food, obesity, smoking, and lack of exercise that gives them the major diseases that make them susceptible to every new minor bug that comes along, we are destined to just repeat this nonsense over and over and over.
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  9512.  @davidl98717  There is virtually zero risk to young children. I won't say none, but the risk is so small there are other way more dangerous things to worry about, Influenza being one. Again while a small risk relatively, Influenza can kill small children. From what I can gather, its that children don'y have developed immune systems is what actually keeps them safe. The theory is that its not actually the virus that kills people, its the bodies response to try and defend itself which causes a massive inflammation attack on the body itself. Research "cytokine storm". It's the theory why obese people are so susceptible. All that fat adds somehow to the problem. Boris is a classic case of what I'm saying. Compare how he fared to Prince Charles, nearly 20 years older. Now I don't know for certain how Charles lives, but if he walks the talk I expect him to eat healthy, and he looks pretty fit for his age. Boris on the other hand looks everyday like he just home from an all night session at the pub/club. He is way overweight and doesn't look at all healthy. Apparently he has a history of poor health, having had pneumonia previously. He went down like a sack of potatoes, and Charles goes through like nothing at all happened. It reinforces my belief that physical age is not such a big contributor, it is health age that is important. Lets be honest, the average person over 50 years old is an unhealthy chub of lard. For sure they can't be like 20 again, but they can do WAY better. Bottom line, it is the only viable protection for someone. Everywhere else I just see panicked useless navel gazing doom and gloom e.g lets hope it goes away, when will a vaccine be ready, what we will do when the second wave comes etc.
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  9710.  @MrDokuritsu  Lets carefully examine the situation as you outline it. Even if we could accurately measure the global temperature back in 1880 (something I very much doubt) the global temperature increase over the past 140 years is about 1C. That's an increase something like 0.1C per decade (0.01C per year). And even the IPCC admit only about half that temperature increase can be attributed to human greenhouse gasses. So that brings the temperature increase we could theoretically do something about to 0.005C per year. Have people any idea how little 5 thousands of a degree per year actually is? And people not that old claiming they have seen a dramatic increase in fires in their lifetime. Utter nonsense. They are simply suffering what is know in psychology as the 'recency effect'. The recent bad bushfires are NOT worse that bad bushfires of the past. They are just more vivid in people's memory. Water demand has certainly increased, but not at the expense of taking it away from the landscape in the bushfire affected areas. Yes out of the rivers which is the runoff, but not out of the actual landscape. The ground moisture is determined by what comes down in rain, what the trees use, and what evaporates away. The tiny temperature increases have not increased evaporation (in fact if these is a trend its decreasing evaporation). Factors such as sun strength, wind, humidity etc are much more important drivers of evaporation. Increasing population is an environmental problem, and one that will increase the likelihood of bushfires because of the greater interaction of people and the environment. So curb (completely stop) population growth, 100% agree with that. But I don't see anyone advocating reducing population as a response to the bushfires. Yes, I agree on taking action. Actions based upon scientific facts, and actions that will have the largest benefit (both in environmental AND economic terms). Just sending Australia back to the stone age by de-industrializing it will achieve neither. In fact it will make the country MORE vulnerable to whatever the future holds as we'll lack the resources to appropriate adjust and respond. In the dark ages we used to scarify virgins to the gods in order to appease them. Closing a few coalfired power stations in Australia as a knee jerk reaction to the recent bushfires is about the same in intellectually terms, and will have about the same effect.
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  9711.  @MrDokuritsu  Asking people what the 'think' about the temperature is not science. Science and engineering totally reject the notion of 'seat of the pants' assessments. It's the complete opposite of science. The perceived risk of flying increases after a major incident. The risk hasn't changed. People at a roulette wheel will back the black after say two reds have come up in a row. The change of a red/black coming up on the next spin hasn't changed, its still 50:50. Where did I ever say "statistics going back are not reliable"??? That's the usual spin of climate extremists who want to rewrite the historical record to give the narrative they want. I believe the complete opposite. Historical records e.g. temperature and rainfall taken on the day, and actual historical events that took place e.g Hannibal crossing the Italian alps with 40 elephants and 15,000 horses in 218BC to attack the Romans (something impossible today due the amount of snow and ice) are way more accurate indicators than gazing at tree growth rings to recreate what occurred. How do you assume I think past trajectories of growth imply the same trajectories in the future. Again I believe the exact opposite. People in the early 1900's believed the temperature increase between the end of the Little Ice Age (around 1880) to the 1940's was due to CO2 and would continue upwards as CO2 increased. Only one problem, it cooled for the next 30 years till the 1970's. Wouldn't surprise me if exactly the same thing happened again, and the globe went into another cooling phase. We have no real idea why it happened between 1940 and 1970, so why do we believe it won't happen again. A whole lot of climate scientists have the public fooled they fully understand the climate. The reality is we know jack all about the sun, we don't even know what causes an ENSO event let alone what its going to do in the future. The Indian Ocean Dipole (another MAJOR influence on Australia's weather) was only identified 20 years ago. Bottom line is the wealth of Australia and standard of living of its inhabitants has always be due to a small population and Australia's natural resources. We are basically a farm and a mine. Governments have for decades tried to broaden that base without success. Close our mines, make our farms un-competitive and Australia will become a third world backwater. No doubt that's exactly what some people want.
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  9712.  @MrDokuritsu  Sorry you sound like a classic inner city woke intellectual, probably work for the government in one form or another, looking down on farmers and miners, businesses and people producing things critical to peoples existence. Seemingly unaware of the importance to both the nation and global economy of our top export earners like iron ore, coal, natural gas, beef and cereals. Businesses that are some of the most efficient producers of these products in the world. Not hiding behind a wall of tariffs and subsidies like much of their counterparts in the EU. Your idea of worthy companies are to many people nothing more than tax avoiding sleazebags. P.S. and spare me how clean and wonderful Germany is in relation to CO2 "Germany is the sixth largest consumer of energy in the world,[4] and the largest national market of electricity in Europe. The country is the fifth-largest consumer of oil in the world. Oil consumption accounted for 34.3% of all energy use in 2018, and 23.7% of Germany's energy consumption came from gas.[5] Germany imports more than half of its energy.[6] The country largely imports its oil from Russia, Norway and the United Kingdom.[7] Germany is also the world's largest importer of natural gas. The largest gas imports come from the Netherlands, Norway, and Russia via the Nord Stream. In 2016, Germany imported 49.8 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas from Gazprom.[8] A terminal in Emden opened for gas from Norway in 2016.[9] Because of its rich coal deposits, Germany has a long tradition of using coal. It is the fourth-largest consumer of coal in the world. Domestic coal mining has been almost completely phased out. This is because German coal is a lot more expensive to mine than importing coal from China or Australia."  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_Germany
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  9768.  @garysarela4431  You seriously want to quote the ABC as a reputable souce? That's funny. This is the mob who's chief economics correspondent Emma Alberici 'outed' Qantas for not paying company tax. Duh love, you should have first checked to see if they were actually making a profit at the time. This is high school level business understanding. Had she done the simplest of fact checking she would have discovered Qantas hadn't made a profit (the basis upon which tax is paid) for quite a number of years. That how little the foke at the ABC know about business. To the article. Oil companies get tax deductions for the costs of exploration. Shock horror, an oil or coal company gets a tax deduction for a legitimate expense related to earning income, just like EVERY other company and individual in the country. LOL!!! The fuel rebate scheme. Clearly whoever wrote the article is completely clueless as to the reason and operation of this scheme. Let me explain it to you. Some years ago the Federal Government needed extra money to maintain and upgrade the national roads. So they imposed a surcharge (a tax, currently 41.6 cents a liter) on diesel fuel, on the logic heavy trucks do the most damage to the roads. It is paid as part of the purchase price on ALL diesel no matter its final use. But farmers, mining companies, fishing boats, or any business who uses diesel not on the road complained why should they pay the surcharge, their off road use is not damaging the roads. And the government agreed. So once a quarter? people who use diesel fuel for off-road business activities e.g mining, submit a statement claiming back the surcharge tax they have already paid. It is not a tax break or subsidy, it is a refund of taxes already paid when the tax doesn't apply. Got it? You really must stop reading these trashy sources who peddle complete FAKE NEWS. If you start by not believing anything you read or hear on the ABC you'll be off to a reasonable start.
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  10028.  @wildfireintexas  Today's paper had the full story. Three children playing in the surf, and just like I expected, got washed off their feet and into difficulties. The two men who died were their parents who rushed in to try and rescue them, obviously driven understandably by parental instinct rather than their swimming ability to actually assist. Two of the children made their own way back to shore, and the third was rescued relatively ok by others. The two fathers were later retrieved by others but unfortunately to late to save them. So yes, you could call it stupid for allowing their children to swim in a very remote location with no life guards within miles, and the adults who should have been supervising not having the swimming ability to do anything should it be required. But as they appear to have come from a town well away from the coast, and from the picture in the paper seemingly from an overseas nationality its really a lack of understanding of the dangers. They haven't grown up in the surf like a lot of Australians. I've rescued quite a number of 'overseas tourists' while surfing over the years. All they've ever experienced before is flat water and they are VERY poor swimmers. Someone getting into difficulty in the surf and family members perishing trying to rescue them when they themselves don't have the skills to do so is actually all to common around Australia's coastline. A whole family perished not long back at a popular tourist site (a blow hole) when one was washed into the ocean and others jumped in to try and help. It's not smart, but understandable human nature. These men perished trying to save their children. While it all shouldn't have happened, it was still a selfless act of courage.
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  10059.  @pshehan1  Typical 'climate extremist' response, just make up crap to denigrate the person. It is a FACT that climate models used for the past decades are now widely accepted to have grossly overstated possible impacts, and even the IPCC has now revised its projections downward. So Linzden has been closer to the truth than the compliant 'mob'. "The climate model simulation results for the 21st century reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) do not include key elements of climate variability, and hence are not useful as projections for how the 21st century climate will actually evolve." - Judith Curry Mann's work has NOT been validated by ANY independent scientific body. How could any credible body "validate" the practice of secretly splicing together different data sets to arrive at the desired result ('natures trick'), because the original data didn't support the desired political outcome. A process that Mann's own team strongly objected against as unethical (Keith Briffa) until Mann BULLIED (there is not other word to describe it) Briffa into complying ("so the skeptics won't have a field-day" Mann's own words). In the process literally destroying the credibility of the seemingly competent and ethical Keith Briffa. Mann is a total fraud, a complete scumbag. And its all on the public record for anyone to read. While harder to find on the internet now, anyone who reads the emails exposed by 'Climategate' will be left in no doubt about the character and credibility of this man. He falsified studies, bullied scientific publishing houses, destroyed the careers of opponents. He should nave NO place whatsoever in any science or academic related position.
