Comments by "Paul Aiello" (@paul1979uk2000) on "How Putin Could Bring Belarus into the Ukrainian War" video.

  1. The problem is for Belarus and Russia is time isn't on their side, western countries are arming Ukraine but we should remember that they are doing it quite lightly for now to not put their own countries out, there are signs that western countries are ramping up military production for themselves and to arm Ukraine better and there have been reports that the west could arm Ukraine a lot more aggressively over the next 6 months, basically, the west is buying time and wants Ukraine to hang in their and hold as much as they can until the west is ready to go all in with arming Ukraine, if true, Russia is in a lot of trouble over the next 6 months If this turns out to be true, all the land grab that Russia is doing could be for nothing, as it will be much easier to push them back once Ukraine is better armed. I also think the west will go after China and India with the aim of pushing them to not buy oil and gas from Russia, the idea being is to isolate Russia from the world and I think the west is waiting for European countries to diversify enough away from Russian oil and gas before pulling that trigger. Sanctions usually take 2 or 3 years to really kick in, so it looks like things are going to get a lot worse for Russia. As for Belarus, I don't think they will enter the war, the leader might want that but with a population that is so hostile to the war, it would be reckless of the government to push that agenda as it could overthrow him, friendship with Russia only goes so far and if what I said above turns out to be true, Belarus could be in the firing line next from the west and with that, I suspect Belarus will do what China is doing, they both don't like the west but don't want to upset the apple-cart with the west.
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