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  10221.  @Prando34  So if you're too young to qualify for the vaccination, that means your under 18 years old. Then why are you worried about catching covid, hardly a health under 18 year old in the world has died from covid? Your response is full of the major flaws (that's just a polite way of saying lie) knowingly being promoted by people like Kerry Chant. And that is that one dose of vaccine will significantly slow the spread of the virus. The UK experience shows it won't. And that one dose offers significant protection. The best science is about 30% protection. There is a VERY good reason it always had to be 2 doses. India has a very low vaccination rate, and people are NOT dying consistent with the claims about Delta. On average 27 thousand people die every day in India., Not only is the 'strategy' (I struggle to call the half brained idea a 'strategy') of Kerry Chant's diverting vaccine AWAY from the highest risk population towards low risk younger people not supported by any science, it is plainly stupid for obvious reasons. It's sole purpose sees to be to hopefully keep the younger population out of hospitals, where they will recover, to hide the fact that the NSW hospital system is a shambles. Instead of significantly boosting hospital capacity for this inevitable situation, the NSW government was quite happy to throw literally billion of dollars to property developers for stupidity like the Sydney Football stadium rebuild, and the relocation of the Powerhouse Museum to Parramatta.
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  10280.  @Neil-yg5gm  Your not 'listening'. Now listen carefully, again. Using ATO reported income as a GUIDE to see if someone may be ripping off the system was not the idea of a politician, and IS likely a useful tool if used correctly by investigators, as part of a broader approach. BUT .... it was the politicians in 2016 that took a useful analytical tool, and turned it into a complete system of its own, which was a really bad idea. It was turned into a fully automated system, mass mailing out letters to people, based on a highly questionable calculation, saying in effect to vulnerable and perhaps not the 'sharpest tools in the shed' .... "you own us this much unless YOU can prove otherwise". And to make matters even worse, as you can't prove it quickly we have passed to the debt over to an outsource debt collection agency staffed by people who can hardly speak English. And don't ask them anything about the debt when they call every week, because they can't help you. They just tell you if you have any question go back to sitting for HOURS waiting in a call center telephone queue. I must have spent possibly 40?? hours sitting in those queues if I add up it up. I NEVER got to actually speak to anyone, hence giving up and always going to the local Centerlink office, and basically refusing being told no one hear to help, ring the call center. If you were polite but forceful and held your ground, you did eventually get to see someone, and they were always helpful. You have to experienced it to properly appreciate what a disaster the whole thing was. A disaster from an idea, its execution, support, collection ..... everything.
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  10423.  @icantcook9998  Emotive nonsense. Nuclear power plants are certainly subject to the HIGHEST standards of design and operation in an advanced western democracy where there is strict independent governance and compliance to the law. That is why the 440 nuclear reactors around the world have operated with a virtually impeccable record for decades other than some quite minor incidents which can occur in ANY production facility. The 2 well know major incidents are NOT a reflection on the safety of a well designed and operated nuclear power plant. They are a testimony to what can happen in corrupt countries when there is a complete disregard for safety. It doesn't need to be a nuclear reactor to be dangerous in such circumstances. The Bopal chemical disaster in India killed 15,000 people. Are you going to ban all chemical plants? The collapse of the Banqiao Dam in China killed an estimated 250,000 people. Are you going to ban all dams? The reactor at Chernobyl was a design that would never be permitted in the West. It failed when inexperienced people were doing things they didn't understand, that should have been done before the plant even went into operation (would the reactor generate enough current to keep the cooling pumps going in the event of a failure till the emergency generators kicked in). Who would test such a thing for the first time on a real live reactor, and how could it even have gone into operation without such a critical test being performed, numerous times? In the case of Fukushima, anyone with half a brain would know the perils of building the cooling system down at just above sea level in the most prone country on earth for earthquakes and tsunami.
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  10711.  @MrRecrute  No, the BOM would not note that SE Australia has a well established 40 year cyclical rainfall pattern. That would destroy the extremist narrative. And they don't note the exact same thing when commenting on Melbourne either. But before I supply the link so you can see for yourself what actually is happening with rainfall over the past 140 years, read this. Published as recent as December 2019 by supposedly Australia's preeminent climate scientist Professor Andy Pitman ...https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab545c/pdf Just read the abstract and take note of the following ......"Using long-term high quality regional-scale observations of temperature, precipitation and pan evaporation (a measure of atmospheric evaporative demand), we find that despite highly significant increases in temperature that are nonstationary, few regions of Australia have experienced annual or seasonal changes in precipitation or pan evaporation that are outside the range of observed variability over the last century. Despite a common assumption of increasing water demand under a warming climate, atmospheric evaporative demand (as measured by pan evaporation) largely remains unchanged. This is because evaporative demand depends strongly on factors other than temperature. Similarly, seasonal and annual precipitation over the last century is found to be stationary in most (but not all)regions. These findings suggest that the Australian precipitation has largely remained within the bounds of observed variability to date" If you want to know what SE Australia is doing, check out Table 1 on page 4. Commentary on Table 1 is ""Table 1 further summarises the precipitation trends and their significance levels. None of the 30 regional time series show both statistically significant lag-1 autocorrelation and linear trend, suggesting that annual and seasonal precipitation can be considered stationary in all climatological regions" The moral of the story is you should start reading any BOM publication with an assumption just about everything is distorted, cherry-picked, etc, Still want to validate the accuracy of BOM statements? The BOM website to analyse rainfall in any town (pick one or several towns in your region of interest) is http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/ Many, especially old post office sites have rainfall records going back to the 1880's. Select your rainfall by "month". Your will see the rainfall records available for that site in the small graphical screen near the bottom of the page. Select sites with unbroken records from pre 1900. In the upper right hand corner of the results screen you will see a hyperlink saying "select all years". One of the two downloaded files will give you all monthly records by year in Excel format. Add an additional column for a 10 year moving average to the data (to smooth out all the massive year by year variances) and then graph it. Your now have a real nice graph for the real rainfall trend for the past 140 years, along with all the cyclical ups and downs that represent the Australia climate. Don't be surprised if you find the graph line just swinging up and down in typically 20-40 year cycles between a pretty consistent range for the past 140 years. Exactly like Professor Andy Pitman's study told you was the case.
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  10715.  @MrRecrute  Stick to the hard facts. Drought and weather conditions ON THE DAY are the overwhelming drivers of sever bush-fire in Australia. Everything else is so minor as to be insignificant. The IPCC clearly say there is insufficient evidence to support a link between climate change and drought in Australia. The recent Pitman study is consistent with the IPCC's position that there is no evidence of a climate change driven drying of Australia. This is exactly what he was saying in public, unaware it was being recorded. Even The Conservation article you referenced says exactly the same thing if you read between all the nonsense they've thrown it to deliberately confuse the reader. Its exactly the same modus operandi the BOM use ...... " In the southeast there has also been a substantial decline in winter rainfall and total runoff in recent decades. Although the reductions are consistent with climate change projections, the trend so far is harder to distinguish from the year-to-year variability." So it seems you just have to create a climate model, make it align with a natural variation, and regardless of the data actually indicating normal variation, its then "climate change" linked. Talk about total unscientific nonsense. About the only thing they have correct in the whole 'opinion piece' is "But the role of climate change in extended drought periods is difficult to discern from normal variations in weather and climate. This is particularly true in Australia, which has a much more variable climate than many other parts of the world." This IS THE SCIENCE, and no amount of misrepresentation by climate extremists on social media platforms like this one will change that FACT.
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  10718.  @MrRecrute  The point being made, was the independence and objectivity of the academic world. Professor Peter Ridd is a HIGHLY qualified expert on the Great Barrier Reef. The GBR and surrounding marine environments ARE his field of study for the past 35 years. He has produced literally 100's of published study on the subject over these years. Judith Curry's academic credentials are indisputable and need no explanation. Yes no doubt you read Peter Ridd was not qualified to comment on the GBR. That was just one of the many false slurs aimed against him. All because as a marine scientist he wasn't 'collegiate'. What does that mean? Disagreeing with his colleagues that the reef was on the edge of extinction, exposing major flaws in studies, exposing published so called peer review studies as having no scientific basis whatsoever, just totally made up. He is VERY critical of the 'peer review' process. What both Peter Ridd and Judith Curry have in common is they are critical and outspoken on the current level of 'science' in their fields of expertise. For this crime both had been forced out of the academic world for not 'playing the game'. The 'establishment' has tried to trash their reputations by any and all means possible. Both are classified as climate 'deniers'. For what? Simply having the integrity to not conform to the required narrative, to challenge it as scientists, and present alternative explanations. The very basis of what good science should be about. Don't for a second think that climate change science is built on objective, independent, and unbiased inquiry. Anything but. Powerful forces will try and destroy anyone who doesn't toe the required line. This has been happening for 30 years at least, evidenced by the emails that surfaced during the 'Climategate' scandal. A science publication just daring to publish a study with a diverging view was enough to try to get it 'blacklisted' by Michael Mann. Don't get me started on the political driven, biased, and tightly controlled 'old boy club' organisation that is the IPCC
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  10827.  @j2simpso  Taking main point from your comment ...... Not correct to say Covid-19 has killed many young people. It has killed a VERY small number globally. It's not a 'crap shoot' what your outcome will be. 98% of people who died in New York had one comorbidity, 80% had two or more comorbidities. The WHO has just recently report approximately 50% of all European deaths were in aged care homes. And this is likely to be in the high dependency section. A person is only in a high dependency section of an aged care home because they are already dying. The majority of fit healthy people who get the virus probably won't even know they had it. Quite a bit of research went into a vaccine for SARS without result. And the reason it was discontinued is an important point in relation to Covid-19. SARS was able to be eradicated with a contact tracing strategy because it was so deadly. That was actually its greatest weakness. It made a person very sick, very quickly, and immobilized them before they were able to spread the virus. As such the spread was VERY slow. For this reason relatively few people caught SARS, so it was easy to identify and isolate infected people. Covid-19 is the complete opposite, highly infectious but spread by people who may not even know they are sick. I believe the experts who say the strategies used to deal with SARS i.e. contact tracing, will failure for Covid-19 for the same reason they don't work on Influenza. The resources to do the task simply can't operate fast enough to be effective. A vaccine is a false promise, and 'contract tracing' is likely to be another. The experts know this, but for some reason are constantly putting out false hopes. There is clearly a silent agenda running. What we need are strategies to learn to live with Covid-19 as a routine virus that will circulate around the world forever as part of the annual Influenza season, just like we have with the Hong Kong flu of 1968 that killed an estimated 100,000 people in the USA, and over 1 million people globally. That was such a 'no big deal' commentators at present seem to not even know it happened.
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  10891.  @treclucker5153  I have a mate who is quite religious and over a few beers, against my better normal sober judgement, the conversation often turns to religion (he worries I'm going to burn in eternity). So I routinely research to counter his points etc. I honestly don't believe there is malice in Israel's original statements. As you'll know from your Christian school days, they see it as a obligation to covert us 'heathens'. It is done out of care and concern, not hatred. Might be misplaced, or pointless, but still their 'hearts are in the right place'. Even from a Christian point of view, many recent Christian scholars have moved away from the concept of 'hell'. There is no real reference to it in either the Old or New Testaments, it is a man created thing. Hades as used in the Bible does not mean 'hell'. It is an old Hebrew? word meaning the 'resting place of souls'. But the main reason that scholars have moved away from these ideas is because these concepts are completely inconsistent with the idea of a loving, forgiving, merciful god. A gay person, who devotes his whole life to the service of others less fortunate is going to be made to burn in eternal hell by 'god', yet some selfish scumbag who just believes in 'god' is ok .... see how flawed this idea is. So Israel's 'fire and brimstone' message should be seem for what is, and no more. Just a very narrow, perhaps wrong, interpretation of his religion by a footballer and of next to zero consequence to society. Offence can't be given, only taken. People should treat his comments for what they are worth, nothing.
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  11020.  darkheart72  How many young people have died? And just how do you know they were 'healthy', you saw the autopsy reports? The majority of elderly people who get Covit-19 don't die, they recover. Ninety year olds in nursing homes recover. The very fact a young person dies means they weren't healthy. If they'd been truly healthy they wouldn't have die. Simple. As at 14 March New York City Health reported that only 137 of the 6840 people who had died had "No Underlying Conditions". In the list of what constitutes an Underlying Condition, obesity is NOT included. Obesity is one of the principal reasons people die from Covid-19. This line you seem to want to promote that Covid-19 "doesn't discriminate" is total utter nonsense, seemingly a total smoke screen to hide the true public health crises. Covid-19 is no more than a pretty minor bug that is shining a MASSIVE light on the true public health crises. And that crises is the extreme poor health of the population, caused by poor lifestyle choices. Smoking, obesity, living on junk food, lack of exercise, and the associated diseases of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and hypertension is what is killing people. The solution isn't a vaccine (should the unlikely event one be found), that's a band-aid fix, at best good till the next mild bug arrives. The proper fix is a MASSIVE improvement in public health though significant lifestyle changes. Everything else is pretty much BS. Lifestyle changes don't make money for the medical profession, they actually loose money because people no longer need to see doctors. Who's currently running the show at the moment? Doctors!
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  11320.  @brett22bt  "Yes they do what, who"????? Are you suggesting you can read and understand an academic study better than me, when you know NOTHING whatsoever about my education level or background. Please believe me when I say I wouldn't be so presumptuous or seemingly arrogant as to believe the reverse. From your vague answer I'm taking it you correctly acknowledge that it is now widely accepted that the global warming that occurred from 1880 to around 1940, before declining gradually till around 1970 (despite CO2 continuing to increase) was primarily (possibly all) due to natural variation, and scientists can't explain the actual drivers beside some unproven theories. The key point is that the popular climate extremist narrative of global warming from the 'Industrial Revolution' till today is all due to AGW is totally FAKE NEWS. Even the IPCC hides this major shift in the story in weasel words like MOST AGW over the last 50 years. Most means something just over half. It they thought it was nearly all, they would say NEARLY ALL. They don't, its MOST. Put it all together, and AGW may be responsible for probably half, and the other half is due to natural variation (its ridiculous to think it just suddenly packed up and went on holidays) which science doesn't really understand. Brilliant basis upon which to build 100, 200 year projections, and make solid policy decisions. And the current approaches WILL NOT WORK. Ridiculous to even think they will as global population is forecast to double over the next 60 years, China endlessly building coal fired plants, and a couple billion Chinese and Indians rise out of poverty (which they have every right to do). Oh! nearly forgot, the science is settled .... LOL!
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  11322.  @brett22bt  So were both in agreement that natural variations are significant influences on the climate, both in the past and today. And current science does not well understand these drivers. Good, we're now on the same page as the highly qualified climate 'denier' Judith Curry, former chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology (till driven out of academia for flagging the poor standard of much of the 'climate science'). Wind and solar are NOT cheaper that coal if properly costed. That they are is total FAKE NEWS. Answer this, if they are cheaper why is it necessary to so heavily subsidize them? If you add in the transmission lines to get the wind and solar from remote locations to the grid, and then add in the cost of backup needed to provide a 24/7 guaranteed service they become the MOST EXPENSIVE form of generating electricity. Why do you think your power bill has gone up massive amounts in recent years. Nuclear is cheaper than fully costed wind and solar. Got to laugh at the 'renewable's will actually create jobs' nonsense. What jobs are you going to create in Australian shutting down base load power from coal and replacing it with wind and solar? No need to be exact, just broad descriptions of types of jobs. Hint: Drop the conservative conspiracy nonsense. It does nothing to further or support your position. Comes across as teenage level nonsense if you want my opinion. Stick to the facts. Oh! and as we're revealing our inner beliefs, I'm a committed conservationist. I believe 'climate change' to be a major distraction to genuine and effective conservation. Most of the money spent on 'climate change' will do NOTHING to improve the environment. We may as well go back to sacrificing virgins to the gods, be just as useful.
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  11426.  @lachlanscott6673  Couple questions to test your complete faith in the integrity of the medical establishment and its 'science'. Question1: Is it true that before about April this year the WHO and CDC, and just about every world wide medical body based on about 30 years of science, comprising dozens of independent studies, ALL recommended that surgical types masks were ineffective in controlling Influenza in a public setting? Question 2: Is it also true that perhaps only one valid real world large scale field study of the effectiveness of surgical type masks has been conducted in relation to the control of covid-19 since the WHO were not recommending masks be worn? Disregard any theoretical studies, or 'further review' of prior studies, and N95 type mask studies. We are talking 'surgical' and home made masks. Question 3: Is it true that all mainstream medical journals are refusing to publish the study results referred to in Question 2 (know as the Danish study)? Question 3: Is it true that the perhaps the most prestigious medical journal (The Lancet) published a completely fabricated study into the effectiveness of Hydroclorquine? Question 4: Is it true that zinc as an effective agent in preventing the replication of many virus is a well established medical fact that has been known for many years? Question 5: Is it true than Hydroclorquine is a known zinc-ionopohore? Question 6: Give the answers to Question 4 & 5, shouldn't Hydroclorquine taken early in combination with zinc have the potentially to work in theory? Question 7: Give the answer to Question 6, why have medical authorities banned doctors from prescribing a drug that has been safely used for over 60 years? I could go on, but think that's a good start.......
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  11527.  @grayshus6706  A bad Influenza kills up to 600,000 people globally a year. The age/health demographic affected is basically identical (over 70 year olds). If there is a significant difference it is that younger people especially children are less affected by Covid-19 than Influenza. The current recorded death count,as I type, from Covid-19, while highly questionable in either direction, currently stands at 207,265 Roughly 1/3 the annual level of a bad Influenza season (which is only a few months for each hemisphere). New York is regularly put forward as one of the world's disaster spots. As at 14 of this month only 137 people of the over 6500 people who at died in NY did not have comorbidities. 98% who died had one comorbidity, and 80% had two or more. We re regularly told about the number of people who die from Covid-19 in aged care homes. Residents in high care in an aged home are more often then not only inches from death at any time. That is why they are there. What the media doesn't report is that the vast majority of these very frail people actually recover from Covit-19. If they can recover, its should be a walk in the part for a healthy person under 60. If it isn't , they aren't healthy. Ebola in an aged care home would kill everyone. Influenza creates havoc ever year in aged care facilities as bad as Covid-19. So often the media generally don't ever bother to report it. If you aren't familiar with why dark skinned people in cold climates (not how natural evolution designs people) have a significantly greater risk of compromised immune systems I suggest you do some research. There is a reason nature designed dark skinned people for sunny climates, and very fair skinned people for cold. It wasn't just to blend with the surroundings.
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  11794. Yes, it is against the law. In 1998 there was a requirement to replace the aging VERY small scientific experiment and medical medicine reactor at Lucas Heights (a suburb that was originally a bit away from the populated areas of Sydney, but over time has now become very close to new suburbs). That required an Act of Parliament. To get the legislation through the upper house it needed minority party support from the Greens parties. They got a clause banning the use of nuclear for electricity generation inserted into the new reactor approval Bill. Because it wan't an issue at the time the government of the day just accepted this change. And so this stupidly and lack of foresight stand today. P.S. The country can't even agree on where to long-term store the 'low level' waste generated by the operation of this small reactor and the use of the nuclear medicine products at hospitals. So its just unsatisfactorily sits in 44 gallon drums on site or at hospitals. The left wing media have people freaking out the instant a remote permanent purpose built location is proposed. Locals take to the streets concerned about radioactivity leaching into the ground water in their area ..... from the used rubber gloves, overalls, and other consumables used by the staff at the reactor or in hospitals. That's what 'low level' waste is, and just demonstrates how totally illogical and misrepresented this whole subject is by the predominately left wing biased media. I live a short distance 'as the crow flies' from the reactor at Lucas Heights, in the direction of the predominate winter winds. It doesn't worry me in the slightest. After going to an open day at the reactor I was impressed with the professionalism of everything I saw.
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  11813. I think its a BIG mistake to be focusing on 'bits' rather than the 'whole'. It's like not being able to see the forest for all the trees. If you START with what is know about the 'forest' (or common sense says is most likely) it takes on a WAY more sinister possibility ...... Fauci was a massive supporter of Gain of Function research. The West quite rightly bans Gain of Function research. Fauci directly and indirectly provides money to the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) to continue his pet project. Workers at the WIV come down sick with flu like symptoms and are taken to hospital. All the medical staff at the hospital who know about the sick WIV workers are either dead or missing (presume dead). The virus either deliberately or accidentally gets into the Wuhan population, include people from all around the world who have returned to Wuhan for the Chinese New Year. Near perfect timing. What can only be described as state supported propaganda videos of people dying in the streets of Wuhan start circulating the world, when normally it is near impossible for this type of thing to bypass state controls. The videos strike fear into the hearts of the Western Governments (supported by extreme predictions from people/organisation known to be strongly socialist in their politics). Fauci initially plays down all this as 'nothing to see'. WHO does the exact same. The Chinese allow the infected people to depart Wuhan to every point of the globe where the virus takes off. But at the same time for some yet unexplained reason the virus seemingly hardly affects the remainder of China's massively crowded and not brilliant public health standards population. The rest is history..... Bottom Line: My take is the world has just experienced its first biological war, unleashed deliberately by China, and partly funded by Fauci (and as yet unnamed co-sponsors). Question to consider: Why did Melinda Gates REALLY divorce her husband? Fauci and co may never have intended to be involved in starting a biological war, but their pure arrogance and false believe in their own superiority has brought them undone.
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  11853.  @pratyaya232  I would agree its easy to be wise in hindsight. But Australia has vastly overreacted. There is not a single country in the Southern Hemisphere with the problems of parts of Europe and New York. Even Mexico, right next to the US is currently doing ok for its population size. So the Australia Government should acknowledge they didn't know what to do, so just went full on. But don't as they are currently doing insult the thinking population by trying to say we are ONLY in a good position due to current Government actions, eg. banning fishing or teaching your daughter how to drive. We are in our current situation solely because of Government failures. If you objectively look at all the problem areas, they are all areas of Government responsibility. It is their failure that has created the problem, be it securing the boarders, ensuring vulnerable parts of the community are protected, hospitals are appropriately equipped for this highly probable event, people returning from overseas are truly isolated, Australia is self sufficient in strategically important industries, etc.etc. . I could go on and on, they are all Government responsibilities and they have failed miserably in the execution of these responsibilities. As far as herd immunity, it is the ONLY option as the likelihood of a vaccine being found is so low, it isn't even worth considering as a strategy. The only debate is how fast or slow we work toward herd immunity (balancing short term health considerations with longer term health and economic considerations). There is no evidence that people can become infected a second time. Ever expert I've seen discuss the very small possible number of cases where there is some doubt have put it down to likely faulty testing.
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  12007.  @yggdrasil9039  YOU made the claim that specific events are directly caused by climate change. Your exact words ... "The longevity and intensity of fires is nothing like in the last 150 years of records. No fire ever burned for 5 months as it did in 2019-20. And the floods are occurring at much more extreme levels, otherwise why would people have built houses there in the 1950s?" You have ZERO evidence to support such stupid claims. In doing so you are actually claiming the IPCC is wrong. They are absolutely clear that at this point in time there is no increase in hurricanes/cyclones, no increase in wildfires, no change in rainfall patterns, etc, etc. You clearly know nothing about the subject. Fires burned for 5 months??? Are you serious, from early spring through to early autumn the East Coast is burning somewhere, EVERY YEAR. The only difference is some years are worse that other, due to factors such as Australia's propensity to drought. Draught is caused by changes in ENSO and the IOD, neither a result of 'climate change'. The loss from fires is increasing ..... because more and more houses are being built in the bush. And you know why houses were built on the river banks years ago, because that's where the town is e.g. Lismore, Wardell, Coraki, etc. Why did they build these towns on the river? Because there were no roads and everything came in and went out via the river by coastal steamers to Sydney. You think they spent all that money building the break walls on the mouth of all the north coast rives so fishermen could motor in/out. These rivers have been flooding since the beginning of time, fed by tropical lows that park themselves out from Byron Bay. There is a reason the areas is called the Northern Rivers. My suggestion, actually put a bit of effort in and learn something about the subject rather than just regurgitating the nonsense you read on Twitter or some other equally frivolous activist source.
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  12469.  @montaheartssaico4455  Any report from the Australia Institute is biased. They are a left-wing leaning 'think-tank', certainly nothing like objective. The $7.8 Billion dollar 'tax break' they mention (fraudulently would be the correct description) is the diesel fuel rebate I previously mentioned. It is NOT a tax break or subsidy at all. As I described previously, it is an additional tax added to diesel for highway upgrades that is paid by everyone when the diesel is purchased. Everyone pays it to keep the purchasing simple. But as some users don't use it for highway driving e.g a fishing trawler, that additional tax is refunded back to the purchaser each quarter when they submit a return stating how much diesel they used for non road purposes. It is NOTHING like a subsidy, and any media source making such a claim is either totally ignorant, or being deliberately misleading. The reason I know all about the diesel fuel rebate scheme is due to working as an accountant for a large quarry/concrete company for many years and administering that quarterly return. The rest of the report is just nonsense also. How can State government expenditure on railways and ports be considered a 'subsidy'. Do you think the government hauls and puts it through their port for free? This is just maintenance costs to government facilities which CHARGE the coal company for the transportation and port facilities. The rest of the report is just as equal rubbish. Bottom Line: Fossil fuels are HEAVILY taxed, and are a MAJOR source of revenue to both State and Federal Governments in Australia. The Queensland Government collects around $4.5 Billion a year in coal royalties, NSW around $2.5 Billion.
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  12493.  @monte5293  Well rather than read tea leaves to figure what might happen with coal in 10 year time, perhaps you be better of looking at projections from a high credible and thoroughly researched source. Try this as a starter ..... https://www.iea.org/reports/coal-2019 On what basis do you make the silly claim that "right wing ideology of putting profit before anything else"? I could just as easily make the claim that left wing ideology is promoted by a small group of elites manipulating the masses (that they actually despise) for person power and wealth. Joe Biden, Bill Shorton, Paul Keating would be a classic examples. True conservative values are predicated on the belief that the individual, and not the state, is best placed to make decision about their own lives. That government is mostly just a milestone around everyone's neck. Unless you have actually worked for the government (I have in all 3 levels at points in my working life) you can have no idea just how inefficient and incompetent it is in everything it does. People may think they know, but you truly have to experience it to understand just how bad government is. Anyone who thinks government is going to 'save them' or 'lift them up' is going to be sorely disappointed. As Ronald Reagon once said "the nine terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government, and I'm here to help". The only real role government should have is to perform functions that individuals cannot do e.g. defense, and ensure that artificial barriers that prevent individuals wanting to improve their lot are removed e.g. access to education. IT IS NOT to engage in wealth redistribution from those prepared to have a go toward those to lazy to get off their arses. And it is these lazy sods who compete for the limited resources that should flow to the truly needy in society e.g those born with physical or mental handicaps. You really think a corrupt near brain dead individual like Joe Biden (or the radical socialists for which he is just a puppet front e.g AOC and Bernie Sanders) is going to stand up to China. You need to get off Twitter, it's making your brain turn to mush.
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  12494.  @monte5293  You just continue to sprout nonsense and don't even have a basic understanding of economics or politics. If you think the NDIS is a success that is just more evidence you are totally clueless. It is being bled dry by the 'not for profit' service providers. Billions of dollars of taxpayer money are going in, and only a tiny percentage of that ever finds its way to the end user. It is a total gravy train for the 'middle men'. The people who provided services prior to the NDIS, the true charities, were just dumped after looking say the blind in Australia for the previous 150 years. Paul Keating is a VERY wealth man. How do you think he got all that wealth on a parliamentary salary. Someone JUST gave him 50% of a multi million dollar piggery as a present. It's pigs can surely fly. The ONLY reason Australia has had 29 years of uninterrupted GDP growth is because both sides of politics have engaged in mass immigration. It is a massive ponzi scheme (look that one up as you probably don't know what the term means). GDP per person has been declining. If you don't think the social security system is full of 'dole bludgers' who are more than capable of looking after themselves but think the 'system' owes them a aliving you are completely naive. I spend many years in the Northern Rivers Region of NSW. Every second person is an 'alternative', many with university educations, living of the taxes paid by others. Who the fuck's idea do you think it was to purchase the submarines .... your Labor clown Kevin Rudd, that's who. I'm done, you're an idiot, and I'm a bigger idiot for 'talking to you'. I can see why you support Joe Biden and Labor in Australia.
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  12820.  @anthrosapien3784  AND .... as the recognized 300 year long Little Ice Age ended around 1889/90 the world has been warming up since then. It is completely to be expected the ice poles and glaciers should be retreating after advancing over the previous 300 years. This all happened without any material CO2 increase. Even the IPCC claim that only around 50% of the current warming is due to human emissions, a fact completely overlook my left wing MSM and climate extremists. The IPCC make this statement in EVERY IPCC report, but it gets completely ignored by the media and extremists. Doesn't suit the narrative. The bottom line is that the current crop of 'climate science experts' lie, distort, cherry pick, misrepresent, make unscientific claims ad infinitum. As such a prudent person would be wise to question anything they claim. Interesting question you might want to ponder, compared again the 'consensus' scientific opinion (not quite sure when scientific fact became decided by democracy). If the climate experts are correct that the past 2000 year recognized warming periods weren't all the warm, just how did Hannibal in 218 BC manage to take his men plus 38 elephants and 8000 horses across the Italian Alps to attack the Romans? Not the route they took, but the logistics of feeding such an undertaking had they been forced to travel over the extensive distance of snow and ice which currently exists in any possible route. The answer is they couldn't have done it, the stock food alone would have been impossible to carry. All the animals would have starved to death. It would only have been possible by travelling up fertile warm mountain valley were the animals were able to graze. Valley's now completely covered all year round by snow and ice.
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  12906.  @midknightgeek6629  Why not?? For the reason you've seemingly ignored in one (perhaps it was in both) of the studies I gave you. Wearing ineffective masks INCREASES the risk of spreading the virus, not decrease it. It does this because it encourages people to ignore other more effective measures such as 'social distancing'. The risk of spreading the virus from inadequate social distancing is greater than the protection offered by the ineffective masks. The result is an INCREASED risk. You just have to look any any recent BLM protest to see exactly this happening. People crowed together like sardines wearing home made, cheap Chinese, or ill fitted masks, thinking they are 'protected'. They are NOT. Even in practice its a flawed idea. Today, my greatest risk of catching Covid-19?? Eating lunch at the small Japanese restaurant, that I deliberately choose to keep supporting. If I was going to get it anywhere it would have been from the people at the next table. Am I supposed to eat my lunch through a mask?? It's all utter nonsense. P.S and by the way, one of your linked articles referencing a study supposedly demonstrating the effectiveness of masks by testing the ability to filter. I've read that actual study several time (it was done well before Covid-19) and what it actually says is ONLY N95 masks are any good, and recommends AGAINST clinical staff wearing surgical masks all day because of the increased health hazards wearing this type of mask all day presents e.g bacterial buildup.
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  13064.    Look I fully appreciate your just a Trump hater, and no amount to fact or logic is going to quell your anger and hate. But as there is currently nothing on TV, I'll play along for a while..... In the early stages of the virus Donald Trump ran an hourly press conference EVERY DAY that was televised around the WORLD. At that time is was about the best source of information going with a range of presenters including Birx, Fauci, the Surgeon General, etc, etc. giving their views and the latest information of the pandemic. OK, so much for the total BS that Donald Trump wasn't informing the American public. What's the next bit of BS? Promoted 'snake oil cures'. There are now endless studies showing the effectiveness of Hydroxychloroquine used early in combination with zinc. Should it work in theory, absolutely. Zinc has been known for decades to retard the replication of viruses. That's solid proven mainstream medical science. Hydrooxychloroquine is a zinc ionophore, again mainstream medical science. A zinc ionophore is a substance that facilitates the entry of zinc into the body of the virus. So far from 'snake oil cures', Donald was a leading advocate of a very effective treatment being used successful all around the world, including in the US. The greatest bit of 'snake oil cure' comes from the main steam medical establishment. No safe effective vaccine has EVERY been found for a coronavirus. And most likely none ever will. Next bit of BS? Donald is responsible for tens of thousands on unnecessary deaths. He's the President, and while Donald probably thinks he is God, he aren't. If here is one person responsible for tens of thousands of unnecessary deaths it's the New York Governor, a Democrat, Andrew Cuomo. New York has by FAR the highest death rate per capita in the world. More than twice that of Spain and Italy. Why? Try around 60,000 homeless people of extreme poor health that live every night on the streets of New York, coupled with Cuomo mandating than nursing homes had to take infected people from the hospitals to free up beds in the hospitals. This killed thousands. He did this for purely political reasons rather than utilize the naval ship or field hospital that Donald had supplied, which remained vitally empty. Thinks that's about it. I realize you won't read any of the above, but it amused me to type it. I know you don't want to read it, your are perfectly happy knowing very little and simply blaming Donald for all your problems in life.
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  13293.  @alphariusomegon281  Like wise on the pleasure of chatting with someone on a pleasant note. I'm fortunate that my wife is the health guru, and keeps me somewhat in line. She closely follows, the lets call it, 'progressive' element (for want of a better word) of the medical profession. She was the first person to tell me years ago about the connection between gut bugs and mental health (now well accepted medicine). Try that one with your local GP today and don't be surprised if they just stare back with a blank look. Here's a prescription for a highly addictive anti-depressive medication is what you should expect. At present the only thing people can do to avoid a bad reaction to the virus if they catch it is to improve their own personal health. Really improve it. Don't sit at home, get out and sit in the sunshine in that park, the people telling you not to are clueless. Time to cut out the junk food, the sugar and all the tinned products full of it. What sold out first in the great supermarket rush beside shit paper (still can't figure that one out)? Pasta and tinned sauce. There was never a shortage of fresh fruit and vegetables. Have people forgotten what real food even is? We have a serious public health crisis, and have had it for quite a few years. But it's not Covid-19, that's just what should be a modestly annoying bug shinning a massive light on the problem. Do we as a society what to address the real underlying problem, or just do nothing, wait for the quick fix and then when the next bug comes along (which it will) here we go again. Anyhow, that's how I see it. Cheers!
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  13558.  @helimark6161  Ok. First thing Australia can do is stop all mass immigration. It won't stop global population growth, but it will help stop the environmental degradation of Australia (continually clearing land for housing). And, its the same logic with CO2 emissions that the climate warriors run, doesn't matter the Australia's bit won't make a global difference, its just being a good global citizen. Next, start a genuine debate in Australia about population size, environment impact of increasing population size etc .... Out of that debate comes the message that families of more than 2 children are not environmentally responsible. You can never mandate the number of children people can have, but just like drink driving, you can slowly change societies attitudes if the message is communicated in an appropriate manner. Between those two initiatives (near zero immigration, the vast majority of future Australian families being only two children) the population size of Australia will enter a decline. In time a more sustainable population size will be achieved, homes for first home buyers will become affordable again, emissions will be reduced, the environment will recover. Win/win for all. P.S. Who's going to take care of the old folk (the usual sales pitch for the ponzi scheme of ever increasing population size)?? Answer: Themselves. I don't expect ANYONE else to be forced to fund the last years of my life. If I've blown all my money on 'fast women and slow horses' .... tough!
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  13910.  @oldnutta7611  You have NO idea ..... "Cannabis, a widely used psychoactive substance, can trigger acute cannabis-associated psychotic symptoms (CAPS) in people who use cannabis (PWUC). To assess rates and correlates of CAPS requiring emergency medical treatment, we analyzed data from an international sample of PWUC (n = 233,475). We found that 0.47% (95%CI 0.42; 0.52) PWUC reported lifetime occurrence of CAPS, defined as the occurrence of hallucinations and/or paranoia requiring emergency medical treatment following the use of cannabis. A range of factors correlated with risk of CAPS in the last year: higher rates were observed in young individuals [risk ratio (RR) 2.66, compared to older PWUC] and those residing in Denmark (RR 3.01, compared to PWUC from other countries). Furthermore, risk was elevated in those using predominantly high-potency resin (RR 2.11, compared to PWUC using herbal cannabis), those mixing cannabis with tobacco (RR 2.15, compared to PWUC not mixing with tobacco) and those with a diagnosis of psychosis (RR 14.01), bipolar (RR 4.30), anxiety (RR 2.92) and depression (RR 2.68), compared to individuals without a mental health diagnosis. Taken together, acute self-limiting psychotic symptoms in the context of cannabis use may occur in about 1 in 200 PWUC’s lifetime. Some individuals could be particularly sensitive to the adverse psychological effects of cannabis, such as young individuals or those with pre-existing mental health vulnerabilities. In light of the movements towards legalization of recreational cannabis, more research should focus on the potential harms related to cannabis use, to educate PWUC and the public about risks related to its use."
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  14011.  @rogersmith5371  What, are you suggesting Chris Smith is the authority on what constitutes appropriate conduct in high public office? I would suggest Chris Smith is a one eyed right winger who is totally biased and would support Gladys even if she'd just run a child over on a pedestrian crossing with a blood alcohol concentration of 0.2%. That Gladys failed to comply with her obligations under Section 11 of the NSW's Independent Commission Against Corruption Act 1988 is exactly what this is about. It most certainly will be an area of interest to the very body covered by 'The ACT' (ICAC). In effect if allowed to slide, Glady's behavior permanently wipes out a key aspect of the legislation. That is a 'principal officer' (Gladys as the very head of NSW Government is certainly a principal officer as defined by the legislation) MUST report reasonable suspicion of corruption to ICAC. There is no exception from this requirement for a Premier. If she doesn't have to it sets a precedent that no one has to. There is no pussy footing treatment of Gladys on Sky News. Video after video on this very channel is scathing. Andrew Clennell's question of Gladys on both Sky News and The Australia is relentless. Yes, Glady's has supporters on Sky News like Chris Smith and Alan Jones, as well as her critics. It's called 'balance' where different points of view are presented, and the viewer is free then to make a judgement based on the merits of each argument. Probably something many aren't familiar with if they watch most Australian media like the ABC. The bottom line is all your doing is showing your left-wing bias, and using about the worst example possible to try and pigeon hole Sky News. It's as left wing till about 5.00pm as any other Australian media.
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  14097. Somebody tell me where I'm wrong. The Basic Reproduction number (R0) of Cobid-19 is around 2.5. There are 3 ways to get the Basic Reproduction number down to <1 (effective rate). These are a level of natural 'herd immunity' from exposure to the virus of greater than 60% of the population, a vaccine to artificially achieve the same result in 60% in the population, or extreme lock down and social distancing so the virus is physically unable to move from person to person. The likelihood of a timely vaccine being found is so low that possibility can be removed from consideration. We are currently using the third option (lock down), and to stay in this state requires lock-downs remain and boarders be totally closed. That's not viable in the longer term either. So that leaves herd immunity as the only possible solution. So my question is, what is achieved by maintaining unsustainable lock-downs for another 4 weeks, other than to buy more time to fix up a broken health system? To me the RO target that has replaced 'flattening the curve' as the new 'strategy' just another example of the total bullshit those in charge (and I used that word hesitantly) are telling the Australian public. No more than a bit of technical jargon they figure the average punter isn't going to question. If the reason is you still haven't fixed up the hospital system ready for a possible winter flare up, just say it. But cut the bull shit, and treating the Australian public like idiots. It just make your already near zero credibility even less tenuous.
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  14237.  @lukem2260  The bank 'bail ins' (to use your term) is TOTAL FAKE NEWS, certainly as it relates to Australia. As I said in my previous post, the people pushing this nonsense, who I can only assume are doing it just to deliberately create fear for some political reason, don't even understand basic accounting terms such as 'capital'. The Australian legislation at the center of this issue is designed to deal with how a banks 'capital' is handled should a bank experience financial difficulties. The term 'capital' is a well understood accounting term which means the OWNERS financial share of a business e.g. the shareholders money tied up in the business. No court in the land would find any other way such is the clear understating of what the term 'capital' means. It is as clear in meaning to an accountant as what a spark plug is to a motor mechanic, a stud is to a carpenter. Depositors funds are NOT capital, they are in accounting terms a 'liability' of the bank. Should a bank experience financial difficulty, under no circumstances can the depositors funds be used to pay the owners debts. Such was the confusion created by these peddlers of this fake news, the legislation at the center of this issue specifically states, depositors funds are NOT capital and as such can't be utilized. There are any number of guidance documents related to the legislation also stating this. Not only can't depositor funds be taken by the banks as the peddlers of the fake news claim, bank deposits are actually 100% guaranteed by the Australian Government. Money in a recognized Australian bank is truly as 'safe as a bank'. Australia has a very well run and regulated banking system. When many of the worlds banks fell apart in the GFC and had to be bailed out by their countries governments, Australian banks sailed through with barely a hiccup.
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  14312.  @jakedekleuver  Such a simplistic question to a complex question. But if you want a simplistic answer... yes. Now how about a more intelligent discussion? Type 2 diabetes is a totally preventable disease. It doesn't creep up on someone unexpectedly, it is the result of years of overeating, eating the wrong foods, and a lack of exercise. The person will know they are doing themselves harm, and their doctor will have told them for years they are likely to significantly shorten their life unless they radically change their behaviors. They choose not to make those changes, can't be bothered basically. Laugh it off as they dig into another plate of pasta. Life's to short to worry about shit like that, doctors will always patch me up is their thinking. On the other hand we have a very fit person, watches what they eat, exercises regularly. Doesn't smoke. If they consume alcohol, only in moderation. They work as a waiter at the local restaurant. They take their health seriously. Now to the moral question. Should our fit health conscious slim waiter be forced to lose his livelihood (and all the dire consequences that could mean), to 'protect' the person with self inflicted diabetes who hasn't bothered to look after themselves? Why should society be expected to care more about the health of our diabetic, than they were prepared to do for themselves. Wouldn't it be reasonable for society to care about the same as the diabetic was prepared to care, which isn't a lot. I'm not even asking our hypothetical waiter to care less, just the same. Does personally responsibility for looking after ones self no longer have any meaning? Is its the states role to step in and force innocent others to bear the cost of our uncaring diabetic. Isn't it selfish for the diabetic to expect others to now make huge sacrifices when they were unwilling to make even quite simple ones. I'll leave you to ponder these more complex broader moral questions.
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  14351.  @nicandknacksandseans  Lots to unpack there. Keeping it simple, trying to respond to your main points ..... The bottom line is that it is flawed for people to automatically think because the globe is currently getting warmer (about 1C a century) it must be getting drier, hence more bushfires. That flawed logic is pushed constantly by the climate extremist industry. How do you know what ALL scientists around the world think and agree on? Certainly don't for a second think highly political and agenda driven organisations like the IPCC represent the views of all the scientists of the world. Anyone with a dissenting view will have long ago been put on the banned list. This is well know complaint. However its probably reasonable to assume the vast majority of scientists believe two things 1. the globe is in a warming phase, and 2. CO2 is a greenhouse gas that contributes to that warming. That's it. There is no universal agreement on how much of the current warming is due to the increase in CO2, even the IPCC say only about half. And there is certainly no agreement on future projections. And these are just the easy questions. What to actually do about it is when the questions starts to get hard. If you think all scientists have the highest integrity and are not prepared to fudge data to achieve the desired answer, and can get away with it if caught out, then clearly you are not aware of Climategate. Truly research the subject, don't just accept some whitewashed description of events. It would be naive to think most, certainly young, climate scientists are objective open minded seekers of the 'truth' whatever that may be. They are primarily activists on climate change, and an activist can never be impartial or objective. The standard of much climate science is NOT of a high standard. In fact its considered junk science by some pretty credible characters like Peter Ridd and Judith Curry. These are highly credible critics, no matter how much the 'hate mob' try to do a 'job' on them simply because they have a different perspective. That's how objective your scientific community is, anyone who rocks the boat by having a different point of view will be treated as a total pariah. Not just ignored, but be subjected to an active campaign to try and totally discredit them. Having a PhD and be known to have a different perspective to the required narrative, you will not find it easy to just get another job. In fact you should expect to be unemployable. Ask Professor Peter Ridd or Professor Judith Curry what it's like. Someone thinking climate change is an environmental issue is missing half the story. Without understanding the political forces behind the climate change industry it is impossible to accurately see the full picture. Read up on Maurice Strong, considered the god-farther of climate change, as a starting point for understanding the politics that drive the climate change industry. Maurice may have gone, but the legacy he started certainly hasn't.
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  14384.  @GiantArapaima74  I'll give you a tip: Insults only reflect badly on the person making them. Now to the subject, if you doubt the accuracy of reported numbers for Singapore all that shows is you know nothing about Singapore. I've worked back and forth there for MANY years, often with government departments. It is THE most transparent, follow the rules bureaucracy in the WORLD, bar none. Singapore is not an 'outlier', you cannot have a disease of 60,000 reported cases and have an 'outlier'. That is medically and statistically impossible. You'd have to try and argue there is something special in the diet, or genetic make-up of Singaporean people, which is impossible being such a diverse cultural mix. The whole of Asia has VERY low numbers of Covid-19 deaths per population. The only plausible explanation is a high level of natural immunity after exposure to SARS that went through Asia seventeen years ago. You have ZERO idea how many people have actually died from Covid-19, such is the questions around accuracy. In the UK anyone who died up to months latter after testing positive to Covid-19 was recorded as a Covid death. Didn't matter what killed them, just that they died. People die every day in nursing homes, that's the only reason someone is there, to die. The 2 million is the number of people Joe Biden said would have been saved if Donald Trump had taken the virus more 'seriously'. That's all he had to do, just be more 'serious' and a miracle would have supposedly happened.
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  14639.  @michaelangell9148  I agree we can only alter the future, and that should be our focus, that is my very point (but I still think those who have stuffed up need to be held to account). Your first comment suggests lockdown will achieve some sort of outcome. I'll ask again what outcome other than just buy time for our hospital system to come up to speed (why it was unprepared for this VERY predictable situation is one of the questions worth asking, so we don't repeat that mistake again). A total lockdown from a resolution perspective is the equivalent of putting one's head in the sand. Pretending the problem will just go away if I don't have to actually look at it. It won't just go away. Pretending a vaccine is imminent. It isn't. We need a clear articulated strategy as to how we as a nation plan to resolve the problem that will actually work. And it most certainly isn't a flawed total lockdown to 'kill the virus,' or hold the current lockdown till a vaccine is found, trialed, mass produced, and utilized throughout the majority of the world (because that's what that strategy would require). These options are just a total fantasy to keep the unquestioning temporarily subdued. It was pleasing to see today's The Australian for the first time run a front page story "Push to Let Virus Infect Us Slowly". Unfortunately the article just ends with the usual critics having their say if we have no controls we will see a rapid explosion in deaths. This is a total distortion of the case for a well thought out, closely monitored, and controlled infection of parts of society. The reality is that the vast majority of society is going to get it one way or another. I fully expect to get it no matter what I do. That is the reality of the situation. I trust having looked after my health it wouldn't be too much of a unpleasant experience.
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  14679.  @jonh9561  The mood I sense is a lot of fed up people saying enough is enough of this madness and trying to get back to some sense of normality. This mood will only increase as each day/week goes on. The government and its un-elected health officials treating people like dumb children are quite rapidly loosing public support. And this won't be just a temporary loss of faith in Government and its institutions. They have created such unnecessary misery they have 'supercharged' the trend of a loss faith in our institutions that has been developing over many years. The reality is, and people are becoming aware, the virus is just a pretty mediocre bug. Truly healthy people are likely to experience mild symptoms, if any at all. Stanford University research had put the risk of death for healthy people as about the same as driving a car. Those who have comobidities are at much higher risk, just as they have always been to Influenza. We don't trash the economy to manage Influenza. It kills between 300,000 to 600,000 people each and every year. As a rich first world country we should be able to protect those at risk through no fault of their own. But keep in mind those in the very latter stages of their life don't want extreme protection. They want to be able to see their family. So even this group doesn't value the 'nuclear bomb' approach. For those vulnerable because of their chosen life styles e.g smoking, living on a diet of McDonalds and Coke, sedentary existence, I see no moral case that society should care more about their health than they were prepared to do themselves. They have been told for years their lifestyle would shorten their lives. The only think new is that they didn't know exactly how.
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  14935.  @NvikIngsN  You seemingly can't even read, so why would I go to the bother to link the UK Governments official statistics office. Look it up yourself, but you won't because you really aren't interested. You probably don't even understand that in assessing the number of Influenza deaths in any country the first thing you need to do is clarify does whatever reported number include Influenza induced viral pneumonia deaths. They will increase the 'official' death toll (which is based purely on what the doctor writes down on the death certificate) by a factor of 200-300%. It's the pneumonia that actually kills people. The UK Government stats office has done all the hard work for you and the combined number for England is 30,000 a year. THEN as I originally said, if you add on the number of deaths where the doctor noted the presence of Influenza on the death certificate (again all the hard work has been done by the stats office) even though the cause of death is listed as some other reason e.g heart failure, the number is 100,000 a year. 100,000 people die each year in England WITH Influenza at the time of death. And for what its worth, your own linked website lists pneumonia deaths for the USA at 50,000 a year. Influenza is the overwhelming major reason for pneumonia. Add the number of Influenza and pneumonia deaths together, and there's a number roughly equal to the current Covid-19 death count. And I still haven't included the died having Influenza at the time of death which will be easily as large again. If really want something to ponder, try Singapore. Over 24,000 reported cases of Covid-19 (actual number will be higher), and 21 deaths, mostly very elderly people. And if you doubt the accuracy of government process in Singapore, having worked there it would have to be the most anal, precise, strictest, rules driven, transparent government in the world, by FAR. That's a death rate of 0.09% just in case you were interested, which is SIGNIFICANTLY less than the commonly accepted death rate for Influenza of 0.1%.
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  14937.  @NvikIngsN  You are COMPLETELY missing the point I'm making. The ONLY point is the relationship between the number of reported cases, and the percentage of people who died out of those reported cases. END OF STORY. In looking at the above question, it matters zip how the country went about the matter, the timeliness or otherwise of the government of the day, or whether Donald Trump or Mickey Mouse was president of the USA. X number of people have been identified with the virus, and Y percentage died. In Singapore's case that is 0.09% It is totally inconceivable that other first world countries with excellent health care systems like Singapore could be experiencing 15 to 20 times the death rate for EXACTLY the same virus. There is only one possible explanation, countries are including a vast number of deaths in their count that Singapore believes is not appropriate to include. They do not simply fudge numbers, trust me, I've spent enough time working with government departments in Singapore. There will be some variation by country due to age demographic, but Japan should then take that pole position (but its not), climate (yes I'd expect slightly higher in cold countries, but how can Germany and France be so different at 3 times higher in France), public health (is the UK 3 times more obese with its associated lifestyle diseases than the USA at 42% of the population). What evidence is there that locking down the economy actually saves lives? There is no academic evidence, 50% of all deaths in Europe occurred in aged care homes with the infection brought in by health care workers, and most people caught Covid-19 at home during lock-downs. In Australia if you remove deaths that occurred at aged care homes, and cruise ships (which are just floating aged care homes) the number of deaths from Covid-19 out of 7000 reported cases (a very significant sample size) is pretty much ZERO.
    1
  14938.  @NvikIngsN  While the reported number seems to vary around quite a bit, the percentage of deaths from Europe in aged care homes seems to be about 50-60% of all deaths. Another 25% for in-home aged care. Figures might be the other way around for Italy/Spain who traditionally stay in multi generation homes. So anything up to 75% of deaths are in this one sector. Even the most vocal advocates of 'herd immunity' have always stressed protection of the vulnerable, which is clearly the aged care sector. It's a total misrepresentation, and deliberately so, when people say 'herd immunity' means just let it rip and stuff the old folk. That the aged care sector was the main problem area was abundantly clear early on from the experience of Italy. So people saying 'power of hindsight' aren't correct. The early indicators from Italy have remained consistent. I've seen it argued that all the effort government put into chasing people out of parks, closing restaurants, etc. had little effect in a positive way, but had a massive negative impact. It was a negative impact because it drew focus away from the one critical area, protection of the aged care sector. In this regard Governments of all persuasions around the world seem to have failed miserable. It hasn't been the people who have failed to step up to the task, quite the opposite they have been asked/forced by government to endure pain, and that will go on for some for years. It is actually been government failures that have been responsible for the high level of deaths e.g. sending still infected people back from hospital to their aged care home in both the UK and New York. Even Sweden seems to failed in this area.
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  14956.  @brianterence3211  Lets examine just how totally stupid your comment about being supported by a union boss is, and how it actually demonstrates the complete OPPOSITE of the point your were trying to advance. This reinforces again to me you are not the 'sharpest tool in the shed'. The posties who deliver the mail would be about the lowest paid workers in Australia, considering their start time, working conditions (heat, rain), and responsibilities. People make more flipping burgers at McDonalds. A union boss, supporting someone paid $2+million dollars a year, giving expensive gifts to 4 fellow Executives, each would be earning in excess of $1 million dollars a year ..... and nothing was given to the dozens of 'ordinary' workers who would have done the bulk of work on the project associate with the watches. If that doesn't tell you the the union boss support had NOTHING whatsoever to do with the actual merits of the situation, and was only ever a crass political stunt to see if there was some political mileage to be gained again the Morrison Government (EXACTLY the same as you are trying to do, nothing else) then you truly are as thick as a brick. That your even advanced this point clearly indicates your lack of ability to think. The 'union boss' should stick to what he is being paid by his members to do, advance THEIR wages and conditions, and based upon what an Australia Post 'postie' gets paid (many laid off during Holgate's tenure), I would say he is doing a lousy job of it, and he should also be looking for a new job. P.S. Poor me she cried, "I know know what it's like to be laid off" ...... with millions in the bank and comparing herself to a postie earning not a lot more than $20 an hours and a couple weeks severance pay .... The ultimate 'woke' winger.
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  15137.  @paulfletcher8544  Oh, so you didn't 'change the goal posts' you just had your numbers wrong. That's what I told you first reply, the USA does NOT have the highest death rate per capita in the world as you incorrectly stated. You seem to know very little about the subject. Co-morbidities are EVERYTHING when it comes to Covid-19. The US State of New York does have the highest death rate per capita in the world, by a factor of nearly 3 times that of Spain or Italy. Why? Because around 60,000 people in extreme poor health live on the streets of New York city. Because The state Governor forced aged care homes to take in infected patients from hospitals in order to free up beds rather than use the facilities provided by the Federal Government for pure crass political reasons. 97% of deaths in New York had one serious co-morbidity, 95% had two or more. That Australia is an island is the ONLY reason we have been able to so far control the virus. Only time will tell how well that holds up, and it requires Australia remain near completely disconnected from the rest of the world indefinitely. Covid-19 for a healthy person is no more serious than Influenza. That is a medical fact no matter how much you want to deny it. Around 4000 Australia's die each and every year from Influenza related complications. And that includes a small percentage of young children. You can count the number of children who have died from Covid-19 in the WHOLE WORLD on one hand. And all of them had serious medical conditions. How many people have died from AIDS? Answer 40-50 million. How many die currently each year from AIDS? 1 million a year. And the world basically doesn't give a shit. Keep things in perspective, which you seem to have lost.
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  15150.  @yeahright3348  I don't mind Fox News. If I want to get a balanced perspective of US politics that's ONE of the places I'll look. Certainly not going to get it from the ABC, CNN, Washington Post, New York Times etc.... And yes Sky News does lean to the right, just as every other media outlet in Australia leans to the left. Agree that 'balance' is important. But I think you're mistaken believing that just a depth of ownership is going to provide that. Australia has 5? free to air TV stations, all of them left of Carl Marx. The ABC is supposed to be 'balanced'. It is anything but. More women isn't going to give balance, more people of a non European background isn't going to give balance. What will give balance is a return to old fashioned journalism where balanced facts from both sides are presented rather then cherry picked political activism presented as 'news'. Once opinion in a newspaper used to be clearly labelled on the 'Editorial Page'. Now that's virtually all MSM presents. Political activism masquerading as news. More of the same isn't going to give 'balance'. I'm not quite sure I agree that Australia is a 'centrist' society. That's just the relatively narrow middle where both sides of politics focus in order to win government. My now conservative view of the world is poles apart from the idealistic black/white view of my own kids. They just haven't yet realized they will also most likely be a conservative when they get to my age when they recognize there is little black/white in the world is mostly 'greys', or if not they were probably a failure in life.
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  15369.  @theotherphil  As little as two weeks ago an Australian couldn't get tested, no matter what symptoms they had, unless they met two narrow criteria. Returned for overseas, or in contact with someone proved to be positive. We have no idea of how many Australian have or have had Covid-19. Even the line that our health officials are currently pushing makes zero sense, that children basically can't catch Covid-19. Kids catch every other bug easy enough, and the 20-29 year age group are by FAR the age group with the highest infection rate. So by some supposed magic the virus isn't interested in a 15 year old, but as soon as they turn 20 its open slather. Surely total nonsense. Children have reported low infection rates because they suffer next to no effects when they get it so we aren't testing them. The Bonn University in Germany is one of the first to do broad community random testing. Early results suggest a death rate of 0.37%. That would be consistent with how the virus seems to be panning out, like a VERY bad Influenza season. And that is not downplaying it, Influenza is a dangerous virus and can claim an estimated 360,00 - 500,000 lives each year. With current deaths from the virus of 154,000 I doubt the final number will significantly exceed the deaths from a very bad Influenza season. To do so would require it to take strong hold in a heavily populated country like India or Africa. So far that isn't happening. At present it's basically confined to traditional winter Influenza regions of the world.
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  15371.  @theotherphil  You've just highlighted my exact point. When did the world last come to a standstill to the estimated 360,000 to 600,000 people (depending of the severity of the outbreak) who die each and every year from Influenza. While initially projections for Covit-19 were MANY times that of a bad Influenza season, any reasonable objective analysis is now showing those projections to have been completely wrong. At worst Covid-19 is on track to be no worse that a very bad Influenza season. Even that may be an overstatement as there are yet a quarter of the deaths and the trend in most countries is now downward. That's the reason you can't even start to reply to this on a factual basis, because you can't. If you have just ONE piece of solid statistically evidence that Covid-19 is on track to significantly exceed the number of deaths from the 2014/15 or 2017/18 global Influenza pandemics please post them up. I'd be genuinely most interested to read it. You are aware the globe had immense loss of life in those years from Influenza, especially Italy? The 2017 Influenza pandemic completely overwhelmed Italy's hospital system. Same think happens every winter in New York's Hospital emergency departments. Probably not, it wasn't something the 24/7 news cycle are interested in. P.S. I have no idea how often New York buries in mass graves many of the sick 60,000 homeless who live on the streets and die each and every winter. You think every one of them gets an individual 'first class' state sponsored burial?
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  15372.  @theotherphil  You have no idea of the global mortality rate for Covid-19. You can't because no one currently does. That is the whole reason for the push to develop antibody testing, so they can actually figure out the true mortality rate. And your figure of 145,000 is totally 'cherry-picked' and irrelevant. The issue was BAD Influenza years. FFS the UK alone records up to 45,000 ADDITIONAL deaths in a bad Influenza season. That's on TOP of the normal rate of Influenza deaths True statistics ....... Global Influenza cases per year 350 million to 1 Billion, current Covid-19 cases 2.2 million Sever Illness from Influenza 3-5 Million people, 440,000 currently for Covid-19 Annual deaths from Influenza 290-650 thousand, Covid-19 currently 154 thousand. If you truly think Covi9 is 137 times more deadly than Influenza you really know little about the subject, and are living in a state of uninformed paranoia. The reality is if a person is under 60 years of age, has truly looked after their health and fitness, neither Influenza or Covid-19 represent a significant health risk. In both cases at worst an unpleasant experience, and a decent chance of just a minor to few if any real symptoms. You are likely to catch it, get used to the idea. P.S. 1 to 4 Million people are estimated to have died in the 1968 Hong Kong Flu pandemic. That included 100,000 in the United States. I would draw your attention to the fact Japan experienced minor impact where the USA suffered badly, just like the current situation. Consider why this may be .... https://www.britannica.com/event/Hong-Kong-flu-of-1968
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  15518.  @tarbus8932  "Unprecedented" the most overused and fraudulently used word in relation to this years bush-fires. Means "never done or never happen before". That's simply factually incorrect. Again, you are making statements that have no scientific or factual basis e.g. the "fires are getting worse through the years" due to climate change. Trust me, I spend a lot of time researching this stuff. There is to my knowledge not a single scientific fact based study that can support that statement. And there is a reason. There is no scientifically recognized connection between climate change and drought in Australia (the primary cause of the bushfires). That's the scientific consensus of the IPCC, and supported by the preeminent climate change scientist in australia (Professor Pitman). The usual unscientific line of why bushfires should be getting worse is becuae the TINY temperature increase of 0.01C per decade will increase evaporation and dry the country. Good theory, unfortunately it doesn't stand up to fact. The BOM has for the last 50 years accurately measured evaporation rates at 60 stations across Australia. In the area most effected by the bush-fires, evaporation rates are DECREASING over time. This phenomena (which is occurring in many parts of the world) is know as the Pan Evaporation Paradox and has baffled climate scientists for decades. The reason for this years sever droughts in Southern Australia was due to a combination of a very strong positive phase Indian Ocean Dipole in combination with a low point in the 20-30 year rainfall cycle in the SE Australia. It moves in these cycles as long as accurate rainfall records have been keep since the beginning of the 1900's. All natural variability, nothing to do with man climate change. At no time an I saying its being 'fabricated', I saying its being over-hyped for political reasons. Research 'Maurice Strong' (the God farther of Climate change) to understand these socialist political beginnings which still dominate the debate today.
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  15519.  @tarbus8932  The 'what do I think the goal is' question is a good one, and hence a comment just on the question. Some genuine environmental concern, but mostly its about power, money, and influence. The global climate change movement owes its very existence to a fraudulent criminal, Maurice Strong. He saw it as a means to grab power, get richer, create a true global government (the UN). This former oil tycoon (irony) was the force behind such things as the UN Food for Oil scandal, lying and defrauding investors in his companies, building luxury resorts in pristine wilderness, etc, etc (it just goes on and on). His side kicks were people like Al Gore. Watch "The Truth" video on the Extension Rebellion UK website. About 20 minutes into this reasonably long video of pure nonsense (even states take no notice of the IPCC, its a tool of the establishment) you should be starting to wonder where is this all going. You soon find out its nothing to do with climate, that is just the 'hook'. All the problems of the world are caused by the 'rich people' etc. It's about recruiting and brain washing the next generation of socialist warriors. Read just about any IPCC report and it will start with the causes of global warming. Population increase will be right alongside greenhouse gas emissions. Greenhouse gas emissions are a function of population size, there are other drivers e.g. technology, but anyone who thinks we can reduce greenhouse gas emissions with a bunch of wind farms and solar panels while at the same time double the worlds population is kidding themselves. To my point, why is next to no attention paid to population growth, and virtually all attention paid to CO2 emissions? Answer: because reducing CO2 and increasing populations both can be utilized to bring about social re engineering. We'd probably get way more bang for our buck (especially from an environmental perspective) by drought proofing the Murray-Darling system than paying billions to overseas windfarm 'rent seekers'
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  15520.  @tarbus8932  If you want something climate related to worry about, read this study. It suggest natural variability for Australia is a far greater risk than man induced change. If 39 year long droughts happened in the not so distant past (long before significant induced climate change, we've been affecting the climate for 4000 years), it will happen again. The only uncertainty is when ....... "The Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) influences multidecadal drought risk across the Pacific, but there are no millennial-length, high-resolution IPO reconstructions for quantifying long-term drought risk. In Australia, drought risk increases in positive phases of the IPO, yet few suitable rainfall proxies and short (∼100 years) instrumental records mean large uncertainties remain around drought frequency and duration. Likewise, it is unknown whether megadroughts have occurred in Australia’s past. In this study, an atmospheric teleconnection in the Indian Ocean midlatitudes linking East Antarctica and Australia is exploited to produce the first accurate, annually dated millennial-length IPO reconstruction from the Law Dome (East Antarctica) ice core. Combined with an eastern Australian rainfall proxy from Law Dome, the first millennial-length Australian megadrought (>5 year duration) reconstruction is presented. Eight megadroughts are identified including one 39 year drought (A.D. 1174–1212), which occurred during an unprecedented century of aridity (A.D. 1102–1212)" https://www.researchgate.net/publication/291167238_A_new_direction_for_Antarctic_ice_cores_reconstructing_Pacific_decadal_variability_and_Australian_drought_history_from_the_Law_Dome_ice_core
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  15784.  @mrbrightside4278  My apologies, I was only that one comment and hadn't looked at the others since last night, so it got taken out of context. I though you might have been someone with the complaints listed, hence your comment. My mistake, sorry. On the 5% of infected people, I don't think near enough emphasis is being placed on just who these people are. Placing emphasis on what the REAL problem means some change in risk behavior may change. Pretending it doesn't exist, or aa majic fix is just around the corner, is certainly to make sure nothing changes. It's important information for people to understand the situation. People have a right to be accurately informed, not treated like mushrooms. I sense a deliberate attempt to NOT accurately inform people, but rather only emphasis certain things, seemingly to maintain as high a level of concern, which is really unfounded panic, for some agenda. That's not how it should work. Governments are paid by us, and work for us. We are the employer, they are the employees. They seem to have totally lost sight of this fact. We started with the WHO giving a blanket 3.4%? death rate. How did people interpret that, 3 to 4 people out of every 100 are going to die. No wonder there was total panic. The first person to say (to my knowledge) the risk of dying for healthy people was about the same as Influenza was called a total crackpot and should be burnt at the stake. Further research indicates this to be correct, and for health people under 65 years of age the Stanford University research concludes the risk is about the same as driving a car.
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  15852.  @PhilosophiesofTravel  Fair enough, my apologies if I interpreted your intentions incorrectly. The way I came to arrive at my current position .... I am not a 'scientist' but do hold a Masters Degree in a technical discipline, what is unimportant. Point being the necessary skill to achieve that academic qualification was the ability to read a broad range of conflicting academic studies, understand both sides perspective, glean the key points, and then express an opinion based upon the strengths or weaknesses of the various positions. This disincline of understanding both sides of the debate first, before forming an opinion is just second nature and something I apply to most complex issues where differences of opinion exist. In simple terms I was formally trained to have an inquiring mind. My interest in 'climate change' simply started after a visit to the Great Barrier Reef, finding it in vibrant condition wherever we went, yet at the same time the media and 'scientists' were telling the world the reef is only a few years away from total extinction. The two perspectives seemed irreconcilable. My initial inquires into the true health of the reef lead to the need to better understand the broader 'climate change' debate, but more importantly, that so called scientific organisations were prepared to lie in order to promote a manufactured narrative. Up until quite recently, the GBR marine authority had front and center on its website that coral bleaching was only a recent phenomena and only started in the 1970's (due to climate change). That was totally false (this claim has recently been removed). Numerous reef studies have identified at least 400 years of coral bleaching on various reefs across the globe, and the GBR authority would have know that. They can only go back 400 years being the oldest living corals from which to analyse growth rings. Ask a school kid what causes the most damage to the reef. Expect the answer 'climate change'. The truth is cyclones, next is Crown of Thrones starfish. We don't even know if COT's are natural to the reef or a recent 'invader'. Ask the school child what causes coral bleaching. They'll answer again 'climate change'. Correct answer is rapidly escalating water temperature, mostly caused by an ENSO event. Corals can quite easily adapt to a gradually warming ocean, the water temperature on a Fiji coral reef is considerably higher the southern end of the GBR. The more I've looked into matters, rather than achieve greater confidence in the current popular view of 'climate change' , I actually just discovered more and more false and misleading claims, and researchers acting like more like biased activists than open minded and objective scientists. That they take great offence if their finding are used by the 'enemy' is alone proof of their lack of objectivity. Then by the time the 'story' has been given the treatment by the left-wing media, whatever shred of scientific credibility it originally had has been tossed in the garbage bin. Hence you arrive at my current position to be VERY skeptical of claims by the climate change community, and basically be prepared to do your own research if you want to get some understanding of what is fact, what is unsubstantiated opinion, and what is total fiction .
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  15994.  @neilcowan535  You have zero idea what 97% of climate scientists think. I suggest you actually research where that Micky Mouse number originates from. It is SO indicative of the appalling level of 'science' in relation to the topic. It's ludicrous to think CO2 emissions can be reduced when China and India (two of the worlds largest emitters will go on forever increasing them as they please). Do I think Governments are stupid on the subject? Yes. They want to retain power so they pander to the climate extremists who have taken over the media. The IPCC is a highly politicized organisation. I suggest you read Judith Currys experiences in contributing to the first IPCC report. Never again was her experience. The whole thing is driven by politics and power groups fighting to have their pet theory accepted as the only truth. The only people who say the debate is over and the science settled are extreme political activists who know very little about the subject attempting to using climate change to disrupt the 'system' and bring about a new world order that they foolish thing they will control. They are too stupid to even realize they are just being manipulated by rich powerful elites. I suggest you research Maurice Strong, considered the 'farther of climate change'. I'll bet you've never even heard of him. A self proclaimed 'Marxist' who made a fortune out of oil and then ripped of millions more from the UN and investors in his fraudulent green businesses. Fled to China to avoid jail. Research the controversy surrounding the 'world famous climate scientist' Michael Mann and his fraudulent 'hockey-stick' graph. You can even read his emails where he was threatening other scientists for not altering the figures to get the result he wanted, to keep his political sponsors happy. It was all exposed in the Climategate emails which are available for all to read.
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  16471.  @lockl9255  Yes, I have read the relevant Australia legislation that people falsely claim permits 'bail-in'. Clearly you haven't, or don't have the professional background to understand it. As a qualified CPA with a Masters Degree Commerce qualification I can assure you I do have the qualifications and experience to understanding what is a pretty straight forward piece of legislation. It is about clarifying what constitutes bank 'capital' in the case of a financial institution experiencing financial stress. The term 'Capital' is an accounting term, clearly understood across the whole world. It is the OWNERS (shareholders) portion of the business, after the debts and liabilities have been deducted. Customer deposits in a financial institution are called LIABILITIES. As people like yourself were at the time running around falsely claiming Australian banks could simply claim depositors money (despite the fact the Australian Government actually stands behind the banks as last resort guarantor of customer deposits up to $250,000 per account) a section was added to the legislation specifically stating 'customer deposits are NOT bank capital'. The financial regulator (APRA) has also issued specific publications stating this 'bail in' stuff is total nonsense. I can't immediately find one of these, but here is a link to a recent Financial Review article saying essentially the same thing. This bank 'bail-in' nonsense people like you run around sprouting is utter horse shit. https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/senate-committee-backs-apra-treasury-on-depositor-protection-20200825-p55p33
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  16740.  @tanyabrown9839  You really need to stick to facts. There are around 500,000 people in aged care in the UK. There have currently been 35,000 deaths in the UK of people who died with Covid-19. NOT 250,000 plus which would be 50% of people in aged care homes. If you take the reported half the deaths being aged care residents it works out to 3.5% of residents, which is consistent with numbers reported widely for such an age group. In England alone, 30,000 people die each and every year from Influenza and its associated viral phenomena. 100,000 people a year die who had Influenza at the time of death. This is just England, not the whole UK. And another fact. Influenza comes in a sharp peak, just like Covid-19. Most deaths occur in just 2 months of a typical 4 month 'season'. In pointing out that Covid-19 is a corona virus like the common cold (which every man and his dog knows), rather than come across as intelligent it just makes you look condescending and stupid. Perhaps you want to try and explain Singapore. Nearly 29,000 reported cases of Covid-19, and 22 deaths. That's a death rate less than the number usually quoted for Influenza. Could it be Singapore has a wonder drug they are not telling the world? Perhaps Singaporeans have a unique 'constitution'? Or could it just be that like everything the Singapore government does, they have prevented the virus getting into their aged care sector, and they also accurately identify and report people who have truly died from Covid-19.
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